[Wednesday Numbers | 13.8 M THG: MOCKINGJAY II | 9.8 M THE GOOD DINOSAUR | 6.0 M CREED]

Creed, MJ2 and Good Dinosaur just might perform similarly to how everyone thought JW/IO/Ted 2 would over June 26-28 (all $45-55 million 3 day). Only difference is that Good Dinosaur could do $60-70 million for the 3 day, also. 

 

Might be what wakes up the 2015 box office before SW7

[BOT User Tracking 11/27-29 *3-day* Creed, The Good Dinsaur, Victor Frankenstein]

The Good Dinosaur: $60 million ($87 million)

Creed: $41 million ($59 million) - very conservative predict, since it could do huge business today 

Victor Frankenstein: $6 million ($10 million)

 

[Wednesday Numbers | 13.8 M THG: MOCKINGJAY II | 9.8 M THE GOOD DINOSAUR | 6.0 M CREED]

20 minutes ago, cookie said:

Thinking $15-16m for TGD and $13-14m for Creed today.

$16 million

$11.5 million

$26 million

$24.5 million

$13.5million  

 

$91.5 million 5 day for Good Dinosaur

 

$14 million

$10.5 million

$21 million

$19 million

$11 million

$75.5 million 5 day for Creed (not even that outlandish considering past Thanksgiving frames ) 

 

$13.5 million

$10.5 million

$21 million

$19 million

$11 million

 

$75 million 5 day for MJ2

 

Would be a well-rounded top 3 plus Peanuts/Spectre holding well. Although my Creed prediction may be far too ambitious lol 

[Wednesday Numbers | 13.8 M THG: MOCKINGJAY II | 9.8 M THE GOOD DINOSAUR | 6.0 M CREED]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Quick reminder that The Martian was going to release today until Fox smartened up.

Very smart. Creed, MJ2 and Good Dinosaur should combine for $150 million+ over the 5 day plus holdovers. 

 

There'd be no real room for The Martian. October 2nd was perfect with everything except Bridge of Spies and Goosebumps bombing hard 

[Wednesday Numbers | 13.8 M THG: MOCKINGJAY II | 9.8 M THE GOOD DINOSAUR | 6.0 M CREED]

14 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

1.4 M for BIG HERO 6 (Thursday previews)

That had the Marvel tie in and a better preview date (Thursday vs Tuesday) 

 

With a Wednesday opening, Good Dinosaur should do somewhere between $80-100 million 

 

The real story is Creed... 

8 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

"CREED! CREED! CREED!". I'm so excited to see Creed absolutely breakout this weekend. Reviews are great, but more importantly WOM from the GA is going to be insane. TGD is also gonna do great, will be interesting to see how it does comapred to Frozen.

How big will Creed be this weekend? Its previews are bigger than any other major opener over Thanksgiving (Frozen, GD, Muppets, Tangled, Enchanted, etc)

 

There's no real precedent for a major adult-skewing film opening over Thanksgiving, either. 

 

I don't think it'll be that frontloaded due to the kind of film and it's excellent reviews, but $55 million+ for the 5-day would be amazing  would Blind Side's $57 million 5-day reasonable to expect? 

 

 

[Creed | Rocky Spinoff | November 25, 2015 | Box Office Knockout | Stalloscarnominated!!]

1 hour ago, FilmBuff said:

I agree. The last one I can think of was the fighter, and even that one barely scraped by 100 mil. Creed will be a success doing 100 mil plus.

That was also gritty and rated R. Creed is looking to be a PG-13 crowd-pleaser.

 

I agree that $100 million 5 day is pretty much impossible though. $60-70 million is the best case for its 5 day and even that's very unlikely lol

[Creed highest grossing Rocky club (Yo Adrian, I just missed it)]

On 11/22/2015, 10:14:38, MovieMan89 said:

I am thinking this could indeed happen. Both Spectre and MJ2 have underperformed this month, meaning there is still room for something to surprise breakout. Obviously it will be this if it's anything. And the excellent early reviews are promising for WOM. This is also one of the few films I don't think SW would have much of an effect on for late legs. What the hell, I'm IN! 

Creed and Good Dinosaur should hold the best against SW7. MJ2, Spectre, Krampus, Heart of Sea and Frankenstein target SW7's demo to some degree. Creed looks like a leggy WOM hit in the making, while Good Dinosaur is going to end up being paired with SW7 in double features.

 

And if SW7 really does $250 million+ OW, GD and to a lesser extent Alvin 4/Creed will benefit from potentially thousands of sellouts across the nation that weekend is looking like $300 million+ possibly. 

[Weekend Actuals | 102.7 M THG: MOCKINGJAY II | 15.0 M SPECTRE | 13.2 M THE PEANUTS]

4 hours ago, John Marston said:

 

 

any business lost by Star Wars will be made up in the following week during Christmas

 

 

if it follows CF it will make 273m 

 

if it follows MJ1 it will make about 283m

^yep

 

Even with 50-70% drops all around over Dec 18-20, GD, Creed, Heart of the Sea and MJ2 should all rebound from the previous weekend. And Alvin 4/Sisters could have a 100-150% increase from their OWs if they only open to $5-6 million each. 

 

 

[Creed | Rocky Spinoff | November 25, 2015 | Box Office Knockout | Stalloscarnominated!!]

5 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

After seeing it, I thought this would get good reviews. But nothing like this. Breakout is looking more and more likely.

WB's also given it a great marketing campaign, similar to their other adult-skewing crowdpleasers The Blind Side and American Sniper. 

 

Wouldn't be shocked at a $50 million 5-day+ with MJ2 underperforming, Spectre/Peanuts being pretty much finished, everything else in November bombing, Victor Frankenstein being another bomb, and Good Dinosaur targeting a different demographic/possibly doing less than Frozen's 5-day.

 

Would be interesting if it gets $150 million+ DOM... nostalgia + critical acclaim has been a recipe for success this year. 

[Creed | Rocky Spinoff | November 25, 2015 | Box Office Knockout | Stalloscarnominated!!]

Too bad the film won't get any serious Oscar talk except Stallone and possibly Sound Editing/Mixing. Would be nice to see it get some major nominations if the acclaim isn't over-hyping it. 

[Weekend Prediction thread 7/4-7/7 Independence Day weekend Play the Derby]

1 hour ago, Truckasaurus said:

Ok, what kind of parallel universe is this where people are predicting Krampus opening higher than $20M? I'm not even sure it hits $10M OW.

The one where Krampus is tracking higher than Unfriended and The Visit 

 

11/25-11/29

1. The Good Dinosaur: $79 million/$110 million 
2. Mockingjay Part 2: $49 million/$73 million ($193 million) 
3. Creed: $42 million/$60 million 
4. Spectre: $12 million/$17.5 million ($175 million)
5. The Peanuts Movie: $11 million/$16.5 million ($118 million)
6. The Night Before: $7.5 million/$11 million ($23 million)
7. Victor Frankenstein: $6 million/$10 million 
8. Spotlight: $5.5 million/$8.5 mililon ($16 million) 
9. Secret in Their Eyes: $4.5 million/$7 million ($15 million)
10. Love the Coopers: $3.5 million/$5.5 million ($22 million) 
11. The Martian: $3 million/$4.5 million ($218 million)
12. The 33: $1.5 million/$2.5 million ($13 million)

12/4-12/6

1. The Good Dinosaur: $38 million ($161 million)
2. Krampus: $23 million 
3. Mockingjay Part 2: $22.5 million ($226 million)
4. Creed: $21 million ($92 million)
5. Spectre: $6 million ($184 million)
6. The Peanuts Movie: $5 million ($124 million)
7. The Night Before: $4.5 million ($30 million)
8. Spotlight: $3.5 million ($21 million)
9. Victor Frankenstein: $3 million ($14 million)
10. Love the Coopers: $2.5 million ($26 million) 

12/11-12/13

1. The Good Dinosaur: $31.5 million ($202 million)
2. In the Heart of the Sea: $25.5 million 
3. Krampus: $17 million ($49 million) 
4. Creed: $15 million ($114 million) 
5. Mockingjay Part 2: $13 million ($246 million) 
6. Legend: $5.5 million ($9 million)
7. Spotlight: $4.5 million ($28 million) 
8. The Peanuts Movie: $4 million ($129 million) 
9. The Night Before: $3.5 million ($35 million) 
10. Spectre: $3 million ($189 million) 

[Weekend Estimates (pg49): Mockingjay 101M | Spectre 14.6M | Night Before 10.1M | SITE 6.63M]

2 minutes ago, IMojammer said:

Look at it this way, the mockingjay movies together will do about $600m domestic and $800m overseas on a combined $280m million budget. Solid stolid

^^this 

 

Even with both underperforming, they'll still make a lot more than what a single Mockingjay film would have done 

[Weekend Prediction thread 7/4-7/7 Independence Day weekend Play the Derby]

11/25-11/29

1. The Good Dinosaur: $78 million/$110 million 
2. Mockingjay Part 2: $53.5 million/$74 million ($191 million) 
3. Creed: $38 million/$55 million 
4. Spectre: $10.5 million/$15.5 million ($172 million)
5. The Peanuts Movie: $10 million/$15 million ($115 million)
6. The Night Before: $9 million/$13 million ($26 million)
7. Spotlight: $7 million/$10 million ($17 million)
8. Victor Frankenstein: $6 million/$10 million 
9. Secret in Their Eyes: $4 million/$6 million ($14 million)
10. Love the Coopers: $3.5 million/$5.5 million ($22 million)
11. The Martian: $3 million/$4.5 million ($218 million)
12. Brooklyn: $2.5 million/$3.5 million ($6 million)

12/4-12/6

1. The Good Dinosaur: $37 million ($160 million)
2. Mockingjay Part 2: $24 million ($227 million)
3. Krampus: $22 million
4. Creed: $17 million ($80 million)
5. The Night Before: $6 million ($35 million)
6. Spectre: $5.5 million ($180 million)
7. Spotlight: $4 million ($23 million)
8. The Peanuts Movie: $4 million ($120 million)
9. Victor Frankenstein: $3 million ($14 million)
10. Love the Coopers: $2.5 million ($26 million) 

12/11-12/13

1. The Good Dinosaur: $30.5 million ($200 million)
2. In the Heart of the Sea: $23 million 
3. Krampus: $17 million ($48 million) 
4. Mockingjay Part 2: $16 million ($251 million)
5. Creed: $12 million ($98 million)
6. The Night Before: $5 million ($42 million) 
7. Spotlight: $4.5 million ($30 million) 
8. Legend: $3.5 million 
9. Spectre: $3 million ($184 million)
10. The Peanuts Movie: $3 million ($123 million) 

12/18-12/20

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $260.5 million 
2. The Good Dinosaur: $15 million ($220 million)
3. Sisters: $8.5 million 
4. Krampus: $7 million ($60 million) 
5. Alvin 4: $6.5 million 
6. Mockingjay Part 2: $6 million ($260 million)
7. Creed: $5 million ($106 million)
8. In the Heart of the Sea: $4.5 million ($32 million)
9. Spotlight: $2.5 million ($34 million)
10. The Night Before: $2 million ($45 million)

12/25-12/27

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $140 million ($511 million)
2. Daddy's Home: $24 million 
3. The Good Dinosaur: $20.5 million ($259 million) 
4. Joy: $20 million 
5. Sisters: $12 million ($31 million) 
6. Alvin 4: $11 million ($27 million) 
7. Concussion: $10 million 
8. The Big Short: $7.5 million ($13 million) 
9. Mockingjay Part 2: $7 million ($273 million) 
10. Point Break: $5.5 million 
11. Creed: $5 million ($115 million)
12. In the Heart of the Sea: $4 million ($40 million)

1/1-1/3

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $104 million ($717 million)
2. Daddy's Home: $18 million ($66 million)
3. The Good Dinosaur: $17 million ($297 million)
4. Joy: $16 million ($56 million)
5. Sisters: $10 million ($53 million)
6. Alvin 4: $9.5 million ($48 million)
7. Concussion: $8 million ($28 mililon)
8. The Big Short: $6 million ($26 million)
9. Mockingjay Part 2: $5.5 million ($285 million)
10. Creed: $4 million ($124 million)
11. Point Break: $3 million ($14 million) 
12. In the Heart of the Sea: $2.5 million ($47 million) 

[Creed highest grossing Rocky club (Yo Adrian, I just missed it)]

11 hours ago, The Panda said:

I think it's definitely plausible.  I'm worried because this year has really been "go big or bust" and i don't know if this will apply here too.

WB has a good track record of adult-skewing crowd-pleasers over the last decade (Blind Side, American Sniper)... and with MJ2 underperforming, there's room for Creed and Good Dinosaur to overperform this next week.

 

With the great reviews and minimal competition (Spectre's 4th weekend of $10-13 million... Spotlight doing $6-8 million possibly.... Martian/BoS combining for $4.5-5 million) , Creed ought to be able to do at least $30 million 5-day. I'm thinking $45-55 million - the box office is due for another breakout hit. 

[Best films of 2015]

1. Inside Out
2. The Peanuts Movie
3. Mission Impossible - Rogue Nation
4. The Martian 
5. The Intern
6. Paddington 
7. Minions 
8. Jurassic World 
9. Hotel Transylvania 2 
10. Pixels 
11. Ant-Man 
12. Avengers: Age of Ultron 
13. McFarland, USA 
14. SpongeBob 2 
15. Get Hard 
16. Tomorrowland 
17. Vacation 
18. The Wedding Ringer
19. Kingsman 
20. Hot Pursuit 
21. Unfriended 
22. Hot Tub Time Machine 2
23. Mortdecai

Need to See:

1. Still Alice
2. Cinderella
3. It Follows 
4. Furious 7
5. Ex Machina
6. Far From the Maddening Crowd
7. Mad Max - Fury Road
8. When Marnie Was There
9. San Andreas
10. Spy
11. Me and Earl and the Dying Girl
12. Dope
13. Trainwreck
14. Mr. Holmes
15. Paper Towns
16. A LEGO Brickumentary
17. Shaun the Sheep Movie
18. The Gift
19. Straight Outta Compton
20. War Room
21. The Visit
22. Black Mass 
23. Captive
24. Everest
25. Sicario
26. 99 Homes
27. The Walk
28. Steve Jobs
29. Bridge of Spies
30. Goosebumps
31. Room
32. Beasts of No Nation
33. Spotlight
34. Brooklyn
35. Mockingjay Part 2
36. Carol
37. The Good Dinosaur
38. Creed 
39. Krampus
40. In the Heart of the Sea
41. The Big Short
42. Star Wars - The Force Awakens
43. Sisters
44. Daddy's Home
45. Joy
46. The Revenant

 

[Weekend Estimates (pg49): Mockingjay 101M | Spectre 14.6M | Night Before 10.1M | SITE 6.63M]

37 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

It's not 3D turning off A LOT of viewers, it's clearly MJ1 & SW7.

If audiences wanted to see MJ2, they wouldn't let a film 28 days away keep them from seeing it. Even if SW7 is going to be huge, that doesn't mean nothing can do well in November. 

 

 

Creed, Good Dinosaur and even Krampus should do well before SW7 opens. And I'm thinking everything holds spectacularly the weekend before SW7 causes 60%+ drops for the whole top 10 

[Weekend Prediction thread 7/4-7/7 Independence Day weekend Play the Derby]

28 minutes ago, bapi said:

3-day:

 

Creed  -  11M

The Good Dinosaur  -  59M

Victor Frankenstein  -  5M

________________________________________

 

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2  -53%

Spectre  -46%

The Night Before  -41%

No way Spectre and Night Before drop that bad over a holiday frame.

 

Spectre should drop 25-30% while Night Before should drop 10-20% due to its small OW and Christmas theme. 

 

Also Creed isn't opening that softly with how strong its buzz has been, the Rocky branding and its excellent reviews. More likely to make $11 million its opening day than $11 million over the 3 day. 

 

[Weekend Estimates (pg49): Mockingjay 101M | Spectre 14.6M | Night Before 10.1M | SITE 6.63M]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Shit numbers, shit weekend. Save us JJ.

More like Pixar and Rocky  

 

Both of those should do well over $100 million combined for the 5 day... plus MJ2 doing $50 million+ for the 5 day, Spectre and Peanuts holding over, Spotlight expanding even more. Thanksgiving won't be bad and Krampus could potentially do $20-25 million on A usually dead weekend. 

 

I am ready for a $230-270 million OW though... 

[Weekend Estimates (pg49): Mockingjay 101M | Spectre 14.6M | Night Before 10.1M | SITE 6.63M]

2 hours ago, Daniel Dylan Davis said:

 

A 5 day 35m for TGD would be bad for TGD. I'm pretty sure it's going to make more than that (obviously I know you're just making an example, I'm just saying).

 

That's because Creed is in the comparison lol. $35 million would be excellent for it. 

 

Without Creed, I'd have said $70 million+ 5-day  after seeing how empty the BO will be beyond the top 3, I think there's still plenty of room for Creed to break out and for GD to become a monster $300 million+ hit. 

 

For next weekend, I'm thinking

1. The Good Dinosaur: $80 million/$125 million
2. MJ2: $60 million/$86 million ($215 million)
3. Creed: $36 million/$55 million 
4. Spectre: $12.5 million/$17 million ($174 million) 
5. The Peanuts Movie: $10.5 million/$15 million ($116 million) 
6. The Night Before: $8.5 million/$12 million ($24 million)
7. Spotlight: $8 million/$11 million ($20 million) 
8. Victor Frankenstein: $6 million/$10 million 
9. The Secret in Their Eyes: $4.5 million/$6.5 million ($15 million)
10. Love the Coopers: $4 million/$6 million ($24 million)
11. The Martian: $3 million/$4.5 million ($219 million)
12. Bridge of Spies: $2.25 million/$3.25 million ($70 million) 

 

 

[Weekend Estimates (pg49): Mockingjay 101M | Spectre 14.6M | Night Before 10.1M | SITE 6.63M]

15 minutes ago, The Good Olive said:

MJ2 faces much bigger competition than MJ1.

TGD >>Penguins of Madagascar 

But neither of those were true competition for the Hunger Games demo. 

 

MJ2 - teens

Good Dinosaur - kids/families

Creed - adults 

 

All 3 can coexist next week and do $35 million+ for the 5-day if audiences want to see Creed and GD and MJ2. 

 

 

[Weekend Estimates (pg49): Mockingjay 101M | Spectre 14.6M | Night Before 10.1M | SITE 6.63M]

6 minutes ago, Chaz said:

I called part 1 missing $300 million and lost out. Looks like I'll win with this one!

 

People got over this series quickly tbh. Doesn't help that they turned the worst book of the series into a nearly four hour movie. Blech.

The franchise has improved the multi with each film. MJ1 got 2.75x roughly. A 2.8x-2.85x for MJ2 gets it $308-312 million DOM. 

 

I wouldn't say MJ2 is on its way to sub-$300 million quite yet. If it drops 55-60% next weekend and the weekend after, then I'd agree. But its softer OW could mean a sub-50% drop over the Thanksgiving frame (46-48%). And maybe 50-55% over the post-Thanksgiving frame instead of 60-62%. Plus a 30-35% drop before SW7 wrecks everything in its path. 

 

I'm being optimistic, but there's no real evidence to suggest MJ2 will drop any harsher than the previous films. Even a 2.7x (slightly less than MJ1) gets it just over $300 million. 

 

Finishing 7th for the year would be surprising, though. 

[Weekend Estimates (pg49): Mockingjay 101M | Spectre 14.6M | Night Before 10.1M | SITE 6.63M]

With the ever-improving multis of the Hunger Games films, this should still finish $300 million+ DOM. But finishing below Good Dinosaur DOM would be a shocker IMO - especially since most weren't expecting $350-380 million DOM for it (general range for MJ2 predicts). 

 

Interested to see if Creed and Good Dinosaur perform well next week. 

 

 

 

[Weekend Prediction thread 7/4-7/7 Independence Day weekend Play the Derby]

1. Mockingjay Part 2: $144 million

2. Spectre: $20 million ($161 million)

3. The Peanuts Movie: $16 million ($102 million)

4. The Night Before: $14.5 million 

5. Love the Coopers: $6 million ($17 million)

6. The Martian: $4.5 million ($214 million)

7. The Secret in Their Eyes: $3.5 million

8. Bridge of Spies: $3 million ($66 million)

9. Goosebumps: $2.5 million ($76 million)

10. The 33: $2.5 million ($10 million)

 

11/25-11/29

1. The Good Dinosaur: $80.5 million/$125 million

2. Mockingjay Part 2: $72 million/$105 million ($270 million)

3. Creed: $28 million/$42 million

4. Spectre: $15 million/$22 million ($188 million)

5. The Peanuts Movie: $13 million/$19 million ($125 million)

6. The Night Before: $12 million/$17 million ($35 million)

7. Victor Frankenstein: $7 million/$11.5 million

8. Love the Coopers: $4.5 million/$7 million ($26 million) 

9. The Martian: $4 million/$6 million ($221 million)

10. Bridge of Spies: $2.5 million/$4 million ($71 million)

 

12/4-12/6

1. The Good Dinosaur: $36 million ($173 million)
2. Mockingjay Part 2: $28 million ($312 million)
3. Krampus: $21 million 
4. Creed: $13.5 million ($62 million)
5. The Night Before: $8 million ($47 million) 
6. Spectre: $7 million ($199 million)
7. The Peanuts Movie: $6 million ($132 million)
8. Love the Coopers: $3 million ($30 million) 
9. Victor Frankenstein: $2.5 million ($15 million)
10. The Martian: $2 million ($224 million)

 

12/11-12/13

1. The Good Dinosaur: $28 million ($210 million)
2. In the Heart of the Sea: $19.5 million 
3. Mockingjay Part 2: $18 million ($339 million)
4. Krampus: $14 million ($42 million)
5. Creed: $10 million ($77 million)
6. The Night Before: $6.5 million ($57 million)
7. The Peanuts Movie: $4.5 million ($137 million) 
8. Spectre: $4 million ($205 million) 
9. Legend: $3.5 million ($5 million) 
10. Love the Coopers: $2.5 million ($34 million)

 

12/18-12/20

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $223 million 
2. The Good Dinosaur: $14 million ($228 million) 
3. Sisters: $12 million 
4. Mockingjay Part 2: $8 million ($351 million) 
5. Alvin and the Chipmunks - The Road Chip: $7.5 million 
6. Krampus: $7 million ($53 million) 
7. Creed: $4.5 million ($84 million)
8. The Night Before: $3 million ($62 million) 
9. Spectre: $2 million ($208 million)
10. The Peanuts Movie: $1.5 million ($139 million)

 

12/25-12/27

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $142 million ($475 million) 
2. Joy: $20.5 million 
3. Daddy's Home: $19 million 
4. The Good Dinosaur: $16.5 million ($258 million)
5. Concussion: $13.5 million 
6. Sisters: $13 million ($37 million)
7. Alvin and the Chipmunks - The Road Chip: $10.5 million ($28 million)
8. The Big Short: $7.5 million ($13 million) 
9. Mockingjay Part 2: $7 million ($364 million) 
10. Point Break: $6 million 
11. Krampus: $5 million ($62 million)
12. Creed: $3.5 million ($91 million) 

 

[Weekend Prediction thread 7/4-7/7 Independence Day weekend Play the Derby]

11/13-11/15

1. The Peanuts Movie: $33 million ($99 million)
2. Spectre: $32 million ($127 million)
3. The 33: $12 million 
4. Love the Coopers: $11 million
5. The Martian: $8 million ($210 million) 
6. Goosebumps: $5.5 million ($75 million) 
7. Bridge of Spies: $5 million ($63 million) 
8. My All-American: $3 million
9. Hotel Transylvania 2: $2.5 million ($165 million) 
10. Burnt: $2 million ($13 million) 

11/20-11/22

1. Mockingjay Part 2: $163 million 
2. The Peanuts Movie: $22 million ($128 million)
3. The Night Before: $17 million 
4. Spectre: $14 million ($148 million) 
5. Love the Coopers: $7 million ($22 million)
6. The 33: $6 million ($21 million)
7. The Martian: $4 million ($216 million)
8. Bridge of Spies: $3.5 million ($68 million) 
9. The Secrets in Their Eyes: $3 million 
10. Goosebumps: $2.5 million ($78 million) 

11/25-11/29

1. The Good Dinosaur: $80.5 million/$126 million 
2. Mockingjay Part 2: $78 million/$118.5 million ($304 million) 
3. Creed: $28 million/$41 million 
4. The Peanuts Movie: $18.5 million/$26 million ($158 million)
5. The Night Before: $14 million/$19 million ($39 million)
6. Spectre: $10.5 million/$14.5 million ($165 million)
7. Victor Frankenstein: $7 million/$11 million 
8. Love the Coopers: $6 million/$9 million ($33 million) 
9. The 33: $3.5 million/$5.5 million ($28 million)
10. The Martian: $3 million/$4.5 million ($221 million) 

12/4-12/6

1. The Good Dinosaur: $37 million ($177 million) 
2. Mockingjay Part 2: $30.5 million ($349 million)
3. Creed: $14.5 million ($62 million) 
4. Krampus: $12 million 
5. The Night Before: $9 million ($53 million) 
6. The Peanuts Movie: $8.5 million ($168 million)
7. Spectre: $5.5 million ($173 million)
8. Love the Coopers: $3.5 million ($38 million)
9. Victor Frankenstein: $3 million ($16 million) 
10. The Martian: $1.5 million ($223 million)

12/11-12/13

1. The Good Dinosaur: $28 million ($214 million)
2. In the Heart of the Sea: $22.5 million 
3. Mockingjay Part 2: $20 million ($379 million) 
4. Creed: $11 million ($78 million)
5. Krampus: $8 million ($24 million) 
6. The Night Before: $7.5 million ($64 million)
7. The Peanuts Movie: $6.5 million ($176 million)
8. Legend: $4.5 million ($8 million) 
9. Spectre: $3.5 million ($178 million) 
10. Love the Coopers: $2.5 million ($42 million) 

12/18-12/20

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $206 million 
2. The Good Dinosaur: $17 million ($237 million) 
3. Sisters: $13 million 
4. Mockingjay Part 2: $8.5 million ($392 million) 
5. Alvin and the Chipmunks - The Road Chip: $8 million 
6. Creed: $7 million ($89 million)
7. In the Heart of the Sea: $6.5 million ($33 million)
8. Krampus: $4.5 million ($31 million)
9. The Night Before: $4 million ($70 million)
10. The Peanuts Movie: $2.5 million ($179 million)

12/25-12/27

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $127 million ($437 million)
2. The Good Dinosaur: $19.5 million ($273 million) 
3. Joy: $18.5 million 
4. Daddy's Home: $16 million 
5. Concussion: $12.5 million 
6. Sisters: $12 million ($36 million) 
7. The Big Short: $11 million ($14 million) 
8. Alvin and the Chipmunks - The Road Chip: $10 million ($28 million) 
9. Point Break: $8 million 
10. Mockingjay Part 2: $7 million ($406 million)
11. Creed: $5 million ($99 million) 
12. In the Heart of the Sea: $4.5 million ($41 million)
13. Krampus: $3 million ($37 million)
14. The Night Before: $3 million ($76 million)
15. The Peanuts Movie: $2.5 million ($184 million)

 

[Weekend Estimates (pg44): Spectre 73 | Peanuts 45 | Martian 9.3 | Goosebumps 6.9 | Spies 6.09 | Important forum announcement in first post.]

1 hour ago, baumer said:

 

It dropped 19%.  How is that not pretty incredible?

Because it's a well-reviewed, well-liked Best Picture contender in its 6th weekend - and 19% is the kind of hold those types of films tend to have. It's also after a weekend where Saturday fell on Halloween and muted increases. Not to mention it, Bridge of Spies and Goosebumps are the only other semi-major films to go see other than Spectre and Peanuts. 

 

19% would be incredible in its 2nd or 3rd weekend, but in an adult drama's 6th weekend, sub-25% is kind of expected if it has decent WOM. For example, Bridge of Spies should have a sub-25% drop next week, and The Martian should have another one, because The 33 is the only semi-major film next week. 

 

I will agree that sub-20% is excellent though, considering it lost IMAX theaters to Spectre.