dxmatrixdt

adjusted #s for inflation for basketball movies http://www.boxofficemojo.com/genres/chart/?id=basketball.htm&sort=opengross&order=DESC&adjust_yr=2018&p=.htm 1 1 Space Jam WB $186,568,500 2,650 $57,050,100 2,650 11/15/96 2 3 Coach Carter Par. $96,122,700 2,574 $34,557,900 2,524 1/14/05 3 2 White Men Can't Jump Fox $168,309,600 1,929 $32,470,800 1,923 3/27/92 4 8 Blue Chips Par. $50,556,800 1,980 $22,184,700 1,980 2/18/94 5 12 Semi-Pro NL $42,712,300 3,121 $19,232,300 3,121 2/29/08 6 4 Like Mike Fox $81,088,500 2,436 $19,202,000 2,410 7/3/02 7 7 Glory Road BV $59,641,300 2,397 $19,011,900 2,222 1/13/06 8 6 Eddie BV $65,046,700 2,000 $16,666,200 1,989 5/31/96 9 13 He Got Game BV $42,124,000 1,414 $14,864,300 1,319 5/1/98 10 9 Love & Basketball NL $46,666,100 1,245 $13,832,100 1,237 4/21/00

Jurassic - 34.4% Incredibles - 26.8% Sicario - 10.2% Uncle Drew - 8.6% Ocean's 8 - 3.6%

I don't see Uncle Drew's attendance exceeding that of Sicario's since Sicario had the lead on Thursday up about 50% over U.D. Sicario 2 - 2.0 million, 2,669 locations = $749/theater Uncle Drew - 1.1 million from ~ 2,201 locations = $500/theater I guess Sicario could double Thursdays $750 to $1500, then just do $2,000 and say Uncle Drew does 4x Thursday and matches that with 2k PTA Friday. In that case, $2,000 PTA for each gives, but this feels like an upper bound prediction 3,055 locations - Sicario 2 - 6.11m/8.11m 2,742 locations - Uncle Drew - 5.48m/6.58m

the more votes that are added, the less weight troll votes should affect the overall score. I want to reiterate that I think RT audience score is as reliable as IMDB now. also, I think the RT audience score is as reliable as the IMDB one now.

RT scores are as reliable as IMDB scores now. Does Yahoo Movies still do user ratings? Anything else other than RT, Metacritics, etc.?

It only has 51 reviews right now. Maybe a lot of the recent ones landed on the fresh side of the coin. I wonder how long it will take to add 100 more reviews.

What other afternoon sources provide early weekend box office updates from secret numbers?

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-uncle-drew-sicario-day-saldado-scoring-more-points-expected-1124263 Weekend Box Office: 'Sicario 2,' 'Uncle Drew' Scoring More Points Than Expected The pair of films don't stand a chance of toppling 'Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom' or 'Incredibles 2.' A pair of smaller films — the intense U.S.-Mexico border drama Sicario: Day of the Soldado and basketball comedy Uncle Drew — are scoring more points than expected at the North American box office, even though they don't stand a chance of stealing the crown from holdovers Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom and Incredibles 2, according to Friday returns. Sicario 2, from Sony and Black Label Media, is on course to earn around $7.5 million on Friday from 3,055 theaters for a debut in the $17 million-$20 million range. Friday's gross will include $2 million in Thursday previews. Lionsgate and Summit's Uncle Drew looks to score $7 million on Friday from 2,742 locations for a $16 million-$20 million weekend, including $1.1 million in previews. Heading into the weekend, tracking suggested the two films would open in the $10 million-$13 million range. Universal's Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom will easily stay atop the chart in its sophomore outing with as much as $60 million, putting the film's domestic total north of $260 million through Sunday. Now in its third weekend, Incredibles 2 could earn anywhere from $39 million to $44 million for a domestic cume of $428 million or more through Sunday. Sometime over the weekend, the Disney and Pixar film will pass up Toy Story 3 ($415 million) to rank as the No. 2 Pixar title of all time domestically behind Finding Dory ($486.3 million), not adjusted for inflation. Neither Sicario 2 nor Uncle Drew have aspirations to be all-audience summer blockbusters. Rather, they hope to serve as counterprogramming to the glut of broad-appeal fare in summer multiplexes. Sicario: Day of the Soldado is a follow-up to the critically acclaimed U.S.-Mexico border drama Sicario, directed by Denis Villeneuve and released by Lionsgate in the fall of 2015. This time out, Stefano Sollima sat in the director's chair. Benicio Del Toro and Josh Brolin once again star, sans Emily Blunt. The timely storyline follows a federal border agent (Brolin) who enlists Del Toro's character in a battle to stop the Mexican drug cartels from trafficking terrorists across the border into the U.S. Critics like the sequel far less than the first film. Sicario 2 currently has a 64 percent score on Rotten Tomatoes, compared to 93 percent for Sicario. Uncle Drew, from Lionsgate/Summit, stars Lil Rel Howery as a thirtysomething man who, with the help of the titular character (Kyrie Irving), assembles a team of older basketball players in hopes of winning a street ball tournament in Brooklyn. The movie boasts an impressive roster of real-life basketball greats, including Irving, Shaquille O'Neal, Chris Webber, Lisa Leslie and Reggie Miller. Tiffany Haddish and Nick Kroll also star. Comedies are under siege at the box office, and it remains to be seen whether Uncle Drew can score a win over the course of time. Directed by Charles Stone III, the pic was adapted from a digital series created by Pepsi.

https://variety.com/2018/film/box-office/box-office-jurassic-world-incredibles-sicario-uncle-1202862013/ ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ Roaring for $59 Million Weekend The dinosaurs are still stomping all over domestic moviegoing as the second frame of “Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom” heads for a $59 million weekend, early estimates showed Friday. Sony’s opening of “Sicario: Day of the Soldado” is heading for a solid $20 million at 3,055 North American locations. Lionsgate’s basketball comedy “Uncle Drew” will score about $16 million at 2,842 sites. And Disney’s third weekend of “Incredibles 2” will continue to dazzle with about $40 million — a 50% decline, which will give the blockbuster a stunning $435 million by the end of the weekend. Universal’s sophomore session of “Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom” is pegged to decline about 60% from its opening weekend of $148 million, which was the 20th-best of all time. The Chris Pratt-led tentpole has pocketed $204.8 million in its first seven days domestically and about $809 million worldwide. Only 25 films have topped the $60 million domestic mark in their second weekends. Josh Brolin and Benicio Del Toro return in the action-drama “Sicario: Day of the Soldado,” a sequel to 2015’s “Sicario.” Friday’s early estimates showed a first-day take of $7 million, placing the violence-laden film well above box office forecasts between $10 million and $13 million. That’s a signal that “Day of the Soldado” may outperform the original film, which debuted with $12 million and finished with $47 million domestically. Stefano Sollima took over directing duties from Denis Villeneuve while Taylor Sheridan returned to pen the script. “Day of the Soldado” sees Del Toro and Brolin reprising their roles as a former undercover operative and CIA agent, respectively. The film is averaging a 64% fresh rating on Rotten Tomatoes. The original movie, which also starred Emily Blunt, earned an impressive 93% rating on Rotten Tomatoes and went on to score three Oscar nominations. “Uncle Drew” had also pegged to launch with $10 million to $13 million at 2,742 sites. NBA player Kyrie Irving leads the Pepsi commercial-turned-feature-film about a down-on-his-luck basketball coach (Lil Rel Howery), who enlists basketball legend Uncle Drew to recruit a group of septuagenarian former ballers to play in Harlem’s Rucker Classic street ball tournament. The sports comedy features a mash-up of athletes and comedians, including Shaquille O’Neal, Chris Webber, Reggie Miller, Nate Robinson, Lisa Leslie, Erica Ash, Tiffany Haddish, and Nick Kroll. “Uncle Drew” was directed by Charles Stone III and written by Jay Longino. After a sluggish 2017, “Incredibles 2,” “Ocean’s 8,” and “Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom” have bolstered the summer box office by 16% to $2.09 billion through June 27, according to ComScore. For the year, overall moviegoing is up 8.7% to $6.04 billion.

18m Friday / 60m weekend seems like to much of a difference from second place at 44m. about 27% difference. Thursday was only about a 12% difference.

Sicario likely gained strong WOM through home video just like The Bourne Identity. Look out for further follow ups to go to Netflix or some other platform. ahhhh!!!!

JW2 - 35.4% I2 - 28.6% Sicario - 10% Uncle - 7.5% O8 - 3.4% from the % shares, it looks like O8 will not likely make it to 10m this weekend unless it got lost in the shuffle over at MT sales.

The article says -45% for Incredibles 2 for the weekend. -45% Friday to Friday is $13,276,717

I have a sheet with the cinemascores. Action Point got a C+ and was the first one in a while. Usually cinemscore.com stops featuring movies after a few months and at that point, there was no C's in the column. Then the next week, Hereditary set the new benchmark with a D+. Nothing beyond trailer views, RT scores, and these forums, in regards to information on these two new films, I am feeling B for Sicario 2 and A- for Uncle Drew. However, I was feeling B- for Hereditary with its OW which started this list. (also, the B- for Gods of Egypt was pretty epic)

I got lucky by rounding to 2 and 1. lol.

Sicario: Day of the Soldado $2,000,000 from 2,669 theaters. $749 per theater average 81.8 purchases per location at $9.16 avg 200 purchases/location Friday would be 2.44x Thursday's avg. and with 3,055 theaters gives 5.6m/7.6m Friday. 16.90/18.90 weekend.

Uncle Drew - 1.1m previews ~ 2,200 theaters = approx. $500 avg,/theater additional 3.9m Friday required to make 5.0m full day. $3,900,000 Friday with 2,742 theaters is $1,422 per theater average. This would be about +2.84x the average of the previews. At $9.16 avg. ticket price, *Thursday night saw 54.6 purchases per location. For reference, a 3.9m Friday is 155 purchases/location +2.84x on the 54.6. In this scenario, adding +100 purchases/location over Thursday in the scenario presents a reasonable multiplier close to 3 and then seeing what the multiplier is which is what Sicario could be looking at. I'm gonna guess 4.9m Friday for now. 13.77 weekend.

does anyone know how many days the Thursday numbers open to?

I made this interesting chart that shows the theater counts and theater losses for the films on the chart all the way down to Adrift and how it might go with The First Purge opening Wednesday and Ant-Man 2 on Friday. (-363) Adrift 508 - Fri - Tues (-135) Gotti 331 (-1,063) Superfly 1,157 (-100) Adrift 408 - Wed - Thurs (----) Gotti 331 (-200) Superfly 957 (-200) Adrift 208 - Fri - Thurs (-131) Gotti 200 (-457) Superfly 500 (-90) Rampage 201 - Fri - Tues (-167) Book Club 505 (-578) Hereditary 1,424 (----) Rampage 201 - Wed - Thurs (-50) Book Club 455 (-300) Hereditary 1,124 (-90) Rampage 111 - Fri - Thurs (-200) Book Club 255 (-400) Hereditary 724 (-566) Infinity War 890 - Fri - Tues (-184) Solo 1,654 (-326) Deadpool 2,094 (-90) Infinity War 800 - Wed - Thurs (-100) Solo 1,554 (-100) Deadpool 1,994 (-300) Infinity War 500 - Fri - Thurs (-700) Solo 954 (-600) Deadpool 1,394 (-206) Tag 3,176 - Fri - Tues (-230) Ocean's 8 3,426 (-----) Incredibles 4,410 (-150) Tag 3026 - Wed - Thurs (-100) Ocean's 8 3,326 (-----) Incredibles 4,410 (-800) Tag 2,226 - Fri - Thurs (-500) Ocean's 8 2,826 (-----) Incredibles 4,010 (+306) Neighbor 654 - Fri - Tues (+10) Jurassic World 4,485 (-----) Neighbor 654 - Wed - Thurs (-----) Jurassic World 4,485 (-----) Neighbor 654 - Fri - Thurs (-200) Jurassic World 4,285 this makes (-1,190) on Wednesday and Purge opening with 3,200. this also makes (-4,978) more on Friday and Ant-Man opening with 4,300. the data looks basic as far as what can one expect with 1 opening Wednesday and another one Friday. going with dailies for the next 7-10 days and basic theater count losses is likely to get you more accurate totals when mixing with the results.

not looking good for another 10m weekend for Oceans 8

Jurassic World's Fri - Wed reported per location avg. translated to purchases/location @ $9.16 avg. purchase. Sat Sun Mon Tues Weds Friday - 1,056 + 1,213 + 970 + 359 + 449 + 299 a number of -10% off Wednesday gives Jurassic World 11.04 Thursday, 204.46 total. I have it increasing to 400 purchases/venue on Friday, and +37.5% on Saturday to 550 purchases/venue (-55% last Sat.), and -20% to 440 purchases/venue on Sunday. How does this look? At average ticket price $9.16 at 4,485 location with 400 purchases/location on Friday would make a Friday of $16,433,040. Jurassic World had Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday of 14.7, 18,4, and 12.3 with a projected -10% Thursday 11.04. This makes a 57.1m weekend. Rounding numbers, a projected 204.5 7-day gross after Thursday is reported and added 57.5 presents 262 million 10-day total. Nonetheless, next Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday are within fair range of predicting besides how it will do the next three days. In the second statement above, Mon, Tues, Weds looked like 359 ~360, 449 ~450, and 299 ~ 300. Forth of July is next Wednesday and Monday + Tuesday should see lighter drops. 180 on Monday would be minus 50% off last Monday's 14.73 which is about 7.27m next Monday. Giving it an identical 25% jump gives 9.08m next Tuesday, -50% last Tuesday. Then Fourth of July Wednesday could see an increase to the same 299 it just had two days ago and 12.07m for the day maybe even tying The First Purge for first place on Wednesday. For convenience, -10% off this # next Wednesday would be the same as what I am forecasting for Thursday now but on next Thursday making that 17 days above 10 million. However, I went with -20% off of 299 purchases/venue on this at 9.69 next Thursday. Adding that all up makes 38.11 million. Rounding down to 38 million and adding it to the 262m 10-day total projected after this weekend makes 300m 14-day total. With Ant-Man 2 opening, I assume Thursday would be the same as Friday in this scenario. -200 theaters, 4285. 240 purchases/location next Friday would be -40% from 400. 300 purchases/location next Saturday would then be the same as what it made 2 days ago on Wednesday, what I am predicting it does the Wednesday after, and then once again on Saturday against Ant-Man. then going -33% to 200/venue next Sunday makes 28.54 million from 4,285 theaters, $9.00 avg ticket price. 28.5m is roughly -50% of 57.5m and makes the total at 328.5m after the third weekend. Then if it does half of that weekend during the weekdays for around 14.5m / 343m total and going for a similar amount again against Hotel Transylvania 3 and Skyscraper. Weekdays should continue to be at least 0.5 of the weekend and could trend upwards. By this point after a 14.5m 4th weekend, 357.5 total it just becomes a numbers game. Maybe they keep it out a bit longer and secure another 10m in the 5th weekend making a push towards 400m more attainable.

I took the daily per screen averages for Incredibles 2 and divided by $9.00 instead of the $9.16 avg. ticket price since it isn't OW and there aren't as many higher priced screens. So these numbers of tickets purchased/venue are a little different than if one is to use avg. ticket price M T W 262 + 346 + 258 It would be easy to look at that, take a red pen and draw a line through it and write 260/day, then do a 50% increase to 390/day on Friday which is a +36% decrease from last Friday. Inflated summer weekdays would suggest going 1.4x for prediction accuracy, and being conservative would go 1.25 or 1.3333. I have it going to 360 (+100 on the Mon/Wed avg.) and a 38.5% increase from 260. 495 on Saturday is a 37.5% increase and 495 is 90% of 550 which is where I have Jurassic World at. 390 on Sunday is then +50% what is there now, -21% off from Saturday which puts this suggestion in (prob-able) reason, This comes out to 1,245 purchases/venue * $9.00 avg. ticket price = ($11,205)(4,410) = $49,414,050. if you are looking for trouble, instead of going 360 + 495 + 390, just go 360 + 495 + 360 and you get $48,223,350. Then figure it to be 360 + 500 + 360 and 48.25m and get the % drop from last weeks. 200 is what I'm predicting off the top of my head for next Monday, but 240 (-33%) is possible. Tuesday could be anywhere from 240 to 346. I'd just go 240 Mon + 240 Tues with a slightly larger 4th of July jump Weds deflated by possible theater losses w/ Purge 2 opening Wednesday, and/or a usually large Thursday drop.

Jurassic World -61% 57.50 - 262.00 Incredibles 2 -39% 49.00 - 443.00 Sicario 2 -new 15.40 - 17.64 Uncle Drew -new 12.56 - 13.80 Ocean's 8 -31% 8.00 - 114.60 Tag -39% 5.00 - 40.25 Deadpool 2 -36% 3.40 - 310.30 Solo: Star Wars -42% 2.60 - 207.52 Hereditary -45% 2.00 - 39.16 Won't You Be My Neighbor +10% 2.00 - 7.19 Superfly -59% 1.39 - 18.41 Infinity War -47% 1.36 - 672.45 Book Club -30% 0.67 - 66.13 Adrift -47% 0.42 - 30.03 Gotti -52% 0.39 - 4.05 Overboard -45% 0.30 - 50.25 Rampage -74% 0.24 - 98.02 A Quiet Place -6% 0.15 - 187.13 Breaking In -65% 0.13 - 46.05 the next weekdays for these films (Mon-Thurs) will likely not be 0.67%ish of this weekend because Purge will cut the theater counts Tuesday night and then Ant-Man on Thursday night. the weekdays after next should have a better gauge on where the final totals will be. Upgrade -10% 85k - 11.62 Ready Player One -18% 78k - 136.96 Show Dogs +11% 77k - 17.43 Life of the Party -45% 67k - 52.37 Black Panther -41% 45k - 699.83 Hotel Artemis -72% 20k - 6.64

I have seen stuff here about the MCU being in the lead too and I don't know of what? 1. Star Wars 2. The Dark Knight 3. MCU 4. Harry Potter 5. Pixar 6. James Bond 7. Fast and Furious 8. DCU 9. EO17CU?????????? 10. Horror Franchise

private school setting, mixed bag, students learn to talk back (even when feeling bad about it) and rewrite the rules on how they should be educated. talking back excites the base of students, everyone gets a voice... well, they should. levels out the playing field. AA/NA meetings I think are the best you can get for leveling out a playing field and giving everyone a voice in a public surrounding. You literally get time on a clock to show your wings and flap them (trolling?). *change isn't delusional or housewrecking *doesn't have to be