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Everything posted by VGPOP
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Ummm, Green ain't getting suspended this time and Durant is in the roster. You're suggesting that a team that has been annihilating all opponents at the moment, have not lost in the playoffs (13-0), have won 28 games of their last 29 games overall, all of the sudden will lose 4 out of their next 5 upcoming games so "Cleveland wins in 6"? Did I read this correctly? By the way, great number for Wonder Woman.
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I am very sure this has been brought up many times into discussion. But a movie breaking a "global" opening weekend has to reflect which country opened at the same time to the other movie in comparison. So, the movie broke SW: The Force Awaken global opening weekend record but SW: The Force Awakens didn't have China and I don't which other country(ies) in its opening weekend. There has to be an asterisk in this record. Just my opinion.
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IMO, I'm predicting a -46.9% drop for the weekend ($17,491,001 weekend) and memorial day at $5,995,032 for a four-day drop of -28.7%. Four day weekend at $23,486,033
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Your 4th, 7th, 8th, and 9th weekend drops are extremely unrealistic based on what we're seeing this movie perform compared to Ultron, IMO
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I don't know how are you calculating that Civil War will even make $430 million. This movie ain't making that much in 10, 15, or 20 weeks. The movie is already $25.2 million behind (and counting) from Ultron. If the movie match Ultron from now on (and that's impossible since it's losing every single daily), movie will end at $433.7 million. You expect movie to only lose $3.7 million the rest of the way?
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CW will never match or outgross Ultron in its daily. It is performing exactly as predicted, grossing less each day in comparison. People shouldn't be surprised. This was a given after its 5th day. I already placed this movie at $415-$430 million. Looks like the low estimate will win. And we certainly can't rule the possibility of way less than that.
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You know, I am looking at some of the biggest movies of all time and Star Wars:The Force run is just out of this world. The movie not only grossed $248 million opening weekend. But this movie dropped less than 40% in its second weekend after that astronomical opening. That's just unheard of. A ridiculous -21.8% if you remove the freaking Thursday's previews. But the record that stood for me and I am still in shock is the 17 straight days over $20+ million dollars. My God in heaven. That's $340+ million guarantee money right there. Christmas Eve fuc**ed the streak of 11 straight days over $30+ million. I know it's way out of topic, but it's something to really admire as a box office fanatic. Carry on...lol
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Would you have taken it if it was the other way around?
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It is a bad number. Let's see what the weekend brings. I was expecting at worst -30%. -35%?
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Damn, that is a huge drop.
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I want to congratulate to CW for a humongous weekend. Indeed a spectacular number. A few things we all were able to get from this movie. No matter how big, no matter the time, no matter how many good reviews, no matter the lack of competition, for a movie to gross $200+ million at this age is EXTREMELY, EXTREMELY difficult. We have been lucky to witness three movies to hit this mark in the last four years (two of them last year). But we better be careful of calling a movie a guarantee 200+ million nowadays. Congrats to all who called this number. It came even less than my $194.5 million original prediction. To be able to stick with this number (around $180 million) for all this time is what separates the sane prognosticators from the crazy ones.