IndustriousAngel

first weekend estimates from insidekino.de for Germany: #1: Creed 3 - 225k admissions (-45%, steeper than I expected) #2: Sonne und Beton - 175k (-3%, wow - sleeper hit incoming?) #3: Scream 6 - 155k (very good for this franchise) #4: Avatar 23 - 67,5k (-32%) #5: Ant-Man 3 - 60k (-43%)

Germany's Top 20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Creed 3 411.581 446 923 411.581 4.147.829 - 1 2 Sonne und Beton 181.458 412 440 196.742 1.911.066 - 1 3 Ant-Man 3 105.969 595 178 747.826 8.615.108 -41 3 4 Avatar 2 98.914 455 217 9.822.495 133.625.422 -30 12 5 Die drei ??? - Erbe des Drachen 75.796 733 103 1.235.365 9.523.234 -39 6 6 Tár 60.049 146 411 68.430 711.022 - 1 7 Moomios 55.237 552 100 238.436 1.796.469 -32 3 8 Wann wird es endlich wieder so, wie es nie war 53.038 219 242 142.302 1.314.308 -10 2 9 Magic Mike 3 48.543 494 98 496.364 4.769.555 -32 4 10 Puss in Boots 2 40.041 505 79 2.002.899 16.724.245 -33 11 11 A Man Called Otto 28.930 488 59 342.910 3.290.962 -35 5 12 Missing 27.758 231 120 79.583 762.847 -35 2 13 The Amazing Maurice 22.618 546 41 182.237 1.387.056 -40 4 14 Plane 18.280 278 66 243.432 2.326.424 -35 5 15 Lucy ist jetzt Gangster 17.275 343 50 18.496 133.755 - 1 16 What's Love Got to Do with It? 16.939 322 53 77.332 696.337 -46 2 17 Perfect Addiction 15.639 380 41 130.691 1.244.903 -48 3 18 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 14.706 279 53 2.759.855 20.177.719 -30 23 19 Der Räuber Hotzenplotz 10.862 282 39 953.177 6.791.092 -30 13 20 The Banshees of Inisherin 8.679 214 41 393.145 3.628.082 9 Cool weekend thanks to three strong openers - the success of Creed 3 is the surprise of the year (so far), more than doubling the predecessor's OW … as mentioned, with the way it gained momentum over the weekend, I can see this getting to 1,5mil total. Also good openings with healthy PTA for Sonne und Beton and arthousy Tár. Puss in Boots 2 has now crossed 2mil total, fine number after the lukewarm opening. Pretty different results in Austria, Creed 3 was even stronger (>50k for the 4-day WE), but on #2 domestic comedy Griechenland with a good hold, should be >100k total by now (already 2 domestic releases over this mark in 2023, fine!) while Sonne und Beton didn't generate much business, it'a more of a northern-Germany theme so no surprise. Moomios and Maurice otoh were twice as strong as in Germany! Next weekend: Scream 6 and The Fabelmans should become the biggest openers but #1 seems unreachable for both and even #2 difficult if Sonne und Beton doesn't crumble. But it seems Avatar2 pulled movie-going back into the general perception, and with those releases widening the audience gamut even more, we might see a very strong overall weekend, even without any new blockbuster!

Creed3 is getting higher and higher ... according to insidekino.de, 410k until Sunday! With the way this kept growing over the weekend, 1mil should be locked and 1,5mil or even higher possible, WOM seems excellent! Nice surprise there.

Sunday update from insidekino.de, it's getting better and better: #1: Creed 3 - 390k #2: Sonne und Beton - 170k #3: Ant-Man 3 - 105k #4: Avatar 2 - 95k #5: ??? - 70k

Saturday update from insidekino.de - Creed3 MUCH higher now, 350k - wow, wow (and it's doing at least as well in Austria)

Thursday was pretty bad for Avatar compared to a week ago so I guess that's the main base for the projection

ok weekend incoming, first estimates from insidekino.de: #1: Creed 3 - 275k admissions #2: Sonne und Beton - 225k #3: Ant-Man 3 - 100k (another steep drop, ugh) #4: Avatar 2 - 80k #5: ??? - 60k only 3 (if at all) releases >100k but at least the openers did better than expected! (Tar also opening in the 60k range)

definitely!

Germany's Top18 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Ant-Man 3 178.107 590 302 608.722 7.081.498 -37 2 2 Avatar 2 140.453 491 286 9.697.124 131.878.782 -7 11 3 Die drei ??? - Erbe des Drachen 125.067 746 168 1.150.529 8.867.358 +8 5 4 Moomios 81.203 508 160 177.278 1.335.168 +23 2 5 Magic Mike 3 70.866 574 123 425.725 4.087.418 -11 3 6 Puss in Boots 2 60.125 553 109 1.958.479 1.958.479 +4 10 7 Wann wird es endlich wieder so, wie es nie war 58.955 163 208 62.036 583.164 - 1 8 A Man Called Otto 44.403 507 88 300.959 2.893.320 -17 4 9 Missing 42.907 225 191 42.907 416.789 - 1 10 The Amazing Maurice 37.512 509 74 156.564 1.197.545 +10 3 11 What's Love Got to Do with It? 31.158 330 94 50.743 442.907 - 1 12 Perfect Addiction 30.104 391 77 107.497 1.026.378 -32 2 13 Plane 28.150 328 86 220.676 2.114.770 -18 4 14 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 20.931 308 68 2.743.680 20.062.167 +22 22 15 Der Räuber Hotzenplotz 15.600 316 49 941.255 6.715.234 +9 12 16 The Banshees of Inisherin 13.258 177 75 379.250 3.506.447 -9 8 17 Umami 10.809 147 74 72.715 626.182 -35 3 18 Heojil Kyolshim 10.214 108 95 87.891 833.935 -27 4 An ok weekend with disappointing openers (with the exception of the domestic dramedy on #7) and strong family releases. Not in the Chart: Disney Channel's Mitmachkino which would have made #3 this weekend … In Austria, the weekend was much better, mostly thanks to a strong domestic comedy on #1 - Griechenland - with (by now) >50k admissions; Ant-Man 3 was >20k too, so #2 here was stronger than Germany's #1. Next weekend: No relly big openers again; the strongest domestic crime adaption Sonne und Beton and Creed 3. Also opening: Tar, might attract some business thanks to the awards nominations - keeping the fingers crossed for best editing (Monika Willi, she's been my classmate for 7 years back in "high school")

actuals tomorrow but seems like a 37% drop for Ant-Man 3 while ??? even had an increase ... while it should become the bestselling Ant-Man movie without problems, that's still a bit disappointing.

family movies strong this weekend but overall business not good ...

early weekend estimates fron insidekino.de - with weather turning cool and no big opener, perfect for holdovers: #1: Ant-Man 3 - 200k (-30%, ouch) #2: Avatar2 - 140k (-8%) #3: ??? - 125k (+8%, looks like 1,5mil total are possible) #4/5: Moomios - 75k (+13%), MagicMike3 75k (-5%) Ant-Man's drop has me concerned ... dropping 30% when other releases are having such excellent holds cannot be a good sign.

that's pretty good - 1mil total is about what all those bestseller adaptions for this age group are aiming for and ??? has still got a few 100k in its tank (1.3-1.4mil in the end), so definitely a success and a sequel (though not greenlit yet afaik but the director is looking forwards to it, according to an interview)!

Germany's Top18 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Ant-Man 3 283.557 576 492 345.362 4.105.049 - 1 2 Avatar 2 151.492 577 263 9.504.149 129.229.385 -27 10 3 Die drei ??? 115.790 724 160 967.392 7.493.154 -23 4 4 Magic Mike 3 79.276 555 143 322.747 3.099.825 -28 2 5 Moomios 66.244 461 144 66.244 513.789 - 1 6 Puss in Boots 2 57.792 598 97 1.872.927 15.680.560 -25 9 7 A Man Called Otto 53.200 449 118 237.482 2.282.983 -7 3 8 Perfect Addiction 44.062 332 112 60.444 584.666 - 1 9 Titanic 3D 39.194 164 239 152.329 1.956.116 -25 2 10 Plane 34.186 396 86 184.881 1.769.892 -30 3 11 The Amazing Maurice 33.958 485 70 104.834 816.743 -38 2 12 Knock at the Cabin 18.548 315 59 80.294 730.219 -46 2 13 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 17.226 304 57 2.714.633 19.853.430 -16 21 14 Umami 16.553 146 113 55.380 470.877 -25 2 15 The Banshees of Inisherin 14.647 182 80 358.461 3.322.168 -21 7 16 Der Räuber Hotzenplotz 14.260 396 36 918.603 6.565.893 -22 11 17 Heojil Kyolshim 14.077 110 128 71.745 680.610 -13 3 18 Caveman 11.103 454 24 205.554 1.897.075 -55 4 Boring weekend … Ant-Man 3 opened higher than Ant-Man 2 but won't become a big hit, either. Avatar 2 is now the highest-grossing film in Germany ever, fine. And Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 continues to collect tickets, week after week … that drop is probably the most surprising number this weekend! In Austria, Ant-Man opened higher (has already crossed 50k total on Monday). Next weekend: What's Love Got to Do with It? should become the biggest opener, maybe enough for #3?

so, Ant-Man 3 clearly below 300k for the 4-day weekend ... still the strongest OW for an Ant-Man movie so far, but the latest Marvel releases all seemed a bit frontloaded; I guess there's a certain fanbase by now by they never really caught on with the general public.

maybe spillover from Valentine's (where it was the most popular choice)?

I don't know about Disney but in Austria, distributors and theaters made such late-run-cheap-ticket weeks for last year's Maverick and Guglhupfgeschwader to push them above 600k resp. 300k. So, I can really see Disney pushing this to get some headlines - of course, in the long rune, with re-release before A3, it will surpass this number with ease anyway.

Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Avatar 2 207.770 567 366 9.289.004 126.240.678 -34 9 2 Die drei ??? - Erbe des Drachen 151.128 710 213 813.319 6.306.018 -34 3 3 Magic Mike 3 110.118 538 205 186.641 1.791.482 - 1 4 Puss in Boots 2 77.059 656 117 1.792.001 15.022.690 -38 8 5 A Man Called Otto 57.291 377 152 161.773 1.553.287 -15 2 6 The Amazing Maurice 54.519 459 119 55.340 438.435 - 1 7 Titanic 52.403 167 314 52.403 694.965 - 1 8 Plane 48.663 394 124 136.216 1.310.740 -32 2 9 Knock at the Cabin 34.605 344 101 47.642 422.255 - 1 10 Winterabenteuer mit Pettersson und Findu 28.706 256 112 52.868 237.448 +22 2 11 Caveman 24.761 588 42 185.090 1.711.239 -46 3 12 Umami 22.119 142 156 29.106 241.896 - 1 13 M3GAN 20.501 329 62 423.864 4.128.903 -53 5 14 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 20.408 344 59 2.689.055 19.678.145 -31 20 15 The Banshees of Inisherin 18.623 181 103 335.576 3.116.253 -34 6 16 Der Räuber Hotzenplotz 18.312 499 37 897.857 6.430.039 -52 10 17 Heojil Kyolshim 16.164 89 182 50.441 474.852 -20 2 18 Babylon 15.031 196 77 185.151 2.060.336 -51 4 19 Shotgun Wedding 10.268 253 41 189.690 1.757.169 -63 4 20 Women Talking 8.343 86 97 8.673 79.731 - 1 While there were a lot of releases >10k admissions, nothing really stood out … with so many openers, I was hoping for an uptick in Business but instead we saw drops. Overall, boring numbers … In Austria, Avatar and Magic Mike on #1 and #3 as in Germany but Maurice was #2 here. Next weekend: The 3rd Ant-Man movie is grabbing the big screens and should finish Avatar's run of won weekends - well, 9 times #1 is ok I'd say! But I don't believe Ant-Man will set the BO on fire … presales look pretty low atm and anything above 400k Wed-Sun would surprise me very much. Also opening: Perfect Addiction for the teenie crowd, maybe a good opening week thanks to the Valentine's rush, and Spanish family CGI movie Moomios (the market for kids is pretty full atm I'd say but with holidays in more and more regions, maybe room enough for one more).

at least a good hold for Otto ... but overall business is behind my expectations, none of the openers is breaking out

that's what I meant, actual weekend should be quite a bit higher than 110k - not enough I guess but it's getting closer than expected

seems like Magic Mike is still fighting for the weekend crown ... good numbers, let's wait for updated estimates!

yep but getting harder with this drop, especially with Ant-Man grabbing a lot of screens next week

according to insidekino.de, with the exception of Magic Mike, the openers are staying behind expectations, closer to 50k than 100 ... #1: Avatar2 - 200k (-36%) #2: Die drei ??? - 150k (-35%) #3: MagicMike - 185k including the strong Wednesday ("Ladies night") #4: Puss in Boots - 85k (-32%) #5: Maurice - 55k incl some previews

the 4DX shows are selling out, but the 3D shows on the biggest screen have very very low presales ... going by my cinema, I'd say a 50k max OW for Germany. With it being obviously a great choice vor Valentine's, it might get great weekdays after, but overall, not that big a splash.

Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Avatar 2 313.254 621 504 9.018.170 122.410.444 -20 8 2 Die drei ??? - Erbe des Drachen 228.590 670 341 630.246 4.885.612 -10 2 3 Puss in Boots 2 124.593 715 174 1.693.284 14.209.887 -2 7 4 Plane 72.014 382 189 72.615 713.059 - 1 5 A Man Called Otto 67.458 296 228 85.349 808.251 - 1 6 Caveman 45.502 571 80 147.484 1.360.889 -25 2 - BTS: Yet to Come 43.372 261 166 64.349 1.002.577 - 1 7 M3GAN 43.339 415 104 395.705 3.852.612 -28 4 8 Der Räuber Hotzenplotz 38.413 611 63 868.648 6.244.169 -5 9 9 Babylon 30.503 344 89 162.672 1.810.350 -28 3 10 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 29.787 352 85 2.664.512 19.496.483 +5 19 11 The Banshees of Inisherin 28.163 196 144 306.069 2.850.559 -15 5 12 Shotgun Wedding 28.105 458 61 174.380 1.614.891 -38 3 13 Winterabenteuer mit Pettersson und Findus 23.602 267 88 23.602 111.291 - 1 14 Heojil Kyolshim 20.138 81 249 25.890 239.198 - 1 15 Operation Fortune 18.853 358 53 383.041 3.627.319 -42 5 16 Oskars Kleid 13.314 397 34 539.515 4.855.201 -34 7 17 Was man von hier aus sehen kann 12.313 217 57 217.444 1.935.506 -20 6 18 Pathaan 12.130 92 132 54.142 790.743 -57 2 19 Close 11.260 90 125 37.261 325.023 -20 2 20 Kutsal Damacana 4 7.195 36 200 18.134 178.804 -15 2 Good holds, especially for family releases, but weak openers (with the possible exception of Korean thriller Heojil Kyolshim which had the best PTA among openers). Avatar 2 continues its run to 10mil total. But the story this weekend were family movies: With school holidays now approaching (or already in power), Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 might leg it to 3mil, unbelievable! Die drei ??? is also already a big success, a total somewhere around 1,5mil seems doable and if WOM catches on, maybe more. And Puss in Boots 2 is already a lock for 2mil total but should end with a total well over that number! In Austria, Avatar 2 was in front with similar numbers; Puss #2 with nearly 20k - the "Golden Ticket" for 300k total is locked; Die drei ??? on #3 also with a healthy increase but not on Germany's level. Both "big" openers did better in Austria, we had 5 releases >10k admissions! And #6, domestic hit Der Fuchs, not far behind that number - Austria continues to outperform Germany. Next weekend: Well, finally a really interesting weekend with a lot of potential 6-digit-weekends: - there's the re-release of Titanic - there's the 3rd Magic Mike movie - there's Knock at the Cabin - and an additional family CGI movie, Tha Amazing Maurice Which means screens are at a premium this week, but generally, business should see a nice uptick. I guess Avatar2 will stay on top, and probably Die drei ??? on #2, but behind that, we'll see a lot of change in next week's chart!