IndustriousAngel

final estimates a little higher for all releases, fine (still awful OW for Expendables 4 ...)

early weekend estimates from insidekino.de show, indeed, both openers on #1 and #2: #1: The Nun 2 - 225k admissions #2: Expendables 4 - 65k (it was struggling in presales but this is worse than expected) #3: Equalizer 3 - 62k Given the way it's selling, I wouldn't be surprised if Expendables will come in behind Equalizer in actuals ... overall, Nun2 doing ok and saving the weekendd a bit while holdovers fail to profit from the bad weather it seems.

what a tedious, boring movie ... stretching the lean revenge script (which might have served for an ok 1-hour-actioner) to Fellowship-of-the-Ring length was a terrible idea, and as a whole I was not sure if this was supposed to be some kind of self-spoof or taken seriously (but given the running time, I suspect the latter). CGI was too over-the-top too, but that's just my personal taste; most of those HDR scenes seemed like taken out from some shooter game - maybe I'm too old for that kind of aestethics.

Germany's Top15 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 The Equalizer 3 93.220 615 152 580.212 5.258.446 -50 3 2 A Haunting in Venice 78.215 437 179 78.215 798.005 - 1 3 Barbie 75.420 778 97 5.651.877 52.420.348 -57 9 4 Oppenheimer 55.685 615 91 3.840.734 43.730.275 -59 9 5 Rehragout Rendezvous 33.623 508 66 1.362.543 12.657.357 -47 6 6 Elemental 26.415 520 51 1.889.071 15.022.288 -59 13 7 Retribution 25.665 278 92 52.217 388.096 - 1 8 Meg 2 25.528 359 71 1.041.553 10.655.368 -63 7 9 Enkel für Fortgeschrittene 24.914 585 43 105.701 783.189 -50 2 10 Trauzeugen 18.821 372 51 33.270 255.576 - 1 11 Fallende Blätter 18.317 121 151 24.828 222.357 - 1 12 Ponyherz 14.001 557 25 145.641 1.043.965 -32 4 13 Gran Turismo 13.510 271 50 358.885 3.390.313 -62 6 14 Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir 13.114 402 33 1.209.901 9.343.844 -52 11 15 Jawan 10.906 89 123 42.054 602.049 -51 2 From the nice Kinofest numbers back to business as usual (or rather, even worse than usual) - not a single release with >100k admissions, and not even arthousy releases had a decent PTA. In Austria, numbers were only a little better (but we had a different #1, A Haunting in Venice ahead of Equalizer 3). Next weekend: Two attractive releases - The Expendables 4 and The Nun 2 - should reanimate the BO a bit; presales for Nun 2 look ok while Expendables seems to be struggling. Still, a new #1/#2 combo seems possible. As a bonus, weather is predicted to be much less sunny, so hopefully we'll see some increases or at least excellent holds from holdovers.

Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 The Equalizer 3 188.108 582 323 447.394 3.899.459 -9 2 2 Barbie 176.263 846 208 5.536.836 51.338.842 -2 8 3 Oppenheimer 135.093 699 193 3.753.850 42.759.216 +10 8 4 Meg 2 68.316 438 156 1.006.476 10.283.683 +11 6 5 Elemental 65.157 531 123 1.856.987 14.766.799 +27 12 6 Rehragout Rendezvous 63.397 630 101 1.309.441 12.166.207 -38 5 7 Enkel für Fortgeschrittene 49.753 576 86 65.068 419.679 - 1 8 Gran Turismo 35.307 333 106 339.797 3.194.680 +12 5 9 Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir 27.127 455 60 1.194.481 9.222.779 +12 10 10 Jawan 22.227 - - 22.227 322.024 - 1 11 Ponyherz - Wild und frei 20.665 601 34 127.809 911.480 -29 3 12 Mission: Impossible 7.1 18.359 262 70 1.233.196 13.752.698 +13 9 13 The Super Mario Bros. Movie 16.734 290 58 5.274.254 51.456.896 +309 23 14 TMNT - Mutant Mayhem 16.258 337 48 298.373 2.390.336 -4 6 15 Strays 15.555 367 42 59.419 468.311 -37 2 16 My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 15.386 216 71 15.386 90.307 - 1 17 Talk to Me 14.176 145 98 141.045 1.266.174 +125 7 18 Blue Beetle 12.961 224 58 114.761 1.009.524 -10 4 19 Lassie - Ein neues Abenteuer 11.179 541 21 521.501 3.820.190 -30 7 20 Sophia, der Tod und ich 10.736 146 74 52.908 453.511 -50 2 Thanks to the Kinofest with cheap tickets, excellent holds (and increases for family movies, even Mario Bros. back in the charts) despite summery weather! It's rare to have 20 releases >10k at this point. Openers were disappointing, though … in Austria, without the Kinofest, numbers were much lower. Next weekend: The biggest opener should be Branagh's 3rd Poirot adaption, A Haunting in Venice - maybe 3rd place is possible? No big other openers so holdovers should be fine, however, without Kinofest, expect some steep drops.

the 65k would probably include previews

Yep, you're right! Is it really 5€? that would be nice and will push admissions a bit. Here in Tyrol we have our own "Kinofest"; it's the last September weekend but tickets are still €7,50 - wtf?! I mean, why bother with this little discount and not go the Germany way with 5€ tickets?! Really silly.

Germany's Top16 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 The Equalizer 3 206.793 560 369 206.793 2.206.349 - 1 2 Barbie 179.411 866 207 5.294.120 49.656.078 -35 7 3 Oppenheimer 122.983 733 168 3.578.457 41.456.288 -31 7 4 Rehragout Rendezvous 102.636 676 152 1.205.377 11.356.405 -41 4 5 Meg 2 61.438 438 140 924.464 9.732.326 -30 5 6 Elemental 51.147 549 93 1.783.962 14.350.233 -18 11 7 Gran Turismo 31.535 382 83 295.643 2.898.987 -29 4 8 Ponyherz - Wild und frei 29.162 571 51 99.993 748.566 -29 2 9 Strays 24.501 382 64 37.708 319.613 - 1 10 Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir 24.276 483 50 1.163.024 9.049.789 -20 9 11 Sophia, der Tod und ich 21.518 139 155 31.597 197.563 - 1 12 TMNT - Mutant Mayhem 16.933 379 45 279.019 2.282.285 -26 5 13 Mission: Impossible 7.1 16.261 229 71 1.208.628 13.564.533 -37 8 14 Lassie - Ein neues Abenteuer 16.015 583 27 506.477 3.734.655 -36 6 15 Blue Beetle 14.449 334 43 97.926 905.418 -44 3 16 Past Lives 13.913 111 125 91.234 821.633 -34 3 Ok weekend with four 6-digit-releases - Equalizer 3 with an excellent opening, quite a bit bigger than I expected, whils Strays flopped even harder than expected. Barbie, Oppenheimer and especially Elemental with good holds once more, while Rehragout dropped a bit steeper - still on its way to become the bestselling entry in this series! In Austria, also all Top4 with >10k admissions, but different positions: Barbie led in front of Rehragout, Equalizer3 and Oppenheimer. Next weekend: With summery weather predicted, expect steeper drops; no big openers but domestic comedy Enkel für Fortgeschrittene might make the Top5 (in Germany). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 is also opening, presales are there but nothing special. Releasing two comedies about families on the same weekend might not have been the best idea but the demo has been a bit neglected so maybe both can survive.

Germany's Top18 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Barbie 277.010 897 309 4.979.345 46.716.593 +3 6 2 Oppenheimer 179.027 721 248 3.367.456 39.035.595 -8 6 3 Rehragout- Rendezvous 173.435 679 255 1.005.225 9.511.148 +3 3 4 Meg 2 87.285 463 189 829.290 8.745.599 -3 4 5 Elemental 62.492 555 113 1.707.023 13.765.559 +49 10 6 Gran Turismo 44.290 452 98 242.849 2.374.201 -3 3 7 Ponyherz - Wild und frei 40.976 539 76 49.856 372.283 - 1 8 Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir 30.224 523 58 1.126.101 8.772.635 +16 8 9 Blue Beetle 25.919 352 74 73.107 685.622 -22 2 10 Mission: Impossible 7.1 25.860 283 91 1.180.374 13.248.256 -11 7 11 Lassie - Ein neues Abenteuer 25.184 583 43 474.481 3.507.655 +32 5 12 TMNT - Mutant Mayhem 23.027 412 56 253.628 2.088.671 +13 4 13 Past Lives 20.990 99 212 63.945 572.662 +0 2 14 The Last Voyage of the Demeter 17.021 255 67 56.304 504.252 -20 2 15 Indiana Jones 5 10.858 221 49 1.347.816 14.645.439 -21 9 16 Kandahar 10.833 234 46 36.355 322.389 -16 2 17 Jeanne du Barry 10.115 88 115 10.564 98.310 - 1 18 Joy Ride 9.727 205 47 19.030 153.276 - 1 Worse weather lead to a BO recovery - Barbie on its way to maybe 6mil total, Rehragout crossed 1mil, Meg2 is looking good for 1mil too and Elemental is still strong, 2mil maybe still possible. Openers were poor, girl-horse adaption Ponyherz doing maybe half of what such movies usually make on OW, and Jeanne du Barry with a so-so PTA despite the limited release. In Austria, similar numbers (a bit worse maybe) except for Rehragout which still leads the chart and should already be near 200k total. Next weekend: Two wide openers - Equalizer 3 with a slight chance at #2 I'd say; a 6-digit-OW should be possibly anyway. Strays (locally titled "Doggy Style") - no idea, Germans sometimes like those crude comedies but presales look really poor in this case, everything >50k would be a success I guess.

In Austria, it's a bit ahead, by now at approx. 225k total with a slight chance at 250k but an excellent chance of beating Incredibles2 (236.800 admissions, #10 in 2018 which was overall a really bad year but had 8 "Golden Tickets")

most releases were more or less flat - worse weather and no openers worth mentioning, that's pretty common in German summers. Family releases might even show healthy increases. Overall, a not-bad weekend, I guess we became a bit pampered after the three extremely strong Barbenheimer weekends, but compared to an average Germany summer weekend, it was ok.

as expected, estimates are not very reliable this weekend ... (we had our rain in the night or early morning hours, so no big influence on BO - indeed, Saturday has been more agreeable outdoors than many other days this week because it was a little cooler) - but Sunday at least looks rainy in almost all regions, so we should have a fine afternoon and evening for the BO and maybe actuals will be higher.

much better than early estimates but I think this weekend estimates are very wobbly, depending on weather which differs very much between regions

I hope that's true, here bad weather was predicted for Thursday but got postponed to Saturday

Germany's Top15 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Barbie 269.012 791 340 4.566.078 42.797.071 -35 5 2 Oppenheimer 194.185 731 266 3.101.943 35.938.331 -32 5 3 Rehragout-Rendezvous 167.914 648 259 754.307 7.156.512 -47 2 4 Meg 2 90.321 465 194 708.940 7.486.622 -39 3 5 Gran Turismo 45.522 431 106 179.350 1.745.398 -42 2 6 Elemental 41.849 586 71 1.619.625 13.083.181 -32 9 7 Blue Beetle 33.101 338 98 34.472 329.964 - 1 8 Mission: Impossible 7.1 29.013 310 94 1.144.027 12.843.160 -48 6 9 Miraculous - L&C 26.162 568 46 1.085.074 8.462.069 -33 7 10 The Last Voyage of the Demeter 21.371 290 74 30.975 265.838 - 1 11 Past Lives 20.911 93 225 30.270 265.021 - 1 12 TMNT - Mutant Mayhem 20.415 483 42 221.820 1.838.540 -43 3 13 Lassie - Ein neues Abenteuer 19.008 634 30 439.650 3.256.799 -40 4 14 Indiana Jones 5 13.714 277 50 1.331.072 14.469.030 -58 8 15 Kandahar 12.914 214 60 20.239 169.924 - 1 Baaad weekend, horrible drops and pathetic openers … in Austria, very similar numbers but Rehragout is still leading here, and Barbie has crossed 600k admissions, so the Platinum Ticket is already safe and it might catch Mario Bros. for 2023's #1. Next weekend: Baaad weekend coming, again no big openers and summery weather.

I wouldn't expect any major changes, weather and admissions are pretty much as expected

early weekend estimates from insidekino.de: #1: Barbie - 275k (-44%) #2; Reh-Ren - 175k (-45%) #3: Oppie - 175k (-39%) #4: Meg2 - 80k (-46%) Best opener: Blue Beetle with about 40k ...

weatherforecast is really fine for most regions this weekend, so - without any major openers - a truly horrible weekend is to be expected 😬

Germany's Top14 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Barbie 413.889 791 523 4.055.945 37.988.678 -41 4 2 Rehragout Rendezvous 315.306 619 509 423.726 4.062.733 - 1 3 Oppenheimer 286.172 672 426 2.765.170 32.024.395 -45 4 4 Meg 2 148.693 432 344 553.876 5.870.903 -46 2 5 Gran Turismo 78.872 411 192 98.217 944.970 - 1 6 Elemental 61.564 560 110 1.539.705 12.463.405 -58 8 7 Mission: Impossible 7.1 55.664 400 139 1.089.627 12.235.434 -48 5 8 Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir 38.902 618 63 1.037.072 8.089.895 -59 6 9 TMNT - Mutant Mayhem 35.929 475 76 182.003 1.523.449 -62 2 10 Indiana Jones 5 32.697 377 87 1.301.220 14.160.709 -53 7 11 Lassie - Ein neues Abenteuer 31.474 635 50 398.110 2.955.728 -68 3 12 Talk to Me 12.839 198 65 96.372 889.005 -41 3 13 Insidious - The Red Door 12.563 215 58 433.050 4.286.428 -58 6 14 Haunted Mansion 9.579 345 28 159.877 1.469.345 -71 3 Massive drops highlight just how much German summer BO is depending on weather conditions; still a good weekend with one excellent opening - Rehragout-Rendezvous had a new record OW for the franchise. Gran Turismo was not flopping as hard as I expected, but far from satisfying. Barbie and Oppenheimer continued their strong runs, 5mil total should be doable for Barbie which had a comparatively good hold. Family releases always suffer hardest when it's sunny but Elemental held better than the others, a good sign. Miraculous crossed 1mil total, always the target for such adaptions - fine! In Austria, Rehragout won the weekend (the franchsise has always been very popular in Austria, thanks to cultural proximity to Bavaria); it was already at 80k after Sunday, all other releases were on Germany's level or even lower. Barbie is still heading towards 600k total (the "Diamond Ticket"). Next weekend: Kandahar, The Last Voyage Of The Demeter, Blue Beetle - I see no opener cracking the 6-digit-mark. The most interesting (but limited) opener is Korean drama Past Lives which arrives with stellar reviews; it should have an excellent PTA and maybe an expansion in the weeks after. Weather conditions are unstable - it's unsure when the rains or thunderstorms will be starting; if it's early enough, family releases should see a comeback - but this week's Top3 should stay safe.

Those Rita Falk adaptions really are incredible ... the 9th installment and openings are still growing bigger. And this latest one even had Wednesday previews for the first time, which must have taken some pressure of the actual WE. title OW inc OW total mult. Dampfnudelblues 35.403 519.373 14,67 Winterkartoffelknödel 72.811 106% 569.093 7,82 Schweinskopf al dente 95.888 32% 556.653 5,81 Grießnockerlaffäre 126.939 32% 845.205 6,66 Sauerkrautkoma 163.373 29% 1.004.707 6,15 Leberkäsjunkie 203.207 24% 1.242.502 6,11 Kaiserschmarrndrama 220.010 8% 1.145.135 5,20 Guglhupfgeschwader 251.664 14% 1.371.114 5,45 Rehragout-Rendezvous 315.306 25% 0,00 While it's easy for such a series to grow in the beginning, where it had a very limited start, it's pretty rare too keep that momentum through so many years. However, now that we're near saturation (cinema-wise) I guess further increases will be much harder if there's a 10th at all - atm there is no new movie being planned since we're out of source material afaik but with this one's success, there must be a strong interest to produce more of them!

Final estimates from insidekino.de: #1: Barbie - 425k #2: Rehragout - 400k incl. previews #3: Oppie - 300k #4: Meg2 - 150k all other releases <100k admissions, but family releases all went up from Saturday estimates so I guess weather wasn't as good as predicted! Still an excellent summer weekend.

Saturday updated estimates from insidekino.de - all releases down (fine weather I guess) but still a strong weekend of course.

wow, that opening for Rehragout was unexpected ... going by the trend of this franchise to open a little bigger each time, i was thinking about maybe a 275k opening (especially given the strong competition) - but 325k for Thu-Sun (after already 75k Wed) is a giant step.

2019 was not too good, even worse than 2018 which was already the lowest since 2000, so it's possible we're drawing ahead atm - sadly, Austrian numbers are published extremely late, so probably no definite answer until later this year. The only information I have is that for January-June, we had 6,1mil admissions, while in 2019 and 2018, there were nearly 6,5mil. But that was, of course, before the current line of hits were starting.

true - German BO is always leggy when it comes to family releases (multiplicator of 10+ not unusual but usually with lower OWs), this is really an outstanding success after a lukewarm OW! It will drop a lot with beautiful weather returning this week but will still stay in theaters for many weeks more - 2mil total are very hard to reach from here but I'd say there's a slight chance; probably 1,85-1,9mil in the end. In Austria, 200k are locked, probably 250k in the end.