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Posts posted by Gokai Red
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Has Rth forsaken us tonight?
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So does a 300 WW OW pretty much lock in 1B WW?
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54 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:
my dude it's all being redone. in a decade the folks of live action disney are gonna be standing over WDAS' shoulder like "got any new movies for us yet?" it's gonna be like when the anime catches up to the manga's story so they have to stall for 20 episodes so they can find out where it goes.
I laughed way harder than I should have at this.
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So the DHD numbers were on page 9. Thanks everyone
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52 minutes ago, Gokai Red said:
What page is the DHD number on?
I guess I'll just go f*** myself...
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On 12/29/2015 at 2:06 PM, Gokai Red said:
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, 160/500 155.1/~535 (-3.1%/+7%)
Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice, 200/470 166/330.4 (-17%/-29.7%)
Captain America: Civil War, 185/470 179.1/408.1 (-3.2%/-13.2%)
Finding Dory, 130/450 135.1/486.3 (+3.9%/+8.1%)
Zootopia, 75/275 75.1/341.3 (+0.1%/+24.1%)
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, 110/270 74.4/~233 (-32.4%/-13.7%)
X-Men: Apocalypse, 100/260 65.8/155.4 (-34.2%/-40.2%)
Moana, 70/250 56.6/~244 (-19.1%/-2.4%)
Independence Day: Resurgence, 90/250 41/103.1 (-54.4%/-58.8%)
Doctor Strange, 80/220 85.1/~233 (+6.4%/+5.9%)
Green text signifies I got the prediction correct within 10%. Yellow text signifies I got the between 10 and 20% correct. Red text means I was off by over 20%.
Of the 20 numbers I predicted (OW and DOM total), I got 9/20 mostly correct, 4/20 somewhat correct, and 7/20 completely off. Of my predicted Top 10, I got 5/10 in the Top 10, although only 2/10 in the correct placement. Overall, I think I did alright, because some of the movies in the actual Top 10 (Deadpool, Jungle Book, SLOP) were very large overperformers. Let's not say anything about my IDR prediction. Looking forward to seeing my 2017 predictions and how close (or far off) I got them!
Predictions for 2017 ranked by DOM total
1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi, 220/770/1570
2. Beauty and The Beast, 140/450/1070
3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, 160/400/1000
4. The Fate of the Furious, 130/305/1155
5. Spider-Man: Homecoming, 115/305/875
6. Justice League, 140/300/850
7. Despicable Me 3, 100/290/1040
8. Thor: Ragnarok, 100/260/810
9. Wonder Woman, 90/240/740
10. War for the Planet of the Apes, 80/215/715
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On 12/26/2016 at 8:48 PM, Gokai Red said:
DOM
1. Star Wars Episode VIII, 750m
2. Beauty and the Beast, 420m
3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, 375m
4. Spider-Man: Homecoming, 335m
5. Despicable Me 3, 315m
6. The Fate of the Furious, 300m
7. The LEGO Batman Movie, 300m
8. Justice League, 300m
9. Dr. Suess' How the Grinch Stole Christmas, 280m
10. Thor: Ragnarok, 275m
WW
1. Star Wars Episode VIII, 1750m
2. The Fate of the Furious, 1100m
3. Beauty and the Beast, 1070m
4. Despicable Me 3, 1065m
5. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, 1000m
6. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, 1000m (250 DOM)
7. Transformers: The Last Knight, 920m (220 DOM)
8. Spider-Man: Homecoming, 885m
9. Justice League, 850m
10. Thor: Ragnarok, 825m
1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi, 220/770/1570
2. Beauty and The Beast, 140/450/1070
3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, 160/400/1000
4. The Fate of the Furious, 130/305/1155
5. Spider-Man: Homecoming, 115/305/875
6. Justice League, 140/300/850
7. Despicable Me 3, 100/290/1040
8. Thor: Ragnarok, 100/260/810
9. Wonder Woman, 90/240/740
10. War for the Planet of the Apes, 80/215/715
(Ranked by DOM total)
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So are we not getting a new full trailer? Just the extended super bowl spot, correct?
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Star Wars VIII, 215/750
Han Solo (if it stays in May), 190/475
Han Solo (if it moves to Dec), 140/475
Star Wars IX, 235/815
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Apparently, my local theater (and work place) won't be showing this movie anymore next Friday. They made the announcement earlier today (Thursday).
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On May 29, 2016 at 8:50 PM, Gokai Red said:
1. Star Wars: Episode VIII, 700m
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, 380m
3. Beauty and the Beast, 375m
4. Spider-Man: Homecoming, 350m
5. Despicable Me 3, 315m
6. Fast 8, 300m
7. Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch Stole Christmas, 280m
8. Justice League: Part 1, 275m
9. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, 260m
10. Thor: Ragnarok, 260m
11. The Lego Batman Movie, 250m
12. Transformers: The Last Knight, 250m
DOM
1. Star Wars Episode VIII, 750m
2. Beauty and the Beast, 420m
3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, 375m
4. Spider-Man: Homecoming, 335m
5. Despicable Me 3, 315m
6. The Fate of the Furious, 300m
7. The LEGO Batman Movie, 300m
8. Justice League, 300m
9. Dr. Suess' How the Grinch Stole Christmas, 280m
10. Thor: Ragnarok, 275m
WW
1. Star Wars Episode VIII, 1750m
2. The Fate of the Furious, 1100m
3. Beauty and the Beast, 1070m
4. Despicable Me 3, 1065m
5. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, 1000m
6. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, 1000m (250 DOM)
7. Transformers: The Last Knight, 920m (220 DOM)
8. Spider-Man: Homecoming, 885m
9. Justice League, 850m
10. Thor: Ragnarok, 825m
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When is the trailer supposed to come out?
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Despite The Mermaid earlier this year, it really seems like China BO has slowed down. Obviously it can't keep going up forever, but it seems like gone are the days when record after record would be broken. When is the next Chinese super blockbuster coming out?
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Add Harry Potter to the thread title.
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Previews, 18m
OD (with Previews), 64
OW, 138
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Disney will win next year and every year for the rest of all time.
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For you other theater employees out there, how do you guys calculate how much a movie made relative to the rest of the country? Do you simply just take the movie's gross at your theater and multiply by the number of theaters its playing in?
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What are Dory's chances of passing Iron Man 3's 1.215B? If neither Dory nor Rogue One can pass that mark, 2016 will be the first year since 2000 that a film didn't make it to the worldwide Top 10. I personally think at least Rogue One will do it, but I'm interested to see what everyone thinks about it.
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So over/under Minions seems to be the target?
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It seems like Japan has a holiday for something everyday.
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1. Star Wars: Episode VIII, 700m
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, 380m
3. Beauty and the Beast, 375m
4. Spider-Man: Homecoming, 350m
5. Despicable Me 3, 315m
6. Fast 8, 300m
7. Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch Stole Christmas, 280m
8. Justice League: Part 1, 275m
9. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, 260m
10. Thor: Ragnarok, 260m
11. The Lego Batman Movie, 250m
12. Transformers: The Last Knight, 250m
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3 hours ago, Chewy said:
Are you guys kidding with this stuff or ?
Not at all. It wouldn't be like a BB to TDK increase or anything, but with the return of a major character from the original trilogy, the movie's event status might be increased a little bit, and I believe a small increase DOM would be possible. I'm not predicting anything myself until we at least see some footage, but I wouldn't rule out the possibility.
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Hopefully with Lennox's character back, maybe an increase from AOE is possible.
WEEKEND THREAD | Official Weekend Estimates: Beauty and the Beast - 88.3M; Power Rangers - 40.5M; Life - 12.6M; Other Numbers First Post. Gokira has been threadbanned.
in Numbers and Data
Posted
That's pretty much what Kong made for previews... 60m OW incoming!?