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TLK

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Everything posted by TLK

  1. Yeah, 45-50% drop is more likely than not so it will finish at around 75 million, give or take a million.
  2. Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke 31m UPDATE Saturday Box Office: 'Catching Fire' $27.5M. Projected 3-day domestic cume $74.5M, 5-day $111.6M, 10-day total $296.1M. Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke 29m UPDATE Saturday Box Office: 'Frozen' $24.6M. Projected 3-day domestic cume $65.5M, 5-day $93.7M.
  3. Paul Walker ‏@RealPaulWalker 1m It's with a heavy heart that we must confirm Paul Walker passed away today in a tragic car accident...MORE: http://on.fb.me/1bzn8gD - #TeamPW
  4. Deadline Hollywood ‏@Deadline 6m ‘Fast & Furious’ Star Paul Walker Killed In Car Crash, Deadline Confirms http://dlvr.it/4QVlFm New Regency ‏@NewRegency 21m It is with great sadness to report that @RealPaulWalker has passed away. We will miss you. #RIP
  5. Devin Faraci ‏@devincf 2m Walker died leaving a charity event. Makes it feel more tragic.
  6. Not a hoax. Confirmed by multiple reliable sources.
  7. Larry Richman ‏@larry411 23s Lots of independent sources now have spoken with his rep, confirming it.
  8. Larry Richman ‏@larry411 56s Reports now that his rep has confirmed it. Looking for official statement.
  9. Sasha Stone ‏@AwardsDaily 40s Yes. RT @davidlfear: Has this Paul Walker story been 100% confirmed? #reallyhorrificthis
  10. It is true. Devin Faraci ‏@devincf 4m Re: Paul Walker. Knows his rep. “@BumbleWard: @briankoppelman Not a hoax. What a tragedy. So very sad.” Larry Richman ‏@larry411 1m Getting reports from industry people (producers, publicists) that it's true, not a hoax.
  11. To be fair, they can now move MJ1 and MJ2 whichever date they want.
  12. Probably 430-450 million overseas is where this will finish at.
  13. Nest weekend is a dead weekend so it is natural for every movie to drop hard.
  14. I noticed earlier this week that female contribution for CF was $15 million less than that for THG and I made a post on one of the threads that this is something to be paid attention to in the week to come. I think pre-thanksgiving weekend caused it to perform differently from THG and it could've broken the 2D OW record with around $180 million if it had opened in March. This is why tracking was a bit off.
  15. True. I was sure that this will follow Spider Man 2 and drop around 8-10% from the first movie.
  16. Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke 2m Very likely a record $300M total movie-going weekend for the five-day Thanksgiving Holiday. Would beat last year's $291M.
  17. Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke 3m UPDATE: Both #1 'Catching Fire' and #2 'Frozen' to easily beat record for 5-day Thanksgiving holiday ($82.4M) set by 2001 'Harry Potter/SS'.
  18. [*] Deadline Hollywood ‏@Deadline 24m Thanksgiving Box Office: ‘Catching Fire’s $31 Million And ‘Frozen’s $25.8 Million Friday Puts Pix On Record Pace http://dlvr.it/4QGmCN [*] Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke 25m Fourth weekend in a row that Harvey Weinstein has been spoonfeeding Top 10 box office inaccurate numbers to Deadline. :lol:
  19. Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke 10m FRIDAY Box Office: #1 Lionsgate's 'Catching Fire' targeting huge $33M and $80M 3-day FSS and $117M five-day weekend for $304M domestic cume. Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke 6m FRIDAY Box Office: #2 Disney's 'Frozen' scoring big $30M and targeting $75M FSS and $101M five-day weekend. $400 million is a lock for CF with these numbers and Frozen is doing $300 million.
  20. Both movies are following identical schedule but CF is doing much more. 35% is probably the low end. It can do as much as 50% better than potter which will take it over $410 million.
  21. I am assuming it will do at least 35% better than Potter. It is facing more competition though with Hobbit and then another 10 movies opening or expanding between 13th and 25th.
  22. So around $74-75 million weekend + 35-36 million wed/thu numbers. Catching Fire will be at around $295-296 million exactly where it needs to be to reach 400 million after the first 10 days. +35% over DH1 after first 10 days. DH1 made $76 million rest of the way. 76 * 1.35 = 102.6 This comes out to be around $399 million so it will be right on track for 400 million.
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