BadAtGender

I can do a write-up of... Selma, I guess.

If there was a category where I didn't think I'd seen enough films to nominate a full ballot, I didn't vote. I think I saw two films that would have qualified for foreign language (Raid 2 and Wind Rises.) It's the same reason I didn't nom for Comedy or Horror.

My ballot, which is a mix of things that are probably fine and stuff where I'm now going "what was I thinking?" (Actually, what I was thinking was "how the hell am I going to finish this ballot in time? Quick! Think of something to put down in that fifth slot!") BEST EDITING (5) BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY (5) BEST COSTUME DESIGN (5) BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN (5) BEST SCORE (5) BEST ORIGINAL SONG (3) BEST BREAKTHOUGH PERFORMANCE (5) (Could be Actor, Director, Writer, Designer, etc) BEST ANIMATED FILM (5) BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY (5) BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (5) BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (5) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS (5) BEST ACTOR (5) BEST ACTRESS (5) BEST DIRECTOR (5) BEST PICTURE (10)

Jesus, that list is terrible. Half of those have no business even sniffing of BP noms. And it's not like I'm saying my list was any good.

I'm just sad Cap2 got nommed at all.

I haven't seen it yet! Tomorrow.

Not nomming Hardy is a fucking travesty.

I did put Blunt as Actress. I put Carmen Ejogo as Supporting Actress because fuck you she was amazing.

That's actually a pretty low Sunday drop. Last year Ride Along, Lone Survivor, Jack Ryan, American Hustle, and Wolf of Wall Street all had drops that were more than 73%. Their Monday drops were in the 30-50% range. AS is probably going to see a Monday no bigger than 3.1m.

It was my one nomination for LEGO.

The screenplay noms were confusing as fuck. What makes something adapted or not? Like, I did nom GBH, but I did it as adapted. Better to do just a best screenplay, to be honest. You could even make it a 10 slot, same as BP.

It's going to turn into one of the weirdest runs of all time. The limited release was spectacular, perhaps the best ever. The first ten wide days were amazing. And then it's like, okay, the audience has been sated... Maybe it just hit a wall on how far WoM could take it.

God, so many of my nominations would be different, now. I've seen several films since these were due.

You fuckers not nominating For the Dancing and the Dreaming. Dammit.

It probably can't lose screens. Generally speaking, films are guaranteed to be shown for two weeks. The big theater drops usually happen in the third weekend. Blackhat's going into the third weekend, so theaters can abandon ship. Expect the same thing to happen to Mortdecai next weekend.

Unfortunately, there were two films I didn't get to in time: Mockingjay and Inherent Vice. The latter I'm going to see tomorrow, which is too late. I suppose I could go see MJ today and update the list if it makes an appearance.

If Lone Survivor is at all comparable, it earned 7.7 times the preceding Thursday on Superbowl weekend. In that case, AS will get about 28-29m this weekend. Alternatively, LS got about 1.878 times the preceding M-Th over the weekend. That would point AS to a 31-32m weekend. As for the weekly drop, it's down 38.5 from the opening week. If it kept up that pace it WOULD beat Mockingjay, and would probably finish up around $350m. Unfortunately, it needs to earn about 48m over the next week in order to stay on the "beat MJ pace", which it isn't going to do if the weekend is in the low 30s. While we can expect a recovery next weekend, it will have to be a very good recovery in order to stay on the pace. It may be MJ, but it's probably going to be closer than expected.

The music in Tangled wasn't received especially well anywhere. Even among fans, it's regarded as one of Menken's weaker efforts.

1 1 American Sniper WB $3,823,135 -24% -49% 3,705 $1,032 $213,423,957 35 2 2 The Boy Next Door Uni. $844,410 -31% - 2,602 $325 $17,798,960 6 3 3 The Wedding Ringer SGem $715,062 -27% -38% 3,003 $238 $41,757,986 13 4 4 The Imitation Game Wein. $552,699 -26% +3% 2,025 $273 $62,239,555 62 5 5 Paddington W/Dim. $454,649 -32% -20% 3,355 $136 $41,587,951 13 6 6 Taken 3 Fox $431,728 -28% -40% 2,909 $148 $77,309,952 20 7 7 Selma Par. $421,512 -17% -30% 2,046 $206 $40,427,673 35 8 8 Mortdecai LGF $281,061 -31% - 2,648 $106 $5,159,648 6 9 10 Into the Woods BV $220,642 -27% -33% 2,270 $97 $122,237,984 35 10 9 Strange Magic BV $214,228 -30% - 3,020 $71 $6,244,498 6 11 11 The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies WB $206,005 -19% -37% 1,444 $143 $250,206,946 43 12 12 Birdman FoxS $194,466 -19% +58% 833 $233 $31,544,597 104 13 14 Unbroken Uni. $160,385 -20% -44% 1,606 $100 $112,949,885 35 14 13 Blackhat Uni. $152,880 -26% -44% 2,568 $60 $7,597,925 13 15 15 The Theory of Everything Focus $137,072 -18% +57% 858 $160 $29,466,593 83 - - Cake CLF $100,048 -20% - 482 $208 $1,229,515 6 - - Wild (2014) FoxS $98,969 -16% -30% 505 $196 $35,017,009 57 - - Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb Fox $79,875 -27% -52% 1,370 $58 $108,880,210 41 - - The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 LGF $61,561 -17% -42% 676 $91 $334,522,187 69 - - Spare Parts LGF $41,867 -27% -24% 424 $99 $2,756,182 13 - - Annie (2014) Sony $40,277 -23% -52% 756 $53 $84,415,292 41 - - Inherent Vice WB $36,584 -7% -66% 244 $150 $7,506,991 48 - - Big Hero 6 BV $35,519 -8% -20% 451 $79 $217,572,411 83 - - Interstellar Par. $28,096 -15% -30% 214 $131 $186,437,358 85 - - The Woman in Black 2: Angel of Death Rela. $27,611 -18% -63% 510 $54 $25,969,762 27 - - Big Eyes Wein. $21,530 -37% -63% 303 $71 $14,089,006 35 - - Penguins of Madagascar Fox $19,791 -17% -17% 321 $62 $81,334,676 64 - - Exodus: Gods and Kings Fox $16,472 -19% -7% 178 $93 $64,585,391 48 - - Gone Girl Fox $9,799 -12% -34% 145 $68 $167,619,489 118 - - Horrible Bosses 2 WB $9,044 -15% -44% 208 $43 $54,300,728 64 - - Nightcrawler ORF $8,969 -16% +97% 125 $72 $32,308,010 90 - - St. Vincent Wein. $7,093 -8% -13% 94 $75 $43,939,418 111 - - Dumb and Dumber To Uni. $6,120 -20% -23% 153 $40 $86,037,810 76 - - The Book of Life (2014) Fox $3,910 -17% -20% 90 $43 $50,012,860 104 - - Black Sea Focus $3,528 -21% - 5 $706 $47,911 6 - - The Gambler Par. $3,450 -11% -83% 69 $50 $33,552,391 35 - - The Boxtrolls Focus $1,619 -6% -12% 77 $21 $50,812,766 125 - - Top Five Par. $1,334 -30% -87% 16 $83 $25,281,346 48 - - Beyond the Lights Rela. $481 -38% -71% 31 $16 $14,614,623 76

I'm astounded I've heard of some of these. I've even seen a couple. Mind. Blown.

Need to see the other numbers for context, but it hasn't been holding well this week. Lone Survivor's Superbowl weekend was about 8x the preceeding Wednesday. If AS follows that path, it'll earn 30-31m. Yesterday the comparable was about 34m. The Monday comparable was around 32m. So right now it doesn't seem likely the third weekend is going to be much better than the low-to-mid 30s.

I worked for whole... minutes trying to come up with something.

Given how pretty much everything else performed, it doesn't seem like the weather is a factor we can attribute to AS's muted bump.

I'm not sure I follow. On the equivalent Tuesday LS was down 31% from the previous week. And the following weekend was about 6.7 times that Tuesday's gross. Which for AS' 5.2 number would put it around 35m.

About a 46% jump for BND. About a 24% jump for AS, but down 47% from last Tuesday. If it held that percentage, it'd be looking at a 34m weekend.