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Posts posted by Rsyu
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I know about golden week but it's at the end of april. What/'s the second holiday?According to Corpse, this is not a bad release date at all. On the contrary, it may be the best option available: late opening to let the buzz and hype rise, and two holidays coming within 45 days. WIR increased by 4% and Doreamon by 7% last year on the same weekend, thanks to the holiday. So my prediction is 7.5/8.0M. Anything under 7 would be disappointing and probably a sign of frontloadness. Sub-7.5 would give me a 'meh', too. 'Awesome Land' is above 8.5M.
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LOTR probably has a different demo to disney princess films, I'm thinking it skews much older which means holiday effect will be much less important. Narnia was an adaption of a very well known and popular book. Frozen is an original animated film albeit with huge global WoM, but original animation nonetheless, which probably means it would have performed much better in december. Not saying it did bad mind you, because it's the highest grossing OW for an animated film outside of ghibli/pixar/franchise but just think dec would have been the better month for a release. The highest grossing pixar films MU, FN, TS3 were released in july/dec too.According to corpse, july/dec has the best multipliers in the year.
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Anyone know why frozen got such a crap release date in Japan? I mean what stopped them from releasing it in december? The performance would have been much better if they had.
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That's probably for the last 10 years or so because I'm pretty sure Spirited Away and Titanic's runs were better. But Les Mis was indeed the exception.
Yeah, since 2008 in fact. Forgot to add that part
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Just one question: Les miserable opens around 3.56m but ends up in around 60m.
How did this film achieve it ? Normally, a film OW 3.56m is estimated to be 32m at most.
Les miserables was more the exception than the rule. It was the second best run after avatar.
Corpse
Weekend (Rank) / Gross (% change) / Total Gross (% change) / Multiplier
1. Avatar (2010)
First Weekend (1st): ¥597.3 million / ¥1.31 billion
Second Weekend (1st): ¥678.8 million (+12%) / ¥3.24 billion (+247%) / 5.42x
Third Weekend (1st): ¥636.8 million (-6%) / ¥4.67 billion (+44%) / 7.82x
Fourth Weekend (1st): ¥510.1 million (-20%) / ¥5.93 billion (+27%) / 9.93x
Fifth Weekend (1st): ¥518.4 million (+2%) / ¥7.00 billion (+18%) / 11.73x
Sixth Weekend (1st): ¥617.4 million (+19%) / ¥8.29 billion (+18%) / 13.88x
Seventh Weekend (1st): ¥571.5 million (-7%) / ¥9.64 billion (+16%) / 16.15x
Eighth Weekend (1st) :: ¥507.1 million (-11%) / ¥10.97 billion (+14%) / 18.37x
2. Les Miserables (2013)
First Weekend (2nd): ¥295.4 million / ¥379.1 million
Second Weekend (2nd): ¥256.8 million (-13%) / ¥1.13 billion (+298%) / 3.83x
Third Weekend (2nd): ¥287.1 million (+11%) / ¥2.11 billion (+87%) / 7.15x
Fourth Weekend (2nd): ¥286.3 million (0%) / ¥2.75 billion (+30%) / 9.32x
Fifth Weekend (2nd): ¥215.7 million (-25%) / ¥3.35 billion (+22%) / 11.36x
Sixth Weekend (4th): ¥159.6 million (-26%) / ¥3.77 billion (+13%) / 12.78x
Seventh Weekend (5th): ¥142.6 million (-10%) / ¥4.18 billion (+11%) / 14.17x
Eighth Weekend (6th): ¥147.8 million (+4%) / ¥4.52 billion (+8%) / 15.32x
3. Ponyo (2008)
First Weekend (1st): ¥1.03 billion
Second Weekend (1st): ¥805.7 million (-22%) / ¥3.23 billion (+312%) / 3.12x
Third Weekend (1st): ¥776.5 million (-4%) / ¥5.26 billion (+63%) / 5.11x
Fourth Weekend (1st): ¥755.3 million (-3%) / ¥7.21 billion (+37%) / 7.00x
Fifth Weekend (1st): ¥851.3 million (+12%) / ¥9.94 billion (+38%) / 9.65x
Sixth Weekend (1st): ¥577.2 million (-32%) / ¥11.49 billion (+16%) / 11.16x
Seventh Weekend (3rd): ¥513.3 million (-11%) / ¥12.73 billion (+11%) / 12.35x
Eighth Weekend (3rd): ¥378.1 million (-26%) / ¥13.44 billion (+6%) / 13.01x
4. Confessions (2010)
First Weekend (1st): ¥269.8 million
Second Weekend (1st): ¥282.7 million (+4%) / ¥895 million (+332%) / 3.31x
Third Weekend (1st): ¥286.9 million (+2%) / ¥1.55 billion (+73%) / 5.74x
Fourth Weekend (1st): ¥289.4 million (+1%) / ¥2.16 billion (+39%) / 8.00x
Fifth Weekend (2nd): ¥217.3 million (-24%) / ¥2.71 billion (+26%) / 10.03x
Sixth Weekend (5th): ¥154.7 million (-29%) / ¥3.08 billion (+14%) / 11.41x
Seventh Weekend (7th): ¥83.4 million (-46%) / ¥3.33 billion (+8%) / 12.33x
Eighth Weekend (7th): ¥54.1 million (-35%) / ¥3.51 billion (+5%) / 13.00x
5. Thermae Romae (2012)
First Weekend (1st): ¥432.5 million
Second Weekend (1st): ¥547.5 million (+21%) / ¥2.22 billion (+513%) / 5.13x
Third Weekend (1st): ¥363.7 million (-34%) / ¥2.96 billion (+33%) / 6.84x
Fourth Weekend (2nd): ¥330.0 million (-9%) / ¥3.66 billion (+24%) / 8.45x
Fifth Weekend (2nd): ¥251.5 million (-24%) / ¥4.19 billion (+15%) / 9.68x
Sixth Weekend (2nd): ¥203.6 million (-19%) / ¥4.65 billion (+11%) / 10.75x
Seventh Weekend (3rd): ¥163.3 million (-20%) / ¥4.96 billion (+7%) / 11.47x
Eighth Weekend (4th): ¥151.9 million (-7%) / ¥5.24 billion (+6%) / 12.11x
I only found up to week 8 but you get the general idea of the kind of legs it had.
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South Korea is the largest OS market for Non-stop. Koreans really dig liam neeson
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Not quite $10m, but that is still a great opening, way bigger than I predicted before it opened!
Agreed, for a non ghibli/pixar/franchise film that is one huge opening. it should do somewhere around $70M I think realistically. Hopefully more though
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That would put it above Alice in wonderland WW for 15th highest grossing film of all time. It should pass Phantom menace and Jurassic park too shortly.
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It sucks that frozen will gross less than MU OW...because of 3D share too of all things. After all the hype I'm pretty disappointed...frozen has spoilt me I guess
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I thought that was more likely to be the case since there were no mentions of plagiarism in other countries. Thanks for clearing that up!I think there is a Japanese catoon which has similar theme or character design as Frozen .So some netizens in Japan claim Frozen is plagiarism , but its not common sense.
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Expect South Korea to increase significantly from the measly $3.8m it grossed for Ca:first avenger. Chris Evans stock has gone up alot here with his roles in 2 films in "snow piercer" and "the avengers" that were released after first avenger.Current pre-release ratings is 9.43 on Korea's biggest portal site Naver so people are pretty excited about it.What's Cap's potential in some major Asian markets?I was a bit surprised of how well CA did (relatively) in Latin America. Hoping to see good increase for Cap2 there.
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Well it's the only one I could find. Maybe someone could ask corpse?That's from June, surely it's not that.
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anybody know what those plagiarism claims are about?
I was interested in this too so I did a web search and came across this
link: http://www.awesome-robo.com/2013/06/the-uncanny-resemblance-between-disneys.html
I do see a similarity between the teaser and the animation shown in the website but that's it in my opinion. Olaf is nothing like the snowman in the said clip who looks really sad and gloomy. Anyway I'm not really sure if this is the plagiarism referred to, it seems like such a weak claim. It could be talking about some Japanese animation we know little about.
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Awesome!! Keep bring in those updates labas!!
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I wonder if sing-alongs do well in Japan... or, if there haven't been many precedents, if musicals in general do well enough to think a sing-along would do well...
Les miserables was the most recent hollywood musical film I think, and it grossed $62m (2nd highest OS market after UK)
For phantom of the opera Japan was it's highest grossing OS market ($35m) and being the home of Karaoke you'd think Sing-along would do well there. However it remains to be seen whether such a format would work in theatres, since it failed miserably in south korea (musicals and karaoke are big here too) In any case if it is released it'll only be late on in their run I think & extending of legs is the most likely benefit we'll see if any.
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Add the numbers from other smaller theater chains and that OW looks to be pretty epic
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Is that a different theater chain? It's smaller than the Toho theater number you posted earlier.109サイト上映25分前贩売数:20140315)2014/03/1523:30109サイト上映25分前贩売数:20140315 (23:30 集计)贩売数 座席数 回数 作品名11254 27329 104 アナと雪の女王 【吹替】*6503 24119 *88 映画ドラえもん 2014*1869 *3240 *17 アナと雪の女王 【字幕】 Today 13123Yesterday 6826 Admissions
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Overall increase in the size of South Korea's film market year to year can be seen here.
For 2014 January and February, the attendance was similar as to 2013 while gross increased slightly compared to the same period last year. 2014 should continue the upward trend and increase from 2013.
Except for odd years, Korean movies tend to have more admissions and gross slightly more than foreign films which shows that local films are generally more popular in South Korea.
(Currency unit is Korean won)
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International: Frozen is the twenty-fifth highest-grossing film, the fourth highest-grossing animated film, the third highest-grossing 2013 film, the highest-grossing non-sequel animated film and the highest-grossing Walt Disney Animation Studios film. It is the highest-grossing animated film of all time in South Korea, Denmark and Venezuela. It is also the highest-grossing Walt Disney Animation Studios film in at least 50 territories, including the Latin America region (as well as specifically in Mexico and Brazil), the UK, Ireland and Malta, Russia and the CIS, Ukraine, Norway, Malaysia, Singapore, Australia and China.
Frozen didn't under perform in Latin america, It just looks that way because it over performed everywhere else
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Hopefully Frozen has a successful leggy Japan run.
I miss the excitement of waiting for winter daily numbers as Frozen exceeded everyones expectations during its domestic run.
Now we'll have some excitement as Frozen attempts to pass TS3
Missed the earlier part of frozen's DOM run (didn't know it existed until Jan 16th) but the consequent run as well as OS performance was pretty thrilling. Hopefully we'll have more of the same from Japan
Frozen not passing TS3 should be classed as a major upset at this point.
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update ! Toho is the biggest movie distributor in Japan , accounting for more than 20% of national-wide theaters.
TOHOサイト上映25分前贩売数中间集计:201403152014/03/1514:30CM:0TB:0TOHOサイト上映25分前贩売数:20140315 (14:30 集计)贩売数 座席数 回数 作品名21978 52792 144 アナと雪の女王(日本语吹替版)21215 55424 201 映画ドラえもん 新・のび太の大魔境~ペコと5人の探検队~*7908 26159 117 映画 プリキュアオールスターズ NewStage3 永远のともだち*5044 19549 *80 アナと雪の女王(字幕版)*3094 13384 *93 银の匙 Silver Spoon*2398 14552 *90 ロボコップ(字幕版)*2291 10338 *58 それでも夜は明ける (字幕版)*2130 *4432 *11 剧场版 世界一初恋 横泽隆史の场合*1830 15157 110 剧场版しまじろうのわお!しまじろうとくじらのうた*1628 *3148 **8 アナと雪の女王(3D・字幕版)
Yesterday at this time : 18567 admissions
Today 28650
admissions looks awesome considering yesterday way TOHO day even (40% discount). Hopefully we should see and increase in gross from yesterday.
I'm still hoping for 10m opening weekend
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Japan twitter tracking
More signs to it breaking out massive number
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I'm still hoping for 10m opening weekend
Frozen OS thread
in International Box Office
Posted