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edroger3

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Everything posted by edroger3

  1. Minions OS week to week comparation (M$) W Total Weekly Mkt Avg 1 12,3 12,3 4 3,08 2 51,7 39,4 15 2,63 3 124,4 72,7 26 2,80 4 280,5 156,1 56 2,79 5 411,1 130,6 57 2,29 6 497,8 86,7 61 1,42
  2. Minions is doing very well overseas, I think it really has a chance not only for 1B, but for 1,1, as the new biggest animated ever (not counting those released in November 2013).
  3. Minions had 411 actuals last sunday so 88m in this week, 44 in weekdays and 44 in weekend. Is a 33% drop (from lw 66) including 4 new markets (71 vs 67) and roughly 40% for the holdovers, significantly better than in USA. This could help the yellows to eventually reach 750 OS ( 500+110 from holdovers + 100 China + 40 Italy-Jap-SK and other minor) and added to a 320 DOM, to pass TS3 as the biggest animated ever among those don't have two sisters as main characters.
  4. Obviously. Mexico and Central America are included into "Rest of World" in my table. This could be wrong. Maybe split it into "America - DOM" (combined with SA) and "Africa" is a better solution.
  5. "Thank you for taking the time and effort" = God save MS Excel Europa 260 (Italy opens in late august) Asia/Pacific 130 (If will do well in Japan and SK) South America 120 Rest of the world 70 Dom 320 (maybe) Tot 900+China - I don't know but could say 100/150 so 1000/1050 Speaking about the comparison with Frozen I think its 330 in Japan+SK, combined with the strong performances in Europa and USA making it unbeatable WW for all the announced future movies (until the sequel arrives), at least if they don't have: - Very favorable exchange rate - Insane run in USA - Insane run in China
  6. Tickets sold up 7% in first half of 2015 (Jan/Jun) 2015 2014 2d 50.075.692 45.296.798 10,55% 3d 1.217.760 2.667.353 -54,35% TOT 51.293.452 47.964.151 6,94%
  7. Obviously is a long range promotion, concerning also home video, toys, licensing and merchandise that for an animated franchise are most important than cinema gross. Do You know the numbers of DM franchise? They are insane but the Minions alone are in strong risk of overexposition. In other hands we know that Frozen has generated more than 5 billions of global revenues in less than two years, so 600m isn't a wrong number.
  8. According to Bloomberg, Universal have delivered almost 600M$ in ads and promotions, so they hope yes. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-10/-minions-593-million-publicity-spree-points-to-film-profit
  9. Terminator Genysis 3_days 664Myen - 5,4M$ - 461K ADM (2days 515M/352K opens at #2)
  10. Download Ultima Versione di Sky Go 2.7.2 Android - Skygo - http://t.co/brVtu4sCoi https://t.co/oY5z35kFIB

  11. KFP2 did OS 410+90 in China. KFP3 needs another 370 to beat Frozen OS. Where it can get these dollars? All in China? Finding Dory and TS4: Frozen has outpaced TS3 thanks to 330 in Japan and SK: Will be hard for both movies to reach this level in these countries. Maybe China can help, but i think no. Minions gets great OWs but is falling like a stone in many small markets and in UK and Australia is down from DM2 at the same point. The competition with IO hurt it more than expected and WOM it isn't so strong. However it should reach 1B in any case thanks to China and DOM (350+700 is the best case scenario). I think that the only has a chance is DM3 (the only risk is that the Minions will get a overexposition)
  12. Presales for Age Of Ultron is very impressive for IMAX and 4D screens but not so strong in other sides (especially 3D), at least for the cinemas I usually use to compare with other movies, but AoU gets a very wide release (1200+ screens and 400k+ seats at 5 chains) and this could make not so accurate my estimates. The Avengers opens at 500myen in 2012 but we must remember that the ER multiplier was 1,22/100 (6,3m$) while now is 0,81/100. Total for first Avengers was 3,6byen/46m$.
  13. Cinema properties fuel the italian toy market that rise 8% in first four months of 2015: NPD Group numbers show that Disney Frozen is now the top selling brand here, outpacing Barbie as in many other countries, while Ninja Turtles is #3 and The Avengers #7, with Minions and Star Wars coming soon. Disney has also bad news as Big Hero 6 totally fails to get interest among consumers.
  14. More crazy is to think that one of those is an original animated female-centric musical.
  15. Ted2 935K (Ted opened with 2,5M in oct 2012 and closed over 11M) JW 11,8K - 1,655M tickets sold
  16. JW after two full weeks: € 11.127.428 and 1.553.779 admissions. 2nd week drop 32%. Average ticket price 7,16€. An interesting stat coming from SIAE (their datas are more complete and accurate than Cinetel): % of tickets sold by day of week in thursday opening era. Mon 8,16% Tue 9,35% Wed 11,16% Thr 10,49% Fri 12,27% Sat 23,50% Sun 25,07%
  17. After 61 weeks (23 of these at #1) in a row Frozen is out of top ten for Home Video sales. It is top selling title in season 13/14 and 14/15, in calendar 2014 and, for now, in calendar 2015. It has been able, by alone, to stop the yearly double digit drop trend of the market. Congrats.
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