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Ray G

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Everything posted by Ray G

  1. Ray G
    With weak competition this week, MJ1 benefited. I think the arrival of the Hobbit finale next week will result in a harder fall, though.
  2. Ray G
    Cuaron is the first latino winner of Best Director, so it's not like they passed up a history-making winner for a white dude. I also think with race issues so at the fore this year, the Academy will want the plaudits for making history again.
  3. Ray G
    With the conclusion of Hunger Games in 2015, I now expect Disney will have the #1 movie every year for a good long time, barring another out-of-nowhere megahit like Avatar.
  4. Ray G
    It's going to be Selma. The academy gets to make a statement and make history at the same time, and none of the other movies are strong enough to overrule that appeal. Boyhood is just too small and too unique for the Academy to embrace over it, and Birdman is slightly bigger but even more offbeat. All the other candidates are either too small or getting mixed reviews.
  5. Ray G
    I can't see Boxtrolls getting nominated. Its reviews were mediocre at best, and even most of the positive reviews said it was the least of Laika's movies. Book of Life probably has a better chance. With Lego and HTTYD2 both above 90% and Big Hero 6 almost there, I'd be surprised if they didn't all get nominated.
  6. Ray G
    Dragons' TV series definitely wasn't bad enough to drive down any ticket sales. It's actually probably the best tie-in to an animated movie I've seen outside of Toy Story of Terror. The voices were the same, the animation was quality enough, and it had decent ongoing plots. I still blame the drop on the fact that the sequel tried to grow with its audience a la Harry Potter, but the audience didn't come with it and the sequel was too mature for the new kids.
  7. Ray G
    Given that this was a movie that had no business existing as it was adapted from the less interesting part of a book that could have easily been one movie, I imagine the producers and studio are still pretty happy. Glad to see the audience showing a bit of discretion when it comes to this format. Given that Divergent is far from the franchise that this is, I wonder if those producers are rethinking their decision to piggyback on the trend by splitting the widely disliked final book.
  8. Ray G
    The die-hards are the ones who go to Thursday previews, and the die-hards are still there. Not surprised.
  9. Ray G
    1. Interstellar - 77.8 2. Big Hero 6 - 61.5
  10. Ray G
    The performance of both of these indicates that they're not mainstream phenomenons a la the big three, but rather semi-popular book franchises with a mostly fixed audience. I don't think the movies (especially Divergent, which was reviewed fairly poorly) brought in many fans who were not readers of the book. With the exception of the first and second Twilight, YA franchises are fairly steady. I expect the same to happen with these two.
  11. Ray G
    I expect both this and Divergent to stay fairly flat with sequels. No dip, no big gain.
  12. Ray G
    If it had opened in the post-Avengers era rather than as one of the first expansions of the MCU, it would have been. If GOTG can do 94M, a 65M debut for Ant-Man will not thrill anyone. Still, the budget may be lower, so they'll probably still make some money off it. I just think this will likely be the lowest-grossing MCU film besides Incredible Hulk.
  13. Ray G
    Minions is in there at 82M. MI5 I see getting trampled by Star Wars. Ant-Man. I think the buzz is fairly mixed and it opens to Thor numbers. First Marvel Studios disappointment, although hardly a bomb.
  14. Ray G
    I think people are looking at the wrong Disney live-action remake. Cinderella will disappoint. Jungle Book will be this year's Oz/Alice/Maleficent.
  15. Ray G
    Star Wars Episode 7 - 217M Avengers: Age of Ultron - 204M Mockinjay Part II - 189M Jurassic World - 114M Fast Seven - 102M The Peanuts Movie - 92M Bond 24 - 89M Minions - 82M Inside Out - 76M Tomorrowland - 72M (92M four-day) Wild cards are The Jungle Book (probably #11), The Martian (Gravity 2.0?), The Good Dinosaur, Ted 2, 50 Shades of Grey, and Ant-Man
  16. Ray G
    Yeah, this is what I expected. 22JS opens up a narrow lead on Friday, Dragon 2 explodes Saturday/Sunday to take a clear lead.
  17. Ray G
    Star Wars has January/February to rack up more money, while Avengers kicks off an insanely crowded summer. I think that'll be the difference and Star Wars wins the year. At least domestically.
  18. Ray G
    I expect release date, box office, and studio clout to all swing the race in favor of HTTYD, but Lego will be in the race till the end.
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