Ray G

I don't have a solid list yet, but I have a sneaking suspicion that Free State of Jones is going to pick up a good number of nominations despite its release date.

Updated list: 1. Rogue One - 470M 2. Finding Dory - 435M 3. Captain America 3 - 420M 4. Batman vs. Superman - 395M 5. Moana - 345M 6. Independence Day: Resurgence - 320M 7. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 285M 8. The Secret Life of Pets - 270M 9. Suicide Squad - 255M 10. The Jungle Book - 245M

Out. I'm thinking a 145M second weekend and an 85M third weekend.

It has two holiday weekends in a row. Drops are going to be soft. This is how the last two Hunger Games movies overtook their Marvel competition. Star Wars won't be dropping hard.

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 237.4M 2. Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip - 21.4M 3. Sisters - 14.8M 4. The Good Dinosaur - 5.3 5. The Hunger Games: Mockinjay Part 2 - 4.9M 6. Creed - 4.5M 7. In the Heart of the Sea - 3.7M 8. Krampus - 3.1M 9. SPECTRE - 2.6M 10. Spotlight - 2.2M

The only hesitancy I have about legs on this movie (I've gone with about 3.5) isn't quality, it's competition. Titanic basically had four clear months, while Avatar didn't face any serious competition till February, and those were romance movies. 2016, though? Star Wars has to go up against Ride Along 2, Secret Soldiers of Benghazi, and The 5th Wave - and that's just on one day. Then Kung Fu Panda comes around at the end of the month to take away the kids. But I'm thinking this will probably be over 600M by the end of New Years' Weekend, so that's all gravy at that point.

OW - 237.4M Dom - 861M WW - 2.93B

A whole lot of these bandwagon projects are going to quietly go away the weekend after Ghostbusters numbers come in.

Yeah, Bridge of Spies has a fairly small budget and will likely have very good legs. The marketing was poor and blunted the opening, but it'll be fine.

Lot of people saying "Visually spectacular, predictable story and takes way too long to get going". I'm still excited to see it.

What C-list sitcom trope about letting your daughter grow up will this installment be about?

They have Dracula, Frankenstein, Wolfman, Invisible Man, Creature from the Black Lagoon. None of those really sync up with the giant monsters.

I'm expecting Bridge of Spies to have a run somewhere in between that and Argo. Spielberg/Hanks is a super-strong pairing, Terminal aside.

No way do all of Crimson Peak, Goosebumps, Pan, and Bridge of Spies disappoint like that. The forecast is way off.

Probably the fourth most iconic Roald Dahl book, behind Charlie and the Chocolate Factory, James and the Giant Peach, and Matilda. It's pretty famous and beloved. If it comes out good, the Spielberg name and the FX will make it a big hit.

Probably close, but she acts in live-action mainstream movies so rarely these days that it's hard to tell.

I mean, Chastain's going to deliver a great performance, but I don't think she has real box office pull. Bullock is one of the only female stars who does these days.

Out, but barely. I'm thinking 48-51M. This looks great, but it's more cerebral than Gravity and looks more like hard sci-fi than a survival thriller in space. Plus, Bullock has pull with female moviegoers that this movie lacks.

UNCLE is far more direct competition in the same genre, and I expect this week's drop was a little soft because a lot of people saw the reviews and went "Eh, let's see MI5 instead". If UNCLE gets terrible buzz as well, the drop will likely be less.

1. Straight Outta Compton - 39M 2. The Man from UNCLE - 17M 3. MI5 - 14M 4. Fantastic Four - 8M 5. The Gift - 7.1M The other holdovers will have standard falls.

1. Fantastic Four - 33M 2. Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation - 29M 3. Ricki and the Flash - 10.1M 4. Shaun the Sheep Movie - 8.4M 5. Vacation - 6.9M 6. The Gift - 6.7M 7. Minions - 7.8M 8. Ant-Man - 6.4M 9. Trainwreck - 5.8M 10. Southpaw - 4.3M

1. Civil War - 472M 2. Batman vs. Superman - 435M 3. Finding Dory - 421M 4. Rogue One - 370M 5. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 340M 6. Moana - 305M 7. ID42 - 290M 8. Suicide Squad - 260M 9. X-Men: Apocalypse - 245M 10. The Secret Lives of Pets - 241M The other 200M hits that year will be Dr. Strange, The BFG, The Jungle Book, Alice Through the Looking Glass, and Star Trek Beyond. Dr. Strange will probably do roughly around Thor 2 numbers. Ghostbusters will disappoint. Zootopia will do around 180M, but pale compared to the two other animated hits they'll have that year. Ice Age and KFP will disappoint domestically but more than make up for it abroad.

Still potentially looking at 500M or just a bit short by next sunday. Amazing.

I'm seeing this underperforming in the US, over performing abroad, but still not quote. 182M Dom 520M Int 702M WW

Jurassic World over all of Ultron, Mockinjay, and FF7 seems like it's in the card. #2 for 2015.