Jayhawk the Hutt
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Everything posted by Jayhawk the Hutt
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https://imgur.com/gallery/moRELeu What you all want. Leaked set photos. Will they be shooting over 2 offseasons? Or just taking their time on the animated work? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Jayhawk the Hutt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Is Pulse just totally down? Not getting updates on the tracker. -
Again I don't understand this. Still has a shot at 400m, certainly will make high 300s. How is being the #4 Pixar movie ever (unadjusted) a flat out disappointment?
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Jayhawk the Hutt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
TLK tracking put's it near 200m IMO. Above I2 and TS4 as well as tied with BATB (a spring opening), means in the summertime it is likely to be higher. -
This was really, really good. No doubt it will have very good legs, crowd absolutely ate it up. Don't know if I really want another Toy Story, but at this point, I can't really doubt Pixar's ability with this franchise.
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Obviously fantastic increase. My showing in a 250 seat theater last night was nearly full. Really fantastic movie, WOM should continue to be excellent, it will completely win over the skeptics.
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I2 jumped 14.5% on it's first Tuesday, guessing it will be around 20% with Tuesdays getting such insane jumps recently.
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I see no reason why TS4 won't have solid for animation legs. Don't think 400 is a sure thing, but it is more likely to happen than not.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Jayhawk the Hutt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
TLK will definitely play much more like a franchise film rather than your typical animated/family film, but this is a great start. -
If only it were that simple...
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Tbf Deadline always posts around this time. It's nice to have more up to date and more accurate numbers though from people like Charlie and Rth
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Jayhawk the Hutt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I think low to mid 20s or so is a good bet. Could be higher though, TLK has a pretty massive fanbase that will come out early to see it. Think the weekend IM will be somewhat more like a typical event film more than a family film tbh. -
I think the lowest multi it's possibly gettting is a 3.2x, likely won't go below I2 of last year, even though it's late legs does have some major competition with TLK (though Disney can boost the gross a bit with double features). WOM seems great though, I wouldn't entirely count out something like TS3's multi either which could get it to $500m+
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I guess Charlie's early estimates put it right around (slightly under maybe) Dory's OW?
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But it really isn't performing that differently (a slight dip adjusted) from TS3 from initial reports, so I don't understand how this is bad? Maybe personally disappointing but even if it goes on the low end for the weekend and has weaker legs for a Pixar, it's still getting to high-300s at the worst.
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So by that calculation TS4 isn't really going to be a disappointment then, considering it's very likely to do at least 120m+ this weekend?
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And what is your reasoning for that? All the Toy Stories so far have grossed in a range from 395-480m adjusted, increasing by 40-50m between sequels. Seems fairly consistent, though I will say that this is very unlikely to rise above Toy Story 3's adjusted number at this point.
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I mean it's the fault of people who think a number that doesn't approach I2 is disappointing. Deadline had a part in that, but there are many who also can't take a step back and look rationally at what is going to be a massive OW for an animated film (which is guaranteed to have really good legs as well).
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The fact that an extremely likely 400m+ DOM total is "disappointing" to some is insanity
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Jayhawk the Hutt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The concern trolling in this thread over what would be a great number is so annoying. Also looking like a very good jump from yesterday's pulse numbers are in store. TS4 has jumped 66% over yesterday's 11:00 number and the pace been rising steadily over the past few hours. I know it kind of needed a big bump to maintain expectations after yesterday's weak increase, but it appears to be doing so now. Could be a 25k day. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Jayhawk the Hutt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
What the hell is going on here? -
I guess that's fair, but I think that is just smart budgeting/filmmaking from Nolan. While I agree it wasn't as big of a success as some of his other films, it did make a nice profit for the studio which I'm sure are just fine giving someone like him a home if he keeps delivering high quality films that gain them prestige and most importantly, a real return on their investment.
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I mean, yeah, that's why it was made at a lower budget. It's a logical fallacy to say if something had cost more than it did it wouldn't be a success. Like, obviously.
