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Cynosure

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  1. Corpse :

     

    Weekend Actuals (08/05-06)
    01 (01) ¥375,739,700 ($3.4 million), -29%, ¥3,102,899,500 ($28.1 million), Despicable Me 3 (Toho-Towa) WK3
    02 (---) ¥328,260,500 ($3.0 million), 0, ¥451,899,700 ($4.1 million), Transformers: The Last Knight (Toho-Towa) NEW
    03 (---) ¥250,455,600 ($2.3 million), 0, ¥250,455,600 ($2.3 million), Kamen Rider Ex-Aid: True Ending (Toei) NEW
    04 (03) ¥205,537,100 ($1.9 million), -19%, ¥945,719,900 ($8.6 million), I Want To Eat Your Pancreas (Toho) WK2
    05 (---) ¥165,513,800 ($1.5 million), 0, ¥226,321,600 ($2.1 million), JoJo's Bizarre Adventure.: Diamond Is Unbreakable (Toho) NEW
    06 (04) ¥147,675,400 ($1.3 million), -38%, ¥2,730,665,500 ($24.9 million), Gintama (Warner Bros.) WK4
    07 (02) ¥146,373,300 ($1.3 million), -53%, ¥857,803,700 ($7.8 million), The Mummy (Toho-Towa) WK2
    08 (07) ¥137,453,700 ($1.2 million), -29%, ¥2,120,225,600 ($19.3 million), Pokemon: I Choose You! (Toho) WK4
    09 (05) ¥130,779,600 ($1.2 million), -44%, ¥5,831,299,600 ($52.3 million), Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (Disney) WK6
    10 (06) ¥99,003,900 ($903,000), -58%, ¥549,884,200 ($5.0 million), Tokyo Ghoul (Shochiku) WK2


    Weekend Actuals (08/12-13)
    01 (---) ¥448,491,500 ($4.1 million), 0, ¥775,406,300 ($7.1 million), Spider-Man: Homecoming (Sony) NEW
    02 (01) ¥405,337,900 ($3.7 million), +08%, ¥4,284,028,400 ($38.9 million), Despicable Me 3 (Toho-Towa) WK4
    03 (04) ¥197,791,700 ($1.8 million), -04%, ¥1,557,038,800 ($14.2 million), I Want To Eat Your Pancreas (Toho) WK3
    04 (02) ¥184,442,900 ($1.7 million), -44%, ¥993,865,700 ($9.1 million), Transformers: The Last Knight (Toho-Towa) WK2
    05 (08) ¥143,037,600 ($1.3 million), +04%, ¥2,547,071,700 ($23.2 million), Pokemon: I Choose You! (Toho) WK5
    06 (06) ¥133,782,700 ($1.2 million), -07%, ¥3,155,229,700 ($28.8 million), Gintama (Warner Bros.) WK5
    07 (09) ¥118,478,600 ($1.1 million), -09%, ¥6,163,779,200 ($55.3 million), Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (Disney) WK7
    08 (07) ¥102,594,500 ($937,000), -30%, ¥1,158,191,100 ($10.5 million), The Mummy (Toho-Towa) WK3
    09 (11) ¥102,305,000 ($935,000), +05%, ¥2,533,497,900 ($23.1 million), Mary and the Witch's Flower (Toho) WK6
    10 (03) ¥98,870,500 ($902,000), -60%, ¥548,643,200 ($5.0 million), Kamen Rider Ex-Aid: True Ending (Toei) WK2
     
    Weekend Estimates (08/19-20)
    01 (---) ¥350,000,000 ($3.2 million), 0, ¥350,000,000 ($3.2 million), High & Low 2: End of Sky (Shochiku) NEW
    02 (---) ¥275,000,000 ($2.5 million), 0, ¥450,000,000 ($4.1 million), Fireworks, Should We See It from the Side or the Bottom? (Toho) NEW

    03 (02) ¥271,000,000 ($2.5 million), -33%, ¥5,575,000,000 ($50.7 million), Despicable Me 3 (Toho-Towa) WK5
    04 (01) ¥255,000,000 ($2.3 million), -43%, ¥1,850,000,000 ($16.9 million), Spider-Man: Homecoming (Sony) WK2
    05 (03) ¥159,000,000 ($1.4 million), -19%, ¥2,200,000,000 ($20.1 million), I Want To Eat Your Pancreas (Toho) WK4
    06 (04) ¥103,000,000 ($940,000), -44%, ¥1,450,000,000 ($13.2 million), Transformers: The Last Knight (Toho-Towa) WK3
    07 (05) ¥97,000,000 ($885,000), -32%, ¥2,975,000,000 ($27.2 million), Pokemon: I Choose You! (Toho) WK6
    08 (06) ¥82,000,000 ($750,000), -39%, ¥3,500,000,000 ($32.5 million), Gintama (Warner Bros.) WK6
    09 (09) ¥72,000,000 ($660,000), -29%, ¥2,850,000,000 ($26.1 million), Mary and the Witch's Flower (Toho) WK7
    10 (07) ¥63,000,000 ($575,000), -47%, ¥6,475,000,000 ($58.1 million), Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (Disney) WK8


    This is the post-Obon Festival Weekend, so drops are typically high -- unsurprisingly since Obon Week (Mon-Fri) can deliver grosses more than double a films' previous weekend gross, which was the case for most holdovers this year.

    High & Low 2: End of Sky came in a little lower than its predecessor by around 15%, but that'll be enough to take the #1 spot in the post-Obon Festival weekend. The first film was very frontloaded, so I'm sure this one will be, too, especially since it opened at the end of Summer. I wouldn't expect more than ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million).

    Fireworks, Should We See It from the Side or the Bottom? delivered a solid start, but its legs will be the focal point of its performance. It's the type of animated film that can develop incredible legs, over a 10 multiplier, but audience scores I've seen are very mixed... For now, I'd say a ¥2 billion (~$20 million) total is likely, but we'll have to wait and see where this goes.

    Despicable Me 3 becomes the highest-grossing non-Disney/Pixar imported animated film of all-time, and will become the first to ever reach ¥6 billion (~$55 million) or maybe even ¥7 billion (~$65 million). Illumination couldn't have hoped for more, and this result that's comfortably above the blockbuster milestone puts them on the same level as, if not above, Disney Animation/Pixar now in the market.

    Spider-Man: Homecoming debuted slightly higher than The Amazing Spider-Man 2 last week, and due to the holidays, should remain ahead of it and eventually outgross it, along with The Amazing Spider-Man. Aside from the two Avengers films, the only Marvel/DC films to gross over ¥3 billion (~$30 million) have been Spider-Man films (all of them), and Homecoming will likely continue the streak.

    I Want To Eat Your Pancreas delivered an excellent post-Obon Festival weekend drop, and will effortlessly achieve the most-impressive run this Summer in terms of legs (already near a 9 multiplier after just 4 weeks). It's likely headed for a total above ¥3 billion (~$30 million), which would give it a multiplier of almost 12.

    Transformers: The Last Knight still can't stabilize and will end up as the lowest-grossing film in the franchise with around ¥2 billion (~$20 million).

    Pokemon: I Choose You! is on the cusp of ¥3 billion and whether it hit the mark over the weekend or in the next couple days, it'll become the first film in the franchise since 2013 to reach the milestone. I don't think it'll quite make it to ¥3.5 billion (~$32/33 million), but the Pokemon Company and Toho has to be pleased with how well it recovered versus the last three/four films in the series.

    Gintama continues to perform very well, and will settle for about ¥4 billion (~$36/37 million); exceeding the milestone will depend on the final week of summer weekdays. It's the highest-grossing domestic live-action film this year, and it'll be tough to top.

    Mary and the Witch's Flower held steady in its seventh weekend, and post-Obon Festival weekend, and will soon exceed the ¥3 billion milestone. Overall, its performance has been a bit underwhelming all around, and certainly isn't the result that Studio Ponoc (comprised of former Studio Ghibli staff) was wanting. It's aiming for about ¥3.5 billion ($32/33 million), which is "good", but barely to qualify as a mild success.

    Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales remains in the Top 10 in its eighth weekend of release, which will probably be its last there. The fifth film in the Pirates franchise is still currently the lowest-grossing in the series, but I think it has just enough left in the sails to exceed the first film's ¥6.8 billion total. So, a total near ¥7 billion ($62/63 million) appears to be the landing spot and that should be enough to make it the #1 film of Summer 2017... unless Gru and his minions survive the post-Summer and manage to sink the ship.
    • Like 5
    • Thanks 5
  2. 11 hours ago, pepsa said:

    Any monday and tuesday numbers?

     

    Courtesy of Corpse :

     

    Weekday Estimates (07/03-07)

    Monday (07/03)
    ¥165,000,000 ($1.5 million), 0, ¥1,215,000,000 ($10.8 million), Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (Disney) Day 3
    ¥60,000,000 ($530,000), 0, ¥545,000,000 ($4.8 million), Shinobi's Country (Toho) Day 3
    ¥23,000,000 ($205,000), -38%, ¥1,853,000,000 ($16.5 million), Confessions of a Murderer (Warner Bros.) Day 24
    ¥19,000,000 ($170,000), 0, ¥185,000,000 ($1.7 million), I Have Difficulty Being Loved Too Much (Shochiku) Day 3
    ¥17,000,000 ($150,000), -45%, ¥1,854,000,000 ($16.5 million), Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon (Toho) Day 24
    ¥12,000,000 ($105,000), -64%, ¥12,093,000,000 ($107.3 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) Day 74
    ¥8,000,000 ($70,000), -63%, ¥286,000,000 ($2.6 million), Hacksaw Ridge (Kino Films) Day 10
    ¥7,000,000 ($60,000), 0, ¥94,000,000 ($840,000), Anpanman: Buruburu's Big Treasure Hunt Adventure! (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) Day 3
    ¥7,000,000 ($60,000), 0, ¥77,000,000 ($680,000), Free! Timeless Medley Yakusoku (Promise) (Shochiku) Day 3
    ¥6,000,000 ($55,000), -55%, ¥445,000,000 ($4.0 million), Innocent Curse (Shochiku) Day 17


    Tuesday (07/04)
    ¥135,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥1,350,000,000 ($12.0 million), Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (Disney) Day 4
    ¥45,000,000 ($400,000), 0, ¥590,000,000 ($5.2 million), Shinobi's Country (Toho) Day 4
    ¥18,000,000 ($160,000), -35%, ¥1,871,000,000 ($16.7 million), Confessions of a Murderer (Warner Bros.) Day 25
    ¥16,000,000 ($140,000), 0, ¥200,000,000 ($1.8 million), I Have Difficulty Being Loved Too Much (Shochiku) Day 4
    ¥14,000,000 ($125,000), -46%, ¥1,868,000,000 ($16.6 million), Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon (Toho) Day 25
    ¥9,000,000 ($80,000), -58%, ¥12,102,000,000 ($107.4 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) Day 75
    ¥7,000,000 ($60,000), -63%, ¥293,000,000 ($2.7 million), Hacksaw Ridge (Kino Films) Day 11
    ¥5,000,000 ($45,000), 0, ¥100,000,000 ($890,000), Anpanman: Buruburu's Big Treasure Hunt Adventure! (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) Day 4
    ¥5,000,000 ($45,000), 0, ¥82,000,000 ($730,000), Free! Timeless Medley Yakusoku (Promise) (Shochiku) Day 4
    ¥5,000,000 ($45,000), -39%, ¥450,000,000 ($4.1 million), Innocent Curse (Shochiku) Day 18


    % changes versus same day last week.
    Weekdays in order from strongest to weakest (typically): Wednesday > Monday > Friday > Tuesday > Thursday.

    • Like 3
  3. Corpse :

     

    Image
    (C)2017 Disney. All Rights Reserved.

    Weekend Estimates (07/01-02)
    01 (---) ¥1,075,000,000 ($9.6 million), 0, ¥1,075,000,000 ($9.6 million), Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (Disney) NEW
    02 (---) ¥475,000,000 ($4.2 million), 0, ¥475,000,000 ($4.2 million), Shinobi's Country (Toho) NEW
    03 (01) ¥179,000,000 ($1.6 million), -22%, ¥1,800,000,000 ($16.1 million), Confessions of a Murderer (Warner Bros.) WK4
    04 (---) ¥150,000,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥150,000,000 ($1.3 million), I Have Difficulty Being Loved Too Much (Shochiku) NEW
    05 (02) ¥116,000,000 ($1.0 million), -44%, ¥12,100,000,000 ($107.3 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK11
    06 (03) ¥112,000,000 ($1.0 million), -26%, ¥1,775,000,000 ($15.9 million), Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon (Toho) WK4
    07 (---) ¥100,000,000 ($890,000), 0, ¥100,000,000 ($890,000), Anpanman: Buruburu's Big Treasure Hunt Adventure! (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) NEW
    08 (05) ¥56,000,000 ($500,000), -41%, ¥475,000,000 ($4.2 million), Innocent Curse (Shochiku) WK3
    09 (---) ¥55,000,000 ($490,000), 0, ¥55,000,000 ($490,000), Free! Timeless Medley Yakusoku (Promise) (Shochiku) NEW
    10 (04) ¥54,000,000 ($480,000), -50%, ¥250,000,000 ($2.3 million), Hacksaw Ridge (Kino Films) WK2


    >Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales kicks off the Summer Box Office Season with a bang, likely delivering a debut above the ¥1 billion mark with an estimated 775,000 admissions. If actuals remain above ¥1 billion, it'll become the 37th film to debut above the milestone.

    The fifth Pirates film, based on estimates, matched the debut of its predecessor On Stranger Tides in terms of admissions (maybe slightly more), though with it opening on the 1st (a discount day) it probably will come in a bit lower in revenue. This will celebrate the fourth-consecutive film in the franchise to debut above the ¥1 billion mark if it stays above the mark, which is only beaten by the Harry Potter franchise (six films).

    Disney is surely happy with the films' success so far, as the opening should be good for a total around ¥7.5/8.0 billion (~$70 million), which could be enough to propel the film above the $800 million mark at the worldwide box office.

    >Shinobi's Country comes in second place, but it had an impressive opening of its own - one that could have exceeded ¥500 million ($4.5 million) depending on its unique situation.

    Since the 1st of the month (discount day) fell over a weekend, the avg. ticket prices will be lower than normal (while admissions are higher than normal), which complicates things enough; however, the film also received stage greetings on Saturday which messes with ticket prices even further... Either way, the film - directed by Yoshihiro Nakamura and based on the novel of the same name - performed very well and should have a nice run this summer.

    >Beauty and the Beast experienced its expected harsh drop this weekend, although the drop could have been worse. This won't be the end of its steep declines, unfortunately, since a number of theaters are dropping it next week, and the July 15-16 weekend is extremely crowded so it'll likely be cut almost entirely then. I'm expecting it'll eventually end its run with ~¥12.5 billion ($110 million) on ~8.8 million admissions. Incredibly impressive on multiple accounts.
    • Like 6
  4. Corpse :

     

    Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Weekend Admissions

    Biggest Openers Since 2015 (¥1 Billion+ Debuts)

    Saturday Results:
    Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings], Film Title
    348,024/605,267 (57.4% capacity), [239/1,676], Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
    330,349/701,865 (47.1% capacity), [247/2,864], Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)
    317,709/530,456 (59.9% capacity), [231/1,727], Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (2015)
    293,246/714,702 (41.0% capacity), [236/2,789], Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
    289,656/530,905 (54.5% capacity), [230/1,502], Detective Conan: Darkest Nightmare (2016)
    286,726/658,842 (43.5% capacity), [231/2,256], One Piece Film Gold (2016)
    262,671/667,610 (39.3% capacity), [245/2,327], Beauty and the Beast (2017)


    Sunday Results:
    Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity) - Film Title [Theaters/Showings]
    328,862/595,145 (55.3% capacity), [240/1,648], Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
    303,414/524,359 (57.9% capacity), [231/1,688], Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (2015)
    282,386/512,761 (55.1% capacity), [226/1,434], Detective Conan: Darkest Nightmare (2016)
    275,491/670,208 (41.1% capacity), [236/2,636], Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
    263,634/633,723 (41.6% capacity), [245/2,241], Beauty and the Beast (2017)
    219,122/687,402 (31.9% capacity), [247/2,805], Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)
    207,464/639,737 (32.4% capacity), [231/2,205], One Piece Film Gold (2016)


    Weekend Results:
    Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity) - Film Title [Theaters/Showings]
    676,886/1,200,412 (56.4% capacity), [240/3,324], Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
    621,123/1,051,181 (59.1% capacity), [231/3,415], Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (2015)
    572,042/1,043,666 (54.8% capacity), [230/2,936], Detective Conan: Darkest Nightmare (2016)
    569,497/1,392,147 (40.9% capacity), [236/5,431], Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
    549,579/1,389,766 (39.6% capacity), [247/5,670], Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)
    526,470/1,302,175 (40.4% capacity), [245/4,570], Beauty and the Beast (2017)
    494,190/1,298,579 (38.1% capacity), [231/4,461], One Piece Film Gold (2016)
     
    • Like 6
  5. Corpse :

     

    Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Saturday Ticket Sales

    10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

    43,953 > x57,204 > x81,751 > 110,262 > 126,170 > 168,362 > 195,657 > 206,362 > 254,352 > 324,272 > 330,349 - Pirates of the Caribbean 5

    Compared To Most Recent ¥1 billion+ Openers (2015-):

    43,557 > x71,681 > x93,992 > 122,021 > 151,314 > 175,522 > 207,502 > 229,798 > 277,427 > 342,959 > 348,024 - Detective Conan 21
    43,953 > x57,204 > x81,751 > 110,262 > 126,170 > 168,362 > 195,657 > 206,362 > 254,352 > 324,272 > 330,349 - Pirates of the Caribbean 5
    74,565 > 116,519 > 144,266 > 177,687 > 206,086 > 240,279 > 271,568 > 281,438 > 308,702 > 317,438 > 317,709 - Yo-Kai Watch 2
    52,996 > x60,631 > x75,890 > 117,855 > 124,236 > 147,342 > 187,892 > 197,398 > 226,441 > 286,005 > 293,246 - Star Wars VII
    39,622 > x55,638 > x79,473 > x99,228 > 124,143 > 156,171 > 176,298 > 194,209 > 229,193 > 285,429 > 289,656 - Detective Conan 20
    63,854 > x89,438 > 109,249 > 128,842 > 148,074 > 177,219 > 197,555 > 209,978 > 235,145 > 283,231 > 286,726 - One Piece Film Gold
    35,649 > x44,489 > x58,686 > x69,098 > x88,527 > 103,765 > 131,753 > 161,863 > 196,572 > 255,793 > 262,671 - Beauty and the Beast


    Saturday Results (Two-Thirds of Market):
    Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings] - Film Title
    348,024/605,267 (57.4% capacity), [239/1,676] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
    330,349/701,865 (47.1% capacity), [247/2,864] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)
    317,709/530,456 (59.9% capacity), [231/1,727] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (2015)
    293,246/714,702 (41.0% capacity), [236/2,789] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
    289,656/530,905 (54.5% capacity), [230/1,502] - Detective Conan: Darkest Nightmare (2016)
    286,726/658,842 (43.5% capacity), [231/2,256] - One Piece Film Gold (2016)
    262,671/667,610 (39.3% capacity), [245/2,327] - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
    • Like 4
  6. Corpse :
     
    Image
    (C)2017 Disney Enterprises, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

    Weekend Estimates (05/27-28)
    01 (01) ¥339,000,000 ($3.0 million), -22%, ¥9,625,000,000 ($85.2 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK6
    02 (---) ¥130,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥130,000,000 ($1.2 million), What a Wonderful Family! 2 (Shochiku) NEW
    03 (---) ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), To Each His Own (Toho) NEW

    04 (02) ¥114,000,000 ($1.0 million), -29%, ¥6,350,000,000 ($56.7 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Toho) WK7
    05 (04) ¥97,000,000 ($870,000), -33%, ¥3,675,000,000 ($33.3 million), The Fate of the Furious (Toho-Towa) WK5
    06 (03) ¥93,000,000 ($835,000), -37%, ¥875,000,000 ($7.9 million), Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (Disney) WK3
    07 (05) ¥92,000,000 ($825,000), -35%, ¥325,000,000 ($2.9 million), Peach Girl (Shochiku) WK2
    08 (08) ¥77,000,000 ($690,000), -21%, ¥1,575,000,000 ($14.1 million), Teiichi: Battle of Supreme High (Toho) WK5
    09 (06) ¥76,000,000 ($680,000), -40%, ¥250,000,000 ($2.3 million, Your Eyes (Nikkatsu) WK2
    10 (07) ¥65,000,000 ($585,000), -39%, ¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), Arrival (Sony) WK2
     
     
    Based on this past weekend's estimates, I have Beauty and the Beast hitting the ¥10 billion milestone on Thursday, its 42nd day in release.

    Disney's latest live-action iteration will become the 31st film to reach the uber-blockbuster milestone of ¥10 billion, and likely the tenth fastest of those to reach the important mark.

    Fastest to ¥10 billion (90 Days or Less)
    25 - Spirited Away (2001)
    28 - Your Name. (2016)
    28 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
    30 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
    31 - Ponyo (2008)
    33 - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
    35 - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
    37 - Frozen (2014)
    37 - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
    42 - Beauty and the Beast (2017) *Projection*
    43 - Princess Mononoke (1997)
    44 - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azakaban (2004)
    45 - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
    47 - Star Wars: Episode 1 - The Phantom Menace (1999)
    50 - Avatar (2009)
    52 - Finding Nemo (2003)
    52 - Toy Story 3 (2010)
    52 - The Last Samurai (2003)
    53 - The Wind Rises (2013)
    53 - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
    53 - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
    57 - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
    78 - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
    • Like 6
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