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Everything posted by Eric Quinn
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
I’ve gotten the trailer, but almost entirely in front of Disney movies like Little Mermaid, Boogeyman, and Elemental. Does seem pretty quiet in terms of promo now, but I felt the same thing for Elemental until after Little Mermaid dropped, so I think it will be the same here after Indy comes out. Quorum’s also pretty good in terms of awareness. I’m optimistic Me irl. I’m already picturing myself seeing this on a random Wednesday, awkwardly alone in the back like a loser. Either being the only one or with like one mom and his daughter in the middle. Sad life (good to see you back in the tracking game) -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Quorum Updates Barbie T-23: 52.22% Awareness Cobweb T-23: 13.31% Awareness Bottoms T-65: 14.54% Awareness Expend4bles T-86: 29.84% Awareness Anyone But You T-170: 13.7% Awareness Ghostbusters Afterlife 2 T-175: 32.64% Awareness Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny T-2: 59.15% Awareness Final Awareness: 47% chance of 40M, 35% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 18% chance of 90M, 12% chance of 100M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 50% chance of 50M Ruby Gillman: Teenage Kraken T-2: 31.07% Awareness Final Awareness: 35% chance of 10M Animation/Family Awareness: 0% chance of 10M Talk to Me T-30: 18.84% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 13% chance of 10M Horror Awareness: 14% chance of 10M Meg 2: The Trench T-37: 32.92% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 86% chance of 10M, 57% chance of 20M, 38% chance of 30M, 14% chance of 40M -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
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It's not as awful as some people say, but there's just a lot of annoying creative choices that ruin what would have been a decent superhero flick. It also doesn't help that this is supposed to be a direct sequel to Superman 2. So telling me that Reeve!Supes and Kidder!Lois would do this stuff is anger-inducing to somebody who holds the first movie up as one of their favorite films of all time. Man of Steel is a stupid movie too (not for the reasons fanboys hate it), but at least that was its own world and interpretation, which makes things a tad more forgivable...keyword being "a tad".
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Very much on board with Brosnahan and I'm sure the dude playing Clark will do well. I will say that going back to Lex Luthor again is pretty boring. It's frustrating how we still don't have a live-action Brainiac yet, but we now have three Lex Luthors. Four if you want to include Jon Cryer as his nephew.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
I mean it and Elvis are the only two big examples post-pandemic? Even NTTD arguably underperformed here in North America. Just because one or two movies overperformed doesn't mean much IMO. They're just exceptions to the rule, considering almost every other big movie has largely delivered with the 18-34 crowd in particular. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Something I do want to bring up for both Indy and Mission: Impossible (even Oppenheimer if M37's 35-45 OW comes into fruition) is that these movies are reliant on old white guys who don't go to the movies anymore. Almost every big movie that comes out skews towards the 18-34 crowd, arthouse fare aimed at youngsters have typically been the only notable hits (Asteroid City, Past Lives), Caucasian viewer percentages have gotten smaller and smaller and smaller. A big chunk of old Gen Xers and boomers who likely went to the movies more frequently have stuck with their 4K TVs and soundbars and don't want to deal with people out there. I know from experience from my own boomer parents, who I've taken to see movies with less and less. When my mom said we're gonna skip our annual Christmas tradition of going to the theater to see a movie and instead watch something at home, that was a big sign things were changing. And obviously I don't think Indiana Jones or Oppenheimer or whatever would be massive, gigantic hits if old white guys were active at the movies, but that is something to ponder over for the rest of the year and beyond. Will certainly make the next few years of box office a lot more interesting. And I'm sure producers for stuff like James Bond or Superman or Star Wars are trying to figure out how to make these dinosaurs "hip" with today's kids. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Quorum Updates Sound of Freedom T-8: 18.52% Awareness Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part 1 T-16: 52.67% Awareness Oppenheimer T-25: 30.7% Awareness Challengers T-81: 15.52% Awareness The Boys in the Boat T-182: 10% Awareness The Color Purple T-182: 29.28% Awareness, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny T-4: 59.37% Awareness Final Awareness: 47% chance of 40M, 35% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 18% chance of 90M, 12% chance of 100M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 50% chance of 50M Ruby Gillman: Teenage Kraken T-4: 29.29% Awareness Final Awareness: 12% chance of 10M Animation/Family Awareness: 0% chance of 10M Insidious: The Red Door T-11: 47.61% Awareness Final Awareness: 88% chance of 10M, 58% chance of 20M, 35% chance of 30M Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 83% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 40M Haunted Mansion T-32: 40.43% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 77% chance of 40M, 54% chance of 50M Known IP Awareness: 100% chance of 40M