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Eric Quinn

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Everything posted by Eric Quinn

  1. Honestly the film felt pretty overshadowed by everything else at TIFF that it was hard to take advantage of the festival hype. Stuff like Glass Onion and Fabelmans had their big premieres that distracted Film/Awards Twitter, and it also premiered the same time as The Woman King, which had way more hype and excitement at this point in time. Was honestly kinda worthless in hindsight
  2. I will say that while I am very interested in Bros and think it looks very funny, I do think that the whole "groundbreaking" thing Eichner's touting in the press for this movie rings pretty hollow IMO. The movie's pushing itself as "the first major gay romcom ever", but that just reeks of "Disney's first gay character" syndrome to this bi boy. Maybe if we haven't gotten any major gay comedies since The Birdcage, I could understand the "groundbreaking" hype. But Love, Simon came out only a few years ago. Blockers featured a girl coming to terms with her sexuality as a major plot point. Netflix and Hulu have stuff like The Prom and Single All the Way and Happiest Season and Fire Island. And yeah I know that the kid playing Simon was straight and those other movies are "streaming movies", and that what Bros did was legit unique and special in terms of casting out actors and having a theatrical release...but I don't think this kind of stuff really matters to even the demographic it's representing. This just looks and feels no different to stuff that's already on streaming at first glance and what seems unique and special in terms of representation isn't even all that enticing to the demo being represented. It's like they are moving the goalposts to make this feel more "one of a kind" instead of simply letting the movie speak for itself. A pity it's hurting a good-looking movie like Bros nevertheless.
  3. These services need big premiere movies too to get people to sign up too (I don't care if "everybody forgets they exist". Tell them that, not me). And that exclusivity, not getting it anywhere else, sounds very attractive. Simple as that. Put them at a loss and assume these movies will either gain subscribers or at least retain them. And in Hocus Pocus 2's case at least, they can still make money off merchandise and even a potential home video/cable release down the road, which Disney has done before with some of their Disney+ content. Plus these services don't have to worry about backend deals with a streaming release, since there's no box office. Not paying for box office milestones or any other kinds of residuals is a very nice bonus.
  4. I'd argue HP2 would have easily passed the century mark. Maybe even to like 130M. The Quorum's Awareness and Interest was sky high and both Disney+ and Disney's own marketing push (they have Minnie, Daisy and Clarabelle dressed up like the Sanderson sisters this year at the Parks, Hocus Pocus merch has been all over the place since like 2020) has helped elevate the first movie from a cult hit to a legit franchise a la Nightmare Before Christmas. It's a real missed opportunity, but I guess Disney didn't realize what could have been when they greenlit the film way back when.
  5. https://deadline.com/2022/09/box-office-smile-dont-worry-darling-harry-styles-1235131625/
  6. https://deadline.com/2022/09/box-office-smile-dont-worry-darling-harry-styles-1235131625/ Bros got 500K in previews. Oh well.
  7. Haven't looked at it super closely, but Amsterdam sales look alright in Philly so far, even taking out the IMAX Live showing. And people keep saying they're looking at promos and commercials for it everywhere.
  8. https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-prey-for-the-devil/ Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2022’s Upcoming Calendar (as of 9/29/22) Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Low/High Range Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor 10/7/2022 Amsterdam $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 +15% $40,000,000 – $65,000,000 +6% 2,500 Disney / 20th Century Studios 10/7/2022 Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile $18,000,000 – $23,000,000 $65,000,000 – $90,000,000 4,000 Sony / Columbia Pictures 10/14/2022 Halloween Ends $35,000,000 – $45,000,000 $65,000,000 – $84,000,000 Universal Pictures 10/21/2022 The Banshees of Inisherin Disney / Searchlight Pictures 10/21/2022 Black Adam $55,000,000 – $70,000,000 $135,000,000 – $175,000,000 Warner Bros. Pictures 10/21/2022 Ticket to Paradise $12,000,000 – $17,000,000 $40,000,000 – $65,000,000 Universal Pictures 10/21/2022 Untitled Paramount Paramount Pictures 10/28/2022 Prey for the Devil $6,000,000 – $11,000,000 $13,000,000 – $25,000,000 Lionsgate 10/28/2022 Tár (Nationwide Expansion; Limited on October 7) Focus Features 10/28/2022 Till (Wide Expansion; Limited on October 14) MGM / UAR / Orion
  9. Quorum Updates Halloween Ends T-15: 54.49% Awareness, 6.61 Interest Black Adam T-22: 52.49%, 5.94 Ticket to Paradise T-22: 29.89%, 5.21 Call Jane T-29: 17.94%, 4.77 Prey for the Devil T-29: 25.71%, 5.23 Creed III T-155: 31.09%, 5.46 Bros T-1: 34.78% Awareness, 4.7 Interest Comps (All Final): Dear Evan Hansen w/ 31.52% Awareness & 4.92 Interest, The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent w/ 33% & 5.04, Where the Crawdads Sing w/ 32.67% & 5.42, Easter Sunday w/ 26.34% & 4.64, Don't Worry Darling w/ 32.02% & 5.17 Final General Awareness: 28% chance of double-digit opening General Interest: 26% chance of double-digit opening Original - Low Awareness: 82% chance of over 5M, 45% over 10M Original - Low Interest: 28% chance of over 5M The Good House T-1: 18.62% Awareness, 4.63 Interest Comps (All Final): The Outfit w/ 15.05% Awareness & 4.97 Interest, Mr. Malcolm's List w/ 23.2% & 4.38, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris w/ 18.93% & 4.28, Vengeance w/ 18.09% & 5.55 Final General Awareness: 5% chance of double-digits General Interest: 26% chance of double-digits Original - Low Awareness: 0% chance of double-digits Original - Low Interest: 29% chance of 5M Smile T-1: 43.26% Awareness, 5.92 Interest Comps (All Final): Old w/ 34.26% Awareness & 5.62 Interest, Candyman 38.61% & 4.67, The Black Phone w/ 40% & 5.94, Nope w/ 44.26% & 6.08 Final General Awareness: 89% chance of double-digit opening, 83% over 20M, 69% over 30M General Interest: 100% chance of double-digit opening, 91% over 20M, 83% over 30M Horror Awareness: 100% chance of double-digit opening & 20M, 75% over 20M Horror Interest: 100% chance of double-digit opening, 75% over 20M, 50% chance over 30M Lyle, Lyle Crocodile T-8: 32.31% Awareness, 4.87 Interest Comps (All Final): Spirited Untamed w/ 38.66% Awareness & 5.2 Interest, Peter Rabbit 2 w/ 41.22% & 5.26, Ron's Gone Wrong w/ 26.4% & 5.05, Paws of Fury w/ 45.27% & 5.23 Final General Awareness: 28% chance of double-digit opening General Interest: 26% chance of double-digit opening Animation/Family Awareness: 0% chance of double-digit opening Animation/Family Interest: 57% chance of double-digit opening *Note the Final number for Lyle, Lyle Crocodile is subject to change*
  10. Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 87 336 18174 1.85% Comp 0.683x of F9 T-21 (4.85M) 0.237x of Black Widow T-21 (3.13M) 2.049x of The Suicide Squad T-21 (8.4M) 1.116x of Venom 2 T-21 (12.95M) 0.307x of Eternals T-21 (2.92M) 0.093x of The Batman T-21 (2.01M) 0.449x of Top Gun 2 T-21 (8.64M) 0.241x of Jurassic World 3 T-21 (4.33M) Little all over the place and these comps are obviously all subject to change. But even though it probably won't reach that high, being double The Suicide Squad with similar patterns seems very very good to me.
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