Eric Quinn

Moderation NOPE. We already talked about "what ruined Star Wars" for weeks now. We don't need to continue on longer. If you really think it's necessary to talk about this (it isn't by the way), go to the Fanboy Wars thread. Anybody else who continues this will get repercussions.

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 27 41 5,272 0.78% Total Seats Sold Today: 2 Comp 0.331x of Maleficent 13 days before release (760K)

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-does-the-invisible-man-show-breakout-potential-updates-on-bad-boys-for-life-dolittle-and-more/ 8-Week Tracking and Forecasts Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor 1/10/2020 1917 (Wide) $24,000,000 – $29,000,000 $27,000,000 13% $90,000,000 – $120,000,000 $100,000,000 6% Universal / DreamWorks 1/10/2020 Just Mercy (Wide) $11,000,000 – $16,000,000 $12,000,000 -14% $45,000,000 – $65,000,000 $51,000,000 -14% Warner Bros. 1/10/2020 Like a Boss $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $13,500,000 -21% $45,000,000 – $60,000,000 $45,000,000 -12% Paramount 1/10/2020 Underwater $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,500,000 $12,000,000 – $25,000,000 $14,000,000 -22% Fox 1/17/2020 Bad Boys for Life $21,000,000 – $31,000,000 $32,000,000 28% $70,000,000 – $100,000,000 $85,000,000 33% Sony / Columbia 1/17/2020 Dolittle $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $28,000,000 -30% $90,000,000 – $140,000,000 $102,000,000 -30% Universal 1/24/2020 The Gentlemen $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $38,000,000 STX 1/24/2020 The Last Full Measure n/a n/a Roadside Attractions 1/24/2020 Run n/a n/a Lionsgate / Summit 1/24/2020 The Turning $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $14,000,000 $25,000,000 – $40,000,000 $38,000,000 Universal 1/31/2020 Gretel and Hansel $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $5,500,000 $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000 United Artists Releasing 1/31/2020 The Rhythm Section $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000 Paramount 2/7/2020 Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $49,000,000 $100,000,000 – $150,000,000 $125,000,000 Warner Bros. 2/14/2020 Fantasy Island $17,000,000 – $22,000,000 $17,000,000 $44,000,000 – $57,000,000 $44,000,000 Sony / Columbia 2/14/2020 The Photograph $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $15,000,000 $30,000,000 – $42,000,000 $35,000,000 Universal 2/14/2020 Sonic the Hedgehog $20,000,000 – $30,000,000 $26,000,000 $65,000,000 – $100,000,000 $86,000,000 Paramount 2/21/2020 Brahms: The Boy 2 $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $8,000,000 $15,000,000 – $28,000,000 $17,800,000 STX 2/21/2020 Call of the Wild $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $15,000,000 $50,000,000 – $65,000,000 $50,000,000 Fox 2/28/2020 The Invisible Man $20,000,000 – $40,000,000 $30,000,000 NEW $60,000,000 – $105,000,000 $80,000,000 NEW Universal

October 23 Everybody’s Talking About Jamie: I like the premise, but I’m not a huge fan of the pre-Halloween release date. It’ll probably get lost in the shuffle once November rolls around. I don’t have anything else to say, and I want to get this month over with, so let’s just say this does around Judy numbers. 8/28 (3.5x)

October 16 Snake Eyes: This really does show how dire Paramount is at the moment. The previous GI Joe movies weren’t that big to begin with, so what shot does this spin-off have? Not even mentioning the creative team behind it. The director of Allegiant and the writer of Huntsman: Winter’s War doesn’t make me hopeful for anything good. Sorry Henry Golding. You deserve better. 18/43 (2.39x) Halloween Kills: While I’m optimistic for A Quiet Place’s sequel, I’m not seeing the same thing for this one. All the nostalgia and JLC hype from the first one will be nonexistent here, and I don’t feel like people were all that jazzed for the last Halloween in the first place, so a big drop should happen. But it could just get past the century mark, since there’s very little in the way of horror this October. 45/100 (2.22x)

https://deadline.com/2020/01/star-wars-rise-of-skywalker-the-grudge-uncut-gems-weekend-box-office-2020-1202820066/

We're sorry. Continue to post freely for the next day or so

October 9 Death on the Nile: Orient Express had a decent opening, but great legs through the November and December holidays, becoming a huge hit for Kenneth Branagh. The sequel though...I have concerns. Not only does its October release date mean it gets zero boost from the holidays, with a couple exceptions, the cast just isn’t really as fun or as buzzy, which was the big reason why people wanted to see the last movie. And I’d also argue that the majority of people who saw Orient Express liked it fine enough, but aren’t really jazzed for a follow-up. So there will be a drop in store, but probably still enough to make a good profit. 20/68 (3.4x) Fatale: Noticed the director for this also did Traffik, The Intruder, and Black and Blue, so I guess I know what to expect quality-wise. And I guess Black and Blue numbers sound about right for a no1curr surrounded by so many potentially buzzy projects. 7/17 (2.43x) Respect: Jennifer Hudson as Aretha Franklin is flawless casting. Just putting that out there. MGM is already starting their marketing campaign early with this one, and pushing this into awards season shows a lot of confidence here. Aretha Franklin’s also iconic in her own right, which only helps the movie’s chances. Obviously doing 75M or whatever would be great, but I’m gonna be optimistic and say this movie has something special up its sleeve. 25/115 (4.6x) The Witches: Burton’s Charlie and the Chocolate Factory aside, Roald Dahl adaptations have all gone down the same route. Mediocre or downright flop at the box office, gains a cult following years later. Considering this is a Zemeckis film, that sounds about right here. 15/50 (3.33x)

October 2 BIOS: I dig the plot for this. I’m a total sucker for these last man on Earth concepts. The only real issue I have is the director, whose last movie was Repo Man back in 2010. Then again, he did direct the one Game of Thrones episode nerds creamed over, so I guess maybe he just needs good material? Regardless, I think the concept is interesting enough that it could grab people’s attention, and having Tom Hanks as the lead certainly doesn’t hurt. 25/80 (3.2x) The Trial of the Chicago 7: As always, it’s hard to judge movies that will open in limited first and decipher their wide opening. But I have hopes for this one. Molly’s Game was solid, and there’s a great cast and story here that will make people invested. Pretty much all of this movie’s chances rest on the Oscar buzz, but let’s just be optimistic on this one. 25/105 (4.2x) Venom 2: KNOCK KNOCK LET THE DEVIL IN. As much as Venom took us by surprise, both in opening and legs, it didn’t have that great of legs. And while the Hardy and Harrelson ham will still attract people, I think others had their fill already with the first. But it’s still going to be a hit, and should help set up Venom 3, when Tom Holland puts it above 300M. 70/170 (2.43x)

A guy in the Tracking Thread said the movie reminded him of Devil Inside, which....woof

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 27 39 5,272 0.74% Total Shows Added Today: 1 Total Seats Added Today: 112 Total Seats Sold Today: 5 Comp 0.325x of Maleficent 14 days before release (747K)

OMFG YES THIS IS THE TRASH I CRAVE

The Grudge Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 26 542 3,882 13.96% Total Seats Sold Today: 420 Comp 1.263x of Crawl (1.26M) 0.833x of Scary Stories (1.94M) 2.794x of 47 Meters Down (1.44M) 0.156x of It: Chapter Two (1.64M) 2.710x of Countdown (1.4M) 1.376x of Doctor Sleep (2.06M) 3.638x of Black Christmas (837K) Really great jump. We'll see if it's just overperforming, but hopefully this leads to something positive.

September 25 Last Night in Soho: Edgar Wright finally hit the mainstream with Baby Driver, and is bringing Anya Taylor-Joy my Queen. Can he recreate the same success again? Probably. I’m sure Focus will put “from the director of Baby Driver” in all the marketing, and being a horror movie will help it play well through October. It won’t be as “fun” as BD was, but it’ll get a good-sized audience, and on the upper end of Focus’ releases. 22/85 (3.86x) The Many Saints of Newark: Downton Abbey saw great success last year, and I think it’ll replicate the same success if not better. At this point, there’s probably a good amount of nostalgia for Sopranos, and while obviously the lack of the original cast will diminish interest, I think WB will play their cards right and deliver something that can excite that fanbase. 35/105 (3x) Praise This: Even with Will Packer as a producer, the whole thing sounds pretty generic, and the director doesn’t give me all that much confidence. So...8/24 (3x)

September 18 The King’s Man: I was down on it last year, and I’m even more down on it this year. Simply put, who is this targeted movie to? The Golden Circle already put a bad taste in some people’s mouths, but this movie looks like it’s sucking away the wild, idiosyncratic tone that defines the series. This doesn’t even have Egerton and Firth, and nobody cares about Kingsman lore, so you’re already alienating the fanbase. I see little reason for newcomers to get invested, so you're losing potential new audiences too. And moving the movie to September after two whole trailers comes out that targeted for a February release...yeah, that’s basically Disney-Fox wanting it to die. Shoulda just gone with a Golden Circle follow-up. 20/50 (2.5x) The Mitchells vs. The Machines: After Sony redeemed itself with Into the Spider-Verse, we have another Lord/Miller produced animated feature. Hotel Transylvania aside, September animations haven’t really seen major box office success lately, and just reading the premise, I don’t really see the same thing here. I'm sure once we actually have footage I'll change my tune, but for now, I'm gonna say this will be on par with Smallfoot. 25/85 (3.4x) Without Remorse: A Tom Clancy adaptation starring Michael B. Jordan sounds good on paper. Sicario 2 wasn’t that great, but I think this could do well if the marketing delivers, especially since MBJ is growing to be a bigger name every year. Might as well be a touch more optimistic on this one. 30/95 (3.17x)

September 11 The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It: After solid initial success, The Conjuring Universe has seen some missteps. The Nun was a hit, but a critical dud. La Llorona was despised and ignored. Annabelle Comes Home brought back the Warrens, and it still became the lowest-grossing film in the franchise. What exactly is the hook for this one? Getting the La Llorona guy doesn’t help this movie’s case either. I just don’t see this one capturing the same success as the other post-Labor Day horrors, but the name brand should be enough for it to do...okay. 30/75 (2.5x)

September 4 Monster Hunter: Paul W. S. Anderson fucked up Resident Evil six times, so might as well fuck up another Capcom franchise! I’ve never played the games, but looking at the premise and first images, this seems like something that will piss off fans, which is never a good thing, and I doubt it will appeal to anyone else. The last Resident Evil movie barely got over 25M, so let’s just put that lower. 8/10/20 (2.5x, 2x)

Han's taking his sweet-ass time with his August stuff, so I'm just gonna throw out my September stuff now