Eric Quinn

lmao it's going to theaters no matter what

I honestly would have loved to see Alden as Han in a Disney+ show. Sure Lando and Qi'Ra would be conveniently absent outside of a cameo or two, but it coulda been cool

Peter Dinklage is totally going to be Grumpy. Tony Cox can be Doc I guess

Part A: 1. Will Godzilla make more than $47.5M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Godzilla make more than $62.5M? 2000 Yes 3. Will Godzilla make more than $55M? 3000 Yes 4. Will Godzilla plus pikachu make more than Rocketman Plus Ma? 4000 No 5. Will all three new entries combine to more than $120M? 5000 No 6. Will Rocketman make more $35M? 1000 No 7. Will Rocketman make more $42.5M? 2000 No 8. Will Ma make more $20M? 3000 No 9. Will Ma make more $25M? 3000 4000 No 10. Will Aladdin make more than $47.5M? 5000 No 11. Will Endgame drop more than 50%? 1000 No 12. Will Booksmart drop more than 57%? 2000 No 13. Will sun is also a Star's PTA increase this weekend? 3000 No 14. Will John Wick overtake Dumbo domestically by the end of Sunday? 4000 Yes 15. Will Pikachu do more or less Detective Work than the combined 5 Batmans that we have had to date? 5000 Can't you pick a better question? Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: 1.What will Godzilla's OW be? 63.7M 2. What will Dumbo's percentage drop be? -73% 3. What will be the difference in dollars between Ma and Rocketman's OW? 10.1M Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Godzilla: King of the Monsters 3. Rocketman 5. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum 7. Pokemon Detective Pikachu 10. A Dog's Journey 12. The Intruder

David Lowery was supposed to do Peter Pan, but he's been putting it off in favor of A24 projects and other stuff like Old Man and the Gun.

Ansel was enjoyable in Baby Driver. He was basically the straight man in a world full of crazy and eccentric characters, and he worked as a likable figure and as somebody the audience could relate to and see the world in. Maybe another actor could have added more charisma, but he worked okay.

I...didn't know that. Kind of makes her being a mother figure to the dwarves a bit more messed up. But even still, I think they'll cast older. Kristen Stewart was 22 when Snow White and the Huntsman came out, and Amanda Seyfried was 25 when she did Red Riding Hood (lol remember that hot mess?), and the character in the original story was like 8.

Isn't she a little young to play Snow White?

A Webb/P&P production sounds like a total nightmare that will probably make a lot of money and sexy legs.

https://deadline.com/2019/05/parasite-bong-joon-ho-us-opening-release-date-1202624421/

I still don't see people being excited to watch a movie starring a future puppy killer.

Variety really out here trying to be that guy smh

Forgot to post this before, but it's not very wise to compare movies that are two years apart. Online ticket sales have been growing year after year, so outside of maybe last year, it's usually unwise to look at 2017 data and say, "oh yeah, this 2019 movie's gonna be big". Of course doing better than Incredibles 2 is very very good

You say that, but just wait until Jungle Cruise makes $1B DOM

Frozen 2 reaching 200M wouldn't surprise me by the by @captainwondyful But admittedly, I would get a good-sized laugh if Toy Story, of all movies, was the one to get the 2nd biggest OW this year, beating out all the other Disneys with way more hype. This is the face of a BO Legend.

Alright, let's get back to the swing of things here... Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Secret Life of Pets 2 200 386 505 11 days 10 days 9 days Dark Phoenix 427 553 684 11 days 10 days 9 days Toy Story 4 2,996 1,744 24 days 23 days Spider-Man FFH 249 331 417 36 days 35 days 34 days Pets 2 Last 7 Days (15-9) 75% of Grinch (50.5M) 220% of Hotel 3 (97.2M) Day 25-9 74% of Grinch (50M) 233% of Hotel 3 (102.6M) So blah blah blah, two different comps giving two different results, don't know which one to believe. Kind of a broken record at this point. Dark Phoenix Last 7 Days (15-9) 29% of Venom (23.5M) 68% of Glass (27.4M using 3-Day, 31.7M using 4-Day) 68% of Shazam! (36.6M) Day 23-9 78% of Shazam! (41.5M) @DAJK Well, you might be right about SLOP2 underperforming, but as for your DP Over SLOP club...well.... Toy Story 4 First two days of presales 226% of Detective Pikachu (123M) 324% of Dumbo (149.1M) 311% of Shazam (166.7M) 308% of Aladdin (281.6M using 3-Day, 359.5M 4-Day) (Endgame deflation occurred at this time) 162% of Incredibles 2 (296.9M) Day 24-23 153% of Captain Marvel (235M) 387% of Aladdin (353.8M 3-Day, 451.6M 4-Day) 426% of Incredibles 2 (778.7M) So yeah, this is still going strong. I would say it's a bit too high, but with Deadline saying it's tracking to beat Incredibles 2, I guess anything is possible at this point. Either way, this is shaping up to be a fun movie to track, especially if this actually does break 200M. Far From Home Last 7 Days (40-34) 40% of Captain Marvel (60.8M) Day 50-34 61% of Captain Marvel (94M) It's a very tricky movie to comp for, with so few Tuesday movies out there. But I guess this is doing good?

I've been optimistic on this movie's chances, but I didn't think that was even remotely possible. This is going to be a fun movie to track

And like before, I'm only gonna look at the movie that started its first day of presales (technically) and maybe do the other upcoming releases in the morning. Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Men in Black 13 479 17 days 16 days First day of presales (I'm ignoring the 13 tickets sold on Tuesday) 36% of Detective Pikachu (19.6M) 41% of Aquaman (27.9M) 52% of Shazam (27.9M) Day 16 16% of Fallen Kingdom (23.5M) 41% of Aquaman (27.9M) 108% of Dumbo (49.8M) 99% of Dragon 3 (54.8M) 165% of Shazam (88.4M) So admittedly, I don't really think I have any good comp for MIB at the moment, but might as well take what I can get. Either way, this seems like a pretty mediocre start for the film, but anything can happen in the next two weeks

Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday Rampage 705 1,508 4,109 Truth Or Dare 385 760 2,133 Breaking In 727 1,204 2,899 Oceans 8 3,009 4,372 11,114 Hereditary 659 1,178 3,181 Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266 Mamma Mia 2 4,427 5,099 12,117 17,226 The Meg 1,539 2,944 6,723 16,202 Slender Man 177 418 1,091 3,737 Predator 1,295 2,476 4,545 13,063 A Star Is Born 9,115 11,383 22,641 21,501 Bohemian Rhapsody 7,255 9,026 12,546 26,476 Overlord 299 604 1,599 4,522 The Mule 791 1,779 3,882 6,235 Bumblebee 1,553 1,817 3,157 Escape Room 111 368 1,543 7,297 Upside 394 1,431 3,669 8,602 Glass 3,106 3,978 6,478 17,810 The Prodigy 161 359 847 2,288 The Curse of La Llorona 896 1,159 2,704 8,279 John Wick 3 7,867 10,932 18,211 31,028 Brightburn 554 858 1,596 3,329 Godzilla King of the Monsters 2,585 5,734 11,157 Rocketman 1,158 3,088 6,634 Ma 336 912 2,244 Godzilla Wednesday 61% of John Wick 3 (34.8M) 245% of The Predator (60.5M) 172% of Glass (69.5M using 3-Day, 80.1M using 4-Day) 48% of Fallen Kingdom (71M) 166% of The Meg (75.3M) 353% of Bumblebee (76.5M) 271% of Rampage (97.1M) Last 7 Days (8-2) 56% of John Wick 3 (31.7M) 143% of Glass (57.6M using 3-Day, 66.4M using 4-Day) 43% of Fallen Kingdom (64.5M) Day 18-2 45% of Fallen Kingdom (66M) I know people here might say "OMG 70M CONFIRMED", but I do think we need to step back a bit. Not only do the L7D and 18-2 comps point to the mid 60s, audience reception is still very much up in the air. But I do think crossing the 60M mark is very likely, and would of course be quite solid for this movie. Rocketman Wednesday 29% of A Star is Born (12.6M) 55% of Mamma Mia (19.1M) 60% of Ocean's 8 (24.8M) 53% of Bohemian Rhapsody (27M) 171% of The Mule (29.9M) 181% of The Upside (36.8M) I'd love for this to hit 30M+, but I don't think that's gonna be the case just yet. Maybe if walkups really pull through. The BR comp seems like the best one to use at the moment. Ma Wednesday 70% of Hereditary (9.6M) 141% of Brightburn (11M using 3-Day, 13.5M using 4-Day) 77% of Breaking In (13.6M) 140% of Overlord (14.3M) 265% of The Prodigy (15.5M) 105% of Truth or Dare (19.6M) 83% of La Llorona (21.9M) 206% of Slender Man (23.4M) 145% of Escape Room (26.5M) Pretty much all of the comps decreased from yesterday. That's not the worst thing, but 20M might be more of a challenge. Of course, this costs only $5M, so I don't think Jason Blum will be crying no matter what this makes.

I think the biggest issue is probably the pricing for comedies. Tickets at my local theater are $13.20 for a nighttime showing, and a lot of people aren't going to pay that kind of money for midbudget/low-budget fare anymore (minus horror, but I guess that's just because of the massive quality boost over the years, and the shared experience). Booksmart had a pretty strong marketing campaign, but nobody saw it, because it wasn't worth the price to a lot of people, or would have been better by renting it a few months later. Matt Zoller Seitz also did a Twitter thread a while back about how average wages staying stagnant, while the cost of living keeps going up has basically made moviegoing more of a luxury, made even worse with MoviePass flopping. Jake, Talis, and I talked in the previous weekend thread about how theaters need to do tiered pricing now if studios want to keep midbudget fare around longer (they'll probably focus on spending more on fewer movies tho). DAJK, you're a smart guy. Unless you lost a bet, you should have known better not to even bother seeing Gods of Egypt. Even pirated!

@DAJK

This got a good laugh out of me

How did I not know this existed lmao