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Eric the Clown

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Everything posted by Eric the Clown

  1. Oh yeah, forgot about Christopher Robin. Green Book has all the elements of a 100M sleeper hit. It's won multiple audience awards at many different festivals, and just about every review and tweet about the movie mentions it as a major broad crowdpleaser a la Wonder/The Blind Side/The Help/Hidden Figures/Crazy Rich Asians. I have faith in it. I was optimistic about Widows, but the tracking as of now has the film landing in the teens. It could go up thanks to its reviews and if the final marketing stretch delivers, but it's still in a crowded November frame with a slew of other films also targeting adults. Even with the Thanksgiving frame, it would have to open to Orient Express numbers for me to be really confident in 100M. And I guess with 2019 around the corner: 1. Glass 2. Lego 2 3. What Men Want 4. Alita 5. Dragon 3 6. Captain Marvel 7. Us 8. Dumbo 9. Shazam 10. Avengers 11. Aladdin 12. Godzilla 2 13. Dark Phoenix 14. SLOP 2 15. MIB 16. Toy Story 4 17. Ford v. Ferrari 18. Annabelle 3 19. Spider-Man: Far From Home 20. The Lion King 21. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 22. Hobbs & Shaw 23. It: Chapter 2 24. The Kitchen 25. Abominable 26. Gemini Man 27. Joker 28. Charlie's Angels 29. Terminator 30. Frozen 2 31. Queen & Slim 32. Jumanji 33. Cats 34. Star Wars 35. Little Women Damn, even next year might not beat the record.
  2. Black Panther Peter Rabbit Fifty Shades Freed Ready Player One A Quiet Place Avengers: Infinity War Deadpool 2 Solo: A Star Wars Story Incredibles 2 A Wrinkle in Time Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Ocean's 8 Ant-Man and the Wasp Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation Mission: Impossible - Fallout Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again The Meg Crazy Rich Asians Equalizer 2 The Nun Venom A Star is Born Halloween Christopher Robin Bohemian Rhapsody The Grinch Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald Ralph Breaks the Internet Green Book Creed II Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse The Mule Mary Poppins Returns Aquaman Bumblebee Don't know if the record's happening this year. I'm already feeling cautious on putting Creed in the list. We basically have to rely on some combination of Nutcracker/Widows/Instant Family/Vice for the record to be toppled.
  3. Timmy and Steve were fantastic, but the film really loses its momentum whenever Chalamet is off screen. The flashback scenes were especially bad and felt really superfluous. Still hits a lot of strong emotional beats, and it certainly got my fanboy ass teary-eyed. Van Groeningen was definitely smart to let his two talented lead actors breathe and take charge, because with any other cast, this would have been a disaster. Also I know it's weird to say, but Steve Carell was kind of a DILF in this. I've never found him attractive in things before, but his gray beard was just...yes.
  4. It's a slasher film, which historically have weak legs. If anything, the fact it didn't drop in the 60s like Happy Death Day and Scream 4 is pretty impressive. Anyway, Mid90s wide number is about the same as Eighth Grade when it went into 1,000 theathers (albeit ~200 less than Mid90s). Not bad for a movie that had less hype and a weaker PTA.
  5. https://deadline.com/2018/10/emilia-clarke-henry-golding-romantic-comedy-last-christmas-to-unwrap-november-2019-1202490546/ Releasing November 15, 2019. @aabattery @grim22 This movie also reminded me: whatever happened to that Jessica Chastain/Octavia Spencer Christmas movie? Is that still a thing, or...?
  6. @filmlover Seeing my beautiful boy in Beautiful Boy in 10 minutes
  7. If you bothered to read the link, you would know they’re basing the 175M off of a 45M weekend.
  8. https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-mary-poppins-returns-aquaman-bumblebee/ Mary Poppins: 30-50/350 (QUEEN BLUNT IS A DRAW YALL) Aquamayne: 40-60/175 Bumblebee: 15-25/100 Bohemian Rhapsody: 39/117 (+11%/+6%) Nutcracker: 20/76 (-5%) Spider's Web: 13/38 (-7%/-5%) Overlord: 9/25 (-14%/-17%) Widows: 16.5/65 (-18%/-17%)
  9. I was randomly scrolling through Fandango, and it seems there are some special sneaks a la ASIB at some of my Regal theaters near me for the Monday before opening day. Weird, but okay.
  10. Never subscribed, but this is disappointing, although it'll probably be absorbed in WarnerMedia's new subscription service.
  11. Runtimes w/out credits and attachments for next week's releases: Bohemian Rhapsody: 2:09. Attachments unknown (Widows and The Favourite are most likely, with an outside shot of that Deadpool Christmas thing) Nutcracker: 1:30. Attachments are Ralph and Aladdin for 2D, Aladdin and Dumbo for 3D. Nobody's Fool: 1:43. Attachments are Instant Family and What Men Want
  12. Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday A Wrinke In Time 4,864 15,601 A Quiet Place 2,177 4,003 10,665 Blockers 504 1,106 2,931 Rampage 705 1,508 4,109 Truth Or Dare 385 760 2,133 Super Troopers 2,825 3,447 6,881 I Feel Pretty 871 1,610 4,423 Avengers: Infinity War 49,836 54,892 68,826 206,000 Overboard 84 409 1,044 Breaking In 727 1204 2,899 Life Of The Party 587 1,310 3,010 Deadpool 2 23,134 28,896 41,212 Show Dogs 6 128 369 Book Club 836 1,599 3,283 SW: Solo 13,688 15,855 28,533 Action Point 17 48 197 Upgrade 9 119 522 Adrift 63 308 1,268 Oceans 8 3,009 4,372 11,114 Hereditary 659 1,178 3,181 Hotel Artemis 26 166 520 Incredibles 2 20,872 23,430 39,337 Tag 314 660 1,448 Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266 Sicario 2 788 1282 3,403 Uncle Drew 274 473 1,201 Antman & The Wasp 6,613 5,990 11,108 Purge (Wed) 2,885 8,308 Hotel Transylvania 3 1,753 2,674 6,605 14,754 Skyscraper 586 1,019 2,868 7,134 Mamma Mia 2 4,427 5,099 12,117 17,226 Equalizer 1,418 2,297 6,073 11,875 Unfriended 71 240 975 MI6 *3328 13,575 27,261 Teen Titans *462 2,125 4,526 Christopher Robin 1,560 2,442 5,355 11,509 The Spy Who Dumped Me 234 542 1,561 4,222 The Darkest Minds 130 244 579 1,777 Eighth Grade 494 508 720 936 Death of A Nation 148 194 375 1,239 The Meg 1,539 2,944 6,723 16,202 Slender Man 177 418 1,091 3,737 BlackkKlansman 432 682 1,934 5,017 Dog Days (Wed) 115 631 1,536 1,212 Crazy Rich Asians (Wed) 3,651 5,742 20,173 20,102 Alpha 181 283 943 2,069 Mile 22 282 519 1,833 5,200 Happytime Murders 382 *488 1,954 5,602 A.X.L. 32 *60 310 911 Kin 21 141 263 741 Operation Finale (Wed) 415 2,083 4,879 3,915 Searching 303 588 1,194 2,862 The Nun 2,082 5,938 13,806 28,881 Peppermint 286 863 2,508 4,441 God Bless The Broken Road 6 33 152 282 Predator 1,295 2,476 4,545 13,063 A Simple Favor 564 2,126 4,410 10,381 White Boy Rick 136 567 1,458 4,587 Unbroken 2 88 180 360 659 House With Clocks 897 1469 3607 8,074 Fahrenheit 11/9 164 281 713 1,715 Life Itself 79 162 394 953 Assassination Nation 36 94 382 Night School 1,045 1,756 3,566 Small Foot 734 1,261 2,448 Hellfest 195 304 661 Little Women 65 134 Venom 13,602 13,818 20,867 31,569 A Star Is Born 9,115 11,383 22,641 21,501 First Man 654 909 3,610 7,586 Goosebumps 2 300 631 1,733 3,615 Bad Times at the El Royale 264 481 1,257 3,350 Halloween 9,563 12,890 21,600 36,126 The Hate U Give (2K expansion) 1,026 1,542 1,559 2,055 Hunter Killer 91 368 1,062 2,726 Indivisible 33 89 204 440 *4pm-12am Movie/Day Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Bohemian 1035 1049 1547 1591 Nutcracker 191 204 239 287 Nobodys Fool 39 46 37 55 The Grinch 153 192 188 162 Spider's Web 0 0 24 12 Overlord 18 15 15 6 Fantastic Beasts 1018 769 891 924 Instant Family 0 4 15 6 Creed II 0 0 0 5 Green Book 0 1 0 4
  13. https://disneystudiosawards.com/mary-poppins-returns/consider LIN'S COMING FOR THE BEST ACTOR UPSET
  14. Hunter Killer 20 1428 1.40% 55% of The Foreigner (7.3M) 25% of The Commuter (3.4M) 64% of 12 Strong (10.2M) 42% of 15:17 to Paris (5.2M) 34% of Death Wish (4.4M) 64% of Adrift (7.5M) 33% of Skyscraper (8.3M) 46% of Mile 22 (6.4M) 41% of Peppermint (5.5M) Yawn.
  15. Yeah, but said fans skew older, and I don't think we'll see Queen fans create fake Twitter reviews and bots to slam The Nutcracker.
  16. Actually, BR's Pulse sales at this point in time are pretty close to ASIB at the same point in time (one week before release). ASIB is still edging it out, but that was more presales-driven due to Gaga's fanbase. 40+ is pretty likely, with 35+ being all but a lock IMO
  17. Also of note, Instant Family and Widows are tracking between 10-17M.
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