Eric the Clown

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 162 4423 31384 14.09% Total Seats Sold Today: 82 Comp - T-11 2.104x of Black Widow (27.77M) 4.184x of Shang-Chi (36.82M) 2.597x of Eternals (24.67M) 0.269x of Spider-Man: No Way Home (13.46M) 0.844x of The Batman (18.22M) 0.440x of Doctor Strange 2 (15.84M) 0.743x of Thor 4 (21.56M) 0.589x of Black Panther 2 (16.5M) 2.091x of Avatar 2 (35.55M)

LETS GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Still early, but 2023's starting to feel like a combination of 2019 and 2014. 2019 where there's major divides between the haves and have nots, with most of the haves coming from Disney, and a whole bunch of bombs. But also like 2014 where the highs really aren't all that high compared to previous years. I don't see any movie crossing 500M this year. But the one upside, unlike 2019, is that this March will have Creed 3, Scream 6, and John Wick all making very strong grosses, which shows the value in midbudget franchsies like these. Seeing those films soar will help ease the burn when the giant-budgeted Shazam and D&D crash and burn. Then you got Mario the first week of April, which means we'll have a fairly solid spring before the summer onslaught. Creed - 45 (honestly I think this would be a really good opening considering the lack of Rocky and no Thanksgiving holiday to boost it up) Scream - 40 Shazam - 35 65 - 10 Wick - 70 D&D - 15 All told, not a bad March.

Still, the biggest demo that came out was the 25-34 crowd at 30%. I do agree the lack of Rocky does alienate some of the crowd (and this is coming from somebody who really didn't care for Creed II and all the forced Rocky nostalgia bait), but that is something to consider that a big, young crowd still cares about these movies and I don't think it's entirely because of Stallone being in the background.

It's probably just going to be the same thing they've already done. A bunch of ABC and FOX shows have already been sold to different streamers. Desperate Housewives and Lost already air on like 2 or 3 different streaming services right now. Random Fox/Touchstone movies get plopped onto Amazon or Tubi for a couple months all the time. It's really not as big a deal as the press has been hyping this up as if I'm being honest.

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 162 4341 31384 13.83% Total Seats Sold Today: 78 Comp - T-12 2.145x of Black Widow (28.31M) 4.439x of Shang-Chi (39.06M) 2.636x of Eternals (25.04M) 0.284x of Spider-Man: No Way Home (14.19M) 0.852x of The Batman (18.4M) 0.439x of Doctor Strange 2 (15.79M) 0.750x of Thor 4 (21.74M) 0.588x of Black Panther 2 (16.47M) 2.153x of Avatar 2 (36.6M)

Done and done. Sorry I didn't do it sooner. Been preoccupied with other stuff today.

Discuss

Discuss

Finally a reason to get excited for this.

Okay. I wasn't talking about Knock at the Cabin. I was talking about why there weren't more mainstream LGBT movies in the 2000s and 2010s.

Still weird to me how we had so many prominent mainstream LGBT hits in the 90s with stuff like The Birdcage, Philadelphia, In & Out. Then like TV had Will and Grace and Broadway had Rent. And then there was like...no momentum once we got to the 2000s, apart from Oscar nominees like Brokeback Mountain and Milk. These kinds of comedies and dramas were still prominent and popular in the 2000s thanks to the home video market. But we barely got anything from mainstream Hollywood. Even in the early 2010s, when these types of midbudget movies were still a thing, we barely got crumbs despite Glee and Modern Family being on the air. I don't get it.

This is hilarious lol. Back in my day, we would have gotten one season a year. And we were happy with that!

The only Gay MovieTM that matters. Probably has Harrison Ford's finest acting performance in that movie.

Please do not put words into other user's mouths please.

Mah boi, you gotta use the Notes app on your phone to keep track of this stuff. You can't just use your memory.

I agree that people want sunshiny rainbow escapism, which is...a whole other gross can of worms. But using that to explain why a divisive film from a very divisive filmmaker, whose premise and ad campaign isn't as strong a hook or as easy to sell compared to a beach turning people old was, in a genre that while consistently a downer and sad and bleak is one of the few genres that consistently makes solid money...yeah no, I don't buy that "people don't wike being sad :(((((((" argument here. It'll be even funnier when Scream 6 and The Boogeyman both become hits.

Very sad I didn't get to do this eariler, but better late than never. 15x: Shazam! Fury of the Gods: Minions: The Rise of Gru, DC League of Super Pets, Don't Worry Darling, See How They Run, Ticket to Paradise, Till, The Banshees of Inisherin, Black Adam, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Strange World, The Fabelmans, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Round 2, Avatar: The Way of Water Round 2, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Round 2 8x: Oppenheimer: Nope, Jaws, Avatar, The Fabelmans, Avatar: The Way of Water, Avatar: The Way of Water Round 2, A Man Called Otto, Living 7x: Knock at the Cabin: Don't Worry Darling, The Fabelmans, Violent Night, M3GAN, Plane, The Whale, A Man Called Otto Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, The Menu, Strange World, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Round 2, Avatar: The Way of Water, Avatar: The Way of Water Round 2, A Man Called Otto Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse: Dog, Uncharted, The Guide, RRR, Avatar: The Way of Water Round 2, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Round 2 6x: Creed III: Till, Black Adam, Bones and All, Avatar: The Way of Water, Avatar: The Way of Water Round 2, Women Talking 5x: Plane: Dawn of the Dead 3D, Black Adam, Violent Night, Babylon, M3GAN Magic Mike's Last Dance: Bones and All, The Menu, Babylon, The Whale, A Man Called Otto John Wick: Chapter 4: Bullet Train, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Round 2, Plane, The Whale The Super Mario Bros. Movie: Black Adam, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Strange World, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Round 2 4x: M3GAN: Dawn of the Dead 3D, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Bones and All, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Round 2 Women Talking: Till, Bones and All, Armageddon Time, Corsage Chevalier: The Menu, The Whale, Women Talking, Living Book Club: The Next Chapter: Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Babylon, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Round 2, Women Talking 3x: The Whale: The Menu, The Fabelmans, Corsage Living: Till, Corsage, The Whale A Man Called Otto: The Banshees of Inisherin, The Fabelmans, Corsage House Party: Dawn of the Dead 3D, Black Adam, Violent Night Jesus Revolution: Ticket to Paradise, Plane, Living 2x: The Son: The Banshees of Inisherin, Armageddon Time Cocaine Bear: Violent Night, Babylon 65: Avatar: The Way of Water, A Man Called Otto Evil Dead Rise: M3GAN, Plane Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3: Avatar: The Way of Water Round 2, Plane The Little Mermaid: Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Round 2 The Flash: Uncharted, The Batman Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part 1: Top Gun: Maverick, Avatar: The Way of Water Round 2 The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes: Lightyear, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris Aquaman: The Lost Kingdom: Uncharted, The Batman

It's the weather. The wind chills here are absurd, with so many noreaster states feeling like single digits or sub-zero. New England was practically Antarctica yesterday, which is really bad for the audience intended for 80 for Brady. And sadly, today's not looking much better.

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 162 4263 31384 13.58% Total Seats Sold Today: 76 Comp - T-13 2.227x of Black Widow (29.4M) 4.530x of Shang-Chi (39.87M) 2.731x of Eternals (25.94M) 0.288x of Spider-Man: No Way Home (14.42M) 0.857x of The Batman (18.52M) 0.437x of Doctor Strange 2 (15.73M) 0.763x of Thor 4 (22.12M) 0.587x of Black Panther 2 (16.45M) 2.182x of Avatar 2 (37.09M)

https://thequorum.com/universal-has-been-pushing-oppenheimer-so-why-havent-the-tracking-numbers-improved/

Well this was talked about in the Tracking Thread earlier today. Might as well take a wack at it. Keep in mind I'm only looking at Final Awareness, because I wanted to be done with this quick and I don't have unlimited time on my hands. 2021 Awareness In terms of final awareness, teen% and 20% is good as dead. When your movie has final awareness in the 30s, you have a 40% chance of a double-digit opening and 10% chance of 20M. In the 40s? 86% chance of double digits, 57% chance of 20M, 43% chance of 40M, 28% chance of 70M. The 50s? 100% chance of 40M, 67% chance of 50M, and then 33% chance of 90M. And then you have F9 at 60% and No Way Home at 73%. Keep in mind we have a pool of only 27 movies. That's not great. 2022 Awareness Sub-30%, it's a 5% chance that you get to 10M. If it's in the 30s, you have a 39% chance to reach 10M and a 0% chance of 20M. In the 40s, 92% chance of 10M, 61% chance of 20M, 38% chance of 30M, 15% chance of 40M. Hit the 50s, 100% chance of 10M, 86% chance of 20M, 57% chance of 30M, 28% chance of 40M, 14% chance of 60M. In the 60s range, 100% chance of 50M, 87% chance of 70M, 75% chance of 100M. And then in the 70s, you got Avatar and The Batman, which are both only a couple thousand apart in their OWs. Huh. So I guess in 2022, the bar has gotten lower. If you were above 50% in 2021, you got a minimum of 44M. And in 2022, the minimum is 15M. But even then, it's kind of hard to say anything definitive for 2023 lowering the bar even lower, because we're only 5 weeks into the year and I only tracked six movies so far. Just kind of unfair. @M37 and @Favorite Fearless Legion since y'alls were in the conversation too.