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Everything posted by Eric the Clown
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I mean if M3GAN follows Scream for the rest of its run, it gets to 96.5M. I knowi t's not perfect since that opened on a holiday weekend, but there's nothing out next week, and no other heavy-hitters until Ant-Man (and even then, it's still got President's Day weekend). I can see it, at worst, being in the 98M range where Uni can fudge it to just over the century mark.
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Most of these are actually just IMAX science documentaries that play at museums for years and years and years. Like Space Station 3D for example premiered in 2002 and has been playing at random science museums since 2020. I'm sure some random museum is still playing it today, but BOM just doesn't track it post-COVID anymroe. Very easy to rack up coin when your movie plays on a loop for years and years and years.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric the Clown replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-26 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 162 3124 31384 9.95% Total Seats Sold Today: 104 Comp - T-26 3.299x of Black Widow (43.54M) 0.413x of Doctor Strange 2 (14.87M) 0.589x of Black Panther 2 (16.48M) -
Full Deadline chart The Whale's run has quietly been very impressive in our post-COVID, anti-specialty market, especially considering how polarizing it is. Depending on how well it does with the Oscar nominations this Tuesday and a potential Fraser win, it could reach 20M, which would place it in A24's top 10 grossers.
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Honestly I think it still can. Using the 72.6M total from Deadline, and if it follows Scream's run (yea, I know it had an MLK opening and isn't perfect), it still gets to about 95M. It has better WOM than Scream and isn't an established franchise, so I can also see it getting to about 97-98M, which is just enough for it to get fudged to the century mark. Plus it'll still play in big auditoriums until Ant-Man drops.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric the Clown replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 162 3020 31384 9.62% Total Seats Sold Today: 93 Comp - T-27 3.705x of Black Widow (48.91M) 0.414x of Doctor Strange 2 (14.89M) 0.578x of Black Panther 2 (16.18M) -
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No offense, but I feel like you kind of exaggerate Disney treating Fox as a "black sheep". There's definitely some they didn't give much attention to, but Jojo Rabbit was pushed as a major awards player with tons of festival play and Ford v Ferrari was also given hefty advertising as an event picture for adults. Free Guy was given plenty of heavy promotion and they even advertised the first trailer as "from the people who brought you Aladdin and Lion King twice". West Side Story, while a bomb, was given big promos at the Academy Awards and GMA, a 20/20 TV special, and a making of book. Prey was designed as Hulu's biggest movie event ever, The Menu got tons of adverts, The Last Duel got major festival play to hype up the movie. Even Barbarian, while limited in its promo, was devised that way because they knew the film had potential and wanted to advertise it as a "discovery". And for the ones you could argue they ignored, was stuff like Nile or Amsterdam or Empire of Light really going to make that much anyways?
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric the Clown replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Quorum Updates Alice, Darling T-1: 20.12% Awareness, 5.06 Interest A Good Person T-64: 17.19%, 5.17 Heart of a Lion T-99: 14.64%, 5.16 Book Club 2: The Next Chapter T-113: 13.59%, 4.42 Dune: Part Two T-288: 27.27%, 5.11 Missing T-1: 31.81% Awareness, 5.8 Interest Final Awareness: 38% chance of 10M Final Interest: 72% chance of 10M Jesus Revolution T-36: 14.42% Awareness, 4.76 Interest T-30 Awareness: 13% chance of 10M T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M Original - Low Awareness: 36% chance of 5M, 14% chance of 10M Original - Low Interest: 33% chance of 5M, 17% chance of 10M Cocaine Bear T-37: 29.93% Awareness, 5.8 Interest T-30 Awareness: 55% chance of 10M, 22% chance of 20M T-30 Interest: 80% chance of 10M, 70% chance of 20M Original - Low Awareness: 70% chance of 5M, 40% chance of 10M Original - Low Interest: 67% chance of 5M, 33% chance of 10M -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric the Clown replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-28 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 162 2927 31384 9.33% Total Seats Sold Today: 157 Comp - T-28 0.425x of Doctor Strange 2 (15.29M) 0.573x of Black Panther 2 (16.03M) -
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Short Weekdays thread Jan 17 to Jan 19
Eric the Clown replied to Borobudur's topic in Numbers and Data
This is a tough one for me. One of my local Regals is one of the ones listed. It was the one I always went to as a kid. I do understand why, because the place clearly hasn't been renovated since 2010, but it's still sad to see.