Eric the Clown

About to pull up my August predix, and looking things over YIKES that month looks UG-UL-EE. September isn't any better btw

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 25 33 5,566 0.59% Total Seats Sold Today: 1 Comp 0.289x of Maleficent 16 days before release (666K) 0.062x of Frozen II 16 days before release (529K)

The Grudge Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 26 61 3,882 1.57% Total Shows Added Today: 11 Total Seats Added Today: 795 Total Seats Sold Today: 28 Comp 0.622x of Crawl 2 days before release (622K) 0.313x of Scary Stories (729K) 1.089x of 47 Meters Down (562K) 0.424x of Doctor Sleep (635K) 1.298x of Black Christmas (298K)

Still a night to remember lol

Can’t wait for Greta Gerwig’s live-action Frozen!

July 31 Barb and Star Go to Vista Del Mar: Kristen Wiig and the writer of Bridesmaids team up again to star in a new comedy? Cool! The director’s major works are random episodes of ABC sitcoms? Uh...okay? A marketing campaign that hides the face of the actresses for no reason? Why? I’m sure the movie will be fun enough, but its campaign is just too strange at the moment, and I think most people are confused at this movie rather than intrigued. Unless this is a critical darling, The Spy Who Dumped Me numbers sound about right. 10/28 (2.8x) Morbius: Even with the Marvel connections, a Jared Leto vampire movie from Sony sounds similar to Screen Gems franchises like Underworld or Resident Evil. I’m sure once a trailer drops, I’ll change my mind, but this just doesn’t sound all that appealing to the GA. We’ll see. 18/40 (2.22x)

July 24 Jungle Cruise: Despite Disney’s massive dominance at the box office, live-action material that isn’t a remake has really struggled. And while I see the potential, I don't see this bucking the trend. Reactions to the trailer when it first dropped felt kind of muted, and coming off the heels of two Jumanji movies, this could be an Abominable situation where people just aren’t interested in seeing The Rock in yet another jungle movie. But I think it will get across the century mark, although it wouldn’t surprise me if just barely, as it is one of the last family movies of the season, and arguably the last major biggie of the summer. Should help its legs at least. 35/115 (3.29x)

July 17 Bob’s Burgers: Of all the Fox shows you could make into a movie, why Bob’s Burgers? It’s not super obscure, and it has grown its audience thanks to TBS and Adult Swim reruns. But it’s more of a cult hit than anything else, and I’d argue there’s a bit of a crossover audience with Tenet. Teen Titans Go opened to about 10M, and that seems about right for this movie too, although I doubt legs will be as strong. 10/25 (2.5x) Tenet: Papa Nolan has returned to save cinema! So far, the marketing has done a great job in selling the film without even detailing the plot or characters. People are digging the Inception vibes, Nolan's biggest non-Batman release, and this seems to promise a lot of cool action set pieces that will entice a lot of moviegoers. With August looking like a complete wasteland, that will only further help the movie's legs. Get ready to see JDW become a superstar like his old man. 70/240 (3.43x)

July 10 Ghostbusters: Afterlife: I know a lot of people are going nuts for the teaser, but....I don't know. Say what you will about the 2016 reboot, but I think it’s fair to say the toxic reactions toward that film have really damaged the Ghostbusters brand to the GA that even with the old gang back, I doubt even nostalgia will help it all that much. Still, Ghostbusters is a recognizable enough name, and buzz from the trailer so far is good enough that it should at least cross the century mark, though probably under the 2016 film. So hey, consolation prize for fans of that movie. 45/120 (2.67x) The Purge 5: The last movie went down a touch, but nothing drastic. The fanbase still likes checking these movies out, and I trust Jason Blum to add a new twist here that will make people excited for this one too. Still down from the last movie, but good enough that we should still get at least one more movie. 28/65 (2.32x)

July 3 Free Guy: I’m sure the trailer has its fans, but I’m not sure if it was that effective in selling people on the movie. It sold the basic premise, but the plot is kind of hard to pin down, and I think that’s a detriment to an original movie like this. And with all the competition surrounding it, I’m hesitant on it being a stand out. Maybe Disney/Fox will do better in getting the geek crowd interested, but I have my doubts. But at the very least, it should still play well to Reynolds’ fanbase. 30/85 (2.83x) Minions: The Rise of Gru: The Secret Life of Pets was liked by critics and audiences, albeit one can argue many were just indifferent, and its sequel still dropped more than half from its predecessor. Meanwhile, Minions was strongly disliked by many, while Despicable Me 3 had pretty “meh” reception too. I guess July is empty enough, especially stuff for kids, that it won’t do that bad. But I feel like at this point, a lot of people’s interest and excitement for the Minions have died down due to the last couple movies just not really landing, and I think people are getting tired of them. The common consensus with people on BOT is about 200M, but I’m gonna go lower. Way lower. Hey, it is the controversial predictions thread. Get ready for an epic drop this summer, because this movie’s going to go low. Yes, even below Pets 2. 40/135 (3.37x)

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 25 32 5,566 0.57% Total Shows Added Today: 1 Total Seats Added Today: 86 Total Seats Sold Today: 0 Comp 0.278x of Maleficent 17 days before release (640K) 0.076x of Frozen II 17 days before release (651K) I mean...there's a new comp.

The Grudge Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 15 33 3,087 1.07% Comp 0.500x of Crawl 3 days before release (500K) 0.268x of Scary Stories (625K) 0.733x of 47 Meters Down (378K) 0.333x of Doctor Sleep (500K) 1.064x of Black Christmas (245K) Eh, I guess this is alright? We'll see how ticket sales the next couple days and walk-ups affect the movie

@CoolioD1 Before you ask, yes you can make fun of me when my Soul prediction doesn't pan out. I don't know about Han tho Oh and happy birthday

I want to have a very Chalamet Christmas next year, so eff that idea

June 26 In the Heights: Lin-Manuel Miranda had already graced his artistic excellence on Broadway and at Disney. But now, he’s here with the redeemed Jon Chu with the film adaptation of the show that got his name on the map. Lin’s name is still big, and the trailer promises plenty of amazing music and dancing that will excite a lot of people. In fact, exciting a lot of people. There already seems to be a huge amount of excitement going off the trailer, and this hype seems like something that could continue. The rest of the film honestly looks like an effective crowdpleaser too. And with this basically being the only major non-superhero release this summer that’s really targeting adult women, this should be another notch in both Lin and Chu’s film careers. And you know what, let's just say this is gonna have legs for days too. I'll be controversial I guess. 50/190 (3.8x) Top Gun: Maverick: Admittedly, I don’t think it was the best idea to do a year-long marketing campaign for this, and this probably would have been a bigger deal a few years ago. But while there are a lot who are pessimistic on the film, I think this could surprise. Top Gun is still an iconic film that was a box office monster back in the day (adjusts to over 433M today), and I’d argue has a lot of nostalgia towards Gen Xers and boomers. And unlike, say, Terminator or Charlie’s Angels, this is the first time we’re seeing anything Top Gun related since the original film, so it’s not like the property is oversaturated or full of mediocre sequels or remakes. If the Cruise Missile really delivers on the flight scenes, even better. In a way, the only real drawback is just coming out on the heels of Wonder Woman and Soul. I mean I’m being very optimistic towards both, especially Soul. But if you took out one of the two, I would be more confident in something like 180M, especially with how mediocre the first half of July looks (again, we’ll get to that tomorrow). But at this point, I'm sure Paramount will take anything. 45/140 (3.11x)

June 19 Pete Davidson Comedy: After breaking up with Ariana, Pete Davidson’s celebrity status has gone down quite a bit. But Apatow’s still a savvy director who knows how to boost an actor’s career. Considering comedies are dead, I doubt this will even get close to Trainwreck. But I guess as long as the laughs deliver, this should do okay and maybe help Davidson get another acting gig before 2icide Squad drops next year. 20/70 (3.5x) Soul: Pete Docter is back with a new existential adventure that will make grown adults cry, and it’s going to be a real stunner next year. Viewership for the teaser is on par with the recent trailer for Trolls and Spongebob, which is great for a completely original film like this. And outside of that, this looks to have all the Pixar goods Fun visuals, a creative world, mature themes, the whole kibosh. And with the great Pete Docter on board, we should hopefully expect amazing WOM to boot. Minions will be a bit of a bump (though not that much. More on that tomorrow), but I think it should still at least be in the top three of the summer. And while what I’m saying seems very unrealistic...well, this is the controversial predictions thread. 107/400 (3.74x)

June 12 Candyman: This is one of the more interesting films this year box office wise. Jordan Peele’s already had great success as a director, but this is his first major role as a producer on a film he didn’t make. (I know he produced BlacKkKlansman, but his name wasn't really a focal point in the advertising) I’ll admit I know very little about Candyman, and I don’t really see it being discussed outside of the horror community, so I have doubts on any GA appeal. But it’ll probably be cheap enough and get enough conversation amongst horror fan communities to help put Monkeypaw on the right track when it comes to their productions. 13/32 (2.46x)

June 5 Wonder Woman 1984: Cue that one guitar sample (Fuck WB for not putting it in the trailer btw)! Wonder Woman was a smash success when it first came out, with a great opening and legs for days. The trailer looks to continue with all the great stuff that the first movie had, while also bringing in a fun ‘80s setting and wild action setpieces. With how much people loved the first film, this already has a large established audience, and reruns on TV have helped keep the movie alive. I feel confident Patty Jenkins has something special up her sleeve that will make people love this one just as much, if not more. And just to spoil things early, I think this will be the #1 movie of the year. So to all the people who do nothing but complain about Disney, at least you’re getting something. Ride that lightning baby! 155/475 (3.06x)

lol