Eric the Clown

Moderation @Curtis1986 @BestPicturePlutoNash Hush.

Looked up Atom's poll from last year. This was the Top 10 Wasn't exactly how things turned out, but almost all the stuff that landed here made a lot of money, so it works. Obviously these Atom and Fandango things won't be 1 to 1 to the rest of the year (they poll this stuff in December after all), but I agree with you that these polls generally do point towards what's trending and interesting to people.

@WrathOfHan It seems we're both men of culture and agree Genesis does what Nintendon't. Oh yeah, and the rest of February will come later. I want to enjoy my Boxing Day.

February 14 Fantasy Island: I WANT IT. I GOT IT. Remaking the cheesy 70s television show into a Blumhouse joint will definitely get some people turning their heads. But while the trailer is fun and cheesy enough, it’ll probably do typical Blumhouse fare, though it should be a good option for teens and couples this Valentine’s Day. Better than Happy Death Day 2U at least. 18/23/40 (2.22x, 1.74x) The Photograph: This should be a modest success too. Will Packer definitely has an audience, there’s a solid cast, and it seems romantic enough to get that Valentine’s money. 25/30/70 (2.8x, 2.33x) Sonic the Hedgehog: The homie Han and I are both on to something here. People are trashing and making fun of this film, but this has a great shot to surprise. The film’s been talked about for more than a year, and I think everybody knows what the movie is all about at this point. And while there are plenty of people still unimpressed and snicker at the idea of this being a hit, I think this has a shot to surprise people. The film’s been in the conversation since the initial teaser poster, and the redesign has helped make the film a discussion point. The new look is making a lot of fans and people happy, and I think the whole “listening to fans” thing is strangely enough a hook. It’s the first time in a long time a studio is listening to fans, and I think that will make people curious. With little major competition when it comes to families until Onward, this could make a pretty penny and possibly even above Pikachu, unless reviews are godawful (which is not impossible! We know how bad Sonic can be sometimes). 50/57/160 (3.2x, 2.81x)

February 7 Birds of Prey (and the Long-Ass Subtitle): If you talked to me a year ago, I would have said this was an easy candidate for a 100M OW. Harley Quinn and an all-female villainess team? Just seems like something that's easy to sell. But now, the first trailer kind of felt like it came and went, and even though it is Christmas, I feel like buzz and interest for this should be a lot more prominent than it feels right now. Regardless, Harley still has her fans, there’s little in terms of direct competition, and this is basically the first event film since Star Wars. With President’s Day the following weekend, I think that’s enough to still put it at a healthy gross. Though it wouldn’t surprise me if the movie delivered boffo numbers. 65/170 (2.61x)

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 24 29 5,480 0.53% Total Seats Lost Today: 1 Comp 0.305x of Maleficent (702K) lol

I dunno man, I felt that with the reviews and prestige and famous novel, it could have done something like 8M or 9M for its OD.

Using the 2013 Xmas Day openers as a comparison: Wolf of Wall Street: 9.15 Walter Mitty: 7.8 47 Ronin: 7 Grudge Match 3.96 Yeah, that seems pretty poor for both Little Women and arguably Spies, though great for Gems, though we'll see if WOM will be on that movie's side.

January 31 Gretel & Hansel: For what it is, this could do okay. The director is Oz Perkins, who has done good stuff before, and the trailer is effective enough in both getting good scares and laying out the story. I don’t think this can recreate the success of The Witch, but it should be good enough to make people want to check it out and do okay business for MGM. 7/20 (2.86x) The Rhythm Section: Sorry @Nova, but this is a no1curr, and even Paramount knows it. It's not even worth giving an analysis towards. 12/30 (2.5x)

January 24 The Gentlemen: The follow-up to Guy Ritchie’s billion-dollar smash, this should do fine. Reviews are good, trailer’s fun, cast is cool. No breakout, but it’ll play well for the next couple weeks. 12/40 (3.33x) The Last Full Measure: I didn't even know what this movie was until today. Apparently it's a war movie and it has a bunch of Marvel actors and Christopher Plummer? I don't know. I didn't care about this, and I'm pretty sure most people won't. 3/9 (3x) The Turning: There’s one or two okay scares in the trailer, and the cast is decent. Butthis looks a little too generic, and with all the horror competition, this doesn’t seem to have enough of the goods to make it stand out. Not much else to add frankly. 8/20 (2.5x) Also apparently there's a movie called Run that's supposed to open on this weekend? There's no trailer in sight, so I'm just gonna assume it's getting pushed back.

January 17 Bad Boys For Life: Does anyone really care about this? Bad Boys 2 was already a long time ago, but do people really want what looks to be a watered-down, Bayless sequel? Buzz feels super muted at this point and the marketing doesn’t look like it’s hooking people. It could probably still get to at least 20M thanks to the name and Will Smith, but this isn't hot. 25/30/70 (2.8x, 2.33x) Dolittle: This won’t be as big of a bomb as the film looked like on paper and after it got pushed back several months. But a hit? Probably not. I have sincere doubts about the movie’s quality, and I don't think kids are all that interested. Trailer views are massive, though it could be inflated by RDJ’s presence in his first post-Endgame role. Regardless, the cast is still big, and I guess it’s goofy and crazy-looking enough to make people curious to check it out so I guess it’ll do fine enough. 35/42/120 (3.43x, 2.86x)

January 10 1917: Like with any expansion, it's hard to really pinpoint what is going to happen, especially with no PTAs to base it off of. But this should do quite well. Not just because of the strong awards attention the movie has already recieved, but its theatrical quality. The "no-cut" editing and the scope of the film makes it seem like something special and worthy of seeing on the biggest screen possible. Lone Survivor did about 125M a few years back, so cutting out a couple dollars to compensate for the lack of starpower....30/110 (3.67x) The Informer: This went through two 2019 release dates, has poor reviews, and zero marketing. I rest my case. 2/6 Just Mercy: Jamie Foxx aside, and even then not that much, there hasn't been a whole lot of discussion from critics and awards pundits, so I don't think there's going to be a lot of excitement for this. But reviews are good and it should be a quality crowdpleaser, though it will definitely not turn the tide when it comes to Warner Bros. and adult dramas. 15/50 (3.33x) Like a Boss: Well, would you look at that. Like Grudge and Informer, we have yet another January release that was intended for last year. But this should do better. I didn’t care for the trailer, but director Miguel Arteta has made decent stuff before, and all three leads have their fanbases, so even if the film is bad, it can at least coast on that. It won’t do anything exceptional, but I think it’ll do fine enough and make a tidy little sum. 15/45 (3x) Underwater: It's a horror movie that was filmed in 2017, hasn't seen the light of day since then, and has TJ Miller, the unfunniest man alive. Yikes burger! 5/10 (2x)

January 3 The Grudge: Another early January horror movie is thrown in. This time, it's one that was supposed to come out last year (that’s gonna be a pattern for this month btw). It wouldn't surprise me if this one surprises. The trailer is effective enough, and Raimi's producer credit doesn't hurt. But on the other hand, is The Grudge really that exciting of a brand to people, or something people are nostalgic for? I'm just gonna say it does on par with The Forest or Underworld. 13/28 (2.15x)

Man, this whining over Star Wars sure is boring. Say, @WrathOfHan, could you be an Informer, and tell me what are you planning for tonight? I know that I'm going to Dolittle, but I think it would be nice if we did something together. We can be a team like Gretel & Hansel. I mean, I'd say we're Bad Boys for Life, so let's do something together and crush it Like a Boss before this forum goes Underwater and I start Turning and holding a Grudge against people. We're both great Gentlemen, no? The Last Full Measure and The Rhythm Section

Like....why would I not pick a lightsaber and especially the Force?

Banning still arrives

Don't do that.

Pretty sure that's a preview, because I didn't see any ads for it premiering on Christmas Eve. I guess since Adam Sandler's Jewish, he just decided to give his fans an early Chrismukkah present

Did a cursory glance at the theater I'm seeing The Timothee Chalamet Movie at (only 80 more minutes :D), and that's about the same, though some movies are doing better than others. Bombshell is almost a full house, but it only has one showtime today (lmao damn)

https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/forum/65-box-office-clubs/

😘😘😘😘

...there were previews on Christmas Eve?

I don't know, I heard their room service is trash (I'll be here all week)