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Everything posted by Eric Deetz
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I'd also argue half the time, these reports mean nothing? I'll never forget how all these scooper bros swore up and down, left and right, that Dial of Destiny was amazing and that Mangold made a banger. That didn't happen. I feel like all the hype from those guys solidified to me that it's not worth listening to this kind of stuff.
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No matter if it's Jeff Sneider or Daniel RPK or whoever, and no disrespect to our fellow user ViewerAnon, but I treat the word of these scooper bros like it's nothing. Test screenings are just that. A "test". Things can change drastically, everybody has their own sources that could be given different reports, and half the time, early word can often be inconsistent. Even if this movie does stink, their word doesn't mean nothing. And this forum would be a million times better not listening to any of these jokers.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Deetz replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Quorum Updates Horizon: An American Saga Part 1 T-53: 19.32% Awareness, 36.08% Interest Harold and the Purple Crayon T-88: 15.7% Awareness, 35.05% Interest Cuckoo T-95: 13.62% Awareness, 41.5% Interest Smile 2 T-165: 23.18% Awareness, 46.57% Interest The Best Christmas Pageant Ever T-186: 5.38% Awareness, 24.54% Interest Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes T-4: 63.83% Awareness, 57.81% Interest Final Awareness: 92% chance of 30M, 87% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 62% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M, 37% chance of 80M, 29% chance of 100M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 90% chance of 40M, 80% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M, 40% chance of 80M, 20% chance of 100M Final Interest: 46% chance of 40M, 32% chance of 50M, 24% chance of 60M, 17% chance of 70M, 15% chance of 80M, 12% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M Tentpole Interest: 92% chance of 40M, 69% chance of 50M, 61% chance of 60M, 38% chance of 70M, 31% chance of 80M, 15% chance of 100M Back to Black T-11: 28.66% Awareness, 39.27% Interest Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M Final Interest: 15% chance of 10M, 8% chance of 20M Low Interest: 13% chance of 10M, 9% chance of 20M IF T-11: 51.58% Awareness, 52.12% Interest Final Awareness: 92% chance of 20M, 72% chance of 30M, 36% chance of 40M, 24% chance of 50M, 16% chance of 60M Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 30M Final Interest: 78% chance of 20M, 59% chance of 30M, 46% chance of 40M, 32% chance of 50M, 24% chance of 60M Animation/Family Interest: 100% chance of 50M, 60% chance of 90M, 40% chance of 100M The Strangers: Chapter 1 T-11: 33.35% Awareness, 48.49% Interest Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M Horror Awareness: 43% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M Horror Interest: 42% chance of 10M, 10% chance of 20M Bad Boys: Ride or Die T-32: 57.97% Awareness, 61.32% Interest Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 95% chance of 30M, 89% chance of 40M, 79% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 53% chance of 70M, 37% chance of 80M, 32% chance of 100M Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 67% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 100M Final Interest: 100% chance of 70M, 80% chance of 100M Medium Interest: 100% chance of 70M -
Such different times we live in. Kung Fu Panda 3's China gross was a whopping 41% of the OS total. Kung Fu Panda 4's China gross is only 15%. Like obviously there's a ton of political reasons why, so it's not surprising, but good thing the rest of the world decided they wanted to see a new Kung Fu Panda now instead of 8 years ago.
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The Garfield Movie | Sony | May 24, 2024
Eric Deetz replied to AMCTheater2000's topic in Box Office Discussion
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Deetz replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Quorum Updates The Garfield Movie T-22: 47.67% Awareness, 49.72% Interest Sight T-22: 12.45% Awareness, 34.09% Interest Inside Out 2 T-43: 51.81% Awareness, 51.92% Interest Twisters T-78: 43.23% Awareness, 55.89% Interest Venom: The Last Dance T-176: 34.34% Awareness, 54.83% Interest Red One T-197: 21.46% Awareness, 40.77% Interest Tarot T-1: 31.85% Awareness, 46.1% Interest Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M Horror Awareness: 46% chance of 10M, 8% chance of 20M Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M Horror Interest: 44% chance of 10M, 11% chance of 20M The Fall Guy T-1: 48.77% Awareness, 51% Interest Final Awareness: 79% chance of 10M, 45% chance of 20M, 26% chance of 30M, 17% chance of 40M Tentpole Awareness: N/A Final Interest: 91% chance of 10M, 78% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 46% chance of 40M Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 40M Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes T-8: 64.05% Awareness, 57.39% Interest Final Awareness: 92% chance of 30M, 87% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 62% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M, 37% chance of 80M, 29% chance of 100M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 90% chance of 40M, 80% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M, 40% chance of 80M, 20% chance of 100M Final Interest: 46% chance of 40M, 33% chance of 50M, 24% chance of 60M, 17% chance of 70M, 15% chance of 80M, 12% chance of 90M, 9% chance of 100M Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 67% chance of 60M, 42% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 80M, 17% chance of 100M A Quiet Place: Day One T-57: 28.05% Awareness, 51.2% Interest T-60 Awareness: 59% chance of 10M, 30% chance of 20M, 11% chance of 30M, 8% chance of 40M Horror Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M, 8% chance of 40M T-60 Interest: 97% chance of 10M, 91% chance of 20M, 83% chance of 30M, 71% chance of 40M Horror Interest: 80% chance of 10M, 60% chance of 30M, 20% chance of 40M -
2025 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
Eric Deetz replied to YM!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
Hell, in general, this year looks like the one that will cause World War 3 on BOT. A Michael Jackson biopic, Passion of the Christ 2, Snow White with a non-white lead, three Marvel movies that all have bomb potential, a Superman movie trying to start a new shared universe. Like, there's going to be so much drama next year. It's gonna suck! -
2025 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
Eric Deetz replied to YM!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
This is like Barbenheimer for the worst kinds of people. -
I mean I buy the IF tracking. Haven't paid attention to sales or whatever, but this fits well in the same vein as a lot of other movies that aren't based on big IP, but have major starpower to compensate. Fall Guy, Free Guy, Lost City, Bullet Train, Nope if you want to add in directors. The higher-end of those do about 90-120M. So in normal circumstances, it would have probably opened in the 30s. But then you have a market that hasn't gotten anything since March, and you get a solid 10M bump for its opening. It all makes sense in my opinion. Though I will say, and I'm sure it's hysterical to the kiddies, but when your trailer ends with a gummy bear farting, I do question its potential quality.
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Moderation If you continue this nonsense any further, you will leave me with no other choice but to give you a thread ban. And I know that's not what you want. I love you. I mean I've liked some of the songs she's done, but I don't hardcore stan her the way I do Beyonce or Gaga. But thanks for the suggestion mate
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Do they though? Like 80% of all the movies that are hits post-COVID are still NTCs designed to be part of bigger franchises that make shareholders happy. Even Dune qualifies here. I have a Paul Atreides action figure in my house. Toys and merch were part of its reason to exist. The only other hits this year have been Kung Fu Panda and Godzilla X Kong. And you know darn well what type of movie those are. Sorry mate, but the people just want the same old slop.