miketheavenger

A sub-55% drop for GotG Vol. 2 against WW is really good. 400m is most likely ead, but 390 can still happen.

I think it's gonna pass 850m. At least 30m more in the U.S. (possibly 35m more) and about 5m more OS should be enough.

The OS number maybe a bit generous, but otherwise I completely agree with you. And 600m+ WW for a Wonder Woman movie is excellent in my book.

People are letting their personal feelings of the movie get in the way. Doctor Strange which also had great word-of-mouth and the holidays "only" managed a 2.75x (which is still really good). That seems like the high end for the multi for WW IMO.

Highly, highly unlikely, but reactions would be hysterical if it did it.

3rd trend has everything going up again like we hoped. PotC5: 400k (-30%/-40%) Baywatch: 400k (really good start considering the weather) Alien - Covenant: 65k (-25%) GotG Vol. 2: 60k (-28%)

Great Saturday and the weekend should be slightly above 100m. However, I still don't see it having more than a 2.75x multiplier. Competition is not weak.

I liked all DCEU movies so far (I'm weird, I know). Man of Steel is awesome, BvS is kind of a mess, but an interesting one at that and SS is an even bigger mess, but still fun thanks to the cast.

Why does anybody still pay attention to Armond White? He's a troll, nothing more.

Definitely, and not just the wheelfight. The opening scene with Jack and the native islanders is action-comedy gold.

I think CotBP is the best one by a good margin, but DMC is definitely underappreciated.

Duh. What a brainfart on my part lol.

Han Solo, Deadpool 2, Incredibles 2 and Jurassic World 2. What's the fifth one?

WW is doing like I expected. O/U 100m was always the Benchmark IMO. People just got way ahead of themselves with overpredictions the last couple of weeks. I feel the same will happen with Black Panther, Justice League and possibly most other comic book films.

GotG2 also dropped from first numbers. Looks like the hold was too good to be true. Hopefully it can at least reach 10m.

It's not, actually. Catwoman and Elektra happened, as much as we want to forget them. Obviously WW has much more going for it than those films, but it being the first female-led superhero film is factually wrong. It's merely the first well-received female-led superhero movie.

Box office-wise, September/October look quite strong this year. Much better than August, actually.

The Variety report literally says it could take in as much as 40m, it doesn't say it will do 40m or more. That is a good sign, but let's wait for Rth and/or later updates to see where exactly this is heading.

This thread is dangerously close to turning into a trainwreck.

This number seems really good to me. I never believed that this could challenge SS's OW, much less GotG2, but it doesn't need to. A 100m OW would keep Man of Steel's total in sight. A Wonder Woman movie beating a Superman movie would already be an amazing success in my book. But even if it doesn't go that high, it will definitely be a big hit and that's really all that we should want.

Bad compared to most people's expectations on this forum. However, 80-90m obviously would still be a success, especially since it should have solid legs.

Even with the NBA finals, I think this needs at least 11m in previews for 100m OW to happen. Let's see if it does.

Deadpool also had Valentine's Day on Sunday, so it's not a good comparison IMO.

WW doesn't need to reach SS's OW to be a huge success. It's got a lower budget and will probably have much better legs, so I'm sure WB will be very happy with 100-110m, and you should be, too.

Since it hasn't been updated so far, I've posted the chart for the weekend if that's okay. Overall a disappointing weekend thanks to near-perfect weather. PotC5 opened much lower than the previous films (with rainy weather it could've done close to 1m) and 3m total seems hard unless it has great legs. Most other films experienced ugly drops, but family stuff held on nicely. Alien: Covenant might make around half of what Prometheus did, and GotG2 is now the second-most-attended MCU movie and it could still catch Avengers 2 to claim the top spot. Next weekend: Baywatch is the big opener for next weekend and it's a bit of a wildcard IMO. The TV show was huge here back in the '90s (maybe even bigger than it was in the US) and there is buzz, but the beautiful weather could keep it from its full potential. I expect an opening in the 350-400k range, which would be solid. Also opening are the new Diary of the Wimpy Kid and two domestic releases, none of which should make above 100k. Weather is predicted to be quite warm and sunny again (with some storms sprinkled in between), so don't expect great numbers.