Infernus
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Posts posted by Infernus
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800m includes China. Without China, it will do 725-750m.
Yeah, I did think you were getting a little too optimistic there. Still, as I said, I think 750m+ can happen without China. its got atleast 25m left from japan and 45m left from UK. Plus Italy and germany could turn out big and give around 70m to it (combined and I know even then its a little optimistic but this has been overperforming everywhere but japan and tbh 30-40m is not too big a sum for those markets). Add around 25m from the holdover markets. That gives us an OS-C gross of 390m. With 360m from U.S this brings the total, without china, to 760m WW. With 60-70 m from China (thats a little optimistic but can happen with low competition) that means it would end with around 820m WW. Or atleast thats what I think.
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Japanese result is disappointing to say the least. Any chance it will do more than $30M there?
Don't think so.
30m is assuured and may reach 40m. Quite less than the expectations (I actually thought this would outgross Big Hero 6 there) but still good, taking into account the fact that yen is really weak right now, that it opened against really fierce competition and that its final gross will still be around as much as Wall E and Ratatouille, Pixar's other recent critically acclaimed and loved films, there.
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Pretty good drop among holdovers (less than 30%).
Hopes for 800m remain alive.
Yeah, indeed and that's without China. It's gonna make around 360m in US/Canada so just needs 440m for that. Not that easy but still possible. 750m+, though, should easily happen.
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Hopefully, it gets a china release and grosses $100 million+ there making the OS gross $550 million+
Nah, 100m is still a big sum there, especially for original animated movies, that too without much slapstick comedy and booms. Still it should definitely make around 60-70m there unless competition is really fierce. It may cross 850m WW after a chinese release.
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Few more than that, not entirely sure what exact number is. Skyfall, Toy Story 3, Dh2, Mamma mia, ootp, Titanic, probably a few more.
Avatar too. Btw, ootp crossed 100m here? Wow, didn't knew that.
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And KFP3?
+1. Since its releasing before BvS and CW, it should already have a high WTS index. Now I am not fully aware of the precise technicalities of this, for example whether animated films have a lower index (can not think of any reason why it should be so, but anyways) but if SW7 is already at 53k then I believe KFP3 must already be atleast 100k+. Am I close?
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IO should get atleast a 5x multiplier. 35m+ should easily happen and I hope it will be able to crawl past 40m.
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All, ALL, doubts about the market finally slowing down (growth rate wise) have ended. Even after having grown consistently for so many years, the market's year-on-year growth has only increased. If this could increase so much over such a monstrous month from the previous year than their is no more doubt in my mind about the market or its future potential.
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Shut it Tele
I need my novels adapted directly
How dare they cut Dobby from Goblet of Fire
Shut it Tele
I need my novels adapted directly
How dare they cut EVERYTHING INTERESTING
Dobbyfrom Goblet of FireFixed.
Goblet of fire? Don't you guys remember The Half Blood Prince? I mean, they almost cut 50% of the interesting, enjoyable and useful things from it. They completely cut Dobby's and Kreacher's role. And what about Dumbledore's meeting with the dursley family? That scene from the book showed quite some character growth in the dursley family... They ended up as nothing but comic relief douche bags in the series. And most importantly, they cut out so much of Voldemort's story that was so essential to understanding his decisions, his personality, his behaviour, his motives, HIM.
And don't even get me started on The Order of the Pheonix. The book is my second favourite one and the movie is one of my least favourite ones. They cut so much from the Battle at the Ministry. And the almost complete cutting of the 'The Last Prophecy' chapter was the most angering and heart-breaking moment of the complete series... That chapter was like the main thing!! It's my second most favourite chapter of the whole series of books. All the things explained, such character growth and character revealment of Harry and Dumbledore and that Prophecy!! Everything just cut out or shortened so much...
There was a reason the last two films turned out so good and the only other best part was the one based on a 300 page book. According to me all of the last four parts should indeed have been split into two movies. I don't care how it may have affected their box office. I just WANTED it.
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Man, a 150 million dollar range, really going out on a limb there with a prediction.
Well, a guy gave a 100m+ total gross range for Minions recently.....after its second weekend estimates
:DAnyways even after a 150m range, water may still very well turn out wrong. It can end up above Toy Story 3 in my opinion, if it turns out out good and thrilling.
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Wait, I just realized....if JBM manages to pass LiT than that would mean the two biggest (local) movies in the market, ever, opened on the same weekend
!!! I don't think such a thing has ever before occured anywhere, in the history of Cinema, EVER!!!!talk about the effect of competition....
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Last week already opened in Japan (flopped due to rough competition, sadly) and no current release date for China, but it will open there.
Curious to see how much it grossed this weekend in the UK but this seems really disappointing. Starting to wonder if it'll even make much past 700mil global total.
It did not flop in Japan. It just opened below expectations. Moreover its holding very well there this weekend. Much better than all the other openers from the previous weekend and also much better than other older films, both animated and live action. It will end up above (or atleast close to) Wall-E or Ratatouille there. It has also overperformed in South Korea and is holding well in other markets. Plus China is still an unpredictable variable. Thus, I believe its gonna easily make it past 750m even if not by much distance.
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So, with that 320 figure IO officially passes UP's Mojo-Adjusted gross and has now undoubtedly and unarguably passed it in actual admissions too. I personally believe, though, that it must have already passed UP in total admissions some days ago.
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And WoW, thats a really bad drop for Pokemon...
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Corpse
Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 7PM > Final
4,955 (-80%) > 8,518 (-69%) > 12,911 (-58%) > 18,502 (-70%) > 24,189 (-62%) > 31,307 (-55%) > 44,463 (-57%) > 55,679 (-56%) - Hero 2 (Week 2)
3,007 (-37%) > 6,211 (-27%) > 9,963 (-28%) > 13,388 (-32%) > 20,214 (-19%) > 26,086 (-23%) > 37,444 (-31%) > 44,794 (-32%) - The Boy and the Beast (Week 3)
5,042 (-24%) > 8,222 (-36%) > 13,422 (-18%) > 16,987 (-26%) > 24,248 (-20%) > 28,031 (-19%) > 38,640 (-26%) > 42,978 (-28%) - Inside Out (Week 2)
1,672 (-54%) > 3,050 (-46%) > 5,155 (-45%) > 7,820 (-46%) > 10,106 (-37%) > 13,804 (-34%) > 21,045 (-38%) > 26,892 (-40%) - Terminator: Genisys (Week 3)
5,613 (-64%) > 9,770 (-65%) > 12,986 (-60%) > 16,274 (-62%) > 20,003 (-59%) > 22,522 (-59%) > 26,575 (-61%) > 26,629 (-61%) - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Week 2)
1,660 (-36%) > 2,327 (-40%) > 4,611 (-35%) > 5,874 (-35%) > 6,956 (-32%) > 10,358 (-35%) > 15,355 (-36%) > 19,439 (-37%) - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 4)
Saturday Final Results:
55,679 - Hero 2 (Week 2)
44,794 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 3)
42,978 - Inside Out (Week 2)
26,892 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 3)
26,629 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Week 2)
19,439 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 4)
The WOM.iS.kICKING.iN!!
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Wow, shitty number for Paper Towns and shitty drop for Minions. Ant Man held allright, probably a little bit worse than it should have, keeping in mind the size of its OW. Quite bad for Pixels too. And terminator is still amazing us with its drops...
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Wow - I think Monster Hunt has a shot at FF7 now.
Maybe reaches 400 million USD?
No, no reasonable shot yet. I don't even think this will pass 350m. 325-330m would be a good target unless we get a big saturday and Sunday and exceptional drops over the coming weekdays.
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I think numbers were fine this summer just the overall quality of movies was ridiculously BAD.
Yeah, its like almost the exact opposite of the previous year - Very Bad numbers but a number of good movies.
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One of the biggest box office surprises in years.
Huh? What?
Just this year, we have had 3 movies with a run nearly atleast 21.7 times more surprising than it - American Sniper, Jurassic World, FF7. It wasn't even the most surprising movie last year, which was such a pathetic year for box-office. It wasn't even the most surprising movie of its summer, for God's sakes, both GotG and Maleficent were much more surprising. I mean, who would have thought 700m+ for Maleficent and that it would end up as nearly the top grossing movie of the summer both domestically and WW, apart from Transformers (WW) and GotG (DOM). And the movie was so bad too...
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he is about 50 so I wouldn't call him young.
50! So he's like BKB....Figures..
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I don't think any of us can say how intelligent he is. Box office is clearly not his area of expertise so it's unfair to judge him on it. As much as I (and many others) have laughed at him, I think he is doing the best he can until they hire an actual BO analyst to manage Mojo.
Yeah, that was more or less what I was trying to say. BoxOffice is an area one can't master just through intelligence. It needs experience and time to be well understood. He seems to be an intelligent journalist, though seemingly a young and enthusiastic one. Its just that he's been put into the wrong field. Still he seems to be trying to do his best.
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So, did some investigating.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sticks_nix_hick_pix
So Mojo's "Flix Crix Nix Pix-els?" => "Film Critics Reject Pixels"
So Keith is actually a really smart guy? Or atleast a really intelligent guy when it comes to journalism but who has unfortunately been forced into an area really needing experience and knowledge yet also one he seemingly has taken just a few briefings on so as to be able to put out articles?
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China and India are very similar (except for animations)
Yeah, while China is opening more and more to animations and is responding much better to them now then earlier, they are still a no-no in India. India has opened a lot more and become a lot more receptive to Hollywood movies in the past year though so it can be said to be China as it was a few, 5-7, years, ago - a new 'Developing' China.
:D
South Korea Box Office
in International Box Office
Posted
What was DM2's gross here?