POTUS 2020

TF4 FF7 Day Daily % Change % BO -OW Total $ Tot Daily % Change TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot TF4 Day Mltplier Day xM +OW $ Proj OW 630.7 630.7 103 398 398 64 Mon 123.1 9.07 753.8 124 184 49.5% 582 94 11.03 2,421 390 Tues 112.2 -8.85% 8.25 866 142 167 -9.24% 48.8% 749 121 12.12 2,416 389 Wed 94.6 -15.69% 6.97 960.6 157 137 -17.96% 44.8% 886 143 14.35 2,358 380 Thur 84.2 -10.99% 6.21 1044.8 171 114 -16.79% 35.4% 1000 161 16.10 2,228 359 Fri 87.1 3.44% 6.42 1131.9 186 142 24.56% 63.0% 1142 184 15.58 2,604 419 Sat 129.6 48.79% 9.55 1261.5 207 Proj 211 48.79% 63.0% 1353 218 10.47 2,604 419 Sun 117.9 -9.03% 8.69 1379.4 226 Proj 192 -9.03% 63.0% 1546 249 11.51 2,604 419 Mon 54 -54.20% 4.02 1433.4 235 Proj 88 -54.20% 63.0% 1634 263 24.85 2,580 415 Tue 53 -1.85% 3.95 1486.4 244 Proj 86 -1.85% 63.0% 1720 277 25.32 2,580 415 Wed 43 -18.87% 3.20 1529.4 251 Proj 70 -18.87% 63.0% 1790 289 31.21 2,580 415 Thu 39 -9.30% 2.91 1568.4 257 Proj 64 -9.30% 63.0% 1854 299 34.41 2,580 415 Fri 42 7.69% 3.13 1610.4 264 Proj 68 7.69% 63.0% 1922 310 31.95 2,580 415 Sat 62 47.62% 4.62 1672.4 274 Proj 101 47.62% 63.0% 2023 326 21.65 2,580 415 Sun 58 -6.45% 4.32 1730.4 284 Proj 95 -6.45% 63.0% 2118 342 23.14 2,580 415 Str8 Up Proj Ave 406 Day TF4 FF7 1 194.8 398 2 222.8 184 3 213.1 167 4 123.1 137 11.29% 5 112.2 114 1.60% 6 94.6 142 50.11% Proj 7 84.2 211 150.94% Proj 8 87.1 192 120.68% Proj 9 129.6 88 -32.07% Proj 10 117.9 86 -26.71% Proj 11 54 70 29.82% M/W Proj 12 53 64 19.97% T/Th Proj 13 43 68 59.24% W/F Proj 14 39 101 159.18% Proj 15 42 95 125.14% Proj 16 62 43 -30.65% Proj 17 58 41 -29.31% Proj 18 26 35 34.62% M/W Proj 19 28 32 14.29% T/Th Proj 20 23 35 52.17% W/F Proj Total 1807 2304 27.46% Proj Final 1952 2488 27.46% Proj US$ 320 401 25.20% ExRate 6.1 6.21 Here is a projection based solely on it having identical increase/decreases as TF4 going forward. Slightly better % holds, especially for the next few days, will take it well into the $400m's

TF4 FF7 Day Daily % Change % BO -OW Total $ Tot Daily % Change TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot TF4 Day Mltplier Day xM +OW $ Proj OW 630.7 630.7 103 398 398 64 Mon 123.1 9.07 753.8 124 184 49.47% 582 94 11.03 2,421 390 Tues 112.2 -8.85% 8.25 866 142 167 -9.24% 48.84% 749 121 12.12 2,416 389 Wed 94.6 -15.69% 6.97 960.6 157 137 -17.96% 44.82% 886 143 14.35 2,358 380 Thur 84.2 -10.99% 6.21 1044.8 171 114 -16.79% 35.39% 1000 161 16.10 2,228 359 Fri 87.1 3.44% 6.42 1131.9 186 142 24.56% 63.03% 1142 184 15.58 2,604 419 Sat 129.6 48.79% 9.55 1261.5 207 10.47 Sun 117.9 -9.03% 8.69 1379.4 226 11.51 Proj Ave 387 Day TF4 FF7 1 194.8 398 2 222.8 184 3 213.1 167 4 123.1 137 11.29% 5 112.2 114 1.60% 6 94.6 142 50.11% Total 960.6 1142 18.88% I was hoping for 150+ but 142 aint bad. any chance of it increasing? its still early. Looks like it could be 90m weekend Whats really impressive is that they have now sold the same amount of tickets and FF7 is 63% higher for fri-fri comparison. the fact that M-Th averaged 44% more on respective days and that it increased to 63% for fri portends much better strength for next week Since TF4 opened to 100m and pulled down 220m more, could FF7 pull in 200m more after a 90m weekend? That would be 450m. Just some Chinese food for thought. Dumplings please, steamed 400m upgrade to very possible. Monday could be the day to lock it

it will get close to 700 OS + 400 CH. 1.05-1.1b factor in that it would've been 933+ 400= 1333 + 350dom= 1.688b w XR just 6months ago w far less 3d ww and F7 blew the doors off avengers tix sales. F7 will out sell AoU in tickets. could lose in dollars due to 3d though

IB OS I meant. subtract china the subtract 25% for XR then add china aback in. 690m. will have to sell nearly 50% more tix (310M) to get to 1B. If china adds 200m by itself then the rest of OS will have to increase by nearly 20%, 110M of 600m. sequels that start w smaller OS relative to Dom can increase big time but this started out huge.

$40 mil in India? seriously? You're Indian living in Chicago?

In honor of his banishment. and the great Lawrence! whats up Richard Gere?

19 days

AoU will have to sell 50% more tickets than TA to get to a billion ww. Tall order. for a sequal to do for a large predecessor. Will need the big china boost and 20% increase in tix sales for rest of OS.

because of the high weekdays the weekend could be huge. so many people shut out on sunday created a spillover and hype that should carry over to the weekend. Manny movies do 4 times non summer/holiday Thursday on the weekend. TF4 did 3,5 x its summer Thursday. With little competition, a lot of showtimes, spillover for those that couldn't go during week and the hype it created could bring in 100m. 80m is a slam dunk but I would feel a little disappointed it did that at the rate its been going

foreign production and non English. Australian and british films aren't really considered to be foreign or an import anymore by media and the masses. its just accepted as a regular film. They used to dub Aussie films 40 years ago because they thought Domesticans mite not understand the accent/slang. They look and feel like Hollywood these days and often are co produced, mad max 1 felt like an import when it first came out. Biggest foreign language film? Domestic- The passion of the Christ 611m ww. gonna be some time before china beats that one. film exports not going so well as their factory items

crouching tiger would be the inverse. the only foreign film to make more in the US than its home market. thatll never happen again unless litchenstien make a film

That's about it, however the intouchables wasn't a Dom movie. Was French where it did 166m and came close to beating avatar 175m, on smaller movies SK loved About Time and Spain nearly tripled the dom on The Impossible someone has to explain to me how excape plan did so well in china, those two should move there , make bad chinese films and make millions of yuan 我會回來的 喲阿德里安·我做到了 Wonder if that translated into something about Jurassic park

it died after T E Lawrence got banned. He made it interesting

IM3 had a 3 day weekend plus Thursday evening shows added in for its "5" days. FF7 averaged $25m for 4 weekdays to get to its number. By comparison IM3 is extremely front loaded. IM3 averaged 9.5m p/d its 1st midweek. With a 60% drop next week FF7 will average close to 10m p/wd. In essence the sunday opening throws everything out of whack, The next 7 days are going be much larger as the weekend will increase and the weekdays will double that of IM3. IM3 was 295 on day 12 with a 5.2m tuesday. FF7 is likely at 290 on day 12 with $10m Thursday. Its got a shot. But you're right; it wont be able to leg it out as IM3 did, so it will need to hold big and do nearly all of the damage by may 3. There wont be a lot of legs after that. I wouldn't call it a lock buyt its gat a chance. I will lock it if it does 100m this weeknd.

Day Daily % Change % BO -OW Total $ Tot Daily % Change TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot TF4 Day Mltplier Day xM +OW $ Proj OW 630.7 630.7 103 392 392 63 Mon 123.1 9.07 753.8 124 184 49.47% 576 93 11.03 2,421 390 Tues 112.2 -8.85% 8.25 866 142 167 -9.24% 48.84% 743 120 12.12 2,416 389 Wed 94.6 -15.69% 6.97 960.6 157 137 -17.96% 44.82% 880 142 14.35 2,358 380 Thur 84.2 -10.99% 6.21 1044.8 171 118 -13.87% 40.14% 998 161 16.10 2,292 369 Fri 87.1 3.44% 6.42 1131.9 186 15.58 Sat 129.6 48.79% 9.55 1261.5 207 10.47 Sun 117.9 -9.03% 8.69 1379.4 226 11.51 Proj Ave 382 Day TF4 FF7 1 194.8 392 2 222.8 184 3 213.1 167 4 123.1 137 11.29% 5 112.2 118 5.17% Total 866 998 15.24% Slid a little more than I hoped but its pulling ahead of TF4 at a healthy rate on head to head comparison.for 5 days 40% more on the thur to thur comparison with nearly as many tickets sold now shows its true strength . Will be close to first 100m midweek of all time when actuals come out. Dom has yet to do that. Weekend should be at least 4x Thursday or 80m or more if continues to amaze us. TF4 and FF7 Dom locked at this point. Will be the 1st over performing Dom movie outdrawn in China. PacRim and TF4 weren't overperformers and certainly not Escape Plan. 400m reachable, but it needs to do 90m this weekend and other things to go right. I still think that guy was talking about Jurassic Park. Google is never wrong!)

google translate Hey, it's right Beipiaosaurus friends, I know you're here.

920-925m thru wed nite . Will get 1b +/- 1% fri nite

he was asking about OS ER. subtract 25% for ER= 720m

no, on tues china was 27. rest of os should be 12~

that table doesn't add up correctly. WW was 800m on sunday. They have the 78m m-w for china in there. Ifi t was just Monday it woukld be 846~ including M dom. If it is Monday and china thru wed then its 896, and just over 900 with tues reported dom. gotto be at least 925, htru wed ww 960 thru thur china should be between 80-100m this weekend. 50m rest of OS. 30m dom WW should be 1.12b- 1.14b this weekend

Day Daily % Change % BO -OW Total $ Tot Daily % Change TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot TF4 Day Mltplier Day xM +OW $ Proj OW 630.7 630.7 103 392 392 63 Mon 123.1 9.07 753.8 124 178 44.60% 570 92 11.03 2,355 379 Tues 112.2 -8.85% 8.25 866 142 167 -6.18% 48.84% 737 119 12.12 2,416 389 Wed 94.6 -15.69% 6.97 960.6 157 137 -17.96% 44.82% 874 141 14.35 2,358 380 Thur 84.2 -10.99% 6.21 1044.8 171 16.10 Fri 87.1 3.44% 6.42 1131.9 186 15.58 Sat 129.6 48.79% 9.55 1261.5 207 10.47 Sun 117.9 -9.03% 8.69 1379.4 226 11.51 Proj Ave 383 Day TF4 FF7 1 194.8 392 2 222.8 178 3 213.1 167 4 123.1 137 11.29% Total 753.8 874 15.95% Looking like the real deal. Its beating TF4 str8 up 4 days without a full weekend and Wed beats TF4s summer Monday. Its got a shot at 90-100m weekend with how these numbers are holding up if they don't mess with it. Should pass TF4 fast on Saturday with 2 less days in release, with a much more furious Sat number(40+% bigger) and with 7 more hits of nitrous in the tank!

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like I said. more food more people. I agree w u. many parts of china and india have multiple growing seasons that help too and are the oldest civilizations But with unreplenishable aquifers being drained, rivers drying up, oil peaking (needed for tractors, herbacides. pesticides, fertalizers, processing and transport to the cities), the worlds fish stock dwindling and many other factors, feeding 8b people in the not too distant future could be a problem. I live in india, trust me, not all 7b people are being fed now due to some negative impacts of globalization. Lets enjoy the movies while it lasts!! Looking forward to the wed number...

a little more than a quarter, 27%, live in Dom vs China 355m vs 1.3b Not many people live in 90% of Canada and Alaska. very cold. short growing season in most of Dom. historically speaking; less food, less people Dom only 400 years old, china 5000 years old People living in Dom for 10000 years, china 30,000 years Chinese don't handle achohol very well and forget about birth control

TF4 FF7 Day Daily % Change % BO -OW Total $ Tot Daily % Change TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot TF4 Day Mltplier Day xM +OW $ Proj OW 630.7 630.7 103 392 392 63 Mon 123.1 9.07 753.8 124 178 44.60% 570 92 11.03 2,355 379 Tues 112.2 -8.85% 8.25 866 142 167 -6.18% 48.84% 737 119 12.12 2,416 389 Wed 94.6 -15.69% 6.97 960.6 157 14.35 Thur 84.2 -10.99% 6.21 1044.8 171 16.10 Fri 87.1 3.44% 6.42 1131.9 186 15.58 Sat 129.6 48.79% 9.55 1261.5 207 10.47 Sun 117.9 -9.03% 8.69 1379.4 226 11.51 A few columns added. The TF4 daily percentage of BO reflects post OW BO The FF7 projection = daily multiplier derived from TF4s% x day + OW