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titanic2187

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Everything posted by titanic2187

  1. Big setback for anyone who is expecting a Heron upset against ATSV. Heron isn't even nominated here. In the past 14 years, every eventual Oscar Best animated feature won here, except the only time a movie that didn't get to win an Oscar while it won ACE was The Lego movie. Best Edited Animated Feature Film Elemental — Stephen Schaffer, ACE Nimona — Randy Trager, ACE; Erin Crackel Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse — Michael Andrews, ACE The Super Mario Bros. Movie — Eric Osmond Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem — Greg Levitan, ACE
  2. Got a feeling this year the Oscar halo effect would be stronger. Last year the bump was terrible (terrible sub-300 PTA) outside of one surprise bump like EEAAO. Poor Things Searchlight Pictures 2,300 1,410 +890 American Fiction Amazon Studios 1,702 850 +852 The Holdovers Focus Features 1,267 127 +1,140 Oppenheimer Universal Pictures 1,262 254 +1,008 Killers of the Flower Moon Paramount Pictures 941 16 +925 As for A24 titles, Past Lives also coming back to 320 theaters, Zone of interest expanded to 300+. Anatomy of Fall come back to 350 theaters. No number for Barbie. The bump is irrelevant for Maestro.
  3. ZOI start to increase big. I wouldn’t rule out 10m finish for this ultra indie movie. The number has it at 32.7m but BoM start adjusting down the number to 32.17m, matching BOR number. So for whatever reason, IC is 500k less than we thought initially. Still got some gas to push it pass 35m
  4. Where they choose to campaign doesn’t really matter. Remember Kate winslet was put in the supporting actress for the reader and has been a near-locked frontrunner but shocked the world by missing in that category, only to reappear in lead actress. The same thing happened to Stanfield when he was clearly a lead in Judas. And see how barbie got in adapted after all no matter how WB campaign it in original. before the nomination, I wouldn’t even rule out 10% chance that Gladstone may ends up in supporting actress category instead. There are precedents, and her screentime in that movie, especially the second half doesn’t play into her advantage. Luckily that movie is 3 hours half to make % of screentime less problematic as a lead.
  5. Even with just 300 PTA, this should be able to get another 350k this weekend? Hope it finds its way to 20m So close to 4x legs
  6. Wouldn’t be surprised if there is voice to scale back influence of international bloc in this category. Remember how they changed the nomination process for animation after the Lego movie snub? Throughout the year director branch has been the branch I have least issue with their nominees. They got ball to pick up some very deserving but under radar works like mulholland drive, talk to her, city of god, diving bell and the butterfly, amour, Cold War. I am glad they resist the temptation and go for Triet and glazer, especially the latter where zone of interest could be the most skillful experimental film since tree of life.
  7. 8-9 win on the way at least. The biggest sweep since SM.
  8. It is sad to see despite just strong both heron and ATSV perform in the box office, precursors and guilds, the academy members just tell him to fuck off and stay where they are in their own category, best animated feature. Nothing more.
  9. Not sure if anyone cares but Oscar best picture nominees are staging an expansion. PT, ZOI and AF are the three that haven’t been put on digital platform. Poor Things, The Emma Stone-starring and produced bawdy female erotic romp busts wide this weekend at 2,200 theaters. This Friday, American Fiction will jump from 850 theaters to north of 1,500 locations. There’s a possibility that the movie could double its current running total by the time winners are announced. Zone of Interest will move from 82 theaters to around 300 sites. Warner Bros.’ is re-releasing Barbie back in theaters Friday; Oppenheimer, with 13 nominations, has been on digital and DVD since November and hits Peacock on Feb. 16. However, on Friday it’s going back out in 1,100 runs comprised of 300 plus Imax screens, 12 Imax 70mm screens, and 18 standard 70mm screens. Apple Original Films’ Killers of the Flower Moon via Paramount, is going back in more than 800 theaters on Friday. NEON’s Anatomy of a Fall, also a Cannes Palme d’Or winner, The Justine Triet-directed movie will return to 350 theaters this Friday. Focus Features’ The Holdovers ($18.7M domestic, $26.2M WW) with five noms returns to 1,235 theaters this weekend, its 14th frame.
  10. - (9) Poor Things Searchlight … $376,461 +59% +65% 1,410 $267 $21,096,535 47 Oscar bump begin for PT.
  11. How funny the backlash about Greta was snubbed when this is her third movie in a row that got best picture nomination, totally forgetting the fact that neither the star of the black panther, Dune and top gun, nor their directors are nominated in their respective year.
  12. Among all the nomination, music branch disappoint me the most that almost got me irritated. The fact that they nominate John William and Diane warren for something this mid-tier in every single year is unbearable. The whole branch deserves an audit to checkout if there is any integrity issue in nomination process. Even acting branch stop going in blindly for meryl Streep in recent years.
  13. First time A24 got two slots and both of which movies are mostly non-English. Sadly this achievement came at the expenses of iron claw total snub, but at least IC was a commercial hit. Even though he isn’t getting his second directing win anytime soon, if ever, but I am glad the academy honour him with another record.
  14. A lot of this didn’t get as much as attention because the slot was pretty much filled by the time award season kick start to allow any surprise like triangle of sadness in 2022 and drive my car in 2021.
  15. When I look at the movies that got zero nomination despite how great their reception at varying degree like all of us strangers, iron claw, AIR, saltburn, Margaret, origin, Priscilla and etc, 2023 is definitely the strongest Oscar year in many many years. I think only 2014 and 2019 match this level of intensity.
  16. A little bit of a trivia here, 96th Oscar is the first Oscar since 89th that we finally don’t have double nominees from a single film in acting category. 90th- three billboard for supporting actor 91st- the favourite for supporting actress 92nd- Irishman for supporting actor 93rd- Judas and the black messiah for supporting actor 94th- the power of dog for supporting actor 95th- the banshees and EEAAO
  17. The nomination overall didn’t make the race clearer since ATSV misses score and best VFX as well. Both heron and ATSV got lone nomination here at the Oscar. So the support outside of animation branch still ain’t clear.
  18. I just realised if sound mixing category still exist, Oppenheimer may tie with titanic, la la land or all about eve for 14 nominations record
  19. This only highlight the supporting roles category just isn’t as stacked. We all know leading actress and actor have been bloodbath for months.
  20. Overall I would Oscar is leaning towards bafta more nomination.
  21. If cruise doesn’t get in, no reason Robbie should. It is just isn’t method enough for their role to play a macho-fighter and stereotypical doll.
  22. Also, no heron and ATSV in the best score but john William got in another around means music branch are lazy as fuck.
  23. My gut feeling was right, no greta and Robbie. I seriously cannot see just how more special Barbie is compared to other billion grosser that we got in the past like avatar, Toy Story 3, joker, black panther, top gun, and avatar 2. Barbie is nothing more outstanding than them and shouldn’t have getting this much in core categories.
  24. KOTFM out from adapted screenplay meaning the odd for KOTFM wining best picture is effectively zero.
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