titanic2187

Nope. Never happened. In all five major precursor (GG, BAFTA, PGA and Annie), Annie actually has the lowest match with Oscar whereas BAFTA has the highest match among all, followed by PGA but Annie is the most anime-friendly among all. So the race does look very evenly split right now.

Holdovers passes 20m. The second Oscar best picture movie with a platform release model to hit that mark after PT. American fiction should be the third one. A good improvement from Oscar season last year where only EEAAO hit 20m mark. On the other hand, it is confirmed that Iron Claw BO in the numbers is indeed overstated by around 550k. The numbers got their new year day figure wrong.

It is quite obvious now the international bloc are voting in favour of Heron whereas US-based voters are favouring ATSV. I suppose PGA would go with ATSV. This is some good come back after Annie awards but like I said, I am not sure if BAFTA voters are taking this opportunity to correct their snub of Spirited Away 20 years ago, or they genuinely think Heron is a better film. This is a factor to consider because Oscar voters wouldn't have that overdue pressure for Miyazaki.

I thought all local titles would have taken Lunar new year window for opening.

If we adjusted the holiday in accordance to the calendar methodology before 2024, i.e. New year eve until sixth day of CNY, the total BO should have been ¥6.47bn, it is actually slightly lower than 2023.

Clearly the data distortion is working here. It is effectively 6 days because before 2024, the holiday window started from new year eve (neither the starting date listed here are the first day of new year), which is a day where BO is the the lowest and almost negligible. But in 2024, they strip out New year eve from the holiday period, thereby removing the lowest day at the BO from holiday period. On top of that, they added another day (8 days in total). So effectively, they added two extra days to the holiday window. Therefore, 2021 record still stands, if by apple-apple comparison.

Valentine Day aside, How is it an apple-to-apple comparison when they take 8 days for 2024 but only 6 days for 2023 and 2022? The two extra days + VD gave it an optical boost.

ATSV is the biggest winner at Annie, wining 7 awards including Best Animated Feature and Direction. Heron takes 2 win in the category where ATSV isn't nominated. The favour again skewing ATSV heavily now. Heron takes GG but do remember GG failed to recognize Miyazaki in the past, thus making Heron win looked like a "compensation" prize. Whereas critics choice and Annie which did pick Spirited Away as winner back in 2002, both of them choose ATSV in the showdown. The surprise upset is still possible at the Oscar but I must say at this juncture it does look like ATSV is taking this one unless BAFTA and PGA mess up the race.

Wonka 3rd Saturday was higher than than the second. Yeah some holiday calendar is affecting the pattern but the hold has been great. Should continue to hold number 1 spot and do at least 20m here until a perfect takeover by Dune 2 two weeks later.

Tbh, I didn't know this movie exist until few days before release although I know Bob Marley and few of his songs. I guess the wide awareness of his songs make the film far more accessible than people expect. I am also glad this movie isn't killed by poor critical reception. Boy on the boat, ABY, HG:BOSS and now Marley prove the meh RT score isn't end of the day and studio still can sell "bad" critically received movie without the need to dump them elsewhere. Among studio, Disney is the worst when come to selling a bad RT score movies. I always feel like their movies fumble right away if the RT score come out meh or poor like they don't know how to market them anymore.

I hope WB do a double feature of Wonka and Dune. Glad that the movie didn't have to crawl to 200m. Migration is another legs master, should up by at least 20% this weekend. I won't rule out the possibility that it could overtake Aquaman 2 for finish total at this point.

I think 49m 6-days is still on table if Saturday bump is ok. Can't believe One love is easily outgrossing TCP. I guess OL playing more to diverse crowd is the reason why it manages hold better. Only 40% of the audience are Black as compared to 65% of TCP. Also, TCP was way too female-skewing at 75% as compared to just 56% of OL. With this, it should be safe to say One love won't collapse like TCP.

I like how BO marketplace has become more accommodative for surprise hit like Godzilla-1, Heron, Boy on the Boat, Beekeepers, ABY. Just we thought Argylle and Web will be tentpole to watch out for quiet February, One love come in and surprise, likely be the biggest February grosser. On related note, looks like Migration is coming for 10x hold.

I am actually still doubtful about the uptick especially in Asia market except S. Korea. The first one simply didn't set a fire here in Asia and there certainly isn't appreciation of the first movie 3 years after. The buzz is lagging and lacking here. When they play Dune 2 trailer in the cinema, the crowd is actually surprised by the fact that this is a sequel.

They are not terrible, it is just otherworldly or unconventional, just like world set in the movie. Most importantly, their weird outfits attract gen-Z attention and meme worthy. Something you can’t achieve if dune was released during strike.

The entire cast deserves an Oscar for best costume just for premiere.

A pleasant surprise that the biggest mid-week VD since 2017 is happening when we thought VD is gonna be a wasteland like 2023 and 2022. Still not calling One love the first 100m movie of 2024 no matter how great the WOM is if TCP offered any lesson about a big OD with great WOM.

On the last day of Oscar voting.

So is this gonna be R rated?

So which branch is responsible for this new category? Casting director for sure but how about actor/actress branch? Also, I never understand just what is “best casting”. I am also quite disappointed that it was not voice performance or stunt work got recognized this round.

I don’t understand WB. Barbie is still in the theaters but they stop reporting it. They were ok to report 1000-2000 minuscule grosses for weeks but when the movie expanded to 1200 locations after Oscar nomination, they suddenly decide stop reporting them.

Coming for 90m finish.