I have arrived. Heed my warning, mortals.
Thou ist being "too much" on many fronts. Stop it. Stop it or I'll throw things at you. Potentially rocks! Those could hurt.
I think all the data points to $18-22M but it seems like people don’t want it to be that low so they’re throwing $30M+ guesses out as a wishful number. IMO, my $25M target is on the high side. We know it had first day sales of around ~$6.5M and I’m just not sure why we should expect the pattern to be markedly different from Eras. Slightly different sure, but not enough to hit some of the numbers I’m seeing.
If MTC1 is $2.1M then overall previews is probably right about $3M. Like Eras, I can’t imagine there will be a ton of sales growth after the first few week of ticket sales. Overall previews might hit $4M by November 30. I expect Renaissance to have less frontload due to slightly less fandom fervor and an older base, but I still can’t see it going beyond 5x previews. Had Eras done a “normal” theatrical OW it would have very likely been under a 3.5x previews multiplier.
‘Five Nights At Freddy’s’ Frenzy Fires Up With Around $7M+ In Previews – Box Office
https://deadline.com/2023/10/box-office-five-nights-at-freddys-1235584788/
I’m halting all tracking if this is even remotely accurate….
Tonight, box office sources tell us that Thursday previews are racking up north of$7M but warn “are very frontloaded.”
https://deadline.com/2023/10/box-office-five-nights-at-freddys-1235584788/
If anyone who tracked Eras Tour for last Friday and Saturday, could check this Friday and Saturday, we could probably get a pretty good extrapolation of this weekend’s numbers, considering the lack of walk ups.
It's important to remember that in many international markets there is a lot of her fanbase (around 4 million people) that have tickets to her concerts that probably don't want to see the movie before they see the live show. Given how "fan driven" this film is, that very well could knock $40-80M off the international total.
Yep. 2nd biggest artist ever in China. Not 2nd biggest international artist, I’m talking all artists. The only one with more sales is Chinese singer Jay Chou.