Daxtreme
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Posts posted by Daxtreme
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I just wanna point out that Star Wars dropped only 0.4% more than Titanic on pretty much the same Monday (Dec 28 vs Dec 29), so it doesn't mean that it doesn't hold like Avatar that it's a bad hold.
Also, 1B club, where? I wanna join that
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9 minutes ago, peludo said:
I do not know if this has been said, but if today is able to reach $600m, the average per day will be $50m during its 12 first days...
8.8% drop and under and TFA can make it, so definitely in the realm of possibility.
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9 minutes ago, StarSaber said:
Ha, not only did TFA break the Monday record that stood for a decade, it broke it twice. Awesome!
Pretty sure it's gonna have 2 of the top 3 Tuesdays as well (including #1)
edit: Or at least, it has a shot
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MONDAY
Note: This chart only shows $8 million+ days, regardless of sorting.
Rank Title (click to view) Studio Single Day Gross Theaters Average Date / Days in Release Gross to Date* Final Gross* 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $40,109,742 4,134 $9,702 12/21/15 4 $288.1 $571.4 2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $31,362,029 4,134 $7,586 12/28/15 11 $571.4 $571.4 3 Spider-Man 2 Sony $27,661,137 4,152 $6,662 7/05/04 6 $180.1 $373.6 4 Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull Par. $26,779,538 4,260 $6,286 5/26/08 5 $152.0 $317.1 5 Jurassic World Uni. $25,344,820 4,274 $5,930 6/15/15 4 $234.2 $652.3 
This is the prettiest-looking thing I've seen all day.
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TFA now has $157M more than Jurassic World on Day 11. Geez.
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8 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said:
I didn't follow Avatar. I followed New Moon.
But wasn't it like, on its 5th week-end?
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5 minutes ago, #ED2-D2 said:
That's following Avatar drops and increases. My original prediction has a 90%+ jump on Friday, but who knows.
Not really. Avatar dropped 6% on Tuesday, not 11%. It also increased 1% on Wednesday, not dropped 5%. And it dropped 20% on Thurs, not 25%.
Not that I expect SW to follow Avatar, just saying that you didn't, in fact, follow Avatar's drops.
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1 minute ago, GiantCALBears said:
It has up to now, who says it will continue that way? I didn't forget the holds have been impressive to date but thanks anyways. Now that it is tracking closer to ROTK after outperforming it means the holds are worsening in a relative comparison FYI.
So, shoot your predictions then? I'm pulling out all those numbers, as are everyone, but you're just sitting there denying everything and claiming everyone is wrong.
So, be my guest.
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2 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:
The 2nd Sunday-Monday drop is very similar to ROTK, not sure if you actually looked.
It's shaping up to look like ROTK more and more, which is the whole point of my post...?
I'm trying to predict final results here, which is why I based myself on ROTK. I might have went overboard a bit with the "not a single day" part, but apart from 1 or 2 days, it's still overwhelmingly true.
The mere fact that a movie with those numbers has legs superior to ROTK is ridiculous, you seem to forget that at every turn though.
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5 minutes ago, LinksterAC said:
It isn't perfect, but Avatar is by far the best comparison to TFA's legs. Not even LOTR had the same kind of holds TFA is enjoying.
So no, no one's going to stop comparing the two, because it wouldn't make sense to.
Indeed. Taking Return of the King for example, after its New-Year's Week-end (Jan 4), it was sitting at $290M, which is 77% of its total domestic gross.
Transposing that to Star Wars, we get ~730/0.77 = ~$950M. It might even be more if Star Wars ends up at 740 or 750 on Jan 3
And honestly, Star Wars hasn't had drops comparable to ROTK in a single day so far, so... $950M is the floor I think. Or at the very least 900
What do you guys think?
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6 minutes ago, Amadeus said:
Conservative numbers should be 635m by thursday and 700m by sunday domestic? Overtaking avatar on thursday or friday next week?
That's being insanely conservative, with a $65 M week-end and insane week day drops.
I would say Star Wars has virtually no chance of dropping more than 50% next week-end, not with its current word of mouth, so a $75M week-end is the floor I think.
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Just now, K1Rey said:
So is it 31M?
Hard to tell, actuals won't come before Jan 4 I think! Either way, splendid number!
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1 minute ago, GiantCALBears said:
Work, school starting again>weather on how it affects drops.
Indeed, the sunday drop on Jan 3 is gonna be vicious
Like in 2009 for instance: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2010-01-03&track=avatar.htm
-40 to 50% all across the board, except Avatar of course.
Anything above 40% for Star Wars would be hugely incredible, if not downright impossible.
But that's Sunday though, there's still Friday and Saturday which can surprise!
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5 minutes ago, druv10 Maul said:
TFA has clawed its way to $1.161 billion worlwide and inside top 10 of all-time.
31.4M domestic and 40M OS
571.4M domestic
590M OS
$40 M OS?
It hasn't dropped at all from last monday!
DEC 22 :
#StarWarsTheForceAwakens zooms to $610.8M global thru MON. Dom: $40.1M/$288.1M cume. Intl: $41.7M/$322.7M-
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Disney’s Star Wars: The Force Awakens is continuing on its phenomenal trajectory as audiences on Monday just added another estimated $31.5M to bring the sci-fi franchise up to a gross of about $572.6M on its way to $600M in the next 48 hours or so.
http://deadline.com/2015/12/star-wars-the-force-awakens-with-stellar-monday-box-office-1201673778/
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I say 24h, not 48h!
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2 minutes ago, #ED2-D2 said:
600M tomorrow?
If this holds, highly likely, because then it will only need 27 on Tuesday, which would be a huge drop and not likely given the drops it had so far.
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1 minute ago, Ozymandias said:
Its gap over JW will be at least 250 next Sunday.
I'm running out of likes!
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33 minutes ago, LinksterAC said:
The Avatar Lite legs continue. I'm still looking for the cliff this movie is supposed to fall off of.
Just insane.
For real.
Just to have legs similar to Avatar is ridiculous, add in those numbers and it's mind-blowing.
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1 minute ago, druv10 Maul said:
Yep, that's why I keep reminding posters to enjoy the ride. We may never see anything like this ever again.
Well, to be fair, we're never going to see a run that's exactly like this ever again
Each of the record-breakers had runs that were different from the others. Which makes them all the more exciting.
Except Jurassic World and Avengers though, they had pretty similar runs. That's why I love this run by Star Wars so much.
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2 minutes ago, The Panda Menace said:
The weekend was affected as well. Without the bad weather Saturday and Sunday would have been 3m bigger each, at least.
I think Tuesday will be a slight increase and Wednesday could go either way. I think this weekend will have a much stronger hold than last weekend because of no weather and no previews.
Well, 28,1% drop, I can dream right?
Puts it just above Jurassic World's 2nd week-end
Back in 2009, Alvin and the Chipmunks managed to hold 28% on NY's week-end. Force Awakens can do it!
Here's a dose of my positive energy!
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2 minutes ago, Sagemode87 said:
A direct insult over an opinion, see you're proving my statement to be true.
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1 minute ago, druv10 Maul said:
As for Avatar+32%, gap has risen to 266.6M. It's going to seriously have to collapse after the NY holidays to miss 1B domestic. My final range 1.05-1.1B domestic.
What's this gap about? Sorry I must have missed something here.
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Just now, Sagemode87 said:
30 million on Monday? Okay, is this crap ever gonna slow down. Diehard fanboys are going broke seeing this 30 times. What losers
Theres only 3 movies in history thats done over 600 mil, and this undeserving tripe does it in 12 days. Star Wars fans lmao. Don't care what no one says, this movie wasn't THAT good.
not... sure if sarcastic or not?
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1 minute ago, shruth said:
tuesday is not going to drop that much. it's gonna stay even or increase a bit. and Thursday is not going to decrease that much. It might decrease about 25%
I went with a conservative approach, which was basically Avatar with slightly more drop (-9% vs -6% TUE, 0 vs +1.8% WED, and -33% vs -20% THU)
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Theres only 3 movies in history thats done over 600 mil, and this undeserving tripe does it in 12 days. Star Wars fans lmao. Don't care what no one says, this movie wasn't THAT good.
not... sure if sarcastic or not?
Monday SW:TFA Estimate - 31.4M (-27%)
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Titanic, the movie best known for its legendary holds and breaking all sorts of records, is irrelevant when talking about another movie breaking all kinds of records and that's also having great holds?
Right.