Aristis
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Posts posted by Aristis
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3rd Trend is even better:
#1 NWH 240k (-36%) 3,510M
#2 Scream 95k
#3 The King's Man 75k (-37%/-46%) 235k
#4 House of Gucci 55k (-25%) 902.5k
#5 Clifford 45k (-31%) 435k
#6 Matrix4 35k (-49%) 505k
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NWH had an awesome 4th WE with 375k (-4%) and reached 3,21M admissions (and thereby passed SM3 3,205M).
Kingsman 140k
Gucci 72,5k (+7%) 827,5k
Matrix 67,5k (-17%) 455k
Clifford 65k (+38%) 385k, the 6th is the biggest WE yet, +70% from OW.
NTTD on Friday became the first movie since Frozen2 to reach 6M.
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1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:
Saturday update higher for all releases, good!
The 350k predicted atm would be only a 10% drop. It could be quite close to 3,2M on Sunday. If that happens 3,8M (and around $43,5M) should be safe.
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1 hour ago, MG10 said:
Damn, at the moment Spider Man has sold fewer tickets than in Italy or in Spain. I remember that in Germany movies usually have much better legs, but are you sure it can go from 2.5M to 4M? Because in Italy it's currently at 2.7M and we aren't certain it will pass the 3M...
MarkG expects 3,8M atm. So even though I don't know about 4M it could still come quite close.
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1st Trend (the WE could again differ from the one in 2010, so the Trend might be off again...)
NWH 450k (+25%) 2,63M
Matrix 100k (-5%/-30%) 360k
Gucci 70k (+94%) 710k
Clifford 55k (+150%) 285k
Encanto 50k (+72%) 457,5k
NTTD only needs 15k more after Sunday to reach 6M
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14 minutes ago, john2000 said:
how much compared to iw ?
IW had around 3,5M too (3,457M).
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So, looking at 2010 when the holiday pattern was the same as this year, movies should have big increases - and MarkG expects a big increase for NWH atm. But knowing that last WE was very atypical he says we should still be cautious.
He predicts for now NWH 504k +40% 2,68M (total after Sunday) and 3,75M possible end result - but that could be very optimistic...
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11 minutes ago, LPLC said:
Could you see an end at 4M ?
I wouldn't rule the possibility out but a lower number might be more probable. Depends on the next days I guess.
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8 minutes ago, LPLC said:
Ok I hope 3M are still possible despite this big drop
Atm I don't see reaching 3M at danger. If it reaches 2M on Tuesday than it should be around 2,5M+ after next WE. Though I hope cinemas won't be closed early next year - that might be the only thing that could prevent NWH from reaching 3M.
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NWH had around 360k 2nd WE (-56% from the 4-day WE) and reached 1,69M admissions. MarkG predicts it'll reach 2M on Tuesday. Also he explained why the first Trend was much higher: the last time we had this holiday pattern was 2010 and back then Sunday was the biggest day and Thursday and Saturday were about equal, so he assumed it would be like that again. But this time Thursday was the strongest day and Sat/Sun much weaker, which couldn't really be predicted.
Matrix 103 (4-day) / 142,5k (5-day)
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Monday numbers:
#1 NWH: 815k (4-day) 967,5k (5-day) - Easily the 2nd biggest OW of the year. The movie is already the 8th biggest of the year and the 14th biggest of the twenties. It already beat every other Marvel movie of the year.
. OW-Admissions Theaters Ø Title 1 1.194.778 830 1.439 NTTD 2 815.000* 593* 1.374* NWH 3 525.093 611 859 Fast & Furious 9 4 340.964 680 501 Dune 5 318.572 792 402 Tenet 6 291.542 554 526 Venom 2 https://www.insidekino.de/News.htm
#2 Gucci 92,5k (-28%) 487,5k
#3 Encanto 52,5k (-13%) 305k
#4 Clifford 45k (+0%) 140k
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7 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:
Aristis!
Thanks, makes me feel like I was missed ☺️
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Just now, Aristis said:
Insidekino now predicts 750k WE and 900k including preview Wednesday.
Yesterday it had another 125k admissions and €1,3M. That means it should be around $10,5M after Sunday.
My first post in like ages. I hope I can visit more often again but Corona really stopped me from doing so...
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Insidekino now predicts 750k WE and 900k including preview Wednesday.
Yesterday it had another 125k admissions and €1,3M. That means it should be around $10,5M after Sunday.
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5 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:
my tickets for Sunday evening cost €8,30 each (US$ 9,80) but that's a reduced price with a prepaid account. It might be that many theaters offer cheaper tickets, to draw audiences back, so maybe that explains MarkG's low ATP.
The ATP was a (bad) guess of mine
The prediction is $3M to $3,5M then...
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38 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:
My cinema plays 2 4DX shows a day for Tenet, both are "selling out" until Sunday with about 25 seats/show, TP is €19,-- (about US$ 22,40). Standard TP is €12,50 for the weekend, that's about US$14,70 - it's the running time, even without 3D those are not cheap tickets.
19€ is insane
My ticket cost 11€ - I could imagine around that being the ATP so the 10,5$ could be way to low. I thought 2D wouldn't be that expensive though... Still, $3M OW should be around the prediction for now, shouldn't it?
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53 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:
Both germany and france come in above 8m each? that was even higher than interstellar opening number
Not the OW! MarkG, as I said, predicted 200k (4-day) and 250k (5-day). That may be $3M 5-day OW. It could go higher of course but that's far from certain. Where do those high predictions come from just yet?
$11M would be lifetime number for now
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It's just the last few days that my interest in BO began after a long time again. I hope Tenet can do good business to have me interested even more again.
If german cinemas die that's not my fault, in the last 6 weeks I've been to movies 5 times (first Inception [I didn't see it in cinemas when it first came out], then LOTR 1-3 extended
and yesterday Tenet). I really hope that it reignites the BO.
MarkG predicts 200k (4-day) and 250k (5-day) so between $2,1M and $2,5M 4-day/$2,6M and $2,8M 5-day. I hope it'll be more but that seems like a safe first bet.
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2 hours ago, Borobudur said:
Is 1m means tenet could challenge near 10m gross? considering huge IMAX chunk.
I'm pretty sure that TP will be above 10$ (I'd say around 10,50$ is likely). MarkG expects 1,05M total so around $11M total for now.
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Last WE drive ins in Germany reached 100k+ admissions. With the first federal states opening cinemas on May 18th, that might have been the peak already, after many weeks of huge increases.
On the InsideKino forum the rough numbers of admissions in drive ins have been shared, some of them are:
Joker 32k admissions (3rd biggest release)
BB3 22k (5th)
F3 18k (6th)
Bohemian 12k (8th)
http://www.forum.insidekino.de/viewtopic.php?f=11&t=5078
As for Joker that means ~4,17M total and that it is the biggest DC movie in Germany (topping Superman (79) 4,15M)
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So there are only two cinemas still playing in Germany, two drive-ins that had 1,892 admissions combined last WE. I wonder why there aren't more drive-ins still holding shows...
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On 3/23/2020 at 6:05 PM, Quigley said:
26th of March
Do you have a different calendar?
Is it possible you confused the months or is it in future perfect?
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So as Taruseth expected, the 1st Trend was too optimistic...
Känguru 85k (-74%/-77%)
Invisible 40k (-60%)
My Spy 37,5k (i.P.)
Onward 35k (-78%/-81%)
Lady Business 27,5k (i.P.)
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1st Trend:
With the uncertainity this might be pessimistic (or not):
Känguru 110k (-66%/-71%)
Onward 50k (-68%/-73%)
Everything else below 50k
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The prediction is $3M to $3,5M then...
My ticket cost 11€ - I could imagine around that being the ATP so the 10,5$ could be way to low. I thought 2D wouldn't be that expensive though... Still, $3M OW should be around the prediction for now, shouldn't it?
and yesterday Tenet). I really hope that it reignites the BO.
BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)
in International Box Office
Posted
1st Trend
#1 Sing 260k (350k i.P.)
#2 NWH 185k (-35%) 3,75M
#3 Kingsman 55k (-28%) 310k
#4 Scream 50k (-41%/-49%) 165k
#5 Gucci 45k (-18%) 967,5k