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Lancelot Gold

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Posts posted by Lancelot Gold

  1. 22 minutes ago, HeyItsMoses said:

    No one here thinks it can outgross Black Panther?

     

    I'm hoping to see this have a multiplier similar to JW. I mean, if it's opening weekend is just as surprising as JW was, why can't it's run be similar?

     

    With a $254m ow (cause you know, it's gonna go up with actuals), i'd love to see it's dom total be at $793m. 

    WW, there is no way IW doesn't make more than BP. For DOM, it will be harder since IW is going to have its legs hurt due to much greater competition than BP saw. I could still see it happening though. It'll be close. I certainly wouldn't be surprised if it managed.

     

    For now, I'd be happy with 2.5x to get it to 630M since that's what I predicted in the IW over 500M club. 😁

  2. 4 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

    What, that WW won't happen with that DOM, this movie will gross more than a Billion OS.

    It already is at 380M without China (and Russia) after the OW.

    Even if it just slightly more than doubles that that is 800M without China and Russsian and with those two it most likely will be above 1.1+B Os so total would be 1.7+B

    Should have specified that WW is definitely a minimum, DOM probably too. I was just using A1's 40/60% DOM/OS split to get an estimate. A 30/70% split would put it to 2B with a 630M DOM total. 

  3. I think the scenario of IW's WW total beating A1 while also having its DOM total being below BP to be extremely likely.

     

    630M DOM

    1.575B WW

     

    I personally hope it smashes even these numbers though. It deserves it.

     

    My unrealistic dream scenario would be:

    800M+ DOM

    2B+ WW

  4. 1 minute ago, LaughingEvans said:

    I never got the popularity of Dragonball. I dropped it on that episode where the bad guy killed someone using only his tongue. Even for 8 year old me, that was too much.

    Definitely not for kids under 13. Need to start from the beginning or you'll be lost. I just got into it about a year and a half ago. Hooked.

  5. 5 minutes ago, Mekanos said:

    I think crazy DBZ space battles will be big in foreign markets. If it leans into 90s nostalgia the same way GOTG does with 80s nostalgia though that might be a bit of a barrier. 

    If they can give us a GotG level or better quality movie, with the women empowering vibe that WW had, this movie is going to do insane numbers. If it can tap just 75% of the enthusiasm that BP had, that would give us the 150M OW and 517M+ US

    • Like 2
  6. 31 minutes ago, Mekanos said:

    Optimistic

    150M OW

    450M US

    1B WW

     

    Not too far from what I've been thinking for Captain Marvel.

    150M OW

    450M US

    900M WW

    The only way I see it making 1B WW is if it makes 500M US, which I don't think is out of the question. I'm just not willing to go that crazy until I see a trailer, haha.

  7. 2 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

    Not meaning to sound like a jerk but to say he procrastinates really unknowledgable, he doesn't know the meaning of the word.

     

    Nostalgia will not be needed as it will stand on it's own two legs just as every Jim films before it, but to answer your question probably.

    I was joking about the procrastination, hence the face.

    Nostalgia may not be "needed" but it's certainly going to be a huge factor. Such a long wait between a first movie that made over 200M and the release of a sequel has only been seen once before, Finding Nemo and Finding Dory at 13 years. Normally they come much sooner, so it's safe to say this is uncharted waters. Incredibles 2 is taking it even further, should be fun to watch.

    • Like 2
  8. 2 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

    they are 100 days into a 170 day shoot by the way

    I have faith in Jim's procrastination :hahaha:

     

    I'm actually shocked they finally started. I gave up paying attention cause it was taking forever. Is 11 years enough time for nostalgia? It's not Jurassic World's 14, but does that 3-year difference really matter?

  9. So, when this wins the Oscar for best visual effects, who gets it? I noticed all the companies involved in the credits the first time and counted the second time for fun. IMDB had this nice list. Looking at past winners, it seems like supervisors from each company win. ILM and Weta for sure. I wonder how much work the others did.

     

    Special Effects

    Capital T (visual effects)

    Cinesite

    Clear Angle Studios

    Digital Domain

    Direct Dimensions (DDI) (3D scanning) (uncredited)

    Double Negative

    Elstree Effects

    Exceptional Minds (additional visual effects. end credits)

    Framestore

    Gilderfluke & Co. Inc.

    Industrial Light & Magic (ILM)

    International Fire and Rescue Association

    Legacy Effects

    Lola Visual Effects (Visual Effects)

    Method Studios

    Perception

    RISE Visual Effects Studios

    Territory Studio

    Third Floor, The

    Weta Digital

    • Like 1
  10. 14 minutes ago, LaughingEvans said:

    Avatar 2 will have to come up with a groundbreaking 5d technology if they want to keep up, because no one in the universe will pay tickets for Sam Worthington. 

    Or they can just cast Chris Pratt!
     

    3 minutes ago, stephanos13 said:

    Avatar 2 doesn't need to have a huge OW in order to be successful people. The first one proved it.

    The first one was also when 3D was fairly new. People are either used to it, or over it by now. It's still going to do pretty well since I'm sure Jim won't have 2D versions for people to see like we get with other movies. I don't recall ever seeing any showings of the first one in my area in 2D.

  11. 4 minutes ago, BK007 said:


    If Disney were really ballsy, or if Lucasfilm was, then they would not have needed to get the original cast back and remake the original trilogy with these dumb films. As it stands, they invalidate the original trilogy and not for any good reason. 

    I'm not a SW fan, so couldn't care less, but I'm amazed that fanboys lap up what amounts to pandering and sacrilege at the same time. 

    I'm a huge Star Wars fan. TLJ is my favorite episode. They took the best parts of SW and added a dash of Marvel. I don't see how SW9 can top it. People didn't like Empire Strikes Back at first either as you can see with its drop in box office. Ep4 (307m) > Ep5 (209m) > Ep6 (252m) for original runs.

    What are the odds of BP hitting 700m? I'm thinking unlikely considering "Digital copies will be available from May 8, with Blu-ray and DVD releases on May 15."

  12. 4 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

    Let's talk numbers.

     

    Anyone on a Marvel high right now and want to over predict? I'll make sure to note it down and laugh at you later.

    265 this weekend, or is that not over predicting? Cause I'll go higher dammit! 😂

  13. 3 hours ago, IronJimbo said:

    You realise it was shot in 3D right? It was made with 3D in mine, the film would be completely different without it, scenes would be different. I couldn't imagine what Jim would have done without 3D in mind, that's what makes him James Cameron and me just IronJimbo. The 3D was actually put in the film as part of the experience, not like hollywood which uses a 8 week post process 3D to snatch every last penny they can (see Marvel movies).

    You're right. I've tried watching it at home, but couldn't finish it. Too boring without 3D. 

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