Hei25

2018 TOP OW (100K+ ADM.): 1 Avengers Infinity War Pt. 1 864.202 2 Coco 409.717 3 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 268.215 4 Black Panther 247.154 5 Fifty Shades Freed 231.230 6 Nada A Perder 163.528 7 Rampage 137.500 8 Ready Player One 131.179 9 Ferdinand 117.045 10 Maze Runner: The Death Cure 101.091 2018 TOP ATTENDED MOVIES (300K+ ADM.): 1 Coco 3.111.280 2 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 1.308.397 3 Black Panther 934.758 4 Avengers Infinity War Pt. 1 864.202 5 Fifty Shades Freed 699.384 6 Ferdinand 370.610 7 Ready Player One 350.345 8 Rampage 347.348 9 Maze Runner: The Death Cure 303.273

MCU TOP OPENERS IN ADMISSIONS AND MULTIPLIERS (Where AIW Could Land): Marvel's Avengers (2012): OW: 498.099 Total: 2.675.356 Multi: x5.37 Iron Man 3 (2013): OW: 503.013 Total: 1.860.750 Multi: x3,70 Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015): OW: 482.897 Total: 1.870.123 Multi: x3.87 Captain América Civil War (2016): OW: 607.743 Total: 1.518.848 Multi: x2.5 Avengers Ininity War Pt. 1 OW: 860.977 xTA Multi = 4.623.446 xIM3 Multi = 3.185.614 xAoU Multi = 3.331.980 xCW Multi = 2.152.442 I expect a Multiplier closer to Civil War than any other movie, but if it canbest it even by a little this will be a huge win. Cross 2M admissions is a deal in Argentina more if we talk about CBM since the only movie to achive that is The Avengers in 2012. So my guess are 2.3-2.4M admissions. Deadool 2 is an awaited movie in the country and it will push to reach 1M admissions in an OW over 300k adm.

TOP 30 ALL TIME OPENING WEEKENDS IN ADMISSIONS (SINCE 1997) 1 Furious 7 (*) 1.024.714 2015 2 Fate of the Furious (*) 969.198 2017 3 Avengers: Infinity War Pt. 1 864.202 2018 4 The Simpsons Movie (***) 769.543 2007 5 Despicable Me 3 742.377 2017 6 Minions 688.599 2015 7 Shrek the Third 683.250 2007 8 Beuty and the Beast (**) 654.827 2017 9 The Secret Life of Pets (***) 648.792 2016 10 It (2017) 648.708 2017 11 Captain America: Civil War 607.743 2016 12 Ice Age: Continental Drift 607.714 2012 13 Shrek Forever After 588.893 2010 14 Fast and Furious 6 581.583 2013 15 Ice Age: Collision Course 578.698 2016 16 Finding Dory 571.835 2016 17 Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted 556.000 2012 18 Ice Age: The Meltdown 549.401 2006 19 Harry Potter and The Deadly Hallows Pt 2 548.942 2011 20 Iron Man 3 508.013 2013 21 El Clan 504.419 2015 22 Batman Vs. Superman (**) 503.897 2016 23 Pirates of the Caribbean: On Strager Tides 501.663 2011 24 Marvel's Avengers 498.099 2012 25 Avengers: Age of Ultron 482.897 2015 26 Suicide Squad 482.884 2016 27 The Conjuring 2 477.506 2016 28 The Dark Knight Rises 474.221 2012 29 Toy Story 3 468.895 2010 30 Relatos Salvajes 445.542 2013 (*) = Holiday Weekend. (**) = Weekend + Friday Holiday. (***) Winter Holidays

Weekend (26th-29th April) Estimates: 1. Avengers Infinity War 864.202 adm. *New. (6-6.2)M USD). 2. Nada á Perder 163.528 adm *New. 3. Perdida 53.090 adm. (-29%) Total = 149.565 adm. 4. Rampage 49.588 adm. (-50%) Total = 347.348 adm. With a huge Sunday, over Saturday. AIW claimed an amazing OW, the 3rd best ever but with the big diferente with the first two ones, those openings were un Easter holidays. Today is holiday (not for all a 40% of companies and shops will have normal activities) so AIW will become the second fastest movie to reach 1M admissions (Tied with F8). On Tuesday (labor day) many theaters won't open so it will have very little attendance, but wednesday (discount day) will easily be over 150k admissions again. So first week is looking for a total of 1.2-1.3 adm. On the shadow of AIW, the brasilian faith based movie Nada á Perder has an amazing OW (over Rampage and RPO) but noone will care about it. Thanks Avengers record breaking OW, this was the best weekend so far of the year, with 1.2M of tickets sold, Finally the Box Office wake up (with a bang), and now the things are looking very interesting with May looking for the best ever.

Estimates updated (+15k adm.). Right now it's raining really hard so maybe it will start affect at some point. But 800k seems more likely than never.

Avengers: Infinity War Saturday Estimates 246.678 adm. (+55 from Friday) Totals = 573.459 adm. (3.9-4.2M USD) Despite being below the saturday bumps (75%), AIW Saturday is just amazing. If it falls leas than 10% on sunday, it will become just the 3rd movie un reach 800k+ adm in OW. If there's any sustancial increase un actuals, I will update it.

Also, today the weather in Greater Buenos Aires and Rosario City (70% of the business) is really horrible, that should push the ppl to indoor activities, so 220k-270k saturday for AIW may happend. Tomorrow weather forecast also seems as today, so also 200k+ sunday is possible having in mind that monday is holiday also will help Sunday totals. So if there's enought demand, 4 days weekend will be btw 730k-780k (5.5M-6M USD). If it opens above 800k admissions it will become the 3rd movie to achieve that, and the first non Furious franchise. In terms of revenue becoming the the 3rd biggest OW seems more locked because it will need somewhere btw 715k-730k to achive it since the avg. tkt price will be high thanks the ppl is attending to the more expensive formats (IMAX, 4D, XD, DBOX)

Avengers Infinity War Friday: 159.621 adm. (-4,5% From OD) Total 326.781 adm., about 2.4-2-6M USD. Strong hold for a huge Opening Day.

Estimates update.

So if we use that 217% over RPO weekend (367M Yen), also a 2 day OW of 1B is in play. Obviously this should be more frontloaded than RPO, so it's not a safe bet, but based on OD it doesn't sound crazy at all.

Thursday 26th April Estimates Update: 1. Avengers: Infinity War 164.968 adm. 2. Nada á Perder 41.463 adm. Comp. against MCU top openers: TA +104% IM3 +94% AoU +113% (with previews +68%) CA:CW +96% "Huge" doens't descrive this performance.

So a 3 day total of 1B Yen, doens't seems out of reach ?

BEST OD IN TERMS OF ADMISSIONS SINCE 1997 (100k+ adm.): Movie Adm. Year Furious 7 (*) 268840 2015 Fate 8 (*) 246005 2017 Monsters University (**) 189756 2013 Simpsons The Movie (**) 181721 2007 Avengers: Infinity War 164968 2018 It (2017) 153168 2017 Secret Life of Pets (**) 149158 2016 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2 144214 2011 Harry Potter and The Half Blood Prince 129853 2009 The Chronicles of Narnia 112913 2006 Minions 110202 2015 Fast and Furious 6 (*) 101037 2013 (*) = Holiday (**) = Winter Holidays

Thursday 26th April Estimates: Avengers: Indinity War 158.647 adm. OD Nada á Perder 40.869 adm. OD Perdida 3.823 adm. (-57%) Total = 100.029 adm. Rampage 3.019 adm. (-58%) Total = 300.653 adm. AIW dropped one of the most impressive OD in Argentina, there's still some screens to update the data so 160k adm. OD is locked. (I'll make a post then to see where it lands over the Opening Days chart). Also behind the huge wall from AIW OD, Nada á Perder also dropped one of the best OD of the year (also I will put that chart). Finally after a poor march and a poor april hte box office started to play hard with the sights on the most crowded Weekend of the year. 2018 TOP OD (40.000++ adm.): Movie Adm. OW 1 Avengers: Infinity War 158.647 ?? 2 Fifty Shades Freed 81.301 231.230 3 Coco 70.457 409.717 4 Black Panther 57.612 247.154 5 Jumanji 49.331 268.215 6 Nada á Perder 40.869 ??

It's not a récord itself, but F7 and F8 all both fell on holiday. Not a normal workday as yesterday. This is massive, certainly I expect some frontloading on this, but Saturday and Sunday may hit 200k per day. 700k++ OW is in play. And also 1M on the 5 days is not out of reach.

In Argentina ER fell a lot, but also Ticket price increased almost on par with that fall, so won't be much diference.

@feasby007 This should improve from CW, so your thoughts aren't bad at all. I feel that 700k OW a bit high. I expect it's OW a just a bit over CW (615k-635k), but this is a market that you don't have a lot of data from presales, so it also can open in the 500k~. Based on the media and social networks, I see it opening over 600k, and with the holiday on monday a 750k-800k total in 5 days, seems likely. Total should top AoU without a doubt.

MCU TOP OPENERS IN ADMISSIONS: Marvel's Avengers (2012): OD: 80.701 OW: 498.099 Total: 2.675.356 Iron Man 3 (2013): OD: 85.000 OW: 503.013 Total: 1.860.750 Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015): OD: 77.292 (+ previews = 98.052) OW: 482.897 Total: 1.870.123 Captain América Civil War (2016): OD: 84.026 OW: 607.743 Total: 1.518.848

Weekly Estimates (19th - 25th April): # MOVIE Week ADMISSIONS SCREENS CHANGE LW TOTAL 1 Rampage 2nd 122.944 275 -29% 297.333 2 Perdida New 95.742 231 - 95.742 3 Truth or Dare 2nd 43.939 176 -22% 100.579 4 A Quiet Place 3rd 35.715 114 -43% 219.285 5 Ready Player One 4th 27.948 95 -28% 344.219 6 Gnome Alone New 23.581 147 - 23.581 7 Madame New 20.203 50 - 20.203 8 Peter Rabbit 5th 12.750 87 -23% 206.604 9 Jang san beom New 12.016 79 - 12.016 10 A Wrinkle in Time 4th 11.788 59 -27% 140.054 Solid holds for all the board thanks the bad weather and the weak impact from new releases. Rampage had a solid run befor IW release, so let's see how much can make from now on with the screen loss. Perdida will easily bocome the most attended local movie till the date during the weekend. Coco fell from the top 10, but it's 11th place is still solid, and will crawl to overtake Shrek 2 (3.120.000) for the 9th place on the all time most attended movies. Today Wide Releases: Avengers: Infinity War Pt. 1 (453 Screens in all formats including IMAX) Nada á Perder pt. 1 (Brasil - 100 Screens) Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool AIW will easily lead the weekend looking to open above all MCU movies released before. Nada á Perder will had a solid OW, religious based movies tend to call a lot of religious groups and this one has already over 50k admissions sold in preasale.

MCU Top Attended Movies: MOVIE ADMISSIONS YEAR 1 The Avengers 2.675.356 2012 2 Avengers: Age of Ultron 1.870.123 2015 3 Iron Man 3 1.860.750 2013 4 Captain America: Civil War 1.518.848 2016 5 Spiderman: Homecoming 1.121.922 2017 6 Thor: Ragnarok 966.306 2017 7 Black Panther 932.645 2018 8 Thor: The Dark World 809.186 2013 9 Captain America: The Winter Soldier 806.484 2014 10 Guardians of the Galaxy 771.686 2014 11 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 698.080 2017 12 Iron Man 2 622.047 2010 13 Ant-Man 571.000 2015 14 Captain America: The First Avenger 561.341 2011 15 Doctor Strange 555.154 2016 16 Iron Man 425.347 2008 17 Thor 382.987 2011 18 The Incredible Hulk 230.935 2008 Superhero CBM Top Attended Movies Since 1997 MOVIE ADMISSIONS YEAR 1 The Avengers 2.675.356 2012 2 Avengers: Age of Ultron 1.870.123 2015 3 Iron Man 3 1.860.750 2013 4 The Dark Knight Rises 1.807.000 2012 5 Spiderman 1.687.965 2002 6 Spiderman 2 1.588.751 2004 7 Captain America: Civil War 1.518.848 2016 8 Spiderman 3 1.399.000 2007 9 Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice 1.355.307 2016 10 The Dark Knight 1.337.000 2008 11 Suicide Squad 1.209.479 2016 12 The Amazing Spiderman 1.188.035 2012 13 Spiderman: Homecoming 1.121.922 2017 14 Justice League 972.739 2017 15 Thor: Ragnarok 966.306 2017 16 Black Panther 932.645 2018 17 Fantastic Four 899.719 2005 18 X2: X-Men United 895.750 2003 19 Deadpool 855.537 2016 20 Logan 829.423 2017 21 X-Men: Days of Future Past 828.349 2014 22 Thor: The Dark World 809.186 2013 23 Captain America: The Winter Soldier 806.484 2014 24 X-Men: The Last Stand 785.172 2006 25 The Amazing Spiderman 2 775.948 2014 26 Guardians of the Galaxy 771.686 2014 27 Batman Begins 720.000 2005 28 Man of Steel 716.300 2013 29 X-Men: Apocalypse 701.200 2016 30 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 698.080 2017 31 The Hulk 632.207 2003 32 Teenage Mutant Ninjas Turtles 623.798 2014 33 Iron Man 2 622.047 2010 34 X-Men 600.493 2000 35 Wonder Woman 578.891 2017 36 Ant-Man 571.000 2015 37 Captain America: The First Avenger 561.341 2011 38 The Wolverine 555.767 2013 39 Doctor Strange 555.154 2016 40 Superman Returns 534.000 2006 41 X-Men Origins: Wolverine 476.022 2009 42 Iron Man 425.347 2008 43 Fantastic Four: Rise of the SilverSurfer 404.047 2007 44 X-Men: First Class 392.298 2011 45 Thor 382.987 2011 46 Teenage Mutant Ninjas Turtles: Out of Shadows 355.925 2016 47 Daredevil 281.247 2003 48 The Incredible Hulk 230.935 2008 Huge result for Black Panther, maybe it had better run in other markets, but this result in Argentina mean an amazing success. I see IW landing just over AoU, with a slight chance to reach 2M admissions. Deadpool 2 is set to be a big ticket, becoming one of the few SHM to top 1M admissions.

Weekend Estimates (19th-22nd April): # MOVIE Week ADMISSIONS SCREENS CHANGE LW TOTAL 1 Rampage 2nd 98.399 272 -28% 272.748 2 Perdida New 74.533 224 - 74.533 3 Truth or Dare 2nd 35.001 173 -22% 91.632 4 A Quiet Place 3rd 28.440 106 -43% 212.003 5 Ready Player One 4th 22.332 89 -26% 337.645 6 Gnome Alone New 19.419 143 - 19.419 7 Madame New 16.411 48 - 16.411 8 Peter Rabbit 5th 10.740 84 -24% 204.574 9 A Wrinkle in Time 4th 10.071 58 -26% 139.285 10 Jang san beom New 9.320 78 - 9.320 Another poor weekend despite the good holds thanks the rain. Rampage hold was really good, it was close to reach 100k adm for 2nd weekend in a row (the last opener to make it 100k in first two weekends was Black Panther in mid february). IW will hit it hard but 300k adm. may happend befor Avengers's earthquake starts. Perdida opened very well, easyly the top OW for a local movie, and during saturday despite IW, will become the most attended local movie to the date. Then all movies hold well. And finally after 14 weeks in the top 10, Coco fell from it and now is in 11th place. For those who expect a huge OW for Avengers Infinity War, get ready because it will be huge, weather also is going to help it (rainy forecast for the entire weekend).

A 600k adm. (3.5-4M USD) OW it's almost locked. Sunday will be huge, so sell over 650k may happend (on par with AoU and CW). Monday also will be huge. So a 5 day 800k adm. seems likely.

SeThursday 19th April Estimates: 1. Perdida 8.701 adm. OD. 2. Rampage 7.051 adm. (-53%) Total = 181.313 adm. 3. Truth or Dare 2.587 adm. (-41%) Total = 59.188 adm. 4. A Quiet Place 2.288 adm. (-54%) Total = 185.851 adm. 5. Ready Player One 1.713 (-35%) Total = 317.026 adm. Perdida set the best OD for a local movie this year and will drop the best OW easily. The first spot will be a tight race btw Pérdida and Rampage. But once again the weekend will be weak unless Pérdida overperform.

Weekend Estimates (12th-15th April): 1. Rampage 137.234 adm. OD. 2. A Quiet Place 50.079 adm. (-48%) Total = 170.543 adm. 3. Truth or Dare 44.704 adm. OD. 4. Ready Player One 30.024 adm. (-59%) Total = 306.754 adm. After a soft OD, Rampage had good OW right over RPO OW. It's total will depend on how good it does before IW arrives in 11 days, but 300k adm. seems to be locked.

Comparing Detective Conan OD, is on par with Doraemon's 2nd Saturday. So we can expect a 310.000-330.000 Yen OD. Expect a Saturday 4 times bigger than Friday is a bit too much, but a x2.5 can be reachable. So a my bet is an OW btw 1.350.000-1.425.000 Yen. I'm really anxious about Corpse forecast. I'm a big fan of the franchise so if it can break some record that will be very great.