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Stewart

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    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

     

    On Fandango, Toy Story 4 outstripped the first 24 hour advance ticket sales of  Beauty and the Beast.

     

    In my opinion this line is very important. 

     

    BATB was notorious for being PS heavy, then TS4 comes along and beats it. Not only is animation usually way way below live action for presales, but TS4 is gender neutral (perhaps even a little more male heavy being Pixar?), whereas BATB had the female-skew which made PS even heavier.

     

    I know that BATB was 2.5 years prior, but still... 

     

    @Deep Wang I need you

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    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Also, KOTM on hourly is doing great as well, not sure wth he's looking at but he ain't doing it right.

     

    Last hour (partial): 

    2019-05-29 09:00:00	635	Aladdin (2019)
2019-05-29 09:00:00	289	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
2019-05-29 09:00:00	259	Rocketman
2019-05-29 09:00:00	179	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
2019-05-29 09:00:00	151	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2019-05-29 09:00:00	96	Godzilla King of the Monsters - The IMAX 2D Experience
2019-05-29 09:00:00	85	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
2019-05-29 09:00:00	82	Booksmart
2019-05-29 09:00:00	82	Toy Story 4
2019-05-29 09:00:00	78	Ma (2019)
2019-05-29 09:00:00	69	Aladdin 3D
2019-05-29 09:00:00	47	Brightburn
2019-05-29 09:00:00	34	Godzilla King of the Monsters 3D (2019)
2019-05-29 09:00:00	31	A Dogs Journey
2019-05-29 09:00:00	18	Dark Phoenix
2019-05-29 09:00:00	17	The Hustle (2019)
2019-05-29 09:00:00	16	UglyDolls
2019-05-29 09:00:00	16	Aladdin The IMAX 2D Experience

    Combining Aladdin gives 720

    Combining Godzilla gives 419

    Doing very much better than Rocketman.

    • Like 1

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Stewart

    1 minute ago, cdsacken said: 
    
1	31.160%	21307	Aladdin (2019)
2	11.699%	8000	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
3	07.996%	5468	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
4	06.578%	4498	Avengers Endgame (2019)
5	05.971%	4083	Rocketman
6	05.237%	3581	Toy Story 4
7	05.066%	3464	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
8	04.359%	2981	Aladdin
9	04.172%	2853	Booksmart
10	03.931%	2688	Brightburn
11	02.562%	1752	Godzilla King of the Monsters

     

    Not good for 1 day out.

    There's two entires... It's almost beating John Wick combined.

    • Like 4

    Godzilla: King of the Monsters OS thread

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Marathon said:

    My market isn't looking too hot for KotM at the moment, I have to be honest... it's opening today and it's not even showing up on the current top 10 ticket sellers' list at the largest theater chain. Looks like this movie will have to be almost completely walk-up driven. Well hopefully anyway, because otherwise it's looking to underperform quite a bit. Hopefully this isn't an indicator on how other European markets will do.

    Over here in UK, not many prebooked for the prime time showing tonight at my theatre opening day. (just booked)

     

    Currently 5 tickets sold, including 2 from me, will report back later but hoping for a bigger turnout than that! Though it is half term, so it's possible the primetime showing won't be as busy as it could be.

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    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

    Guys, Toy Story isn't gonna sell that many tickets lmao. Incredibles only got about 2,000 tickets on its first day of presales, and this has way less hype and urge to buy in advance by comparison

    Will you report on TS4's first day? I feel comparison to I2 could be very good, even if not on the same level but just for relative terms.

    • Like 1

    Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

    in China At The Box Office

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Gavin Feng said:

    $70M opening for Godzilla looks still safe at this point. Saturday is Children's Day, so increase could be better than usual. 

     

    What Dark Phoenix is performing does not look optimistic. 

    If Maoyan still disconnected from the Official BO system?

     

    And could this be affecting the presale numbers we're seeing through Maoyan?

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    Weekend estimates via Corpse:

     

    Image
    (C)2019「コンフィデンスマンJP the movie」製作委員会

    Weekend Estimates (05/25-26)
    01 (01) ¥347,000,000 ($3.2 million), -10%, ¥1,155,000,000 ($10.6 million), The Confidence Man JP (Toho) WK2
    02 (---) ¥220,000,000 ($2.0 million), 0, ¥295,000,000 ($2.7 million), Aircraft Carrier Ibuki (Kino Films) NEW
    03 (02) ¥206,000,000 ($1.9 million), -25%, ¥2,365,000,000 ($21.6 million), Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho) WK4
    04 (04) ¥152,000,000 ($1.4 million), -27%, ¥4,840,000,000 ($43.4 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) WK6
    05 (03) ¥148,000,000 ($1.3 million), -30%, ¥5,550,000,000 ($50.3 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) WK5
    06 (---) ¥140,000,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥175,000,000 ($1.6 million), Sadako (Kadokawa) NEW
    07 (05) ¥130,000,000 ($1.2 million), -31%, ¥8,560,000,000 ($78.1 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) WK7
    08 (---) ¥x60,000,000 ($550,000), 0, ¥x90,000,000 ($820,000), Promare (Toho) NEW
    09 (06) ¥x40,000,000 ($365,000), -57%, ¥225,000,000 ($2.1 million), According to Our Butler (Toei) WK2
    10 (08) ¥x39,000,000 ($355,000), -46%, ¥1,915,000,000 ($17.3 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) WK6

    Everything mostly performed as expected this weekend. The Confidence Man JP held even better than early weekend numbers suggested though, delivering an excellent second weekend hold that easily allowed it to secure its second weekend atop the box-office. Sadako has the admissions to have earned a debut in the Top 5 (fourth or fifth) but this one isn't showing in any premium formats, so I expect its average ticket price to be relatively low. I think it'll just miss the Top 5 in revenue.

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    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Menor said:

    Dark Phoenix's Fandango presales from what I remember are below Far From Home for each day...a movie that is over a month out vs one opening in two weeks. Yikes.

     

    3 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

    Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

    Dark Phoenix 392 347 386 287 238 185
      18 days 17 days 16 days 15 days 14 days 13 days
                 
    Spider-Man FFH 416 364 391 237 211 173
      43 days 42 days 41 days 40 days 39 days 38 days

     

    As per Eric, in the last 6 days FFH beat DP on 3 of them, and not far behind on the others... 

     

    Given they're releasing 25 days apart, that truly is atrocious isn't it :( 

    • Sad 1

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, Porthos said:

    Didn't keep the quick look as a spreadsheet so I can't go down and dirty on adj's or anything like that.  But as of right now, Dark Phoenix has sold 457 tickets region wide.

     

    At T-11 (Sat Night checks) I had:

    May Movies:

    KotM at       762 seats sold.

    Aladdin at   901 seats sold. (3.55m)

    Pika Pika at 618 seats sold. (4.21m - matinee and few PLF)

     

    Other comps:

    FB2 at        1772 seats sold. (2.35m - FB2 over-performed in Sacto)

    JW:FK at     1606 seats sold. (4.35m)

    Solo at       3404 seats sold. (1.89m - SW is notoriously pre-sale heavy)

     

    Recent CBMs (don't have AM&tW or Venom that far out - never checked Aquaman) :

    EG at       18601 seats sold. (1.47m)

    CM at        4085 seats sold. (2.32m)

    DP2 at       2808 seats sold. (3.02m - DP2 did not have 3D)

    IW at         7873 seats sold. (2.26m)

     

    Everything FB2 and before is a little off due to extra sources of tracking, but that'd just lower the comp, not raise it, as there were a handful of tickets sold at the theater that now has reserved seating.

     

    =====

     

    Just eyeballing it, the Fan Event showings locally are not doing well.  At all.  The TrueIMAX theater in town has one and it's sold 34/376 tickets (not including wheel chair assist). The other two ONFEs in the region have sold 4 (out of 199) and 19 (out of 207) tickets respectively.

     

    As for regular showings, one at Century Arden is doing very well as is another at Century Blue Oaks.  But aside from that it's scattered sales everywhere else.

    So you official prediction range is probably something like $3.0m ± 0.3m for previews at the moment then?

     

    Wouldn't that point to an OW of $40m maybe? Below Pro's 50m and way below all X-Men before it 😕 Given Apocalypse's legs, that means under 100m might happen - that would not be good.

     

    Let's hope it's just a blip due to how many movies are out, would be a shame for X-Men to finish with a disaster...

    UK Box Office Thread

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

    But SLOP1 had 13m opening, that is a harsh drop

    Yes, but with Aladdin breaking out and limited screen space it was always going to drop.

     

    With half term this week, all schools are off and so SLOP could easily be at $10-12m by next weekend. Yes a drop overall, but given conditions it could've been much worse.

     

    As I said, not terrible, but not great either.

    • Like 2

    South Korea Box Office

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    Aladdin's Sunday: 358k +8.5%

     

    Only movie in top 6 to increase (rest averaged the typical 10-15% drop). WOM still building and spreading, at this rate potential for next weekend to hold flat. Been a long time since I saw a Sunday increase on a normal Sunday!

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