YM!

I didn’t know you had a daughter.

I’d go a bit higher on ceiling, like $500m-$550m if everything goes right as a best-case scenario but yeah 400s is what I’m expecting which isn’t necessarily a bad thing so long as reception is good and budget is in check. Feels like we’re back in Phase 1-2 era.

It’ll be a matter of when not if Disney and BBC Australia do a theatrical Bluey movie.

The Paw Patrol effect! Also iirc from the 2023 article on their outsourcing, this seemed to have been meant for streaming once.

https://deadline.com/2024/04/gabbys-dollhouse-dreamworks-animation-release-date-1235895407/

I’ve seen this post circulate for the past few days. The person wasn’t saying the movie was better or looked better but that they looked about the same.

After seeing the buzz for this and apparent fervor, think that $1B is more possible than I did months ago. Pencil me in for an OW range of 135m-180m, 200m if reviews and reception are in tandem and something around 330m-500m domestic. Gonna go with 160m OW/400m DOM/950M WW

I feel these projects at least need two weeks from each other and think if one would suffer OW it’s probably Wild Robot. Indigenous People’s Day weekend (10/11) and kickoff November (11/1) would be much better release dates.

You called it.

https://deadline.com/2024/04/the-wild-robot-release-date-1235893235/ Now on 9/27. Still think they should have another week between it and TFO. Holiday weekend was two weeks away.

I also feel a Garfield breakout. Think it could open to 50m-60m over the four day if the stars line up for it. Depends on momentum and how big IF is the week prior.

Remember how KFP4 looked like it was going open under Trolls 3 until a week and a half until OW? Unless it’s a sequel or big IP - ticket sales mean nothing for kids movies.

I’m sorry I’m not creaming because I think it doesn’t look visually clean. Forgive me for having an opinion that won’t influence the GA perception of the movie or negate D&W being the biggest movie of the summer if not the year and just my observation. I’m so my slightly mixed-positive opinion on D&W in a sea of positive opinions ruins it.

Feel more or less the same when I did the first trailer. Looks aight and the trailer is a bit better than the teaser and somewhat alleviates my concerns on it on emotional conflict and if Logan is a variant. The action looks solid and it seems Deadpool and Wolverine do a good job bouncing off each other but the cinematography looks very grey and muted which is a bit disappointing considering all the hype of it being shot on film. Still can’t shake the feeling of this just being done for the sake of having Jackman and Reynolds interact but at least it’ll be a fun watch but I’m not really excited about it. Fans should be over the moon though, but I’m still thinking around 145m opening with 380m domestic and around 800-900m WW. Doesn't really fell like a $1B grosser unless it hits every mark (strong reviews, great audience reception, etc) which I’m still uncertain it can do.

Lmfao they’re saving the mask reveal for the movie when it’ll be on all the merch.