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Kathemy

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Everything posted by Kathemy

  1. __.__ .__ ____ _____ ____ |__|__| ______ _______ | | _____ _____ ____ _/ __ \ / \ / _ \ | | |/ ___/ ______ \_ __ \ ______ | | \__ \ / \_/ __ \ \ ___/| Y Y ( <_> ) | | |\___ \ /_____/ | | \/ /_____/ | |__/ __ \| Y Y \ ___/ \___ >__|_| /\____/\__| |__/____ > |__| |____(____ /__|_| /\___ > \/ \/ \______| \/ \/ \/ \/
  2. For the trolls in this thread, you know who you are. When you write a post, before you post it, ask yourself if this is relevant to the box office. Then you'll come to the conclusion that it isn't, but you'll post it anyway. And then you have the bloody nerve to act the victim when people are calling you out on your trolling. Despicable.
  3. I don't see Star Trek Beyond get to $160m unless they are very, very lucky, but let's assume that anyway. (It would need identical legs to Star Trek Into Darkness and we already know it doesn't have that.) Star Trek Into Darkness made the most relative overseas profit of any Trek movie with Foreign 51.1%. If we're assuming Beyond can match that and do $160m domestic, it'll end up with $327m, so even if we're choosing "happy pill" predictions it won't reach $350m worldwide. I think STB will end up with $155m domestically. As for the international gross we now have some key data for countries where the movie was released early. Matching them against Into Darkness numbers with a small multiplier... Country (click to view weekend breakdown) Dist. Release Date Opening Wknd % of Total Total Gross / As Of STAR TREK: BEYOND - 7/19/16 $30,004,289 41.7% $71,970,277 8/14/16 Australia PPI 7/21/16 $3,092,604 45.4% $6,812,713 8/14/16 Germany PPI 7/21/16 $4,331,742 31.8% $13,640,528 8/14/16 Italy PPI 7/21/16 $959,882 37.4% $2,563,197 8/14/16 Russia - CIS PPI 7/21/16 $3,375,673 54.3% $6,211,603 8/14/16 United Kingdom PPI 7/22/16 $6,219,929 33.1% $18,782,430 8/14/16 Country (click to view weekend breakdown) Dist. Release Date Opening Wknd % of Total Total Gross / As Of STAR TREK: INTO DARKNESS - 5/8/13 $31,700,000 13.3% $238,602,808 N/A Australia PPI 5/9/13 $5,273,397 33% $15,972,623 7/19/16 Germany PPI 5/9/13 $6,330,463 30.7% $20,606,804 7/28/13 Italy UIP 6/12/13 $1,149,320 38.3% $2,996,987 7/14/13 Russia - CIS Cent. Part. 5/16/13 $6,148,463 58.5% $10,518,964 10/6/13 United Kingdom - 5/9/13 $12,949,211 32.9% $39,356,029 8/18/13 The total gross of these five markets for Star Trek: Beyond is $48,010,471. With a slight adjustment for final score (*155/144, I believe that to be roughly fair) we have $51,677,938. The total gross of these five markets for Star Trek: Into Darkness is $89,451,407. (51,677,938 / 89,451,407) * 238,602,808 = $137,845,804 So that's my prediction. Domestic $155m + $138m overseas for World Wide $293m.
  4. We'll see. I like the starship design, I'll grant it that. Really wondering how they're going to go about the storyline. By the way, am I the only one who thinks it's a bit of a coincidence that they're setting Discovery smack in the period of the Federation-Klingon war after Axanar had a huge success with its prelude film in that timeframe?
  5. I hope you are right. I don't want to wait another 7 years for a new Trek movie. Also with CBS's bizarre pay-service for Star Trek I can see that show bombing hard, and I don't want that to happen either.
  6. These are the remaining international release dates: Israel 25 August 2016 Portugal 25 August 2016 Turkey 26 August 2016 Venezuela 26 August 2016 Argentina 1 September 2016 Brazil 1 September 2016 Chile 1 September 2016 Colombia 1 September 2016 Panama 1 September 2016 Peru 1 September 2016 China 2 September 2016 Mexico 2 September 2016 Japan 21 October 2016
  7. Star Trek Nemesis also surpassed its budget with its global box office. However, yes, it did worse, but it's the only Star Trek film that did notably worse than where STB seems to be landing, and the only other Star Trek film that didn't match its budget in domestic gross.
  8. Maybe it's sold better than The Final Frontier, but Star Trek V nearly doubled its budget in domestic gross while Beyond won't even match it. For a similar fiasco you'll have to go back to Star Trek Nemesis which killed the Star Trek TNG movie franchise.
  9. Maybe not important but the actors have already negotiated significant raises to their salaries for any fourth movie. Sure, it could happen, but that was sort of my point - Star Trek Beyond is what a franchise-threatening movie looks like. Suicide Squad is a franchise-creating movie.
  10. If people want to look at a box office "disaster", they don't need to look further than Star Trek Beyond. Now that's a disaster where the movie is underperforming so badly it will probably lead to no sequel being made. Shame, too, it was the best of the reboot films for me.
  11. It's a "fact" that according to Batman News, Barinholtz disclosed that the budget for the film was estimated to amount upwards of $250 million. It's a "rumor" that the budget was $250 million.
  12. The people saying that never watched some films by Kieslowsky.
  13. I'm a huge, huge fan of this show. Especially the casting is pitch perfect. I'm reviewing it for Doux Reviews.
  14. I think we can all safely say that a high box office number isn't a guarantee for quality. I only care about box office to the extent that I want my favorite franchises to do well enough to get more movies. Anything over that is just a bonus, it's not like I see the money.
  15. I'll post my first prediction here so don't trash me if I'm wildly off mark Friday: ~8 million
  16. http://io9.gizmodo.com/marvel-confirms-scarlet-witch-and-quicksilver-are-no-lo-1703112599 FWIW
  17. Their story is easily the most confusing origin story ever...
  18. In other words, assuming 40% domestic and a domestic around $300m we would land at $750m?
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