TwoMisfits
-
Posts
10,916 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
2
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Posts posted by TwoMisfits
-
-
I have no interest in either new movie...but b/c I was so close this week, why not try to repeat, since I'm on a one week roll?:)
Snatched - $14.8M (if a BOGO deal comes out, I'll up this number, but I can't see anyone paying $13+/ticket to see this, except those who have to pick the girl movie for Mother's Day...and even then, I think a repeat viewing of Beauty and the Beast wins the pick)
King Arthur - $25.4M (If I was taking my mom, she'd pick this movie if there were no B&TB showings, so I'm going with my gut that this will be the grandmom/mom viewing choice for many over Snatched - dads would probably also like it better if they were going for couple viewing)
-
1
-
-
Not sure if this post is allowed, but we do all love movies!
For anyone who wants a cheap, summer outing, for today only, you can get a ticket to any Baywatch showing for $5 (all fees included) from Atom (saved myself over $10/ticket). I grabbed mine for a Friday night showing with the spouse. It's one per account. Promo Code is BAY5. And to link this to BO discussion, this is gonna help OW. Always does now!
This is also while supplies last...the speed at which this sells out might tell us how much demand for this movie might be around!:)
-
37 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
I'm trying to decide what to replace Snatched with. I highly doubt it's making the Top 15 anymore, so I reckon it's worth gambling 24k points to avoid losing 15k. I also need to fix the highest April grosser, so that'll get me 15k points too. I have the common 13 and The House, so here are my options:
Rough Night: This is the one I'm leaning towards right now, but bad reviews can cripple this.
All Eyez on Me: This is a semi-popular choice, but the YouTube views have me extremely concerned.
Valerian: Trailer views have been solid, but again, bad reviews can cripple this. I kind of have it on the bubble around 70M, so I don't know.
The Dark Tower: Same as Valerian, only with much less confidence.
Detriot: I'd put this in, but it'll reach a high total by legs, which might not be by the time the game is over. Annapurna is also untested.
The Big Sick: I don't trust Lionsgate on this
It was a big hit at Sundance and has enough distance from The House and Baby Driver, but the market may be in oversaturation by then.
Girls Trip: If The Big Sick is releasing when the market could be in oversaturation, it'll be even worse for this. It doesn't help that it'll probably be getting smaller screens due to Dunkirk, Valerian, and Apes.
Hitman's Bodyguard: If it wasn't for the late release date, I'd put this in easily. I highly doubt it could explode to 40M on OW, but never say never.
Emoji Movie: I still think this will bomb hard, but it might be a safe choice.
Annabelle: This will most likely be better than the first, but I simply can't see it grossing over 70M.
Help me plz
I'd drop all August releases b/c I don't know if they can make enough money in just 5 weekends or less, although maybe for a 15th spot...if it were me, I'd probably have the Emoji movie and Rough Night in for my Top 15 (I think Big Sick is too close to Rough Night to not get a little lost)...
EDIT: This game is awesome, but too overwhelming for me on my 1st year on the board (but I'm gonna watch it)...if I was picking the Top 15 domestic, I'd go with...
1. Spiderman
2. Despicable Me 3
3. Wonderwoman
4. Guardians 2
5. Baywatch
6. Cars 3
7. Dunkirk
8. The Mummy
9. Captain Underpants
10. Rough Night
11. Emoji Movie
12. Valerian
13. The Dark Tower (okay, yes, I said not to put an August movie, but this is a special case...and it's under the other 2)
14. Transfomers 8 million
15. Pirates 5 too many
If I could find a reason to drop the bottom 2 (like I did with Alien one million), I would:)...so, these may not be as objective as I probably should be, b/c I tried to fit as many non-remakes/non-sequels in as I could:)...
-
1
-
-
I have a gut feeling that this will break out this summer and be in the 5/6 spot on the summer movie domestic box office rankings:)...upbeat and fun and sweet nostalgia will sell right now...
-
GOTG 2 = $136.66M
-
11 minutes ago, jandrew said:
Seems TV is already in a boom quality wise as a whole. FX, HBO, the networks, Netflix, TNT, Showtime, content is on a roll. Much better than even 6 years ago. More more emphasis on scripted and less on reality and gimmick shows.
Main network tv isn't that great. It's gotten repetitive across shows (same plot, different characters - repeat)...maybe it's b/c good writers are stretched too thin...or maybe I'm watching the wrong shows on network tv (since I tend to live on CW and CBS for network channels)...
And good reality can be great. I still count Survivor on my watch list in season 30+ (or so)...I'd love to discover another new concept before I'm watching Survivor 60...competitive and real-ish tv can be compelling tv in the right hands with the right concept...
-
1
-
-
Now I get why there were reboots of some old school game and reality shows being kicked around like Battle of the Network Stars (which I admit, I would watch, especially if it was the CW team vs all the other networks combined:).
I think reality tv could have a rebirth again for a few years if the strike happens...it could use one...
-
No online discount codes, no free tickets, no big movies, no excitement...this should be a boring weekend with no real breakouts.
For new movies, best prediction I have (since I haven't cared to even watch most of the previews, I admit it) is that none of them break $10M and one of them goes under $1M (b/c you know something is just gonna do terribly). As for holdovers, nothing breaks high $30Ms (and I wouldn't be shocked if nothing broke $35M - looking at your Fast 8) and...well, I guess there is no "and" b/c there's really nothing that interesting to say:)...
-
1 minute ago, drdungbeetle said:
"Get Out is the best horror movie ever made" remind me not to recommend people from this board to any film critic panel....
...on the other hand, it sounds kinda like something the Academy would say.
Age brings wisdom...when I was 8, I'd have told you the 5 best comedies ever made were Clue, Airplane, Caddyshack, Ghostbusters, and Spaceballs...
Okay, maybe I wasn't completely off-base at 8...maybe I made better quality movie decisions then:)...
-
2
-
-
27 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:
Get Out is undoubtedly the best horror movie I've ever seen. Granted I'm not well versed in the genre
Not saying you're wrong...but I'd watch some of the classics (before the Saw series over-gore horror trend) before I'd stand by that...there have been some amazing low budget classic horror films, some which still hold up for scares and creepiness surprisingly well even now (and some of them, I watched 20-30 years after they came out - the mark of a great movie is its timelessness:)...
-
2
-
-
27 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:
I think Disney will dominate with their big blockbusters in summer.
Starting in May with Guardians of the Galaxy 2.
Yeah, I don't see domination...I see a tight summer race they may or may not win...they could have 3 of the top 3 movies...or they could have none of the top 3 movies...I wouldn't take a bet either way on that. The easiest calls were them winning the spring (BaTB) and the fall/winter (Star 8). Summer has always been the question mark for this year...
-
Just now, WrathOfHan said:
For my sake of getting Lost City of Z or Colossal at my theater, it better not
Oh, you will after this weekend - it should drop quickly once the holiday ends - you're all set for next week:)...
-
I'm just pulling for Case for Christ to sneak up to 20% or less drop this weekend, so stop giving away its screens for the top 3 movies to show more, please:)! It's Easter Vigil/Easter, so today and early tomorrow, folks should jump in to see this and get it over the top for my 20% or less drop predict...or at least I hope they will:)...
-
So, to those who've seen Fast 8, did the stars' outside-the-movie fighting hurt the overall quality (and even buzz) of the movie (like it did on the Good Wife over its last seasons)?
To those who haven't, do you think they can make future successful movies if they can't get the 2 stars to share a scene together? Will they need to replace/kill off one of them to just be done with the issue?
-
No BOGO deals or big discounts from Fandango or Atom yet in April (vs all of the BOGO and extra discount and even free ticket deals for the March movies). Could that be a big difference in what we see for big movies in April vs March? BOGOs bring out families and groups who otherwise might wait for Netflix...
I know people used to say it had little effect and no one redeemed thse deals...but deals directly on the ticket buying sites have to be more used than other ones...
-
1
-
-
Assuming it can stay above 6, probably...
-
Okay, I'm amused at the 2 wildly different reviews of Fast 8 just now - seems like this will be a love/hate movie reaction:)...
-
2 minutes ago, grim22 said:
I can actually see King Arthur surprising everyone with a 35M+ opening. Snatched looks like it will make mint on Mother's Day as the mom-daughter viewing parties will fuel it that Sunday. I think it can make 30M honestly, there is nothing else in the market for women that weekend.
I don't know...last year, I called Bad Moms as a sleeper hit in March b/c it had an underlying "happy" tone in all the trailers - Snatched just doesn't have that tone - it's actually off-putting in its trailers for a reason I'm struggling to put my finger on. Maybe the movie is better and you're right, Moms have to see something Mother's Day - dads tend to flail and just buy whatever the girl movie of the moment is...but Beauty and the Beast will probably still be around and might be the safer call for them (Disney should have released the sing along that weekend!:)
-
1
-
-
Just now, grim22 said:
Did I time travel to May already? Wonder how F8 did at the box office? More importantly, is the world still standing after those nukes were launched.
2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:I honestly think GOTG is going to be the lowest grossing of the three MCU flicks this year. Spider-Man is performing better on social media and trailer views, and Thor is lighting the whole damn internet up. I haven't missed any MCU films in theaters since I got into them with The Avengers, and that won't change anytime soon. However, I'm getting exhausted by them, and they need strong marketing to get me excited; simply being an MCU film isn't enough anymore. That's why I'm looking forward to Thor so much and the other two less so, although Spidey is more of a "what they're showing isn't appealing" type deal for me.
I'm undecided on Thor, b/c he's never been a favorite character of mine. His movies have also been some of my least favorite, so I'm kinda waiting til after summer to see the next set of supers trailers and decide on their merits (for me:)...I do like the premise I've heard so far (and I'm so thankful Natalie Portman is out of the movie - she seemed like she couldn't stand being in the movies and it showed in her acting...love her in so many movies, but despised her in these:)...
-
1
-
-
If I can derail a little on Guardians...saw the tv trailer today and I actually told my spouse "do you want to see this one in the theater b/c off that trailer, it's my 3rd favorite of the 3 coming - Spidey 1st and WW 2nd (only b/c DC isn't getting any goodwill from me til they show me they can make a good movie)"...and we are uber-comic fans who actually are reading all 3 of these series:)...it's just not delivering anything new, at least by what I saw...so, I think I agree with previous posters that they need to give something away to drive people in...
I have seen almost every Marvel superhero movie in theaters (except one where I was 2 weeks post-birth and didn't have a babysitter)...and this may be a skip due to lack of interest...it would be a 1st voluntary skip for us...not sure we will, but we don't have opening weekend tickets yet (and we usually do for these movies by now)...
-
Fast 8: $107.77M
And an extra predict - Case for Christ drops less than 20% in its 2nd weekend...
-
On 4/3/2017 at 10:02 AM, TwoMisfits said:
I'm gonna say Case for Christ gets a $9-10K PTA...so my prediction is based on current theater plans...or $10M for the weekend (with estimates of 1000-1200 theaters right now)...perfect timing on a movie that will put people in an Easter spirit without just being a retelling of a Gospel story...original and hopefully not sucky (wish there were reviews for this one)
Smurfs gets run over by all the other movies (which is a shame, b/c I actually think answering the "why was Smurfette the only girl" concept could have been very cute)...$16M
Going in Style...(I wish there were reviews, too, b/c this will live or die on them)...but as counter programming against all the other movies in the theater and with Case for Christ with less theaters and availability vs this movie...I'll say $16.1M...
Edit to add: I'll say Boss Baby wins for 2 weeks in a row next weekend.
Bleh on myself - reviews too late for Case for Christ, reviews not good enough for Going in Style, and Smurfs got run over even more than I thought...overshot them all somehow in a week that I didn't shoot that high! Guess March (and all the BOGO online theaters deals that helped spike some BO) is over!
At least I picked Boss Baby's win right...unless tomorrow's actuals make me 0-4 for the weekend...then I'll have to hold onto my picking Smurfs and Going in Style close, if at the wrong numbers:)...
-
1
-
-
25 minutes ago, johnboy3434 said:
A question: Let's say Power Rangers pulls out $5.76M for the weekend. Does it have enough gas in the tank to pull in another $5.5M total over the remainder of its theatrical run?
Yes - it's got pre-Easter and post-Easter spring break...and then discount theater bumps...it won't go way over that, but it should make it.
-
Maybe everyone's at the movies:)...I hear it's a big, big weekend for openers!
-
1
-
It was a big hit at Sundance and has enough distance from The House and Baby Driver, but the market may be in oversaturation by then.
Box Office Casino (please read announcement on page 366....we are archiving this one
in Archived Lists and Countdowns
Posted · Edited by TwoMisfits
Can I be a new player? I'll take the bottom 2 ($225M and $250M) if I can...
EDIT: Actually, let me have all three. Gonna stick with my WW over $300M gut, so might as well go big on my 1st bet:)...