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Barnack

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Everything posted by Barnack

  1. I think I remember a podcast with him (Marc Maron probably) and he did talk a little bit about how hard post How I met your mother got (and how hard post playing high schooler to try to find adult role also was). http://www.wtfpod.com/podcast/episodes/episode_623_-_jason_segel He had a big alcohol issue for a while, when it would have been the time to make is place. In general he is not easy to cast with is physic and particular voice, that must close a lot of the traditional lead role.
  2. International audience has a different relation with 3ds I think, so the 3d version will be made for them and will already exist, so does the screen 3d able in domestic theater, probably the only reason non-event movie get them (when there is not an new event movie currently playing)
  3. It is a clear trend domestic: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/behind-screen/is-golden-age-3d-officially-1025843 https://www.statista.com/statistics/243294/3d-box-office-revenue-in-north-america/ https://stephenfollows.com/audiences-tiring-of-3d-movies/ 3d was 21% of the BO at is 2010 peak, down to 14-15% in 2015 and big sudden decline since:
  4. I would assume a sequel like PR2 would be more pre-sales heavy, but genre being so similar I could be wrong.
  5. Those crazy friday 13th hold I read about could happen ? That would be extremely good hold for an giant horror movie opening.
  6. I am very new to following this, but Avengers when you add the 3d, imax, fan events type of sales is always near the top for a good while, even compared to movie opening. I can just go by comparison but outselling a movie like Rampage that open tomorrow look ridiculous to me.
  7. Last 5 hours of fandango (Avengers is just getting ridiculous): A Quiet 5917 Avengers 4804 Blockers 1438 Ready Pl 2055 Rampage 1258 Blumhous 588 Black Pa 768 Isle of 523 Tyler Pe 529 Chappaqu 477 I Can On 356 Grease 4 295 Pacific 259 Super Tr 291
  8. Review fall probably in the good enough for this category, at least for the first 2/3 days, it is not a drama. Should not expect legs specially with Avengers coming up at is week 3, but that was always a big opening type of movie anyway.
  9. I imagine UK has English reviews and with better reach to a market like the US ?
  10. If it look like Red Notice, probably a 20-22m paycheck + 30% of the gross revenus after a determined point, with a pre-determined formula, like you say it has been a long time since people signed profit type contract. That sound just very unlikely, you cannot do that to people powerful like Heyman and Rowling and continue to work without any issue for decade with them, didn't a Potter leaked showing they were making a large (30%) participation bonus ?: http://deadline.com/2010/07/studio-shame-even-harry-potter-pic-loses-money-because-of-warner-bros-phony-baloney-accounting-51886/ You can see it there the negative cost of the movie reaching 316m, having grown by 7.773m since the last 25.9m were made (the price of the movie seem to grow by almost 30% of the revenues after distribution fee, that probably going to Heyman production company and all the big name involved has a participation bonus deal). One could assume the production budget was say 170-180m and the 135/145 million over that are the bonuses. Look to me like simply that TV was still going in but more importantly by far the biggest revenues source of the time, DVDs were almost completely excluded from that distribution deal used to calculate the bonus (that small 88m line video cassette), I think that was common at the time to pay a lot to keep talent away from those Revenues, when Tom Cruise got "100% video" on Mission Impossible 3 it was a big deal. The Goodfellas trial was about that: http://deadline.com/2016/04/goodfellas-lawsuit-resolved-warner-bros-martin-scorsese-irwin-winkler-bert-fields-1201737115/ Was made under a old 1981 deal were WB didn't protect the vhs/dvd revenues correctly, counting 100% of them as movie revenue in the deal instead of the usual only 20% of the 90/2000 era, when they became monstrously huge, so Warner came with a trick trying to hide them on goodfellas to mimic the usual deal people had in the 90s.
  11. Not necessarily, to take a recent example of a 150m type movie like Matt Damon Elysium in 2013. Expense: After tax credit cost is down to 125.894m, World Wide P&A of: 96.614 (including shipping cost and everythings) Residual: 5.99m participation: 2.19m Add a 15.11m overhead to absord the cost of running a studio on the movies Add home release and tv release cost Total Cost: 271.761m Revenues sources: Domestic theatrical: 43.737 intl theatrical: 74.017 domestic home ent: 62.874 intl home ent: 42.875 Domestic tv: 25.745 World TV: 45.6 Airlines: 2.701 Other: 0.335 Total revenues: 297.934 25m in profits in a 150m type production costing 128m net (production + bonus) doing this at the box office: Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $93,050,117 32.5% + Foreign: $193,090,583 67.5% = Worldwide: $286,140,700 They cost 150m that giant, but they often do giant 250-350+m number at the box office also.
  12. We do not know how Disney spend on their movies usually (and when we ever do it does not match the reported that much), Disney tend to be more opaque on this. It is an over 80+ billion a year industry too. In a very rough way, last year's the 6 MPAA studio made around 9.2+13+8.5+6.4+8+2.8 = 47.9B in revenues with around 2.5+1.7+1.3+.697+.44+.364 in profits (7B), that spending 40 billions and there is only 140 MPAA movies a year now, TV is big but still lot of that went into making those 80 or so movie and distributing a bunch for others. Look at the united states spending in the Home ent segment alone:
  13. It is, less worrisome because it is a WB release and they often do it even for well reviewed title (Wonder Woman, MadMax, It, etc...) but still as late as it get, considering it is playing to regular paying audience in the UK in 5 hours.... They will not be able to stop them by then I would imagine.
  14. It is true that it is relatively lower key: Production Companies Flynn Picture Company New Line Cinema Twisted Media Wrigley Pictures I would not think New Line have a max budget by WB too and it is a Dwayne Johnson fighting monster in what had the potential to be a giant world release title affair, Angelina Jolie was getting 125.88m net for something like SALT (144.07m today) not so long ago, that would be sign that the budget are really going down and down and not just for the comedy genre, if it is close to the truth (say just the usual 10-15% massaged down).
  15. Yes it is a good aggregate of sources (much better for budget than box office mojo in general but not when the budget source is box office mojo on the wiki page obviously). That budget 180m wrote on wikipedia is has good has it source fund at the bottom of the wiki page, for a page like that (low activity, just a movie a long time in advance, etc...) being on wikipedia or imdb does not mean much.
  16. Rumor are of a very reasonable low 115m: https://www.thewrap.com/rampage-stomps-into-theaters-looking-for-big-overseas-launch/ That sound really low, I imagine that is the kind of movie that if it would have not done well Deadline, some sources think it is more around 140m if not more....
  17. Last 3 hours fandango sales or so: Rampage selling 160% of Blumhouse horror release, with some 3d/imax ticket in there, if Truth or Dare open to 20-22m and if they have about the same ratio that would mean close to 35 for Rampage with is 3d/imax sales boost. A Quiet 3990 Blockers 1247 Ready Pl 1244 Avengers 1060 Tyler Pe 507 Black Pa 435 Isle of 224 I Can On 212 Chappaqu 197 Rampage 193 Pacific 189 Love, Si 123 Blumhous 120 The Mira 103 Sherlock 86 A Wrinkl 76 Tomb Rai 71 Game Nig 56 Beirut 52 Super Tr 47 Survival 33 Grease 4 29
  18. Yes, I doubt a studio would have done something like that (like I doubt a studio would have done Valerian like that or Blade Runner at that budget), a Chinesse co-production and one that is a bit of an excuse to construct a new studio space with the help of New Zealand and so on..... a bunch of big entity spending 50-70m each I imagine.
  19. Rumors are 150m I think, not 180m and that could be gross and not massaged down. Movies around that budget: Fantastic Four: 154.78m (162m now) Terminator genesis: 158m (166m now) Deepwater Horizon: 156m (163m now) GI Joe 2: 155m (165m now) Tom Cruise Oblivion: 160m Logan: 126.5m (131.24m in 2018 dollar) Total recall/White house down were above 150m dollar net back in the days. More expensive example: Dawn of the planet of the apes: 235.33m (247.22m now) BattleShip: 215m
  20. Wikipedia is not a source itself (the page under it matter here), it was not necessarily being reported because someone wrote it on wiki (could not find it with my very limited wikipedia page history search skills),
  21. After a bit of google I cannot find any metion of a 180m budget for Tomb Raider, was it reported in a serious trade by someone signing the article ? That would be quite different than who was talking about a 150m budget for The Meg. The Meg is cheaper than Deepwater Horizons by 6m and a long list of water movie budget after all, not that surprising.
  22. Possible because even by WB very late usual, Wednesday would be quite late, ultra late embargo It was on Tuesday last year for examples.
  23. 1 A Quiet Place 1233 2 Blockers 317 3 Ready Player One 270 4 Avengers Infinity War 239 5 Tyler Perrys Acrimony 171 6 Black Panther 151 7 I Can Only Imagine 100 8 Chappaquiddick 88 9 Isle of Dogs 83 10 Avengers Infinity War 3D 68 11 Sherlock Gnomes 56 12 Rampage (2018) 53 13 Ready Player One 3D 51 14 Ready Player One An IMAX 3D Experience 45 15 Avengers Infinity War The IMAX 2D Experience 42 16 The Miracle Season 42 17 A Wrinkle in Time 39 18 Pacific Rim Uprising (2018) 37 19 Love, Simon 34 20 Avengers Infinity War An IMAX 3D Experience 31 21 Paul, Apostle of Christ 24 22 Tomb Raider (2018) 22 23 Blumhouses Truth or Dare (2018) 22 24 Game Night (2018) 18 25 Grease 40th Anniversary (1978) presented by TCM 17 26 Gods Not Dead A Light in Darkness 14 27 Peter Rabbit 9 28 Rampage The IMAX 2D Experience 7 29 The Death of Stalin 7 30 Ready Player One The IMAX 2D Experience 7 31 The Metropolitan Opera Luisa Miller 7 32 The Leisure Seeker 7 33 Rampage 3D 6 Compared to truth or dare they do look like they are doing well at least (if that open over 14m like every Universal Blumhouse release did).
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