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Posts posted by Carlangonz
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Just now, ZeeSoh said:
Whats the OD record and how close is IW to it?
Civil War, IW beat it by 30%
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4 minutes ago, Proxima Olive said:
IW OD is about same as SMH/BP OW so 170M+ local OD, or $9.1M usd?
All depends on how you take the ticket price figure. I'm conservative but midnight tickets boost a lot the average, plus I'm pretty sure this is smashing TFA's IMAX record and 4D is a beast so $9M+ is plausible.
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$8.5-$9M OD! 33% over Civil War and 60% over AoU. So that would practically lock our FIRST $400M OW! If follows CW; the best comp then could go over $450M!
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Matinees started decent, nothing remarkable yet. Although many theatres have already sold-out every single show for today; 4D tickets flying fast, PLF w/ Atmos selling more slow. IMAX for main cities were sold-out before today.
ER improved a lot! After overperformance everywhere don't believe me but $9M+ OD are on cards.
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#InfinityWar is TT since yesterday's night.
First matinees starting right now.
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BTW... Venom is easily getting that October record.
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3 minutes ago, feasby007 said:
Seems like literally every market is outperforming expectations
The 11 screen theatre i went to only had 9 screens booked by 9 PM. They had to book the remaining two by 10:30 PM, all 11 screens sold-out. They have 10 screens for entire week only for IW, the other is shared by Rampage and AQP. Many shows (mine included) had to be delayed an hour because overwhelming demand on concessions.
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So yeah, i think $1B MXN/$50M USD can be on table. I haven't been in a show like this since... Coco.
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Three hours amd twenty minutes to go. Theatres are still filling up and adding more screens (if they're available), the strong areas (East CDMX, Puebla) keep adding 3:00 AM shows
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MARVEL CINEMATIC UNIVERSE
With 11 hours and 20 minutes to go ahead of Infinity War release in the country. Let's see how MCU has been its first 10 years here in Mexico.
# Movie Opening Weekend (MXN) Opening Weekend (Adm.) Total (MXN) Total (USD) Total (Admissions) # of the Year Opening Date Multi 1 Marvel's The Avengers $219,740,214 4,009,827 $827,122,714 $61,789,832 15,942,201 1 04/27/1012 3,76x 2 Avengers: Age of Ultron $288,827,214 5,282,326 $784,083,100 $51,089,720 15,735,532 1 04/30/2015 2,71x 3 Captain America: Civil War $351,538,816 6,487,716 $728,156,354 $39,297,465 14,156,354 1 04/29/2016 2,07x 4 Iron Man 3 $207,060,098 3,785,376 $591,383,759 $48,566,365 11,805,783 3 04/26/2013 2,85x 5 Black Panther $169,200,000 3,020,000 $520,500,000 $27,940,000 10,200,000 1 (as of 04/26) 02/16/2018 3,07x 6 Spider-Man: Homecoming $168,190,000 3,060,000 $485,214,287 $26,276,609 9,846,562 6 07/06/2017 2,86x 7 Thor: Ragnarok $140,940,000 2,540,000 $403,700,000 $21,249,433 7,940,000 11 11/02/2017 2,86x 8 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 $154,040,000 2,790,000 $353,450,000 $19,005,245 6,990,000 8 04/28/2017 2.29x 9 Captain America: The Winter Soldier $111,927,621 2,315,139 $335,640,880 $25,720,282 7,076,958 5 03/28/2014 2,99x 10 Thor: The Dark World $107,135,320 1,989,514 $311,347,518 $23,857,540 6,628,849 8 11/01/2013 2,90x 11 Doctor Strange $87,380,746 1,557,953 $261,710,000* $13,587,076 5,250,000* 16 10/28/2016 2,99x 12 Guardians of the Galaxy $88,616,922 1,568,430 $259,150,875 $19,648,542 5,471,623 10 08/01/2014 2,92x 13 Captain America: The First Avenger $92,351,864 1,794,776* $251,233,851 $20,224,903 4,882,506 9 07/29/2011 2,72x 14 Ant-Man $84,290,000 1,520,000 $244,240,000 $14,620,094 5,200,000 10 07/17/2015 2,89x 15 Iron Man 2 $86,979,592* 1,986,890* $243,071,695 $18,396,680 5,552,531 8 04/30/2010 2,79x 16 Thor $72,731,505 1,413,472* $226,720,000* $19,547,866 4,406,101* 11 04/29/2011 3,11x 17 Iron Man $55,282,454* 5,447,400* $205,115,975 $19,728,577 5,447,400 3 04/30/2008 3,71x 18 The Incredible Hulk $46,086,625* 1,223,953* $123,400,000* $12,168,610 3,277,215* 12 06/13/2008 2,67x *Estimated figure
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10 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:
8M OD?
Yup, midnight and schools off are a sign of bigger strength than CW. ER improved today, we'll se if can stay flat tomorrow.
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30 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:
The UK, Germany and Oz opened today along with 29 more that include Russia, Korea, Argentina, Brazil and Mexico. Japan and Spain debut tomorrow. Those not playing Force Awakens this weekend include China, India and Greece.
Mexico opens friday.
$50M-$55M if reception is good. AoU and CW were both very divisive. $42M is floor. Midnight shows are massive, 70% of total screens are doing midnight shows, can go as high as 80%. Many theatres are doing 3:00 AM shows, matinees are starting as early as 8:00 AM.
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@manny1234 i did some research and yes, there was a Deadpool 2 screening here two days ago. Although i confused date for junket, that was today, yesterday were IW press screenings. And yup, there was an embargo too, press couldn't neither reveal when and where was going to be Reynolds, either that was a screening.
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3 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said:
Yes, yesterday
Jealous xD i still have to wait another entire day.
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Those two were my final reports for both chains, although i have to add some more things:
- ER is at worst level in weeks and don't expect to recover for the rest of the week, it only may get worst but IW is not as bad as June-July and November-December releases will be. That said, floor in USD is $18.1M and roof is $22.1M, in lc should start between $360M-$380M buuuut... $400M+ have a big shot if demand is satisfied.
- If doesn't start with 5,000+ screens eventually will reach it through the weekend.
- If this hits 4,500+ screens for midnights (freaking insane!) then we'll have our first 500k admissions midnight seller, beating BvS, TFA and AoU by 100k+ admissions. $30M+ only from midnights road to a $150M+ OD.
- 11 years ago Spider-Man 3 was the first $100M+ opener, then five years later Avengers became first title with a $200M+ OW and finally two years ago, Civil War was first (and only until today) $300M+ opener. Could Infinity War own the first $400M+ OW?
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Infinity War Presales for midnight shows. Cinemex update. One day before midnights.
- 10 cities
- 158 theatres (19.36% from total in the country)
- 1,155 screens (17.38% from total in the country)
City 85%-100% full 50%-84% full 0%-49% full Total Mexico City and M.A. 498 112 34 644 Monterrey 145 37 9 191 Guadalajara 25 17 9 51 Puebla 62 0 7 69 Veracruz 18 6 0 24 Quéretaro 28 4 0 32 Tijuana 1 10 22 33 Cancún 12 7 8 27 Mérida 63 0 0 63 Toluca 4 17 0 21 856 210 89 1155 74.11% 18.18% 7.70% 100% City Shows Change Shows Change Shows Change Shows Growth Mexico City and M.A. +137 -32 -34 +71 Monterrey +62 -32 -16 +14 Guadalajara +12 -2 -3 +7 Puebla +3 -2 +7 +8 Veracruz +5 0 -3 +2 Quéretaro +11 -6 -2 +3 Tijuana 0 0 -6 -6 Cancún +6 0 +1 +7 Mérida +26 -20 -2 +4 Toluca +3 +10 -11 +2 +265 -84 -69 +112 - CDMX and M.A. are still growing more and more as the day gets closer. Lots of theatres are running out of seats, tomorrow should hit 85%+ of screens near to or entirely sold-out. 4D is the most demanded format; OD is completely sold-out at most of theatres for those screens, Dolby Atmos screens are less demanded but still taking a lot of seats for late night shows. Aragón has been surpassed as top location by Santa Fé (at west), the former keeps adding 3:00 AM shows tho while the later has taken top spot not just for Cinemex but for Cinépolis too, 21 screens are booked and 18 are sold-out. Besides Aragón, other eight theatres across area are adding 3:00 AM shows.
- Monterrey has took a lot of strenght, it has grown close to 30% in just five days! Platino (VIP) and 4D are very demanded, i dare to say Cinemex has gained more power than Cinépolis in here.
- Guadalajara also had an impressive jump, still far from CDMX or Monterrey but it's a good sign for walk-ups tomorrow night.
- With exception of one theatre, any other location in Puebla is sold-out. Veracruz and Queretaro are following those steps
- Unlike Cinépolis, Cinemex on Tijuana hasn't got much more, some shows are starting to be cancelled, we'll see if tomorrow recovers.
- Those Mérida numbers are just... mind-blowing
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1 hour ago, fabiopazzo2 said:
Thanks Carl
Cinemex report is coming too. Have you seen the movie already?
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Infinity War Presales. Cinépolis update. 2 Days before release
- 10 cities
- 162 theatres (19.82% from total in the country)
- 1,833 screens (27.58% from total in the country)
City Midnights % of total screens Mexico City 659 84.37% Monterrey 199 76.24% Guadalajara 170 72.34% Puebla 109 92.37% Veracruz 45 93.75% Quéretaro 88 83.80% Tijuana 99 92.52% Cancún 58 85.29% Mérida 47 90.38% Toluca 31 53.44% 1505 80% - If shows and demand keep increasing today (Wed) and tomorrow then i think 85%+ of entire Cinépolis' screens can be attending a midnight show. For security reasons some complexes can't open all screens but anyway the demand is there and is insane.
- Theatres are starting to show the entire schedule, shows for the day can go from mid 30's for smaller theatres (8 screens) until mid 50's for bigger theatres (16+ screens)
- 36 theatres from CDMX and M.A. are offering all their screens, south is practically full at any multiplex. North and M.A. are on way to that. West still 'meh' except for Parque Toreo and Plaza Carso, both opened all their screens and are close to sold-out. Plaza Aragón and Plaza Telmex in M.A. keep leading the screen count for the entire sample, Aragón is still adding 3:00 AM shows, won't be surprissed if beats both Universidad and Perisur in admissions although not in $ since tickets are way cheaper and has no IMAX.
- Monterrey is increasing little by little, same as Guadalajara. A late night walk-up for tomorrow is boosting numbers for both. A theatre at south Minterrey is offering 2:00 AM and 3:00 AM shows.
- Puebla has all but two theatres working with all screens and is hard to find seats for entire OD. IMAX Angelópolis already opened a 3:00 AM show, with 25 screens in total (incl 5 VIP, IMAX and 4DX) is going to be another key location.
- Veracruz has only three screens not scheduled for midnights, so it's a very positive sign. Strong demand means other cities of the state like Xalapa should be as busy as this one.
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43 minutes ago, manny1234 said:
Apparently a screening of Deadpool 2 to several press members in Mexico today.
There was a press conference and junket this morning, it was a very secret meeting. If movie was screened then Fox kept it even more secret and asked to sign DNA's. I'll see if i can confirm it
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7 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said:
Hope they get double pay haha
They're getting triple for the 3:00 AM shows lol
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24 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:
We need your update
In a few hours
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27 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:
HYPE IS REAL!!
My hype can't hold the three days remaining to see it xD At least i have enough projects and homeworks to be distracted
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Between today and tomorrow i'll do the last Cinépolis report for midnights and a quick recap for entire weekend. I'll wait until wednesday for Cinemex.
But as a gossip: i've heard from some people that both Cinépolis and Cinemex are negotiating with employees of many theatres to keep them working around the clock, at least friday and saturday. I can't remember any movie in history that kept theatres open all 24 hours.
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APRIL 20-22 WEEKEND. RAMPAGE IS THE WINNER BEFORE THE STORM. QUIET PLACE IS 2018'S SPLIT. TRUTH OR DARE MAKES A DECENT BUT NOTHING SPECIAL NUMBER.
Rampage
- As expected, it's poised to cross $200M by the time Infinity War opens this friday
- Still playing at 2,200 screens, is losing about 60%+ this friday, holidays next week may help it to not sink.
A Quiet Place
- Keeps with a very good wom, something hard for the genre. It's not topping $150M's from Split but is a success as big as the Shyamalan title
Truth or Dare
- Should pass HDD's total by the end of the week. $50M look hard to get
# MOVIE WEEKEND % CHANGE TOTAL (MXN) TOTAL (USD) ADM. TOTAL ADM. 1 Rampage $55.7 -37,41% $179.5 $9.89 1.03 3.5 2 Truth or Dare $24.6 $24.6 $1.32 479.08K 479.08K 3 A Quiet Place $16.3 -37,52% $119.5 $6.55 287.6K 2.92 4 Love, Simon $10.34 -42,65% $37.19 $2.04 174.06K 675.24K 5 Ready Player One $6.14 -48,31% $165.70 $9.07 108.11K 3 6 Gnome Alone $5 $5 $268K 116K 116K 7 The Hurricane Heist $3.3 -59,50% $56.7 $3.10 69.8K 1.2 8 Ploey, You Never Fly Alone $3.01 -58,13% $12.4 $683K 73.2K 274.2K 9 Den of Thieves $1.7 N/A $23.2 $1.24 33.5K 409.33K 10 Hasta que la Boda nos Separe $1.6 -60,88% $79.74 $4.36 29.19K 1.6 This Friday opens: Avengers: Infinity War, Sacúdete las Penas and L'un Dans L' Autre
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AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR | 1369.5 M overseas ● 2048.4 M worldwide
in International Box Office
Posted
If I'm not wrong, according to Rth's data, we're looking at $22M-$24M OW from Mexico. Outside shot for something close to $25M. Biggest all-time beating CW.