Deja23

I don’t get your point. Aladdin was overshadowed by the Genie in the animated movie too and I’m guessing you weren’t complaining then. Also most have said Aladdin was good, but Naomi Scott played a great Jasmine. Plus, it’s Will Smith. Just as it was Robin Williams 27 years ago. I’m actually glad Jasmine is getting more praise. That’s the something better it seems they’ve done with the live action.

I feel like some have seen a couple of people predict $2b or #1 DOM/WW pre-Endgame and are using that to assume everyone else’s expectations are inflated. Sure, there are very few people thinking that high (and most were pre-Endgame) but the point is that sub $1b is very unlikely. As unlikely as $2b would be. TFA had high Facebook views too and IW and EG had high twitter views. Facebook skews older so high views there is good imo. We shouldn’t discount them just because YouTube isn’t a ridiculous amount. No, I’m not saying this will pull a TFA. Plus genre and fan base matters when thinking about views. Families aren’t going to be sitting on YouTube watching and rewatching trailers for weeks. After the teaser, a lot of people will have decided if they’d see the movie or not, they don’t need to pour over the trailers like marvel or Pokémon fans looking for every hidden detail. Those on the fence will wait for reviews/WOM/etc. Of course my expectations are based on the movie being good. If it sucks or is meh, then yeah, sub $1b. But I haven’t personally seen anything that would make me think that at this time. Sticking to $620-$700m DOM and $1.3-1.5b WW.

I think TLK will beat Incredibles 2. That movie was coming off 14 years of nostalgia and it did $600m. TLK has even more nostalgia than that, plus the soundtracks, Broadway shows, etc. it’ll be huge. No, I’m not expecting $2b WW or $800m DOM, but I think $1.3-1.5b is reasonable range. That first teaser really did well in gauging interest. Way more than something like Pikachu as that keeps getting brought up. The animated Pokemon movies weren’t massive, TLK’s rerelease alone did more than all the past Pokemon movies. And it did amazing in its first run. A few people might be over predicting it with $2b or over Endgame, but under $400m is definitely under predicting it.

I did see some calls for a Jasmine focused sequel as most people liked her character, but a live-action universe would be ridiculous. That it’s a reporter suggesting this is funny though. Don’t give Disney such ideas!

Yeah I’m not sure Disney will definitely push EG above Avatar. Outside of pushing certain films to $100 and getting BP past $700m when it got so close, they haven’t shown much interest in milestones. They might, but EG has already done above and beyond what anyone expected at the beginning of this year. Yeah, some fans wanted it to be #1 and many others were sure Avatar was going down after the opening, but almost no one was expecting $2.6b+ a year ago. Disney made $500m on IW, will make even more with EG. That’s their ultimate goal, the revenue. Not a milestone that’ll be primarily used for fan bragging rights.

Maybe China run ending. The extension was applied for, but China didn’t grant it. Probably would’ve gotten $5-10m more with extension. Plus, multiple openers in major OS territories like UK.

I keep reading this in reviews. So strange. Aladdin is one of the last movies I’d expect to get applauded. Thought that only happened for franchise movies like CBMs and Star Wars. I guess Disney is one big franchise. Actually, Bohemian Rhapsody probably got applause. Was it like that for The Greatest Showman or BatB 2017?

It’s getting great audience reviews on RT. Not saying their new system is totally valid, but those who’ve watched it seem to like it. 94%/93% though it’s still early and with only 600 reviews. Plus I think those who choose to see movies early tend to give more favorable reviews.

Even better shot at $250m DOM now with ~2.8x legs for the 3-day OW. It’ll likely end up ~$30m higher than the higher end of the 4-day projections. I guess so many bought into the online chatter, myself included, that this is so unexpected. Wish I had done a $100 4-day club now lol. Aladdin played great everywhere, but its strongest plays were in the South and the West. This is probably explains why some individual theater presales in tracking thread didn’t seem to correlate with Fandango presales.

That’s one of the highest I’ve seen on here. Are musicals big in S. Korea or was Aladdin really popular here? The way the WOM is OS and DOM, it really seems it could’ve done $1b if it had better marketing and was a well made film with less flaws.

She’s the reason I was rooting for the movie to do well. Liked her since Lemonade Mouth and she was good in Power Rangers too. And if the Charlie’s Angels reboot is good, this’ll be her breakout year. Also, Aladdin’s RT All audience score continues to climb. Now 89%.

We’ve already beaten the various meanings of her tweet to the ground in this thread, but this is a new one. You say you’re fine with her promoting her movie, then you say you don’t like being told what to watch. But isn’t that what all movie promotions are? Studio marketing departments trying to tell you what to watch, constantly bringing their movie to your attention. How else to you know about a movie or decide to watch it if you don’t get told? The Aladdin and Godzilla tweets being promoted are essentially doing the same her tweet is doing.

Per Deadline: For the 3-Day OW: https://deadline.com/2017/03/beauty-and-the-beast-weekend-box-office-selling-out-1202045224/

So for the past 4 years, there’s been at least 4 $1B grossers. Means we’re due 2 more. TROS and TLK are near certain imo. Finding Dory, Despicable Me 3 and Minions were all $1B+, so we have to fill that animated movie slot, which will likely be Frozen II. And there are other possibilities like FFH and Hobbs & Shaw. Toy Story 4 depends on reception and while I think Jumanji 3 will decrease, it’s another possibility. We might end up with 5-6 this year. 6 would be a record.

So the RT audience score went from 88% to 93% for Verified and 78% to 88% for All. I’m more surprised about the jump in the All audience score. 10% increase in 2 days. I haven’t paid much attention to other RT audience scores so not sure how it compares. It looks like it’ll settle here and will likely start dropping over time like most movies.

Based on the trailers, Booksmart reminded me of Superbad. Don’t know how similar it actually is, but they’re both R-rated high school comedies. Maybe they started promoting it late. Didn’t even know it existed till a couple of weeks ago. Definitely would’ve done better with WB or Sony.

It’s funny to me that there’s been an Aladdin vs. Godzilla thing going on. The movies are so different, they’ll both be fine if the GA like them. There’s no need to get upset about either or hope for one to fail.

Nice try, but you’re never going to be able to get rid of Shivampa and his many alts if that Not Cool reaction is anything to go by. 😂

Gotcha. I wasn’t implying it would do great and didn’t realize it’s out anywhere yet. Just surprised by your statement and went to check RT as I assumed that’s what you were basing it on.

Nothing burger? It’s 91% on RT... @Barnack, didn’t realize that. Guess they will make some on streaming.

There won’t be any streaming sales if it goes straight to Disney+, but it should have healthy home video sales. 3x the prod budget gives it $550m. Should be able to get there. That’ll cover the P&A costs. Especially since going based off the international threads, Disney didn’t market the movie as much as they could’ve.

I think he was replying to that poster that, based on previous expectations, $7m would be a better number for the preview. But if he was to be even more optimistic about it, $8.25m would be his pick.

So if I’m understanding this right, the better than expected number isn’t the preview, it’s that it might have a good Friday? Which might translate to a good OW...

I don’t think it’ll be A+. It’s better than people expected and fun to watch, but no one is saying it’s amazing. I’d say A- based on these reactions.