Litio

From dhd: Outside film finance sources with knowledge of the Alita‘s budget have informed us that breakeven is anywhere between $500M-$550M

Sunday AM Update: Refresh for chart and more analyis: When a studio or a filmmaker builds a movie for north of $170M, the expectation is to soar to the greatest heights at the box office, and a passion project in the hands of James Cameron as producer — what studio wouldn’t double down on that, especially in an era starving for fresh franchises? His Alita: Battle Angel, directed by Robert Rodriguez, is easily winning the Presidents Day box office, with a $27.8M 3-day and $33M and a revised 5-day of $41.7M . But the pic, despite beating its tracking and an $11.6M Saturday, +55% over Friday, is still a long way from any kind of profitability. Rival B.O. analysts believe that her domestic result at this 5-day level has a shot of hitting $100M. https://deadline.com/2019/02/alita-battle-angel-box-office-bomb-1202558922/

Thank you. I didn't see part 2

@Charlie Jatinder, do you have HDD2U's saturday number?

I'll fix it.

Page 32. It is in title.

Based on Fandango's sales, I see Alita's OD closer to $10m. I was seeing its 5-day over $40m too. Looks it is happening.

Also New Line’s Isn’t It Romantic is eyeing $5M today for a $13M FSS, $14M-$16M FSSM, and a 6-day of $22M. Universal/Blumhouse’s Happy Death Death 2U is seeing $2Mtoday, a FSS of $5.2M, FSSM of $6.1M, and six-day that’s between $8M-$10M.

4TH UPDATE, THURSDAY MIDDAY: Fox’s Alita: Battle Angel is leading Valentine’s Day with an estimated $8.5M per midday figures, which breaks down into a Friday-Sunday that’s $23M-$25M, a FSSM that’s $28M-$30M, and full 5-day Presidents Day weekend launch of around $37M. https://deadline.com/2019/02/happy-death-day-2u-isnt-it-romantic-opening-day-box-office-1202556699/

$35m 5-day from $2.4m wed previews? What kind of math is this?

Where are Alita's previews number? I'm seeing $1.2m+

https://deadline.com/2019/02/happy-death-day-2u-isnt-it-romantic-opening-day-box-office-1202556699/https://deadline.com/2019/02/happy-death-day-2u-isnt-it-romantic-opening-day-box-office-1202556699/

I knew it

Source? I don't see any previews for it.

4 5.9% Isn't It Romantic

Movietickets 2019-02-12 16:00:37.077592 UTC 1 19.1% The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part 2 11.9% What Men Want 3 9.3% Cold Pursuit 4 5.9% Isn't It Romantic 5 4.7% Glass http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/MT_track.txt

Alita is catching fire in fandango Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours Since: 2019-02-10 05:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago) RANK PERCENT TICKETS MOVIE 1 11.619% 254 Alita Battle Angel 2 11.436% 250 What Men Want 3 10.979% 240 The Lego Movie 2 The Second Part 4 07.731% 169 Isnt It Romantic 5 06.999% 153 Captain Marvel (2019)

Target is $14m, I think.

It decreased from tuesday, but is a great number. How far it will go? $130m?

Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Extreme Job South Korea Jan 23, 2019 $8,904,669 ($81,645,810) 1,118,512 (10,516,964) 1,832 62.61% 2 Alita: Battle Angel U.S. Feb 05, 2019 $2,418,422 ($4,962,199) 277,706 (554,756) 997 17% 3 Hit-and-Run Squad South Korea Jan 30, 2019 $1,138,220 ($10,770,270) 144,913 (1,451,338) 776 8% 4 How to Train Your Dragon 3 U.S. Jan 30, 2019 $883,502 ($7,070,302) 117,417 (941,163) 769 6.21% 5 Geuk-jang-pan Hel-lo-ka-bot: Om-pa-ro-seu Seom-ui Bi-mil South Korea Jan 31, 2019 $388,689 ($3,095,173) 54,291 (440,211) 543 2.73% 6

Don't you have a example? Like "Jumanji had 300k in presales two weeks before the debut and finished with 550k" or something like that? 250k seems like a weak increment for Alita. I see the presales of most films at fandango growing absurdly in the week of release.

Okay, thank you, but what I did not understand is why you think Alita will double the presales made last week. Did you make any comparison with the history of the presales of another similar film or it is a guess?

I said 110k od 😅. 127k was presales in total (tuesday+wed+...+sun) I was trying not overestimate. Amazing OD.

The increase of presales next to the release date are not exponential? Can you show an example of increase? I'm curious because the presales in Fandango increase a lot in the release week, Alita's presales began (officially) less than a week and they are pretty consistent at least at Fandango. Valerian is based on the comics in which Star Wars was inspired / did copy / whatever. Probably the few fans who knew of that were excited.