Cooper Legion

Midday update (16:20): 285-310

Not me casually getting my S3s confused in regard to which you ranked loks4 over, that would be too embarrassing. Y’all saw nothing

For my next trick, @Olive will tell us that sat presales are massive

Recovery arc was a bit choppy for me and I didn’t love how it separated her from the rest of cast for so much of the season. In particular, S3 had the most korrasami content which is a big factor for me, but also I think the villain was much stronger both on a personal and thematic level. S4 plot felt a little overambitious and sprawling to me whereas red lotus was very tight and genuinely menacing. This has never occurred to me before but I guess I’m saying LOKS3:LOKS4::IW:AEG @charlie Jatinder

Thank you based @Eric The Last Airbender

B1+O1+B3+G3+O4+I5(-G1)=N4

Spacings are accurate added context but this is atlas3 slander

Meh OD PS+weak walkups in east Asia?

S3e1 through s3e8 is relatively weak (still top tier tv) but Black Sun-boiling rock-comet slaps too much

Bingo goes brrr

Let’s get those rankings goin’: ATLA S3 ATLA S2 ALOK S3 ATLA S1 ALOK S4 ALOK S1 ALOK S2

The weighted comps are headed for a little under 17 taken together based on past few days though there is always a chance to turn things around on t-0

Bleak AF

I left the captions off this time so you all wouldn’t realize it says “Fine. I’ll let @Menor Reborn do it himself”

Should have tried to get in on Deadpool 3 first. Being a Deadpool sequel anti hero antagonist is the true path to Thanosdom

Sure, that is what I’m saying, and that is what you should do Let’s circle back to this in 5 days

He’ll be back for Superman:No Way Krypton

Dude, get real.

Yea, you do. Firstly, what I would recommend for thinking about getting an IM from that inception mega Thor data is: Fri/Th relative — 1.85x Sat/Fri relative — 1.69x Sun/Sat relative — 1.51x Thor was: Fri/th 1.4x sat/fri 1.04x sun/sat 0.77x For IM=1+1.4(1+1.04(1+.77))~=4.98x adjusting by pure ps ratio -> 1+1.85*1.4(1+1.69*1.04(1+.77*1.51))=13.4x, as you say. But this corresponds to a 72% sat increase and a 16% sun increase, so clearly there is a lot more work to be done accounting for how much the ratios will converge by t-0 and then differences in PSm. We do not have much historical data to reference in that regard as we’ve gotten into some pretty in the weeds variables that don’t tend to get explicitly noted down anywhere. I can only tell you that based on expertise/experience, that relative fri/th edge will probably narrow to ~1.6x, whereas the sat and sun nums just aren’t that significant at this point with Thor’s sales being so low and the relative edge in actuals will probably tighten to about 1.2x and 1.1x respectively, for ~1+1.6*1.4(1+1.2*1.04(1+.77*1.1))=8.4x. If the Sat advantage remains very chonky you could hit 9-10x, but it’s a big ask. Another wrench here is the summer vs almost xmas difference in positioning.

Most diehards here seem to be in like 16*8 (128)-18*8.5 (153) zone is my impression, quite reasonably in my opinion — I think atp weighted suggests that sort of previews after atp adjustment.

I did the naive calc (and noted it as such) for ease of writing and reading quickly. Indeed sat ps look even better, but if you do the whole long analysis I think you mostly end up with like 8-8.5x, which is where most people seem to have been for a while.

I am talking FSS walkups, not th walkups. Walkups for OD proper in SK were pretty bad. It’s not a perfect indicator for DOM analogue, but decent correlation, especially if PS level is similar (it was) and ps trends similar (they were). The optimist’s case is that ps finish and PSm are weak because people are being very picky about screens and all the “missing” business on ow expectations miss is simply translated to later days rather than actually being lost.