Cooper Legion

Sacto size adj avg on the last two updates ticked up from 32.45->33.05->33.85 I think I agree with 36+- based purely on Sacto but mtcs definitely suggest the plus, probably like 37.5-40 but we’ll see what we see. Great finish either way

Congratulations to Sony for accomplishing this with NWH, a definitely-not-Disney film

Final presale grid I guess T-1 Legion DPW OWForecastMatrix Thursday Preview Gross Range $36.40 $37.00 $37.60 $38.20 $38.80 $39.40 $40.00 $40.60 $41.20 Thur / Wknd Ratio (IM) 5.13 $186.73 $189.81 $192.89 $195.97 $199.04 $202.12 $205.20 $208.28 $211.36 5.2 $189.28 $192.40 $195.52 $198.64 $201.76 $204.88 $208.00 $211.12 $214.24 5.26 $191.46 $194.62 $197.78 $200.93 $204.09 $207.24 $210.40 $213.56 $216.71 5.32 $193.65 $196.84 $200.03 $203.22 $206.42 $209.61 $212.80 $215.99 $219.18 5.38 $195.83 $199.06 $202.29 $205.52 $208.74 $211.97 $215.20 $218.43 $221.66 5.44 $198.02 $201.28 $204.54 $207.81 $211.07 $214.34 $217.60 $220.86 $224.13 5.5 $200.20 $203.50 $206.80 $210.10 $213.40 $216.70 $220.00 $223.30 $226.60 5.56 $202.38 $205.72 $209.06 $212.39 $215.73 $219.06 $222.40 $225.74 $229.07 5.62 $204.57 $207.94 $211.31 $214.68 $218.06 $221.43 $224.80 $228.17 $231.54

Do we know what % of sales is from members vs nonmembers? I would have thought mostly membership % low so face value still pretty significant. Also is the membership value provided anywhere? Surely it’s not immune from inflation itself, if it’s gone up 22->24 that could be important

If that doesn’t help you I’m afraid you’re beyond saving

Gottem 😎 Like for like size-adj avg 31.3M -> 32.4M, with NWH included (agree with this btw) closer to 32.45 Not exactly sophisticated math here but often each of the final day updates has about as much comp movement as the previous two days avg, so might go to something like 33.6 & then 34.75 final (before atp)

DSItMoM

Dunno how much is R vs just 2 years inflation but the ATP diff at mtc is more like 8% right. Maybe 5%ish inflation 2.5%ish ticket type distribution?

I must clarify it. Inside out is actually the highest grossing animation film of all time, because TLK doesn’t count as animated for records

Dude, why do you always do this to yourself. Do you know what “might” means 😛

That’s what makes it embarrassing 😛

Previous version above, mtc-1 update required some adjustments T-2 Legion DPW OWForecastMatrix Thursday Preview Gross Range $35.80 $36.40 $37.00 $37.60 $38.20 $38.80 $39.40 $40.00 $40.60 Thur / Wknd Ratio (IM) 5 $179.00 $182.00 $185.00 $188.00 $191.00 $194.00 $197.00 $200.00 $203.00 5.07 $181.51 $184.55 $187.59 $190.63 $193.67 $196.72 $199.76 $202.80 $205.84 5.14 $184.01 $187.10 $190.18 $193.26 $196.35 $199.43 $202.52 $205.60 $208.68 5.21 $186.52 $189.64 $192.77 $195.90 $199.02 $202.15 $205.27 $208.40 $211.53 5.28 $189.02 $192.19 $195.36 $198.53 $201.70 $204.86 $208.03 $211.20 $214.37 5.35 $191.53 $194.74 $197.95 $201.16 $204.37 $207.58 $210.79 $214.00 $217.21 5.42 $194.04 $197.29 $200.54 $203.79 $207.04 $210.30 $213.55 $216.80 $220.05 5.49 $196.54 $199.84 $203.13 $206.42 $209.72 $213.01 $216.31 $219.60 $222.89 5.56 $199.05 $202.38 $205.72 $209.06 $212.39 $215.73 $219.06 $222.40 $225.74

-> 31.3M T-1 record could fall imo, target is 1961 Edit: No wait, nwh is 1961 but L&T has the record with 2246 lol

We still don’t know reception, ask me on Saturday but since reviews are in line basically the same as what I said 2 months ago 😛

Maybe more like 490/1080

They’re about what it made sense to expect all along and basically no impact (small opportunity cost impact if you thought it was going to get lauded BP1/SC style for some reason) Could be A- but I’d guess A

Not anymore

Typically, there has been very strong correlation between critic reception and GA reception for MCU movies. It would be interesting if this was the first to significantly buck that trend (also the critic reception still isn’t very clear just wait for actual review embargo lol)

Sacto size-adj avg: 29.4 -> 30.2 The great alignment is nigh?

Their eyes are bleeding from counting too many seat charts in a row

It’s over 4x dune so should be expected to decrease every day

Huh?

It’s way behind DS2, the case for this is expected better reception…

People couldn't afford to buy tickets after bankrupting themselves on actblue, SAD

Doesn’t necessarily look like there was any impact to me, but it’s extra hard to tell since it’s unclear how much we should be coming down from final trailer/coming into final week anyway 🤷‍♂️