Cooper Legion

Username Legion DOM rank 4th DOM gross $720,720,720 I’ll get initial weekends in a bit later. Planning to keep track of scores for myself and multiverse of Xxr, but skip over us as far as prizes go.

Yeah. Unfortunately both Mojo and the numbers handle movies that opened limited and then expand wide in a kind of silly way (imo) for weekend records. I think Frozen is another high profile movie that benefits. We’re just using the BOM lists for scoring, anything else would be way too complex and harder for people to cross reference.

@Multiverse of XXR and I have got another contest for you folks. If you wanna get a little more concrete on these discussions about how well this will hold, maybe end up with some gold along the way:

Well, we’re capping off a dull BO year with a bang that’s got everyone excited and producing some lively debates. With such exciting expected BO runs comes a flurry of activity and prediction, some friendly competition in the forms of clubs for bragging rights — and even the occasional contest or two for some modest prizes. The main festivities on dec 16-20 are already good and covered by @Cap’s OW contest (if you’re somehow reading this and hadn’t seem that one yet, go check it out!). A contest which, wise to the powers and sorcery of the 2021 buzz thread, locked previews before NWH sales blew the hinges off even the most optimistic of predictions. But as we’ve gained (some) clarity on what kind of kickoff to expect, more discussion and disagreement turns to that other half of the box office equation — just how well can this thing do after those first 3 days, anyway? Especially with the inherent tension between the good legs that can come from the holiday season, and the front loading risks that can come from huge fan buzz. @Multiverse of XXR and I each had some interest in contests exploring the later(/full) parts of the run, so here we are with a double header. Predict the Multiverse (Part One) (50 points) This one is nice and easy — where will NWH ultimately end up on the domestic all-time record books? Ties here are pretty likely, so we’ll use gross to tiebreak as needed. However, the gross only matters as a tiebreak — if the actual is, say, 937M, than a guess of 1st place+1B (here’s looking at @nguyenkhoi282) would beat a submission of 2nd place+936M, because the actual result was 1st place. Winner gets a month of gold, 2nd place silver, 3rd place bronze. Editor’s note: I do NOT, personally, recommend predicting 1st place 😛 Username DOM rank DOM gross Predict the Multiverse (Part Two) (66 points) This one is a bit more of a deep dive. For each weekend whose records are tracked by Box Office Mojo, predict where NWH’s corresponding weekend will rank. 2nd weekend = 11 3rd weekend = 10 4th Weekend = 9 5th Weekend = 8 6th Weekend = 7 7th Weekend = 6 8th Weekend = 5 9th Weekend = 4 10th Weekend = 3 11th Weekend = 2 12th Weekend = 1 For a total of 66 points. We’ll have cumulative standings develop after each of the weekend results if you want to follow along (or of course you can just put this out of your mind after submission and hope to get a ping for winning like 5 months later, whatever suits your style). Winner gets wins a month of gold, 2nd place silver, 3rd place bronze. Username Weekend Predicted Rank 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Technical note: Feel free to supply grosses if it’s more convenient and they’ll be converted automatically. Combining the Multiverse It’s uhh… it’s the sum of people’s scores from the two parts we just talked about above. No extra bells and whistles, just good ole addition. Winner gets a month of gold, 2nd place silver, 3rd place bronze. Which brings us to SCORING: Tl;dr of scoring — the closer your prediction is to what actually happens, the better you’ll score! The longer answer: Deadline: THE DEADLINE FOR SUBMISSION ON BOTH PARTS IS SUNDAY, DECEMBER 19, 2021 @ 11:59PM PST. Other miscellaneous rules and info: All Submissions MUST BE sent into me or @Multiverse of XXR via PM or posted in this thread. No Telegram PMs. All Submissions are LOCKED by their deadline. No late entries. No edits. Before the deadline, you can edit your submission as many times as you want. Any exact ties (after explicit tiebreaks) will be broken by your handy dandy google random number generator. This should only come up if two people give the exact same DOM gross tiebreaker or submit identical weekend predictions, so I’d be surprised, but just to cover our bases fully. Users can enter any and/or all of the parts and be eligible to win the associated prizes. In particular, if you just want to drop a domestic gross off the top of your head, that will make you fully eligible for the first part of the contest.

Biden should subsidize no way home tickets down to $0 for the sake of positive vibes and returning communal experience. Easy 400M OW 1B+ DOM

Couldn’t you get your already purchased tickets refunded at full price, and then quickly grab the exact same seats at the discount?

I don’t expect acceleration until maybe t-7, but seeing some earlier would be neat.

ITH was on max and had that weird last minute "full Thursday OD -- no wait it's flopping jk those were just previews" release. But still might be somewhat useful, forget if we did any MTC for that one.

Personally I would keep them “secret” so close, but I bet the final PS would be noticeably higher if they get shown. Still some GA who aren’t aware.

Fine for 5th weekend I guess

Anything above I2 is fine

Good news: I have set up most of what I wanted to set up. Bad news: the unique circumstances of the run are making the output even goofier than expected. Mostly 100+ previews sort of stuff that I am not going to bother posting. I am hopeful that when comps begin to go up the 2nd half of the U, I will be getting more reasonable results. On a very high level I would say the NWH pace is great for t-11ish, but it won’t ramp up to a degree of almost any comps we have because its U bottom isn’t very bottomy.

They’re talking about the film you quoted in the post they quoted, Venom.

I’ve got absolutely 0 idea about OS. I guess it will do 0M in China at this rate, so that hurts 👀

Dec 13th, review and social media embargo both drop right after the premiere.

🕷️🕷️🕷️

Don’t really buy this. The 3 films you’re talking about were: PA Solid IM worst in franchise reception and still 7.5

Ironically I think IM could perhaps go that low, but legs that low just don’t make sense (although, omicron, maybe… )

OMG, I missed Sony revealing that this would be another part 1 part 2 deal NWH2 won’t have omicron issues, so we should beat avatar for sure

42 down, 138 to go

This is a 3x true IM, 5.32 IM, 234-266