Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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brazil Brazil Box Office Thread
Cooper Legion replied to Fullbuster's topic in International Box Office
Ah, the Brazil thread is popping again. Now we just gotta get @pepsa and @Fullbuster in here for the OW -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
What is a decent OW for WSS anyway. BOP has 14-22. It’s 21 on HSX. It’s priced around 16 for FML. I guess anything above Gucci seems okay to me, but in the “okay given that my expectations have been in the basement” way rather than “this is a 100M film from a revered director and doing actual solid numbers ina vacuum” way. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
What in the fucking hell is going on in this theater. These are like 40M final comps -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I swear to god if the comps are thrown off by fucking NFTs I will… [redacted to avoid warning] Adam Aron -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
https://www.mediaplaynews.com/amc-theatres-ceo-we-broke-the-internet-selling-spider-man-no-way-home-movie-nfts/ -
T-17 for TROS is comping vs like 5 weeks of cumulative sales, it’ll pop way over in tonight’s report 😛 Also I just noticed those nums I had above would make it the 2nd movie (after endgame) to hit 200 off 2 days. Would probably also claim 2nd fastest to: 250 300 350 After which it might start falling behind TFA
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
When reviews leak that there’s no T&A, everyone will cancel tickets+ sue for emotional damage, several billion dollar loss to become by far the least profitable movie in human history -
Nothing is binding for two weeks, but I guess an updated look at where my head is at (I know previews are locked for contest purposes, but I’m going to keep updating that field to give a cleaner picture for the full weekend): USERNAME PREVIEWS TRUE FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY TOTAL Legion 48M 75M 81M 69.69M 273.69M I truly didn’t realize what these were going to sum to until I did the sum at the very end. But it is what it is I guess 🤷♂️
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Some random stats ‘cause I can: Mean — 29.7M standard deviation — 7.57M 2 sigma range — 44.9M geomean — 28.7M geometric SD factor — 1.3225 geometric 2 sigma range — 16.4M to 50.2M geo is really more apt for this context imo, and we probably won’t breach the 2 sigma ceiling. But if we end up 1-2 sigma (38-50.2) that still implies some likely systematic issues.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Stop. The. Count. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Releasing day 15 is a lot friendlier than day 5 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
We won’t get a hard num, but fandango/deadline should do an “over tfa, 2nd beat ever, almost endgame” kind of article. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Like 50 days vs 16 , but also SW vs MCU — TROS Sacto final was 2.4x D1. If NWH does 2x Day 1 we’re in the 40s 🤣 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The reacc is gold Money is as money does, I didn't force WB to release M4 streaming on NWH's 2nd weekend 🤷♂️