It is obvious that critics have agendas sometimes, but that whole conversation is so intertwined with some toxic elements that it’s hard to have a reasonable back and forth about it (and the mods don’t seem inclined to let people try).
The millennials didn’t come to see it. The zoomers didn’t come. The boomers didn’t come, the Xers didn’t come, the greatest gen didn’t come… I mean, this was not a generational issue. The whole public was not interested in paying to watch this movie in a theater. That’s life.
The competition certainly plays a role, though FB1 was of roughly the same magnitude as GBA here, and Eternals is going -58ish vs -61 and -62 when Thor's wemt up vs CF and JL.
I have no idea how you're getting 157 -- actually, wait, I do have an idea, I think you forgot to add previews back in.
It's basically TDW redux in terms of legs, the 3rd weekend drop is actually very typical for Nov MCU. Now TDW ain't exactly aspirational, but it's better than feared on OW.
It’s oddly good compared to last Sun so I am not exactly convinced by any explanation that applies equally as well there 😛
Not that I expect to be convinced by any explanation per se — sometimes things are just a little high or low for essentially inscrutable stochastic reasons.
The preview:true OD sales look more like a Moana/coco prev % than WIR, which was over 20% and the only sequel of the bunch. But trying to read too much from that is shaky.
5day should be ~1.4-1.5x the 3day, I am ballparking 3day at ~18x previews, range 14-22 (probably lower multi if higher previews, yadda yadda). So if previews can do 2, which I bet they can, like 36 3day low 50s 5day? 30-40 for 42-60?
But 50% still has plenty occupancy issues. It’s not like 50% every show, areas of high interest can go completely full while others are at 20% or whatever. So with an extra time the 20% just go even lower from diffusion but the areas hitting caps see more real sales.
Yeah there’s a definite effect on pre-thanksgiving week Sun. I have been using about 5%, but unclear what the baseline should be. In a very optimistic case:
16
12
44.5
Not a huge Sat bump, but pretty good. 41-43ish, 9-9.5 IM, fine debut.
Eternals 10.7 as expected
Clifford 8ish, slightly soft Sat but pretty normal
Not sure exactly what to expect for Richard Sun drop. Probably mid 30s, for 5.3ish? Just as expected from fri, normal Sat
Dune 3M, also just as expected, normal F