Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
TSS still the only max movie with previews. I would guess Dune and Matrix follow suit, but that’s it. -
Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday
Cooper Legion replied to Eric Prime's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeesh, this place really does like to seesaw between overreactions huh. TWS doesn’t look like a stretch goal that’s very likely to happen, but that is, you know, the stretch part. AM&tW-DS1ish is a great range for a first entry debuting in peak delta. -
Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday
Cooper Legion replied to Eric Prime's topic in Numbers and Data
Some fine weekdays. On Tues morning was looking for the weekly cume to be 110, here we are. Going to want a nice Fri and/or Sat increase though. -
Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday
Cooper Legion replied to Eric Prime's topic in Numbers and Data
In case anybody want a brief reminder: Endgame 1 The Avengers 3 Infinity War 4 Iron Man 3 5 Age of Ultron 5 Black Panther 9 Civil War 12 Captain Marvel 21 Far From Home* 23 Iron Man 44 Homecoming 49 Iron Man 2 50 Guardians of the Galaxy 51 Guardians Vol 2 55 Ragnarok 60 The Winter Soldier 61 The Dark World 73 Doctor Strange 96 Thor 116 Ant-man 137 Ant-Man and the Wasp 138 Captain America: The First Avenger 169 Incredible Hulk 240 -
Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday
Cooper Legion replied to Eric Prime's topic in Numbers and Data
CW was upper tier too imo. 12th biggest movie at the time. Maybe roughly: 1-15/20ish Upper (your listed films+CW) 15/20ish-80ish Mid 80ish and worse Low (your listed films+DS) -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It actually is useful as comps for other low end openers anyway. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
For regionals who do have a V1 comp (just Porthos afaik) I think it would be interesting to see on the applicable days (which are just the final 2 or 3 anyway) as a likely ceiling and something to contrast pandemic comps with. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeaaaaaaaahhhhh, so… 5-7 -> 35-50? Maybe it’s depressed by all the recent release date changes, but otherwise we are off to an underwhelming start. -
Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday
Cooper Legion replied to Eric Prime's topic in Numbers and Data
👀👀👀 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The previews were only 14% down. PA took care of the rest. I doubt a SMH comp would have performed all that poorly if adjusted for locations that became reserved in between. More generally, audience behavior can’t become more PS heavy forever, there’s a mathematical limit here. I don’t personally believe that 2018-2021 is a long enough time window that makes comps expired all on its own — the concern is more pre-pandemic vs pandemic , and first entry vs sequel. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah there are totally some franchises that just skew backloaded even on their 2nd (or 10th!) entry. Maybe Venom will be one of them. I think generally they are not CBMs, but this is fairly "casual" are franchise as far as CBMs go, it's not like SPUMC megafans are driving up the day one sales here. Tl;Dr 🤷♂️ .... but wary 🤷♂️ -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah on the one hand the V1 run provides some reason to believe this could be a pretty backloaded PS run. On the other hand counting on a sequel to be PS backloaded like it's first entry seems like a risky proposition. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Anyway one could argue with plenty of historical precedent that 60 would be solid nonpandemic, and even if pandemic improves a lot that would still be 50s. Let's give it a few more days/Keyser updates. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Nondisney/MCU is dead. ...we did it gang, finally back to 2019 normalcy! 😉 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Had a pretty good idea for SC after 1 day tbf. I think my first post on this thread after a few hours was 8*8.6 for 69 3day, reality went 8.8*8.6 lol -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah, true. We’ll see what the keyser nums have to say for initial atp. Would be funny if they started 3 or 3:30 — the tiny runtime would get you a second showing with matinee pricing. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Also pure 4PM time will presumably drive ATP even lower than BW, perhaps as much as -15% or so from SC. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
As a sequel I doubt this manages to match the final week ramp up of SC, and might not get as much screening/positive press help in the week before. On the other hand, delta situation should be much better for it. Early (early!) read 9-11 -> 60-80 -
Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday
Cooper Legion replied to Eric Prime's topic in Numbers and Data
Good news, my mind is safe. 6.6 still quite on the big side. Suggests O/U 40 rather than low 40s, still excellent -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
About a week earlier start than SC too. -
Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday
Cooper Legion replied to Eric Prime's topic in Numbers and Data
Better yet, 7,500,001 will be safe