Jump to content

Cooper Legion

Gold Account
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    23,010

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    17

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    Just in case there was any ambiguity…
  2. Cooper Legion
    Think I have to move off the 9-10 I have been insisting on since Friday.
  3. Cooper Legion
    Alternatively I could become “100M Legion.” Or maybe, “9-10M Legion?” Options, options
  4. Cooper Legion
    Presumably I’ll want to react to enough posts on the weekend thread that I buy a month of premium. We’ll have to see on Thursday whether I go for a Shang-Chi name or a What If name.
  5. Cooper Legion
    20M previews here we go
  6. Cooper Legion
    It’s good your family enjoyed the movie, just seemed odd to compare to a movie that isn’t out yet (vs, I dunno, a movie that you have seen). So I wondered if maybe you had caught one of the sneaks or something. Shang-Chi is also an accessible action comedy and I’d expect will have a lot of overlap with people who enjoy Free Guy, but I’ll defer to your assessment of your own kids taste 😛
  7. Cooper Legion
    Have you.. seen Shang-chi?
  8. Cooper Legion
    I should clarify — some regionals seem to be on a pretty steady seesaw. Don’t really know why. But it is the sort of things that mostly washes out at national scale data, and national data is really where it’s at.
  9. Cooper Legion
    Been on the good day-bad day seesaw for quite a while now. Using a 2-day moving average would probably stabilize a lot of analysis. Of course if Th ends up as a bad day per pattern that would kind of outweigh everything else 😆
  10. Cooper Legion
    Unadjusted is rough when the time period spans 13 years though. OW ranks for solo subfranchise first entries: BP 5th (current 209M) IM1 10th (183M) CM 18th (158M) SMH 29th (138M) gotg 32nd (134M) Hulk 55th (103M) Thor 55th (103M) Cap:TFA 63rd (98M) DS1 64th (97M) BW 96th (80.366M 😛 ) AM1 128th (70M) Now some of these aren’t really “new character introduction.” BP was in CW, BW was in lots of stuff before, SMH was in 5 solo movies outside the mcu, CM was teased in IW. And BW would have been more like 50th without PA even with the pandemic (using 110M est). Shang Chi seems to me to be headed for an OW right around 128th, so O/U the worst in the franchise. But not so bad under the circumstances — that would suggest (to me, just from gut) a non pandemic OW that ranked around hulk/Thor. So indeed, mid-upper tier for new character movie.
  11. Cooper Legion
    For the people comping vs BW without Canada or ATP considerations, you’re gonna get like 8.5, but it’s actually going to mean like 10. Which is no guarantee that the national figure will be 10 — but if the national comes in at 8.5 it wouldn’t be a case of “regional comp was bang on” it would be a case of “regional suggested 10 in reality but it overperformed regionally, cancelling out.”
  12. Cooper Legion
    But a final Denver comp of “7.8” is actually more like 9! Since, as I understand it, correct me if I’m wrong, you aren’t correcting for Canada (Ontario) or with the higher atp, right? Just SC admits/BW admits. If vs BW straight admits admits gives 7.8, then using 10% higher ATP it’s ~8.6 and then considering Canada ~9.0. I feel like this didn’t get the attention it deserved when it was first discussed, pretty important. SC tickets are 12% higher ATP for MTC T-3! Furthermore, MTC1 has higher ATP than MTC2 for previews, so the greater MTC1 skew, while it comes with some drawbacks as well and hopefully become less extreme by final day, increase the SC ATP/BW ATP by even more.
  13. Cooper Legion
    65-80ish for the 3day.
  14. Cooper Legion
    Huge surge, but I also notice this is about 27 hours after yday. Was it a slightly later run or performed about the same time and weren’t able to post until now?
  15. Cooper Legion
    4day/3day really shouldn’t crack 1.26 I was just going to look up whether the tradition was to do the final flop bar Mon or tues (answer — Tues for BW, Sun for TSS, think Tues default). I will probably jack it up some, as it’s for the 4day, but keep in mind that it’s intended to be a figure that going below would be actually really bad/sad to me and justify people melting down in the thread in my eyes, which is a generally unpleasant experience. I went with a mere 21M for TSS, which was really lenient, and 86 for BW, which, umm… I thought was really lenient. Generally aiming for like a -1.5 to -2 z sort of thing.
  16. Cooper Legion
    I hoped we would get a public LRF update last Friday, but we didn’t. I’m confident that the BOP internal range is 45-65 at bare minimum as of that update, but the weekend forecast probably 52-75 or so. Add 25% for a rough and dirty 4day.
  17. Cooper Legion
    Are they? Literally the 6th upcoming MCU release, I think knowing nothing about it (except some production leaks as per usual) make a lot of sense from that perspective.
  18. Cooper Legion
    This comment is as all things should be.
  19. Cooper Legion
    Guys I think it’s possible that this new character MCU entry might not have its PS run be as frontloaded as an OG Avenger’s 8th starring role.
  20. Cooper Legion
    Excellent commentary on the 2day cume here.
  21. Cooper Legion
    Afaik we still don't have a budget for this but if it's the 160-180 zone not really *that* much bigger than FG.
  22. Cooper Legion
    A regional overperformance seems likely from “NYC local” — but on the other hand, comps could still grow. I am still targeting 9-10ish national final.
  23. Cooper Legion
    Pretty big actuals drop for FG (still a great weekend though). The numbers doesn’t have the splits yet but seems like another “well, guess summer is over” Sun.
  24. Cooper Legion
    Just gotta find another 10M from Puerto Rico or whatever and I’ll be a happy man
  25. Cooper Legion
    Speaking of actuals the true IM came in at 2.75
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.

  I accept