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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. No no, I got that, My point is, why would any of the nerds on this board give a shit about that 😛
  2. Well… why would we care how they spin it? A 35M OW when the previous Labor Day record is 30M is no better an actual performance than of the previous record was 40M or 140M.
  3. I am a sucker for the premise, but I do hope this episode is my least favorite episode of the show and I feel like there’s pretty solid odds.
  4. JC will get almost all FG double features — though Free Guy doesn’t look big enough for that to be very important. I assume TSS will fall to around 9M which could make things very close with TSS, JC, DB2, and/or respect.
  5. My kneejerk reaction when I finished was Having some time to sit with it, not sure.
  6. Damn, I’m going to want all of the eps as 2 hour movies, aren’t I 😂
  7. Followup — season 1 and 2 are both confirmed 9 episodes due to covid.
  8. Large blunder not to keep the Labor Day date imo, not just for BW’s sake but general relations (Disney/China). But hindsight is 20/20.
  9. I mean, I think they’re going to hold firm especially since I predict that covid numbers a week before releases will be back down around 50k or so. But hypothetically if cases ride to like 350k instead, we know from last March that you can delay a movie with like 4 days left to go before it premiers, and just refund the sales.
  10. I thought I was an optimist on Free Guy with like 20-30. If it comes in at 16 that doesn't exactly scream delta, it's still in the BOP range for instance.
  11. Nah, the episode for each movie thing was pure misinterpretation and misquotes from the media. Afaik S1 is 10 eps and so will be S2.
  12. One tough angle here is that it’s not clear if an exclusive BW would have been in the 95M range or more like the 110s. If you think SC should be able to pull like 50-60%, those would have some pretty different implications. The PS start won’t even be that much help since it’s such a short run — day 1 sales will be inflated vs comps, but T-17 will be deflated. Going to take until Aug 20 something before we can look at PS and start to have a pretty decent empirical sense of where things are headed.
  13. There was a pretty interesting divergence between regionals and MTC2 last week, thought maybe it would sort itself out naturally by this week. Seems like not. Probably means relatively overindexing at MTC1 but would be great to know for sure.
  14. Overall reception definitely has not seemed like universal praise. Critics were higher on this one than audiences and even the critic score is down to a more normal level.
  15. “bUt ThE mArKeTiNg” — somebody who thinks a movie they don’t want to open low might open low We just saw this with TSS. TSS had lots of perfectly normal and fine marketing, this has plenty of perfectly normal and fine marketing, other flops past and future usually have plenty of fine marketing. It’s just an easy way to blame something other than the movie itself.
  16. I’d expect the four weekends worst affected by delta to be Aug 13, Aug 20, Aug 27, and Sep 3. Not great timing for Disney’s attempts back to theatrical exclusivity
  17. Two weeks ago boxofficepro had a 35-60M forecast. It was perfectly reasonable at the time — to anyone who wasn’t plugged in to the sales. Before ticket sales began I’d say probably 40-70 was the general range.
  18. Demon Slayer still easily the most impressive worldwide performance since F2. Expect it will retain that until at least NWH.
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